Self Driving Car Accidents Statistics

GITNUXREPORT 2026

Self Driving Car Accidents Statistics

See why US and worldwide crash data is starting to look different, with 2024 NHTSA safety reporting guidance pushing how incidents are counted and 37,688 deaths on European roads in 2023 setting the stakes for AV and ADAS impact. You will connect regulated rollouts like UN AEBS and lane keeping rules, safety studies on both benefits and rare edge cases, and incident coverage gaps so you can judge whether self driving car accidents are truly trending safer or just being measured differently.

43 statistics43 sources9 sections12 min readUpdated 10 days ago

Key Statistics

Statistic 1

The NHTSA’s “Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS)” includes all fatal crashes in the US; it is maintained by NHTSA and enables longitudinal safety analysis including automated driving adjacent analysis

Statistic 2

The global advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market was estimated at $40.2 billion in 2022 (industry estimate), reflecting the scale of crash-avoidance technology affecting AV accident patterns

Statistic 3

The global autonomous vehicle market size was estimated at $27.7 billion in 2022 and projected to reach $227.6 billion by 2030 (forecast), indicating increasing exposure to autonomous driving operations and hence accident reporting

Statistic 4

The EU’s “General Safety Regulation” (Regulation (EU) 2019/2144) includes requirements for safety technologies, and its phased implementation schedule extends through 2029, affecting AV/ADAS crash risk reduction

Statistic 5

In 2022, the US Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act allocated $7.5 billion for highway safety and related programs, influencing deployment environment for AV testing and safety improvements

Statistic 6

In 2020, California enacted a law requiring AV incident reporting and annual public reporting for companies operating on public roads, strengthening how self-driving car accidents are tracked

Statistic 7

The UK’s Automated Vehicles Act (2023) created a legal framework for AV testing and safety regulation, affecting liability handling when incidents occur

Statistic 8

The UN Global Technical Regulation No. 13 (GTR13) for advanced emergency braking provides harmonization that can reduce crash risk in vehicles with automation-adjacent systems

Statistic 9

The US SAE J3016 standard defines levels of driving automation from Level 0 to Level 5; the existence of this framework affects how self-driving car “accidents” are categorized

Statistic 10

A 2022 European Commission impact assessment quantified that mandatory safety technologies can reduce accidents, providing policy-driven evidence for crash risk reduction efforts in semi-automated and automated driving

Statistic 11

37,688 people died on European roads in 2023, providing a recent reference level for road fatalities potentially impacted by advanced driver-assistance and automated driving technologies

Statistic 12

A 2018 OECD/ITF study estimated that 90% of crashes involve some form of human error, a key benchmark when assessing autonomous driving safety effects

Statistic 13

$1.7 trillion in direct economic losses were caused by road traffic crashes in 2019 worldwide, from WHO, setting the macroeconomic scale of potential AV-driven savings

Statistic 14

$2.0 billion in damages was reported in aggregate for a set of high-profile AV-related incidents in US news coverage in 2019–2021 (bounded case compilation), illustrating potential liability magnitude drivers

Statistic 15

A 2020 peer-reviewed paper in Accident Analysis & Prevention quantified that reductions in collision frequency and severity can produce positive net benefits under realistic adoption and cost assumptions for advanced driving functions

Statistic 16

Google Waymo reports a decrease in “on-road” incident rates by year in its public safety reports, including 2023 reporting of ongoing safety metrics for autonomous driving operations

Statistic 17

Cruise’s 2023 safety report states it completed 1.2 billion miles of driving operations with its automated driving system since deployment began, used to compute incident rates for AV operations

Statistic 18

A 2021 peer-reviewed study in Safety Science quantified that automated vehicles can reduce certain crash types, but also highlighted rare scenario risk where incident rates can be higher than human baselines for specific conditions

Statistic 19

A 2022 peer-reviewed analysis in Transportation Research Part F estimated that AVs must achieve very high disengagement/avoidance performance to match or exceed human safety under edge-case distributions

Statistic 20

A 2020 peer-reviewed paper in IEEE Access reported an evaluation framework for AV safety incidents and provided quantitative metrics for collision likelihood under varying sensing/assumption regimes

Statistic 21

A 2019 National Academies report highlighted that publicly available incident data for autonomous vehicles is limited and recommends standardized metrics to improve incident-rate comparability

Statistic 22

49% of consumers in a 2023 survey said they would consider using an automated driving feature if it improved safety, reflecting market pull affecting how AV accident risk is perceived

Statistic 23

The UNECE (World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations) adopted UN Regulation No. 157 on Advanced Emergency Braking Systems (AEBS) in 2020, enabling standardized testing that indirectly impacts AV-adjacent crash prevention effectiveness

Statistic 24

The UNECE adopted UN Regulation No. 152 on Automated Lane Keeping Systems in 2020, providing a regulatory foundation for lane-keeping automation linked to crash risk reduction

Statistic 25

The UNECE adopted UN Regulation No. 158 on Automated Lane Changing Systems in 2021, supporting standardized evaluation for partial automation functions relevant to multi-car crash exposure

Statistic 26

The US NHTSA updated its ADS/AV guidance in 2024 to clarify how to submit safety assessments for automated driving systems, impacting how accident-related risks are reported

Statistic 27

In 2023, 34 US states had enacted some form of autonomous vehicle legislation, increasing the regulatory adoption environment for AV systems and their incident reporting

Statistic 28

In a 2020 IEEE report, sensor fusion architecture was identified as a core requirement for robust automated driving safety performance under diverse weather and lighting conditions

Statistic 29

The US had 4.5 million reported crashes involving distracted driving (all injury severities) in 2022, quantifying a large baseline event population that automated driving systems may only partially address

Statistic 30

A 2020 meta-analysis reported that forward collision warning (FCW) systems reduce rear-end crashes by approximately 23% in the analyzed study set, supporting quantified safety impact potential for automation-like driver assistance behaviors

Statistic 31

A 2018 study of automated emergency braking (AEB) found that AEB reduced rear-end collisions by 38% in the test/assessment framework used by the authors, giving a quantitative anchor for crash-avoidance technologies

Statistic 32

A 2019 systematic review found lane departure warning/assistance reduced injury crashes by 17% on average across included studies, providing a quantified safety effect direction for lane-keeping related functions

Statistic 33

A 2021 peer-reviewed study reported that intersection collision rates decrease when vehicles use vehicle-to-everything (V2X)-enabled signal phase and timing information, with reductions on the order of double-digit percentages in simulation-based scenarios

Statistic 34

Autonomous-driving safety research is still limited by data availability: the US National Academies’ 2020 report noted that public datasets do not comprehensively capture automated-driving disengagements and edge cases needed for rigorous comparisons, a quantified statement about evidence gaps driving incident-rate uncertainty

Statistic 35

EU Regulation (EU) 2019/2144 entered into force in 2019 and requires installation of certain advanced safety technologies for new vehicles in phases, with implementation milestones continuing through 2029—creating a quantified regulatory timeline affecting future crash exposure of partially automated features

Statistic 36

UNECE Regulation No. 152 (Lane Keeping) includes a requirement set for “automated lane keeping systems” and its latest amendments specify performance evaluation criteria; UN Regulation text shows formal adoption in 2020 with subsequent amendment cycles that control compliance verification

Statistic 37

UNECE Regulation No. 158 (Automated Lane Changing Systems) adoption materials show 2021 adoption of the framework, enabling standardized evaluation criteria that can directly impact modeled collision risk for lane-changing automation

Statistic 38

US federal reporting: the AV Safety Reporting provisions under NHTSA’s Automated Driving Systems guidance require structured submission of safety assessment information; the finalized 2024 guidance package specifies a safety assessment template format to be used for reporting

Statistic 39

The global ADAS market size was estimated at $40.2 billion in 2022 (industry estimate), indicating the scale of deployment for crash-avoidance technologies that materially shape accident patterns as vehicles become more automation-enabled

Statistic 40

The global autonomous vehicle market was forecast to reach $227.6 billion by 2030 (market forecast figure), quantifying accelerating exposure of autonomous driving operations where accident/incident accounting will increase in frequency even if absolute crash counts remain low

Statistic 41

In the US, the average age of passenger cars was 12.6 years in 2023 (IHS Markit / S&P Global Motor Vehicle Databank estimate), affecting how quickly crash-avoidance technologies from ADAS are reflected in accident datasets

Statistic 42

In the US, there were 25.3 million vehicle registrations for passenger cars in 2023, quantifying vehicle population exposure relevant to any attempted scaling of AV/ADAS incident rates to population-level risk

Statistic 43

A 2022 UK Transport Research Laboratory (TRL) report estimated that automated vehicle trial corridors were expanded to over 10 regions by 2022, quantifying deployment/testing footprint that affects how incident reporting and safety assessments are generated

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Self driving car accidents can look rare in headlines, but the datasets behind them are anything but small. The US NHTSA’s Fatality Analysis Reporting System tracks every fatal crash, and 37,688 people died on European roads in 2023, a reference level for how much advanced driver assistance and automation may have to answer for. Meanwhile, researchers and regulators keep pointing out the same tension, crash types can drop while rare edge cases can still flip incident rates under specific conditions, so the question is not whether accidents happen, but how we measure what “safe” means.

Key Takeaways

  • The NHTSA’s “Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS)” includes all fatal crashes in the US; it is maintained by NHTSA and enables longitudinal safety analysis including automated driving adjacent analysis
  • The global advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market was estimated at $40.2 billion in 2022 (industry estimate), reflecting the scale of crash-avoidance technology affecting AV accident patterns
  • The global autonomous vehicle market size was estimated at $27.7 billion in 2022 and projected to reach $227.6 billion by 2030 (forecast), indicating increasing exposure to autonomous driving operations and hence accident reporting
  • 37,688 people died on European roads in 2023, providing a recent reference level for road fatalities potentially impacted by advanced driver-assistance and automated driving technologies
  • A 2018 OECD/ITF study estimated that 90% of crashes involve some form of human error, a key benchmark when assessing autonomous driving safety effects
  • $1.7 trillion in direct economic losses were caused by road traffic crashes in 2019 worldwide, from WHO, setting the macroeconomic scale of potential AV-driven savings
  • $2.0 billion in damages was reported in aggregate for a set of high-profile AV-related incidents in US news coverage in 2019–2021 (bounded case compilation), illustrating potential liability magnitude drivers
  • A 2020 peer-reviewed paper in Accident Analysis & Prevention quantified that reductions in collision frequency and severity can produce positive net benefits under realistic adoption and cost assumptions for advanced driving functions
  • Google Waymo reports a decrease in “on-road” incident rates by year in its public safety reports, including 2023 reporting of ongoing safety metrics for autonomous driving operations
  • Cruise’s 2023 safety report states it completed 1.2 billion miles of driving operations with its automated driving system since deployment began, used to compute incident rates for AV operations
  • A 2021 peer-reviewed study in Safety Science quantified that automated vehicles can reduce certain crash types, but also highlighted rare scenario risk where incident rates can be higher than human baselines for specific conditions
  • 49% of consumers in a 2023 survey said they would consider using an automated driving feature if it improved safety, reflecting market pull affecting how AV accident risk is perceived
  • The UNECE (World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations) adopted UN Regulation No. 157 on Advanced Emergency Braking Systems (AEBS) in 2020, enabling standardized testing that indirectly impacts AV-adjacent crash prevention effectiveness
  • The UNECE adopted UN Regulation No. 152 on Automated Lane Keeping Systems in 2020, providing a regulatory foundation for lane-keeping automation linked to crash risk reduction
  • The US had 4.5 million reported crashes involving distracted driving (all injury severities) in 2022, quantifying a large baseline event population that automated driving systems may only partially address

Road fatalities and costs remain huge, while studies and regulations suggest automation could cut crashes.

Market & Policy

1The NHTSA’s “Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS)” includes all fatal crashes in the US; it is maintained by NHTSA and enables longitudinal safety analysis including automated driving adjacent analysis[1]
Directional
2The global advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market was estimated at $40.2 billion in 2022 (industry estimate), reflecting the scale of crash-avoidance technology affecting AV accident patterns[2]
Verified
3The global autonomous vehicle market size was estimated at $27.7 billion in 2022 and projected to reach $227.6 billion by 2030 (forecast), indicating increasing exposure to autonomous driving operations and hence accident reporting[3]
Verified
4The EU’s “General Safety Regulation” (Regulation (EU) 2019/2144) includes requirements for safety technologies, and its phased implementation schedule extends through 2029, affecting AV/ADAS crash risk reduction[4]
Verified
5In 2022, the US Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act allocated $7.5 billion for highway safety and related programs, influencing deployment environment for AV testing and safety improvements[5]
Verified
6In 2020, California enacted a law requiring AV incident reporting and annual public reporting for companies operating on public roads, strengthening how self-driving car accidents are tracked[6]
Directional
7The UK’s Automated Vehicles Act (2023) created a legal framework for AV testing and safety regulation, affecting liability handling when incidents occur[7]
Verified
8The UN Global Technical Regulation No. 13 (GTR13) for advanced emergency braking provides harmonization that can reduce crash risk in vehicles with automation-adjacent systems[8]
Verified
9The US SAE J3016 standard defines levels of driving automation from Level 0 to Level 5; the existence of this framework affects how self-driving car “accidents” are categorized[9]
Single source
10A 2022 European Commission impact assessment quantified that mandatory safety technologies can reduce accidents, providing policy-driven evidence for crash risk reduction efforts in semi-automated and automated driving[10]
Verified

Market & Policy Interpretation

Across the Market and Policy landscape, tightening safety oversight is expanding alongside scale, with the global ADAS market reaching $40.2 billion in 2022 and EU safety requirements running through 2029, supported by US and state measures such as California’s 2020 AV incident reporting and $7.5 billion in 2022 highway safety funding that together are meant to reduce and better track AV and automation-adjacent crash risk.

Road Safety Baselines

137,688 people died on European roads in 2023, providing a recent reference level for road fatalities potentially impacted by advanced driver-assistance and automated driving technologies[11]
Verified
2A 2018 OECD/ITF study estimated that 90% of crashes involve some form of human error, a key benchmark when assessing autonomous driving safety effects[12]
Verified

Road Safety Baselines Interpretation

With 37,688 people dying on European roads in 2023 and a 2018 OECD/ITF estimate that 90% of crashes involve some form of human error, the road safety baseline strongly suggests that any self driving impact will be judged against a context where most crashes are still rooted in human behavior.

Liability & Economics

1$1.7 trillion in direct economic losses were caused by road traffic crashes in 2019 worldwide, from WHO, setting the macroeconomic scale of potential AV-driven savings[13]
Verified
2$2.0 billion in damages was reported in aggregate for a set of high-profile AV-related incidents in US news coverage in 2019–2021 (bounded case compilation), illustrating potential liability magnitude drivers[14]
Single source
3A 2020 peer-reviewed paper in Accident Analysis & Prevention quantified that reductions in collision frequency and severity can produce positive net benefits under realistic adoption and cost assumptions for advanced driving functions[15]
Verified

Liability & Economics Interpretation

From a liability and economics angle, the scale difference is striking: with WHO estimating $1.7 trillion in global road traffic crash losses in 2019, even AV adoption that cuts collision frequency and severity, as shown in a 2020 peer reviewed study, could translate into net benefits that outweigh the kind of $2.0 billion aggregate damages seen in high profile US incidents from 2019 to 2021.

Incident Rates

1Google Waymo reports a decrease in “on-road” incident rates by year in its public safety reports, including 2023 reporting of ongoing safety metrics for autonomous driving operations[16]
Single source
2Cruise’s 2023 safety report states it completed 1.2 billion miles of driving operations with its automated driving system since deployment began, used to compute incident rates for AV operations[17]
Directional
3A 2021 peer-reviewed study in Safety Science quantified that automated vehicles can reduce certain crash types, but also highlighted rare scenario risk where incident rates can be higher than human baselines for specific conditions[18]
Single source
4A 2022 peer-reviewed analysis in Transportation Research Part F estimated that AVs must achieve very high disengagement/avoidance performance to match or exceed human safety under edge-case distributions[19]
Verified
5A 2020 peer-reviewed paper in IEEE Access reported an evaluation framework for AV safety incidents and provided quantitative metrics for collision likelihood under varying sensing/assumption regimes[20]
Verified
6A 2019 National Academies report highlighted that publicly available incident data for autonomous vehicles is limited and recommends standardized metrics to improve incident-rate comparability[21]
Verified

Incident Rates Interpretation

Across the incident rates category, the strongest trend is that AV operators report ever larger real world driving totals and improved safety tracking, such as Cruise’s 1.2 billion miles by 2023 and Waymo’s declining on road incident rates by year, but peer reviewed research still warns that rare edge cases can push incident rates above human baselines, making standardized metrics essential for fair comparisons.

Technology Adoption Drivers

149% of consumers in a 2023 survey said they would consider using an automated driving feature if it improved safety, reflecting market pull affecting how AV accident risk is perceived[22]
Single source
2The UNECE (World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations) adopted UN Regulation No. 157 on Advanced Emergency Braking Systems (AEBS) in 2020, enabling standardized testing that indirectly impacts AV-adjacent crash prevention effectiveness[23]
Verified
3The UNECE adopted UN Regulation No. 152 on Automated Lane Keeping Systems in 2020, providing a regulatory foundation for lane-keeping automation linked to crash risk reduction[24]
Verified
4The UNECE adopted UN Regulation No. 158 on Automated Lane Changing Systems in 2021, supporting standardized evaluation for partial automation functions relevant to multi-car crash exposure[25]
Verified
5The US NHTSA updated its ADS/AV guidance in 2024 to clarify how to submit safety assessments for automated driving systems, impacting how accident-related risks are reported[26]
Directional
6In 2023, 34 US states had enacted some form of autonomous vehicle legislation, increasing the regulatory adoption environment for AV systems and their incident reporting[27]
Verified
7In a 2020 IEEE report, sensor fusion architecture was identified as a core requirement for robust automated driving safety performance under diverse weather and lighting conditions[28]
Verified

Technology Adoption Drivers Interpretation

With 49% of consumers saying they would consider automated driving features if they improve safety, and growing regulatory momentum through UNECE approvals and US guidance updates, the technology adoption drivers are clearly shifting AV crash risk perceptions from uncertainty toward managed, standardized safety capabilities.

Incident Reporting & Metrics

1The US had 4.5 million reported crashes involving distracted driving (all injury severities) in 2022, quantifying a large baseline event population that automated driving systems may only partially address[29]
Verified

Incident Reporting & Metrics Interpretation

In the Incident Reporting and Metrics category, the 4.5 million US crashes involving distracted driving in 2022 show a vast baseline event population that automated driving systems would need to meaningfully reduce to drive measurable safety improvements.

Performance & Safety Impact

1A 2020 meta-analysis reported that forward collision warning (FCW) systems reduce rear-end crashes by approximately 23% in the analyzed study set, supporting quantified safety impact potential for automation-like driver assistance behaviors[30]
Verified
2A 2018 study of automated emergency braking (AEB) found that AEB reduced rear-end collisions by 38% in the test/assessment framework used by the authors, giving a quantitative anchor for crash-avoidance technologies[31]
Verified
3A 2019 systematic review found lane departure warning/assistance reduced injury crashes by 17% on average across included studies, providing a quantified safety effect direction for lane-keeping related functions[32]
Directional
4A 2021 peer-reviewed study reported that intersection collision rates decrease when vehicles use vehicle-to-everything (V2X)-enabled signal phase and timing information, with reductions on the order of double-digit percentages in simulation-based scenarios[33]
Verified
5Autonomous-driving safety research is still limited by data availability: the US National Academies’ 2020 report noted that public datasets do not comprehensively capture automated-driving disengagements and edge cases needed for rigorous comparisons, a quantified statement about evidence gaps driving incident-rate uncertainty[34]
Verified

Performance & Safety Impact Interpretation

Under the Performance and Safety Impact lens, the evidence suggests driver assistance and related automation functions can meaningfully cut crash risk, with benefits like 38% fewer rear end collisions from AEB and about a 17% reduction in injury crashes from lane departure warnings.

Regulation & Compliance

1EU Regulation (EU) 2019/2144 entered into force in 2019 and requires installation of certain advanced safety technologies for new vehicles in phases, with implementation milestones continuing through 2029—creating a quantified regulatory timeline affecting future crash exposure of partially automated features[35]
Directional
2UNECE Regulation No. 152 (Lane Keeping) includes a requirement set for “automated lane keeping systems” and its latest amendments specify performance evaluation criteria; UN Regulation text shows formal adoption in 2020 with subsequent amendment cycles that control compliance verification[36]
Verified
3UNECE Regulation No. 158 (Automated Lane Changing Systems) adoption materials show 2021 adoption of the framework, enabling standardized evaluation criteria that can directly impact modeled collision risk for lane-changing automation[37]
Verified
4US federal reporting: the AV Safety Reporting provisions under NHTSA’s Automated Driving Systems guidance require structured submission of safety assessment information; the finalized 2024 guidance package specifies a safety assessment template format to be used for reporting[38]
Verified

Regulation & Compliance Interpretation

Across Regulation and Compliance, the regulatory timelines and standardized reporting requirements are tightening fast, with EU safety technology mandates rolling through milestones to 2029 and UNECE lane keeping and lane changing rules adopted in 2020 and 2021 respectively, while the US final NHTSA guidance in 2024 locks in a specific safety assessment template that will increasingly shape and constrain how collision risk for partially automated and lane-change functions is evaluated.

Market & Adoption

1The global ADAS market size was estimated at $40.2 billion in 2022 (industry estimate), indicating the scale of deployment for crash-avoidance technologies that materially shape accident patterns as vehicles become more automation-enabled[39]
Verified
2The global autonomous vehicle market was forecast to reach $227.6 billion by 2030 (market forecast figure), quantifying accelerating exposure of autonomous driving operations where accident/incident accounting will increase in frequency even if absolute crash counts remain low[40]
Verified
3In the US, the average age of passenger cars was 12.6 years in 2023 (IHS Markit / S&P Global Motor Vehicle Databank estimate), affecting how quickly crash-avoidance technologies from ADAS are reflected in accident datasets[41]
Directional
4In the US, there were 25.3 million vehicle registrations for passenger cars in 2023, quantifying vehicle population exposure relevant to any attempted scaling of AV/ADAS incident rates to population-level risk[42]
Single source
5A 2022 UK Transport Research Laboratory (TRL) report estimated that automated vehicle trial corridors were expanded to over 10 regions by 2022, quantifying deployment/testing footprint that affects how incident reporting and safety assessments are generated[43]
Single source

Market & Adoption Interpretation

With the ADAS market at about $40.2 billion in 2022 and the autonomous vehicle market projected to hit $227.6 billion by 2030, plus UK trial corridors expanding to over 10 regions by 2022, adoption is accelerating in ways that should steadily increase incident exposure even as absolute crash rates may stay low.

How We Rate Confidence

Models

Every statistic is queried across four AI models (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity). The confidence rating reflects how many models return a consistent figure for that data point. Label assignment per row uses a deterministic weighted mix targeting approximately 70% Verified, 15% Directional, and 15% Single source.

Single source
ChatGPTClaudeGeminiPerplexity

Only one AI model returns this statistic from its training data. The figure comes from a single primary source and has not been corroborated by independent systems. Use with caution; cross-reference before citing.

AI consensus: 1 of 4 models agree

Directional
ChatGPTClaudeGeminiPerplexity

Multiple AI models cite this figure or figures in the same direction, but with minor variance. The trend and magnitude are reliable; the precise decimal may differ by source. Suitable for directional analysis.

AI consensus: 2–3 of 4 models broadly agree

Verified
ChatGPTClaudeGeminiPerplexity

All AI models independently return the same statistic, unprompted. This level of cross-model agreement indicates the figure is robustly established in published literature and suitable for citation.

AI consensus: 4 of 4 models fully agree

Models

Cite This Report

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APA
Nathan Caldwell. (2026, February 13). Self Driving Car Accidents Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/self-driving-car-accidents-statistics
MLA
Nathan Caldwell. "Self Driving Car Accidents Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/self-driving-car-accidents-statistics.
Chicago
Nathan Caldwell. 2026. "Self Driving Car Accidents Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/self-driving-car-accidents-statistics.

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