Key Takeaways
- Global mean surface temperature for 2023 was 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 1951-1980 average, marking the warmest year on record
- The global average surface temperature in 2023 was about 2.43°F (1.35°C) warmer than the late 19th-century (1850-1900) baseline
- Earth's average surface temperature rose by 0.11°F (0.06°C) per decade since 1850, or about 2°F in the last century
- Atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 419.3 ppm in May 2023 at Mauna Loa
- Annual average CO2 at Mauna Loa was 418.56 ppm in 2023, highest on record
- Global average atmospheric CO2 was 417.5 ppm in 2022, up 2.4 ppm from 2021
- Global sea level rose by 21-24 cm since 1880, with 8-9 cm since 1993
- Rate of global sea level rise increased from 1.4 mm/yr (20th century) to 4.62 mm/yr (2013-2022)
- Sea level rise 101.4 mm since 1993 per satellite altimetry
- Arctic sea ice minimum extent 4.23 million km² in 2023, lowest on record since 1979
- Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance -84 Gt net loss in 2022-2023
- Antarctic sea ice extent minimum 1.79 million km² in Feb 2023, record low
- Number of Category 4-5 hurricanes doubled since 1970
- U.S. billion-dollar disasters averaged 23/yr 2020-2023 vs 6.5/yr 1980-2019
- Global drought area increased 14% since 2000
Global temperatures are hitting record highs and accelerating alarmingly.
Extreme Weather Events
- Number of Category 4-5 hurricanes doubled since 1970
- U.S. billion-dollar disasters averaged 23/yr 2020-2023 vs 6.5/yr 1980-2019
- Global drought area increased 14% since 2000
- Heatwaves frequency tripled since 1950s
- Wildfires burned 7.8 million ha in Canada 2023, 10x average
- Tropical cyclone wind intensity up 7% per decade since 1980
- Heavy precipitation events increased 30% in U.S. since 1960
- Europe 2023 heatwave caused 61,000 deaths
- Global compound hot-dry events doubled 1950-2020
- U.S. flash floods up 26% per decade 1965-2021
- Australian bushfires 2019-2020 emitted 715 MtCO2
- Intensity of rainfall from hurricanes increased 10% since 1970
- Pakistan 2022 floods affected 33 million, 1,700 deaths
- California drought 2020-2022 most severe in 1200 years
- Global thunderstorm days increased 12% per degree warming
- U.S. tornado intensity up, EF3+ from 4% to 12% 1980-2020
- Maui wildfires 2023 killed 100+, $5.5B damage
- India heatwave 2022 90°F nights caused 2,300 deaths
- Sahel droughts frequency doubled since 1980
- China floods 2021 displaced 15 million
- Atlantic hurricane rapid intensification events tripled since 1980
- European river floods economic loss €50B/yr projected +50% by 2050
- Global hail storm severity up 10% per decade
- U.S. heatwave index days above 90°F doubled since 1960s
- Brazil droughts 2010-2020 cost $100B agriculture
- Typhoon intensity North Pacific up 4% per decade
Extreme Weather Events Interpretation
Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
- Atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 419.3 ppm in May 2023 at Mauna Loa
- Annual average CO2 at Mauna Loa was 418.56 ppm in 2023, highest on record
- Global average atmospheric CO2 was 417.5 ppm in 2022, up 2.4 ppm from 2021
- CO2 growth rate 2.6 ppm/yr average 2015-2023
- Methane concentration 1917 ppb in 2023, 150% above pre-industrial
- Nitrous oxide at 335.7 ppb in 2022, up 23% since 1750
- Total radiative forcing from well-mixed GHGs reached 3.24 W/m² in 2023 vs 1750
- CO2 accounted for 81% of GHG increase since 1970
- Global fossil CO2 emissions 36.8 GtCO2 in 2022
- Annual increase in atmospheric CO2 burden 11.3 GtC in 2023
- Keeling Curve shows CO2 seasonal cycle amplitude increased 50% since 1960s
- Isotopic ratio confirms fossil fuel origin of 90% recent CO2 rise
- HFCs reached 124 ppt in 2022, contributing 0.03 W/m² forcing
- SF6 concentration 10.4 ppt in 2023
- Global CH4 emissions from wetlands 30-40% of total
- CO2 fertilization increased terrestrial sink by 30% since 1900
- Ocean CO2 sink absorbed 26% of anthropogenic emissions 2012-2021
- Land sink took up 31% of emissions, residual 43% in atmosphere
- Arctic CH4 emissions quadrupled since 2000 due to thaw
- Global GHG emissions 59 GtCO2eq in 2019
- CO2 mole fraction 421.08 ppm global average 2023
- CH4 growth rate 10 ppb/yr since 2015
- N2O increase 0.9 ppb/yr
- Fluorinated gases up 50% since 2000
- Cumulative CO2 emissions 2390 GtCO2 since 1750
- 2023 CO2 emissions from energy 37.4 GtCO2
- Deforestation emitted 1.5 GtCO2 in 2022
- Cement production 2.3 GtCO2/yr average 2019-2023
- Aviation CO2 1 Gt/yr, 2.5% global total
Greenhouse Gas Concentrations Interpretation
Ice and Glacier Melt
- Arctic sea ice minimum extent 4.23 million km² in 2023, lowest on record since 1979
- Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance -84 Gt net loss in 2022-2023
- Antarctic sea ice extent minimum 1.79 million km² in Feb 2023, record low
- Glacier volume loss worldwide 9,625 Gt since Little Ice Age
- Arctic sea ice volume declined 75% since 1979 satellite record
- Greenland ice loss 4,700 Gt 2002-2021
- Antarctic ice shelves lost 7.5 trillion tonnes 1997-2022, thinning 41m
- Spring snow cover in North America declined 4.2% per decade 1967-2022
- Alpine glaciers in Europe lost 50% volume since 1900
- Arctic old ice (>5 years) declined from 40% (1985) to 5% (2020)
- Glacier National Park lost 80% ice since 1910
- Pine Island Glacier ice shelf thinned 200m since 1990s
- Global glacier mass balance -1.3 m w.e./yr 2010-2019
- Svalbard glaciers lost 10 Gt/yr 2003-2015
- Canadian Arctic Archipelago ice loss 7,800 Gt 2003-2021
- Himalayan glaciers thinning 0.3-0.6 m/yr
- Patagonia ice fields lost 20 Gt/yr recently
- Alaska glaciers contribute 9% SLR, mass loss 75 Gt/yr
- Permafrost thaw released 1 GtC/yr
- Arctic sea ice thickness average 1.8 m in 2023 vs 3.5 m 1980
- Totten Glacier grounding line retreated 5 km since 2010
- Ellesmere Island ice shelves lost 60% since 1906
- Global glacier area reduced 13% since 1970s
- 2023 melt season Greenland 620 Gt ice loss
Ice and Glacier Melt Interpretation
Rising Temperatures
- Global mean surface temperature for 2023 was 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 1951-1980 average, marking the warmest year on record
- The global average surface temperature in 2023 was about 2.43°F (1.35°C) warmer than the late 19th-century (1850-1900) baseline
- Earth's average surface temperature rose by 0.11°F (0.06°C) per decade since 1850, or about 2°F in the last century
- From 1880 to 2023, average global temperatures have risen by 1.1°C (1.9°F)
- The 10 warmest years on record have all occurred since 2014, with 2023 being the hottest
- Global land and ocean temperature anomalies for December 2023 were +1.40°C above the 20th century average
- The rate of global temperature increase has accelerated to 0.20°C per decade since 1982
- Northern Hemisphere experienced its warmest summer on record in 2023 with temperatures 0.89°C above the 1991-2020 average
- Global average temperature for 1910-2023 shows a warming trend of 0.08°C per decade, accelerating recently
- 2023 global temperature anomaly was +1.18°C relative to 1951-1980 baseline per NASA GISS
- Southern Hemisphere sea surface temperatures reached record highs in 2023, contributing to global warmth
- Annual global mean near-surface temperature for 2023 was 1.48°C above pre-industrial levels
- U.S. average temperature for 2023 was 54.4°F, 2.0°F above 20th century average
- Global temperature rise since 1850-1900 is 1.19°C [1.09 to 1.29°C] per WMO
- Ocean heat content increased by 436 zettajoules since 1971, driving surface warming
- Arctic amplification led to 3.8°C warming above 1850-1900 levels in 2014-2023
- Global warming hiatus periods show no statistical pause, with underlying trend intact
- Tropospheric temperature trends from satellites confirm 0.18°C/decade warming since 1979
- Surface air temperature over land rose by 1.59°C [1.34 to 1.83°C] from 1850-1900 to 2011-2020
- Hot extremes increased 5-fold globally since 1950 due to warming
- Global average temperature 2022 was 1.15°C above pre-industrial
- Warming over Europe 2023 was 2.99°C above 1850-1900 average
- Pacific Ocean temperatures hit record 21.23°C in July 2023
- Global TLT anomaly from RSS satellites was +0.75°C for 2023
- UAH v6.0 global temperature anomaly for 2023 lower troposphere was +0.48°C
- Berkeley Earth estimate for 2023 land+ocean temp anomaly +1.54°C vs 1850-1900
- HadCRUT5 dataset shows 2023 as warmest year at +1.08°C above 1961-1990
- JMA global land surface air temp anomaly 2023 +1.69°C vs 1951-1980
- NOAA global land-ocean temp index Dec 2023 +1.40°C vs 1901-2000
- GISTEMP v4 2023 annual mean +1.18°C vs 1951-1980
Rising Temperatures Interpretation
Sea Level Rise
- Global sea level rose by 21-24 cm since 1880, with 8-9 cm since 1993
- Rate of global sea level rise increased from 1.4 mm/yr (20th century) to 4.62 mm/yr (2013-2022)
- Sea level rise 101.4 mm since 1993 per satellite altimetry
- Global mean sea level in 2023 was 0.21 m above 1993 level
- Thermal expansion contributed 50% of sea level rise 1971-2018
- Glacier mass loss 21±3 mm SLE since 1994
- Greenland ice sheet contributed 17.3 mm to SLR 1992-2020
- Antarctic ice sheet loss accelerated to 150 Gt/yr 2012-2020
- Total ocean mass increase 3.7 mm/yr 2005-2020
- U.S. East Coast sea level rise 3-4 times global average
- Projections: 0.28-0.55 m SLR by 2100 under SSP1-2.6
- 2023 global MSL anomaly +101 mm vs 1993
- Gulf of Mexico SLR 17 mm/yr recent decade
- Pacific islands experienced 10 cm SLR since 1993
- Steric SLR 1.6 mm/yr 2006-2018
- Barystatic SLR from land water storage -0.3 mm/yr offset
- Venice annual flooding days increased from 9 (1966-1980) to 33 (2000-2020)
- Shanghai SLR 3.6 mm/yr 1980-2020
- Miami-Dade annual flood days from 1 (2000) to 10 (2020)
- Global tide gauge network shows 1.7 mm/yr 1900-2020, accelerating
- Argo floats confirm ocean warming drives 42% SLR since 1993
- Greenland SMB contribution -142 Gt/yr 2010-2019 to SLR
- Antarctic mass loss 2,720 Gt 1992-2017
- Mountain glaciers lost 6.5 m w.e. since 1900
- Projected SLR 0.63-1.01 m by 2100 RCP8.5
- Relative SLR Norfolk VA 4.8 mm/yr
Sea Level Rise Interpretation
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