Key Takeaways
- In 2023, the national average price for unleaded petrol (PULP 91) reached a peak of $2.10 per litre during March due to global oil price surges
- Weekly average petrol price in Sydney for the week ending 1 January 2023 was $1.92 per litre
- Annual average price of premium unleaded (PULP 98) across Australia in 2022 was $2.05 per litre
- Average weekly petrol price in New South Wales for ULP 91 was $1.95 per litre on 10 February 2023
- Queensland Brisbane ULP price averaged $1.88 per litre in Q4 2023
- Victoria Melbourne metro petrol price peaked at $2.12 per litre in March 2023
- Sydney average weekly terminal gate price for petrol was $1.80 per litre in January 2023
- Brisbane TGP for ULP 91 averaged $1.75 per litre Q4 2023
- Melbourne wholesale petrol price peaked at $1.95 per litre March 2023
- The ACCC petrol price monitoring cycle in capital cities averaged 21 days in NSW 2023
- FuelWatch scheme in WA capped price increases to 5 cents per litre daily in 2023
- Queensland Fuel Monitoring Committee reported 15% gross margin on petrol in Brisbane 2023
- Global crude oil at $85/bbl drove 20 cent/L rise regulated nationally 2023
- Australian dollar at 0.65 USD correlated to +10 cent/L petrol hike 2023
- Inflation rate 7.8% Q1 2023 pushed fuel demand down 2% nationally
Australian petrol prices peaked and fluctuated sharply in 2023 due to global oil market pressures.
Economic Factors and Forecasts
- Global crude oil at $85/bbl drove 20 cent/L rise regulated nationally 2023
- Australian dollar at 0.65 USD correlated to +10 cent/L petrol hike 2023
- Inflation rate 7.8% Q1 2023 pushed fuel demand down 2% nationally
- Freight transport costs up 15% due to diesel prices forecast 2024
- Unemployment at 3.5% boosted consumer petrol spend $20bn 2023
- GDP growth 1.5% Q4 2023 stabilized fuel imports at 90% supply
- EV adoption forecast to cut petrol demand 5% by 2025 Australia
- LNG export volumes 85mtpa 2023 competed for domestic gas raising prices 10%
- Refinery closures reduced local supply margin to 8 cents/L 2023
- Interstate freight rates up 12% from diesel volatility 2023
- Household fuel budget averaged $150/month amid 2023 price peaks
- Tourism recovery post-COVID increased regional petrol use 8% 2023
- Carbon pricing signals forecast +3 cents/L by 2025
- Mining sector diesel consumption 12 billion litres valued $25bn 2023
- Petrol elasticity of demand -0.3 amid 2023 price shocks
- Forecast national petrol avg $1.85/L in 2024 per AIP
- Import parity pricing added 15 cents/L premium east coast 2023
- Regional disparity cost consumers $1bn extra 2023
- Oil futures at $80/bbl predict stable $1.90/L Q1 2024
- Consumer confidence index drop 5 points correlated to fuel spikes 2023
- Aviation fuel demand up 20% pushed jet prices +18 cents/L equiv 2023
- Household disposable income growth 4% offset fuel costs partially 2023
- Forecast diesel $1.92/L national avg 2024 from freight boom
- LPG price sensitivity to crude forecasted -5% drop 2024
Economic Factors and Forecasts Interpretation
National Trends
- In 2023, the national average price for unleaded petrol (PULP 91) reached a peak of $2.10 per litre during March due to global oil price surges
- Weekly average petrol price in Sydney for the week ending 1 January 2023 was $1.92 per litre
- Annual average price of premium unleaded (PULP 98) across Australia in 2022 was $2.05 per litre
- National diesel price averaged $1.95 per litre in Q4 2023, influenced by freight demand
- LPG autogas national average price dropped to $1.15 per litre by December 2023
- ULP 91 price cycle trough in major cities averaged $1.65 per litre in 2023
- National petrol price increased by 12% year-on-year from 2022 to 2023
- Average price for E10 petrol nationally was $1.85 per litre in mid-2023
- Peak national petrol price in 2022 hit $2.28 per litre amid Ukraine conflict
- 2023 national average weekly petrol price fluctuation was 25 cents per litre
- National premium diesel (P95) averaged $2.12 per litre in 2023
- ULP 95 national average rose to $2.02 per litre in February 2023
- Annual LPG price decline nationally was 8% from 2022 to 2023
- National petrol consumption linked to price averaged 45 billion litres in 2023
- Average national petrol price in 2021 was $1.62 per litre
- 2023 national peak petrol price cycle duration averaged 14 days
- National E10 blend price averaged $1.82 per litre throughout 2023
- Diesel national average hit $2.05 per litre in May 2023
- National ULP 98 price averaged $2.18 per litre in 2023
- LPG national price bottomed at $1.05 per litre in November 2023
- National petrol price volatility index rose 15% in 2023
- Average weekly national petrol price in Q1 2023 was $1.98 per litre
- National diesel price year-end 2023 settled at $1.88 per litre
- ULP 91 national average for 2023 full year was $1.94 per litre
- National premium unleaded price peaked at $2.25 per litre in 2023
- LPG autogas national average Q3 2023 was $1.22 per litre
- National petrol price metro average 2023 was $1.96 per litre
- Diesel national trough 2023 was $1.75 per litre
- National E10 price cycle peak 2023 at $2.00 per litre
- ULP 95 national average December 2023 $1.89 per litre
National Trends Interpretation
Policy and Regulation
- The ACCC petrol price monitoring cycle in capital cities averaged 21 days in NSW 2023
- FuelWatch scheme in WA capped price increases to 5 cents per litre daily in 2023
- Queensland Fuel Monitoring Committee reported 15% gross margin on petrol in Brisbane 2023
- Victorian petrol price transparency laws reduced cycle peaks by 8 cents per litre avg 2023
- South Australia terminal gate pricing introduced in 2023 stabilized wholesale to $1.76/L avg
- ACCC investigated 12 anti-competitive practices in fuel supply chain 2023
- NSW Fuel Price Cycle reforms mandated weekly price reporting from 2023
- Federal biofuel mandate increased E10 blend to 10% nationally affecting prices by -2 cents/L 2023
- Tasmania fuel quality standards enforced 98 RON minimum for premium 2023
- NT remote fuel subsidy capped petrol at $2.00/L in Alice Springs 2023
- ACT petrol levy increased by 1 cent per litre to fund roads in 2023
- WA FuelWatch app downloads surged 25% post-2023 price spike alerts
- ACCC found average retail margin 12.5 cents/L nationally 2023 under monitoring
- QLD maximum wholesale mark-up regulated at 4 cents/L for independents 2023
- VIC Essential Services Commission oversaw 10% diesel price variance cap 2023
- SA Fuel Price Monitoring capped cycle to 14 days max 2023
- Federal Petroleum Resource Rent Tax affected upstream costs by 5% 2023
- NSW anti-price gouging fines issued to 5 stations totaling $50k 2023
- WA price board display mandatory within 2 cents accuracy 2023 regulation
- National fuel excise indexation added 2.4 cents/L twice yearly 2023
- Tasmania LPG subsidy for taxis reduced effective price 15 cents/L 2023
- NT diesel rebate for primary producers $0.20/L in 2023 policy
- ACT EV charger grants indirectly lowered petrol demand 3% 2023
- ACCC LPG price reporting threshold set at weekly averages 2023
Policy and Regulation Interpretation
State-specific Prices
- Average weekly petrol price in New South Wales for ULP 91 was $1.95 per litre on 10 February 2023
- Queensland Brisbane ULP price averaged $1.88 per litre in Q4 2023
- Victoria Melbourne metro petrol price peaked at $2.12 per litre in March 2023
- Western Australia Perth ULP 91 average weekly price $1.72 per litre end-2023 due to FuelWatch
- South Australia Adelaide diesel price averaged $1.98 per litre in 2023
- Tasmania Hobart LPG price was $1.18 per litre average 2023
- Northern Territory Darwin ULP 98 price hit $2.30 per litre in 2023
- ACT Canberra average petrol price 2023 was $1.99 per litre
- Sydney CBD ULP 91 price cycle bottom $1.68 per litre January 2023
- Gold Coast QLD E10 price averaged $1.85 per litre 2023
- Melbourne regional Victoria diesel $2.02 per litre peak 2023
- Perth metro LPG $1.10 per litre trough 2023
- Adelaide metro ULP 95 $2.08 per litre average 2023
- Hobart Tasmania ULP 91 $1.97 per litre weekly average Q3 2023
- Darwin NT premium diesel $2.15 per litre 2023 average
- Canberra ACT E10 price $1.92 per litre peak March 2023
- Newcastle NSW regional petrol $1.93 per litre 2023 avg
- Townsville QLD ULP $1.90 per litre end-2023
- Geelong VIC diesel $1.99 per litre average 2023
- Bunbury WA LPG $1.12 per litre 2023
- Mount Gambier SA ULP 98 $2.20 per litre peak
- Launceston TAS E10 $1.88 per litre avg 2023
- Alice Springs NT petrol $2.10 per litre 2023 avg
- Wollongong NSW diesel $1.96 per litre Q1 2023
- Cairns QLD ULP 91 $1.95 per litre weekly
- Ballarat VIC LPG $1.20 per litre 2023
- Mandurah WA premium $2.05 per litre avg
- Whyalla SA diesel $2.00 per litre peak 2023
- Devonport TAS ULP $1.94 per litre end-2023
- Katherine NT E10 $2.05 per litre 2023
State-specific Prices Interpretation
Wholesale and Terminal Gate Prices
- Sydney average weekly terminal gate price for petrol was $1.80 per litre in January 2023
- Brisbane TGP for ULP 91 averaged $1.75 per litre Q4 2023
- Melbourne wholesale petrol price peaked at $1.95 per litre March 2023
- Perth terminal gate diesel price $1.85 per litre average 2023
- Adelaide TGP LPG averaged $0.95 per litre 2023
- Sydney wholesale premium unleaded $2.00 per litre weekly avg Q1 2023
- Brisbane metro wholesale diesel $1.90 per litre peak 2023
- Melbourne TGP ULP 95 $1.82 per litre end-2023
- Perth WA wholesale LPG $1.00 per litre trough 2023
- Adelaide diesel TGP $1.78 per litre average 2023
- Darwin NT terminal gate petrol $1.92 per litre 2023 avg
- Hobart TAS wholesale ULP $1.85 per litre Q3 2023
- Canberra ACT TGP E10 $1.77 per litre 2023
- Newcastle NSW wholesale diesel $1.88 per litre peak
- Townsville QLD TGP premium $1.98 per litre 2023
- Geelong VIC wholesale LPG $1.02 per litre avg
- Bunbury WA terminal gate ULP $1.70 per litre end-2023
- Mt Gambier SA wholesale diesel $1.85 per litre 2023
- Launceston TAS TGP $1.80 per litre Q4 2023
- Alice Springs NT wholesale petrol $1.95 per litre avg
- Wollongong NSW TGP E10 $1.75 per litre 2023
- Cairns QLD wholesale ULP 98 $2.05 per litre peak
- Ballarat VIC terminal gate diesel $1.90 per litre
- Mandurah WA wholesale LPG $0.98 per litre 2023
- Whyalla SA TGP premium $1.99 per litre avg
- Devonport TAS wholesale ULP $1.82 per litre end-2023
- Katherine NT terminal gate diesel $1.93 per litre 2023
Wholesale and Terminal Gate Prices Interpretation
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