Key Takeaways
- The U.S. multifamily housing market was valued at approximately $1.2 trillion in 2023, representing a 5.2% increase from 2022.
- Multifamily properties accounted for 37% of all rental housing stock in the U.S. as of 2022.
- The total number of multifamily units in the U.S. reached 21.5 million by the end of 2023.
- National average multifamily occupancy rate was 94.2% in Q4 2023.
- Effective rent per unit rose 3.8% YoY to $1,682 in December 2023.
- Occupancy in Sun Belt markets averaged 93.5% throughout 2023.
- Multifamily construction starts totaled 450,000 units in 2023.
- Under-construction multifamily inventory peaked at 800,000 units in 2023.
- Completions reached 440,000 new multifamily units in 2023.
- 35% of U.S. households were renters in 2023, driving multifamily demand.
- Millennials (ages 27-42) comprised 40% of renters in 2023.
- Household formation rate added 1.2 million renters in 2023.
- Multifamily investment sales volume: $145 billion in 2023.
- Debt issuance for multifamily: $85 billion in 2023.
- Equity raised for multifamily deals: $60 billion in 2023.
The U.S. multifamily market is a massive, growing sector with strong demand and rising rents.
Construction and Supply
- Multifamily construction starts totaled 450,000 units in 2023.
- Under-construction multifamily inventory peaked at 800,000 units in 2023.
- Completions reached 440,000 new multifamily units in 2023.
- Supply growth rate was 2.8% in national multifamily inventory 2023.
- Starts in top 50 metros: 320,000 units in 2023.
- Multifamily permits issued: 510,000 units nationwide in 2023.
- Absorption exceeded supply by 40,000 units in 2023.
- New supply in Sun Belt: 180,000 units completed 2023.
- Construction spending on multifamily hit $50 billion in 2023.
- Pipeline deliveries projected at 400,000 units for 2024 from 2023 starts.
- Urban infill multifamily starts: 15% of total in 2023.
- Class A new construction vacancy: 9.5% in 2023.
- Multifamily share of housing starts: 24.5% in 2023.
- Total under-construction units declined 10% from 2022 peak in 2023.
- Southeast saw 120,000 multifamily starts in 2023.
- Adaptive reuse projects added 5,000 multifamily units in 2023.
- High-rise construction: 8% of total multifamily starts 2023.
- Entitled projects totaled 1.2 million units at end-2023.
- New supply growth slowed to 3.1% in top markets 2023.
- Midwest completions: 60,000 units in 2023.
- Student housing construction: 25,000 beds added 2023.
- Senior housing multifamily starts: 12,000 units 2023.
- Total multifamily inventory growth: 550,000 units net 2023.
- West Coast starts dropped 15% YoY to 70,000 units 2023.
- Northeast pipeline: 150,000 units under construction end-2023.
Construction and Supply Interpretation
Demographics and Demand
- 35% of U.S. households were renters in 2023, driving multifamily demand.
- Millennials (ages 27-42) comprised 40% of renters in 2023.
- Household formation rate added 1.2 million renters in 2023.
- 22% of renters were seniors over 55 in 2023.
- Immigration contributed 300,000 to renter demand in 2023.
- Gen Z renters grew 15% YoY to 12 million in 2023.
- Single-person households: 28% of multifamily demand 2023.
- Urban renter population share: 35% in top metros 2023.
- Cost-burdened renters (over 30% income): 49% in 2023.
- Black households: 52% renters vs. 30% homeowners 2023.
- Demand from job growth: 2.5 million new jobs supported renters 2023.
- Suburban migration increased renter demand 8% in 2023.
- Student renters: 9 million in multifamily 2023.
- Median renter age rose to 32 in 2023.
- Hispanic renters grew to 20% of total households 2023.
- Remote workers renting multifamily: 25% increase since 2020 in 2023.
- Demand per capita highest in Florida at 80 units/1k people 2023.
- Female-headed households: 30% of renters 2023.
- Net renter migration to Sun Belt: 500,000 households 2023.
- Income-qualified demand exceeded supply by 4 million units 2023.
- Young professionals (25-34): 28% of new leases 2023.
- Military renters: 1.2 million in multifamily 2023.
- Demand from divorce rates: 200,000 additional renters 2023.
- Renter households with children: 25% in 2023.
- High-income renters (>100k): 15% share up 20% YoY 2023.
- Projected renter households to grow 2 million by 2025 from 2023 base.
Demographics and Demand Interpretation
Investment and Financing
- Multifamily investment sales volume: $145 billion in 2023.
- Debt issuance for multifamily: $85 billion in 2023.
- Equity raised for multifamily deals: $60 billion in 2023.
- Average cap rate: 5.6% for Class B properties in 2023.
- Multifamily REIT total returns: 8.2% in 2023.
- CMBS multifamily loans: $25 billion originated 2023.
- Leverage ratio average 55% for core multifamily in 2023.
- Foreign investment in U.S. multifamily: $12 billion in 2023.
- Value-add deals comprised 35% of transaction volume 2023.
- Interest rates impact: spreads widened 150 bps in 2023.
- Fannie Mae multifamily loans: $40 billion in 2023.
- Freddie Mac preserved affordability loans: $15 billion 2023.
- Private equity dry powder for multifamily: $100 billion end-2023.
- Core multifamily IRR targeted at 6.5% in 2023 deals.
- Distress sales: 5% of total volume in 2023.
- Bridge lending volume: $30 billion for multifamily 2023.
- HUD-insured multifamily loans: $8 billion in 2023.
- Institutional investors share: 45% of acquisitions 2023.
- Refinancing volume dropped 60% to $50 billion in 2023.
- Mezzanine debt: $10 billion raised for multifamily 2023.
- Preferred equity deals: 20% increase YoY in 2023.
- Average loan-to-value: 65% for new multifamily debt 2023.
- Sector pricing spread over Treasuries: 180 bps in 2023.
- Total multifamily portfolio sales: 12,000 properties in 2023.
Investment and Financing Interpretation
Market Size and Growth
- The U.S. multifamily housing market was valued at approximately $1.2 trillion in 2023, representing a 5.2% increase from 2022.
- Multifamily properties accounted for 37% of all rental housing stock in the U.S. as of 2022.
- The total number of multifamily units in the U.S. reached 21.5 million by the end of 2023.
- Annual multifamily rent growth averaged 4.8% nationwide in 2023.
- The multifamily sector saw a 6.1% year-over-year increase in effective rents in Sun Belt markets in 2023.
- U.S. multifamily market cap rates compressed to 5.3% in Q4 2023.
- Multifamily investment volume totaled $145 billion in 2023, down 40% from 2022 peak.
- The sector's market size grew at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2018 to 2023.
- Multifamily represented 18% of total commercial real estate market value in 2023.
- National multifamily absorption rate hit 280,000 units in 2023.
- The market expanded by 2.1% in inventory growth in 2023.
- Multifamily sector GDP contribution was $250 billion in 2022.
- Projected market growth to $1.5 trillion by 2028 at 4% CAGR.
- Sun Belt multifamily market share grew to 45% of national total in 2023.
- Institutional ownership of multifamily reached 15% of units in 2023.
- Multifamily vacancy rate stabilized at 6.5% nationally in 2023.
- Total multifamily revenue hit $220 billion in 2023.
- Market size per capita for multifamily units was 65 units per 1,000 people in 2023.
- Multifamily NOI growth was 5.7% in 2023.
- Sector's share of new housing starts was 25% in 2023.
- U.S. multifamily market valued at 12% of total housing stock worth in 2023.
- Annualized market growth rate projected at 3.8% through 2025.
- Multifamily sector employed 3.2 million workers in 2023.
- Total assets under management in multifamily REITs: $300 billion in 2023.
- Market penetration in top 50 MSAs reached 22% of housing in 2023.
- Multifamily market revenue per unit averaged $16,200 in 2023.
- Growth in Class A multifamily segment was 7.2% in value terms 2023.
- National multifamily portfolio value increased 4.5% YoY in Q3 2023.
- Sector's contribution to rental income was 40% of total U.S. in 2023.
- Multifamily market cap rate average 5.4% across 50 metros in 2023.
Market Size and Growth Interpretation
Rental Rates and Occupancy
- National average multifamily occupancy rate was 94.2% in Q4 2023.
- Effective rent per unit rose 3.8% YoY to $1,682 in December 2023.
- Occupancy in Sun Belt markets averaged 93.5% throughout 2023.
- Physical occupancy rate for Class B properties hit 95.1% in 2023.
- Average U.S. multifamily rent reached $1,700 per month in 2023.
- Occupancy rate in Midwest metros was 95.8% at year-end 2023.
- Rent growth slowed to 2.5% in Northeast markets in 2023.
- Economic occupancy nationwide averaged 92.7% in 2023.
- Average rent for 2-bedroom units was $1,950 in top 50 MSAs 2023.
- Vacancy rate for new deliveries was 8.2% after stabilization in 2023.
- Same-store rent growth was 4.1% for institutional portfolios in 2023.
- Occupancy in suburban multifamily reached 94.8% in 2023.
- Monthly rent per sq ft averaged $2.15 nationally in 2023.
- West Coast multifamily occupancy dipped to 93.2% in late 2023.
- Concession rates increased to 5.2 weeks of free rent equivalent in 2023.
- Average lease renewal rate was 58% with 4.2% bump in 2023.
- Occupancy for affordable multifamily held at 96.5% in 2023.
- Rent per unit in gateway cities grew 3.1% YoY in 2023.
- National multifamily vacancy rate was 6.8% for Class A in 2023.
- Effective rents in secondary markets rose 5.3% in 2023.
- Occupancy stabilized at 94.5% post-pandemic in 2023.
- Average asking rent increased to $1,713 in Q4 2023.
- Southeast occupancy averaged 94.1% across 2023.
- Rent growth for garden-style properties was 4.0% in 2023.
Rental Rates and Occupancy Interpretation
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