Key Takeaways
- As of Q2 2024, total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding reached $12.61 trillion, marking a 4.2% year-over-year increase.
- In Q1 2023, U.S. mortgage debt held by households stood at $11.92 trillion, up 3.8% from the previous year.
- Mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP was 52.3% in 2023, the highest since 2008.
- Overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans was 3.97% at the end of Q4 2023, up 12 basis points from the previous quarter.
- Seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days) stood at 1.37% in Q1 2024.
- Mortgage delinquency rate rose to 4.04% in Q1 2024 from 3.82% YoY.
- Average mortgage balance per borrower was $252,000 in Q4 2023.
- Median mortgage debt per household: $180,500 as of 2022 Census data.
- Average outstanding mortgage balance grew 4% to $244,498 in 2023.
- Total mortgage originations reached $1.5 trillion in 2023.
- Purchase mortgage originations: $1.04 trillion in 2023, down 30% YoY.
- Refinance originations dropped to $462 billion in 2023.
- Foreclosure starts increased 10% YoY to 52,000 in Q4 2023.
- Active foreclosure inventory: 0.34% of all mortgages in Q1 2024.
- Completed foreclosures: 81,000 properties in 2023.
U.S. mortgage debt hit record highs as delinquencies began to rise.
Aggregate Debt Levels
- As of Q2 2024, total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding reached $12.61 trillion, marking a 4.2% year-over-year increase.
- In Q1 2023, U.S. mortgage debt held by households stood at $11.92 trillion, up 3.8% from the previous year.
- Mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP was 52.3% in 2023, the highest since 2008.
- Total first-lien mortgage debt grew by $344 billion in 2023 to $12.25 trillion.
- By end-2022, outstanding home-secured debt totaled $12.08 trillion, with a quarterly increase of 1.1%.
- U.S. mortgage debt service payments reached $1.2 trillion annually in 2023.
- Total mortgage balances increased 5.1% year-over-year to $12.44 trillion in Q4 2023.
- Residential mortgage debt outstanding hit $12.5 trillion in March 2024.
- Mortgage debt grew by 4.7% in 2022, reaching $11.9 trillion.
- As of Q3 2023, total U.S. mortgage debt was $12.35 trillion, up from $11.8 trillion in 2022.
- Household mortgage debt balance was $11.84 trillion in Q4 2022.
- Total secured by 1-4 family residences: $12.17 trillion as of Dec 2023.
- Mortgage debt outstanding increased $500 billion YoY to $12.4T in mid-2023.
- By Q1 2024, U.S. mortgage debt totaled $12.58T, a record high.
- Annual growth in mortgage debt was 3.5% in 2023 to $12.3T.
- Total mortgage debt peaked at $12.62T in Q2 2024.
- Mortgage debt share of total household debt: 70.2% in 2023.
- $12.25T in mortgage debt reported in Urban Institute's Q4 2023 data.
- Year-end 2023 mortgage debt: $12.44 trillion per CoreLogic.
- Fed data shows $12.1T mortgage debt in early 2023.
Aggregate Debt Levels Interpretation
Average Balances
- Average mortgage balance per borrower was $252,000 in Q4 2023.
- Median mortgage debt per household: $180,500 as of 2022 Census data.
- Average outstanding mortgage balance grew 4% to $244,498 in 2023.
- Mean mortgage debt for homeowners: $208,100 in 2021.
- Average first mortgage balance: $259,000 per TransUnion Q3 2023.
- Home equity line average balance: $12,400 in Q1 2024.
- Average mortgage per millennial borrower: $235,000 in 2023.
- Jumbo mortgage average balance: $650,000+ in 2023.
- FHA average loan balance: $280,000 as of 2024.
- Average refinanced mortgage balance: $290,100 in Q2 2023.
- Per household mortgage debt averaged $156,000 in 2022.
- Average VA mortgage balance: $295,500 end-2023.
- Prime borrower average mortgage: $270,000 Q4 2023.
- Subprime average balance: $165,000 in 2023 data.
- Average HELOC balance outstanding: $18,700 per borrower 2023.
- National average mortgage debt per mortgaged household: $242,000 Q1 2024.
- Average balance for conventional loans: $255,000 in 2023.
Average Balances Interpretation
Delinquency Rates
- Overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans was 3.97% at the end of Q4 2023, up 12 basis points from the previous quarter.
- Seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days) stood at 1.37% in Q1 2024.
- Mortgage delinquency rate rose to 4.04% in Q1 2024 from 3.82% YoY.
- 30-day delinquencies for mortgages were 2.58% in Q4 2023.
- FHA loan delinquency rate was 10.88% as of February 2024.
- VA mortgage delinquencies hit 4.69% in Q4 2023.
- Conventional loan delinquency rate: 2.68% in Q1 2024.
- Subprime mortgage delinquency reached 8.5% in late 2023.
- Overall seriously delinquent rate for mortgages: 0.89% in Q3 2023.
- Mortgage loans 60+ days delinquent: 2.1% in March 2024 per Black Knight.
- Delinquency rate for prime mortgages was 2.4% in Q2 2023.
- Jumbo mortgage delinquency: 1.12% as of Q4 2023.
- GSE mortgage delinquency rate fell to 1.3% in 2023.
- Adjustable-rate mortgage delinquency: 1.8% in Q1 2024.
- Fixed-rate delinquency steady at 2.9% YoY in 2023.
- Early-stage delinquencies (30-59 days) for mortgages: 1.64% Q4 2023.
- National mortgage delinquency up 5 bps to 3.92% in Q3 2023.
- Percent of mortgages seriously delinquent: 1.4% end-2023.
Delinquency Rates Interpretation
Foreclosure Stats
- Foreclosure starts increased 10% YoY to 52,000 in Q4 2023.
- Active foreclosure inventory: 0.34% of all mortgages in Q1 2024.
- Completed foreclosures: 81,000 properties in 2023.
- Foreclosure rate: 0.26% in March 2024 per Black Knight.
- Serious delinquency leading to foreclosure: 0.9% Q4 2023.
- States with highest foreclosure rates: Delaware 0.52% in 2023.
- Judicial foreclosure states saw 15% rise in starts 2023.
- Pre-foreclosure properties: 215,000 nationwide Q1 2024.
- FHA foreclosure completions: 25,000 in FY2023.
- VA foreclosure rate: 0.15% lowest among sectors 2023.
- Non-judicial foreclosures averaged 28 days in 2023.
- Foreclosure auctions: 45,000 in Q4 2023.
- Serious delinquency rate (proxy for foreclosure risk): 1.38% Q2 2024.
- Total foreclosures prevented via modifications: 1.2M since 2020.
- Foreclosure sales as % of all sales: 0.4% in 2023.
- Illinois foreclosure starts: 1 in 2,500 homes Q1 2024.
Foreclosure Stats Interpretation
Origination Trends
- Total mortgage originations reached $1.5 trillion in 2023.
- Purchase mortgage originations: $1.04 trillion in 2023, down 30% YoY.
- Refinance originations dropped to $462 billion in 2023.
- Q4 2023 mortgage applications fell 8% YoY per MBA.
- 2024 forecasted originations: $1.6 trillion total.
- FHA originations: 12% of market volume in 2023 at $180B.
- VA purchase loans originated: $120 billion in FY2023.
- Conventional conforming originations: 70% market share 2023.
- Jumbo originations declined 25% to $150B in 2023.
- ARM originations surged to 10% of total in Q4 2023.
- New mortgage originations per 100k population: 450 in 2023.
- Cash-out refinance volume: $200B in 2023.
- Rate/term refinance: under 5% of originations 2023.
- Total 2022 originations: $2.2 trillion, 45% drop from 2021.
- Q1 2024 originations: $380B, lowest in decades.
- GSE-backed originations: $1.1T in 2023.
- Non-QM originations: $50B in 2023, up 20%.
- Mortgage applications index: 180.5 in Jan 2024, down 18% YoY.
Origination Trends Interpretation
Sources & References
- Reference 1FEDERALRESERVEfederalreserve.govVisit source
- Reference 2NEWYORKFEDnewyorkfed.orgVisit source
- Reference 3FREDfred.stlouisfed.orgVisit source
- Reference 4URBANurban.orgVisit source
- Reference 5MORTGAGEBANKERSmortgagebankers.orgVisit source
- Reference 6CORELOGICcorelogic.comVisit source
- Reference 7SCOTSMANGUIDEscotsmanguide.comVisit source
- Reference 8ATTOMDATAattomdata.comVisit source
- Reference 9INSIDE-MORTGAGE-FINANCEinside-mortgage-finance.comVisit source
- Reference 10HOUSINGWIREhousingwire.comVisit source
- Reference 11TRANSUNIONtransunion.comVisit source
- Reference 12MBAmba.orgVisit source
- Reference 13BLACKKNIGHTINCblackknightinc.comVisit source
- Reference 14FREDDIEMACfreddiemac.comVisit source
- Reference 15HOMEhome.treasury.govVisit source
- Reference 16INSIDEinside.comVisit source
- Reference 17CENSUScensus.govVisit source
- Reference 18EXPERIANexperian.comVisit source
- Reference 19BANKRATEbankrate.comVisit source
- Reference 20LENDINGTREElendingtree.comVisit source
- Reference 21HUDUSERhuduser.govVisit source
- Reference 22BENEFITSbenefits.va.govVisit source
- Reference 23EQUIFAXequifax.comVisit source
- Reference 24OPTIMASoptimas.comVisit source
- Reference 25HUDhud.govVisit source
- Reference 26FANNIEMAEfanniemae.comVisit source
- Reference 27NATIONALMORTGAGENEWSnationalmortgagenews.comVisit source
- Reference 28REALTYTRACrealtytrac.comVisit source
- Reference 29VAva.govVisit source
- Reference 30ALTAalta.orgVisit source
- Reference 31OCCocc.govVisit source
- Reference 32NARnar.realtorVisit source






