Key Takeaways
- In Q2 2024, the US median home sales price rose to $417,700, up 4.2% year-over-year, making it 7.3 times the median household income.
- The Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased by 5.8% in May 2024 compared to May 2023, reaching 318.4 points.
- Zillow's Observed Home Value Index hit $357,000 nationally in June 2024, a 2.7% YoY gain amid affordability challenges.
- The median rent for a one-bedroom apartment in the US reached $1,487 in August 2024, up 2.5% YoY.
- National average rent was $1,721 per month in Q2 2024 per Rent.com, a 1.8% increase from 2023.
- Zumper's National Rent Report for August 2024: median rent $1,694, flat YoY but up 20% from 2021.
- The US housing affordability index fell to 91.8 in Q2 2024, the lowest since 1985, per NAR.
- Harvard JCHS's 2024 affordability index shows only 22.2% of metros affordable for median income.
- Demographia's 2024 International Housing Affordability Survey: US median price-to-income ratio 4.1.
- US median household income was $74,580 in 2023, while qualifying mortgage income needed $112,000.
- Pew Research 2024: 42% of US adults say can't afford home in their area due to income-prices gap.
- In 2023, median renter income $43,000 vs $1,400 rent, 32% burden per Census.
- US active single-family inventory was 410,000 homes in July 2024, 3.3 months supply.
- NAR's July 2024: existing-home inventory up 20% YoY to 1.32 million units, still low.
- New home inventory at 481,000 units in July 2024, 8.9 months supply per Census.
Housing prices and rents continue to rise, straining affordability and stretching household budgets.
Affordability Ratios
- The US housing affordability index fell to 91.8 in Q2 2024, the lowest since 1985, per NAR.
- Harvard JCHS's 2024 affordability index shows only 22.2% of metros affordable for median income.
- Demographia's 2024 International Housing Affordability Survey: US median price-to-income ratio 4.1.
- In 2023, the national home price-to-income ratio reached 5.6, per National Association of Realtors.
- Urban Institute's 2024 data: affordability gap requires 120% AMI for homeownership in many areas.
- The rent-to-income ratio nationally averaged 28.5% in 2023 per Census.
- Moody's 2024 Housing Affordability Index at 18.5, down from 25 in 2020.
- In Q1 2024, NAR's affordability index was 100.2, meaning median income covers median home at 25% costs.
- Joint Center for Housing Studies reports price-to-income ratio hit 5.2 in 2023 for US.
- Redfin's affordability measure: homes affordable to 18% of households in 2024 vs 33% in 2020.
- The 30% affordability threshold: 15.7 million renter households cost-burdened in 2022 per HUD.
- National Low Income Housing Coalition's 2024 Out of Reach: no county affordable for min wage worker.
- In 2023, homeownership affordability required $102,000 income nationally per Redfin.
- Zillow's affordability index dropped to 42 in 2024, lowest in decades.
- Census ACS 2022: price-to-rent ratio nationally 22.1, indicating buy vs rent decision.
- Attom's 2023 seriously underwater homes at 1.2%, but affordability strained by payments.
- First American's 2024 affordability index at 102 for Q2, barely affordable.
Affordability Ratios Interpretation
Home Price Indices
- In Q2 2024, the US median home sales price rose to $417,700, up 4.2% year-over-year, making it 7.3 times the median household income.
- The Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased by 5.8% in May 2024 compared to May 2023, reaching 318.4 points.
- Zillow's Observed Home Value Index hit $357,000 nationally in June 2024, a 2.7% YoY gain amid affordability challenges.
- FHFA House Price Index for Q1 2024 showed a 6.3% annual increase, with the national index at 432.5.
- In 2023, US home prices appreciated by 5.1% on average, per the All-Transactions House Price Index from FRED.
- Redfin's Home Price Index reported a median US sale price of $431,000 in July 2024, up 1.4% YoY.
- CoreLogic's Home Price Insights for May 2024 indicated a 5.2% YoY rise to a national average of $390,000.
- The national median listing price on Realtor.com was $440,000 in July 2024, 30% above pre-pandemic levels.
- S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Index rose 6.2% YoY in June 2024 to 322.1.
- US home values grew by 1.5% in the past year per Zillow, with typical value at $347,627 as of August 2024.
- In 2023, average US home price was $417,700 per NAR, affordability at 40-year low.
- Freddie Mac's Conventional Conforming 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Index-linked prices up 4.9% in H1 2024.
- Black Knight's Home Monthly Index showed 5.4% YoY price growth in June 2024.
- Attom Data's Q2 2024 report: median home sales price $403,700, up 2.7% YoY.
- First American's Real House Price Index declined 1.2% in Q2 2024 due to rising incomes outpacing prices slightly.
- In 2022, US median home price surged 10% to $392,900 amid low inventory.
- Moody's Analytics Home Price Index for US was up 4.1% YoY in July 2024.
- National Association of Home Builders' pricing data shows new home median $407,500 in June 2024.
- Trulia's July 2024 index: typical home value $362,000, up 2.1% YoY.
- FNC Residential Price Index rose 5.0% YoY in May 2024.
- In Q1 2024, median US home price per Census was $417,700, 4.8% above Q1 2023.
- Veros RealtyTrac Q2 2024: average sales price $418,000, up 3.2%.
Home Price Indices Interpretation
Income vs Housing Costs
- US median household income was $74,580 in 2023, while qualifying mortgage income needed $112,000.
- Pew Research 2024: 42% of US adults say can't afford home in their area due to income-prices gap.
- In 2023, median renter income $43,000 vs $1,400 rent, 32% burden per Census.
- Federal Reserve's 2023 SHED: 37% of adults skipped needs due to housing costs exceeding income growth.
- BLS data: housing costs rose 5.2% in 2023 while wages up 4.1%, squeezing affordability.
- Urban Institute 2024: Black households need 2.5x white median income for same home.
- Median income for homeowners $112,000 vs renters $45,000 in 2023 per NAR.
- Harvard JCHS 2024 SHMA: cost-burdened households rose to 49.7 million, income lagging costs.
- In 2022, 22.4 million households spent >30% income on housing, per Census ASEC.
- Moody's 2024: income growth 3.8% vs home price 5.2%, affordability down 15%.
- Redfin 2024: $100k income buys 40% less home than in 2020 due to rates/income stasis.
- Joint Economic Committee 2023: housing costs consume 34% of median income vs 28% in 2001.
- In Q2 2024, mortgage payment on median home 35% of median income per NAR.
- Census 2023: real median household income $77,719, up 4% but housing up 6%.
- National Housing Conference 2024: gap between income growth (3%) and rents (4.5%) widens.
Income vs Housing Costs Interpretation
International Comparisons
- Canada Toronto price-to-income 9.7 in 2024, worst North America.
- Australia Sydney median multiple 13.8, grossly unaffordable per Demographia.
- UK London house price to earnings 9.3 in 2023 per ONS.
- Hong Kong affordability ratio 19.8 in 2024, world's worst.
- Germany median price-to-income 8.7 in major cities 2023.
- India Mumbai ratio 25.1, extremely unaffordable.
- New Zealand Auckland 10.2 multiple in 2024.
- Spain Madrid rents up 10% YoY to €1,200, burden 40%.
- France Paris price-to-income 14.5 in 2023.
- Japan Tokyo ratio 12.2, high but stable.
International Comparisons Interpretation
Regional Variations
- In California, median home price $815,000 in July 2024, 9.2x median income.
- New York metro median sales price $670,000 in Q2 2024, affordability index 45.
- Texas average rent $1,595 in 2024, up 5% YoY, straining young families.
- Florida home prices median $415,000 June 2024, 6.1x income per Demographia.
- Midwest affordability best: Minneapolis price-to-income 3.2 in 2024.
- Northeast rent burden 35% of income in Boston, highest regional per HUD.
- Southwest: Phoenix median home $435,000, up 4% YoY July 2024.
- Southeast: Atlanta rents $1,795 median, 30% income share.
- West Coast: Seattle affordability index 68 in Q2 2024 per NAR regional.
- Mountain West: Denver price-to-income 5.8, severely unaffordable.
- Pacific: San Francisco median $1.3M, 10.5x income 2024.
- South: Nashville homes $430,000 median, rent $1,700.
- Midwest: Chicago 2-bed rent $2,100, burden 32% income.
- Northeast: Philadelphia affordability better at 4.1 ratio.
Regional Variations Interpretation
Rent Levels
- The median rent for a one-bedroom apartment in the US reached $1,487 in August 2024, up 2.5% YoY.
- National average rent was $1,721 per month in Q2 2024 per Rent.com, a 1.8% increase from 2023.
- Zumper's National Rent Report for August 2024: median rent $1,694, flat YoY but up 20% from 2021.
- Apartment List's September 2024 report: US median rent $1,505, down 0.4% YoY after peaking.
- Realtor.com's July 2024 Rental Report: national median rent $1,999, up 3.2% YoY for single-family homes.
- RentCafe's 2024 data: average US rent $1,721, with 1-bedrooms at $1,503.
- CoreLogic's Single-Family Rental Index rose 3.5% YoY to $2,300 median in Q2 2024.
- In 2023, national median gross rent was $1,367 per Census ACS data.
- Redfin's August 2024 rent data: typical US rent $1,640, down 1% YoY.
- HUD's 2023 Fair Market Rents: 2-bedroom national average $1,484.
- Zillow's Observed Rent Index: $1,978 for all homes in July 2024, up 1.2% YoY.
- Attom Data Q2 2024: average single-family rent $2,098, up 4.1% YoY.
- National multifamily vacancy rate influenced rents, median $1,650 in H1 2024 per NMHC.
- Rent prices for studios averaged $1,384 nationally in 2024 per Rent.com.
- 3-bedroom rents hit $2,036 median in August 2024, up 2.8% YoY per Zumper.
- US rent growth slowed to 0.9% YoY in Q3 2024 per RealPage Analytics.
- Median rent in top 50 metros was $1,800 in July 2024, per Apartment List.
- Single-family home rents rose 4.5% to $2,100 average in 2023 per CoreLogic.
Rent Levels Interpretation
Supply and Demand Metrics
- US active single-family inventory was 410,000 homes in July 2024, 3.3 months supply.
- NAR's July 2024: existing-home inventory up 20% YoY to 1.32 million units, still low.
- New home inventory at 481,000 units in July 2024, 8.9 months supply per Census.
- Multifamily housing starts fell 20% YoY in H1 2024 to 300,000 units per Census.
- Zillow 2024: for-sale inventory 15.6% below normal, driving price pressure.
- Builder confidence index at 42 in August 2024, lowest since 2020 per NAHB.
- Under-construction homes: 579,000 single-family in Q2 2024, down 5% YoY.
- Rental vacancy rate 6.8% in Q2 2024, up from 6.6% per Census.
- Homeowner vacancy rate steady at 0.9% in 2023, tight market per Census.
- Permits for new single-family homes: 927,000 annualized in July 2024, up 3%.
- Redfin: homes sold in 2 weeks median in July 2024, 44% over asking.
- CoreLogic 2024: months' supply at 3.1 for sales, historically low.
- Completions of new single-family homes: 1.01 million annualized Q2 2024.
- Zillow rental inventory up 10% YoY but still 20% below pre-pandemic.
- NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI: lot supply tight, 60% builders report shortages.
- Attom Q2 2024: institutional investors bought 16% of single-family homes.
- Pending home sales up 5.2% in June 2024 but inventory lags demand.
- Multifamily vacancy 7.1% national average in Q2 2024 per CBRE.
Supply and Demand Metrics Interpretation
Sources & References
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