Key Takeaways
- In 2023, China's baijiu production volume reached 7.92 million kiloliters, accounting for 70% of global spirits production
- Baijiu output in Sichuan province, the largest producer, was 3.45 million kiloliters in 2022, representing 43% of national total
- China's total alcohol production including beer and wine hit 52.3 billion liters in 2023, up 4.1% YoY
- In 2023, urban Chinese consumers drank 8.2 liters of baijiu per capita annually
- Total alcohol consumption volume in China was 55.1 billion liters in 2023, up 3.8% YoY
- Baijiu sales value reached RMB 677 billion in 2023, 6.5% growth
- Baijiu market size in China was valued at RMB 720 billion in 2023
- Total alcohol industry revenue reached RMB 1.05 trillion in 2023, up 7.2%
- Top 100 baijiu brands revenue totaled RMB 550 billion in 2023
- China baijiu exports volume reached 450,000 kiloliters in 2023, up 15%
- Baijiu exports value RMB 5.2 billion in 2023, to over 100 countries
- Beer exports from China totaled 1.2 million kl in 2023, mainly to Asia
- China's baijiu market projected to grow at 5.8% CAGR to RMB 950 billion by 2028
- Total alcohol consumption expected to reach 62 billion liters by 2027, up 2.5% CAGR
- Premium baijiu segment to grow 10% annually through 2025
China's immense baijiu production dominates its steadily growing alcohol industry and consumer market.
Consumption
- In 2023, urban Chinese consumers drank 8.2 liters of baijiu per capita annually
- Total alcohol consumption volume in China was 55.1 billion liters in 2023, up 3.8% YoY
- Baijiu sales value reached RMB 677 billion in 2023, 6.5% growth
- Beer consumption per capita in China was 32 liters in 2023
- High-end baijiu (RMB 1000+ /bottle) consumption grew 12% to RMB 150 billion in 2023
- Online alcohol sales in China hit RMB 250 billion in 2023, 22% YoY increase
- Gen Z (18-25) alcohol consumption frequency was 2.1 times/week in 2023 survey
- Baijiu consumption in banquets accounted for 45% of total in 2023
- Wine consumption volume reached 1.8 billion liters in 2023, up 8%
- Low-alcohol beverage consumption surged 35% to 5 billion liters in 2023
- Rural alcohol expenditure per capita was RMB 450 in 2023, 70% on baijiu
- Cocktail consumption in bars grew 28% YoY, 1.2 billion servings in 2023
- Beer sales in off-trade channels were 65% of total consumption in 2023
- Female alcohol consumers rose to 35% of total in 2023, preferring wine and beer
- Baijiu home consumption increased 18% post-COVID in 2023
- Average spend on alcohol per consumer was RMB 1,200 annually in 2023
- Ready-to-drink (RTD) alcohol sales volume hit 2.5 billion cans in 2023
- Alcohol consumption during Chinese New Year 2023 was 1.2 billion liters
- Baijiu trial consumption in stores reached 15 million tastings in 2023
- Non-alcoholic beer consumption grew 45% to 800 million liters in 2023
- Premium beer consumption share rose to 25% of total in 2023
- Baijiu gifting volume was 500 million bottles during holidays in 2023
- Urban millennial consumption skewed to craft beer, 40% preference in 2023
- Alcohol delivery orders via apps exceeded 1 billion in 2023
- Per capita spirits consumption in China was 7.5 liters pure alcohol equivalent in 2023
- Import wine consumption dominated by Bordeaux at 22% share in 2023
- Baijiu low-degree variants consumption up 25% to 1.5 million kl in 2023
- Total alcohol ad spend influenced consumption growth by 10% in 2023
- In Q4 2023, monthly alcohol consumption averaged 4.2 liters per adult urbanite
Consumption Interpretation
Exports/Imports
- China baijiu exports volume reached 450,000 kiloliters in 2023, up 15%
- Baijiu exports value RMB 5.2 billion in 2023, to over 100 countries
- Beer exports from China totaled 1.2 million kl in 2023, mainly to Asia
- Wine exports value RMB 1.8 billion in 2023, up 12%
- Moutai exported 2.5 million bottles in 2023, revenue RMB 1.2 billion
- Yellow wine exports grew 20% to 15,000 tons in 2023
- Imported spirits volume 250,000 kl in 2023, value RMB 25 billion
- Whisky imports to China RMB 8 billion in 2023, 18% growth
- Wine imports totaled 1.65 billion liters in 2023, down 2% volume but up 5% value
- Beer imports value RMB 3.5 billion in 2023, from Europe and US
- Baijiu export to US reached 50,000 kl in 2023
- EU-China alcohol trade deficit for China RMB 20 billion in 2023
- Fenjiu exports doubled to RMB 500 million in 2023
- RTD exports from China 300 million cans in 2023
- Imported cognac volume 80,000 kl in 2023
- Baijiu OEM exports for foreign brands 100,000 kl in 2023
- Wine export growth to Belt and Road countries 25% in 2023
- Tariff revenue on alcohol imports RMB 15 billion in 2023
- Baijiu export certification to 50 new markets in 2023
- Imported premium whisky share 60% of spirits imports value in 2023
- China beer exports to ASEAN RMB 2 billion in 2023
- Bulk wine imports 200 million liters in 2023 for blending
- Luzhou Laojiao export revenue RMB 800 million in 2023
- Alcohol free trade zone exports up 30% in Shanghai FTZ 2023
- Imported rum and tequila grew 22% to RMB 2 billion in 2023
- Baijiu re-exports from Hong Kong 20,000 kl in 2023
- Total alcohol trade balance deficit RMB 45 billion in 2023
- Wuliangye overseas revenue RMB 1.5 billion in 2023
Exports/Imports Interpretation
Market Size
- Baijiu market size in China was valued at RMB 720 billion in 2023
- Total alcohol industry revenue reached RMB 1.05 trillion in 2023, up 7.2%
- Top 100 baijiu brands revenue totaled RMB 550 billion in 2023
- Beer market revenue was RMB 280 billion in 2023
- Wine market valued at RMB 120 billion in 2023, with 40% premium segment
- E-commerce alcohol market share hit 25% of total revenue in 2023
- Moutai revenue RMB 147 billion in 2023, 19% YoY growth
- Wuliangye revenue RMB 83.9 billion in 2023, up 17%
- Yanghe Brewery revenue RMB 32 billion from baijiu in 2023
- Luzhou Laojiao revenue RMB 27 billion in 2023
- Fenjiu revenue RMB 15.3 billion in 2023, 20% growth
- Alcohol industry profit margin averaged 22% in 2023, highest for baijiu at 45%
- Number of alcohol retail outlets exceeded 5 million in 2023
- Baijiu market concentration (CR5) reached 35% in 2023
- Premium segment (>RMB500/bottle) held 28% revenue share in 2023
- Beer industry EBITDA was RMB 45 billion in 2023
- Wine import market size RMB 35 billion in 2023
- Alcohol tourism revenue from distilleries RMB 10 billion in 2023
- Brand value of top baijiu Moutai at RMB 2.8 trillion in 2023
- Mid-range baijiu (RMB100-500) revenue RMB 300 billion in 2023
- RTD market revenue RMB 15 billion, 30% growth in 2023
- Alcohol packaging market for China valued RMB 50 billion in 2023
- Distillery real estate value totaled RMB 500 billion in 2023
- Baijiu IPOs raised RMB 20 billion in 2023
- Alcohol supply chain value added RMB 300 billion in 2023
- Tax revenue from alcohol industry RMB 250 billion in 2023
- Liquor retail chain revenue RMB 400 billion in 2023
- Craft spirits market size RMB 8 billion in 2023, up 40%
Market Size Interpretation
Production
- In 2023, China's baijiu production volume reached 7.92 million kiloliters, accounting for 70% of global spirits production
- Baijiu output in Sichuan province, the largest producer, was 3.45 million kiloliters in 2022, representing 43% of national total
- China's total alcohol production including beer and wine hit 52.3 billion liters in 2023, up 4.1% YoY
- Moutai brand produced 28,500 tons of feitian maotai in 2023, a record high with 15% growth
- Luzhou Laojiao's base liquor production capacity expanded to 120,000 tons annually by end-2023
- Wuliangye's production of core five-grain baijiu reached 400,000 tons in 2023
- Shanxi Fenjiu produced 85,000 tons of Qinghua Fen aroma baijiu in 2023, up 12%
- Total sorghum consumption for baijiu production in China was 12.5 million tons in 2022
- China's craft distillery production grew to 150,000 kiloliters in 2023, 25% YoY increase
- Beer production volume in China was 37.2 billion liters in 2023, down 1.5% from 2022
- Wine production in China reached 1.45 billion liters in 2023, with 60% from domestic grapes
- Yellow wine production totaled 680,000 tons in 2023, mainly in Zhejiang province
- Baijiu enterprises numbered 1,682 in China as of 2023, down 5% from prior year
- High-end baijiu production capacity utilization rate was 92% in 2023
- Automated production lines in baijiu factories increased to 45% by 2023
- In 2023, per capita alcohol production in China was 37 liters, highest in spirits category
- Rice wine production in Guangdong hit 120,000 tons in 2023
- China's organic baijiu production volume was 50,000 kiloliters in 2023, up 30%
- Distillery wastewater treatment capacity reached 95% compliance in 2023
- Baijiu raw material innovation led to 15 new strains in 2023 production
- Total investment in baijiu production facilities was RMB 120 billion in 2023
- China's baijiu production energy efficiency improved by 18% from 2020 to 2023
- Small-scale baijiu producers output 20% of total volume in 2023
- Hefei guojiao produced 25,000 tons in 2023
- Langjiu group's production capacity hit 100,000 tons annually in 2023
- Total baijiu fermentation pits in China exceeded 200,000 in 2023
- Beer malt production for domestic use was 28 million tons in 2023
- Wine grape acreage expanded to 850,000 hectares in 2023, yielding 13.5 million tons
- Baijiu bottling automation rate reached 75% in top 100 producers in 2023
- China's alcohol production PMI averaged 52.3 in 2023, indicating expansion
Production Interpretation
Trends/Forecasts
- China's baijiu market projected to grow at 5.8% CAGR to RMB 950 billion by 2028
- Total alcohol consumption expected to reach 62 billion liters by 2027, up 2.5% CAGR
- Premium baijiu segment to grow 10% annually through 2025
- Low/no alcohol beverages market to hit RMB 100 billion by 2025, 25% CAGR
- Beer market decline projected at -1% CAGR to 2028 due to health trends
- Wine consumption forecast 2.2 billion liters by 2027, 4% CAGR
- E-commerce alcohol sales to reach 35% market share by 2025
- Gen Z driving 15% rise in flavored baijiu by 2026
- Craft beer production to triple to 1 billion liters by 2028
- Baijiu exports projected RMB 10 billion by 2027, 12% CAGR
- Health-conscious consumption to reduce pure alcohol intake by 5% by 2025
- RTD market CAGR 20% to RMB 50 billion by 2028
- Baijiu production capacity to stabilize at 9 million kl by 2025
- Imported wine value up 6% CAGR to RMB 50 billion by 2027
- Sustainability investments in alcohol industry to RMB 50 billion by 2025
- Cocktail bar numbers to double to 10,000 by 2026
- Baijiu digital marketing spend up 30% YoY to 2025
- Rural premiumization trend lifts mid-high baijiu 8% CAGR to 2028
- AI in baijiu production adoption 50% by 2027
- Female consumer share to 45% by 2028
- Alcohol subscription services users to 50 million by 2025
- Baijiu NFT and metaverse sales projected RMB 1 billion by 2025
- Zero-sugar alcohol variants 20% market by 2027
- Distillery tourism visitors 100 million annually by 2028
- Baijiu consolidation to top 50 firms 70% share by 2025
- Beer premiumization to 40% share by 2027
- Global baijiu share outside China to 10% by 2028
- Regulatory tightening on ads to slow mass market growth 2% to 2025
- Organic alcohol certification products 15% market by 2027
Trends/Forecasts Interpretation
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