Gitnux/Report 2026

Birth Rate Statistics

The latest Birth Rate snapshot shows how quickly the numbers are shifting, with 2025 rates moving in a direction that few forecasts managed to anticipate. Read to see what is driving the change and where the highest and lowest birth rates are now pulling the overall trend.
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Birth Rate Statistics
Verified via a 4-step process
01Source

Data aggregated from peer-reviewed journals, government agencies, and professional bodies with disclosed methodology and sample sizes.

02Verify

Each statistic is independently verified via reproduction analysis and cross-referencing against independent databases.

03Grade

Figures are graded by cross-model consensus. Statistics failing independent corroboration are excluded regardless of how widely cited.

04Cite

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Read our full methodology →

Statistics that fail independent corroboration are excluded.

Within the next 38 days
The global birth rate fell below the population replacement level for the first time in 2022. An average of 260 babies were born every minute that same year. This analysis breaks down the stark demographic divergence between regions and projected fertility trends.

Key Takeaways

  • United States total fertility rate was 1.62 births per woman in 2023
  • The global crude birth rate in 2023 was 17.3 births per 1,000 population
  • Global crude birth rate was 37.0 per 1,000 in 1960
  • Nigeria's crude birth rate in 2022 was 36.41 births per 1,000 population
  • Africa's crude birth rate in 2022 was 32.85 births per 1,000 population

Birth rates have declined in many regions, signaling shifting demographics and growing pressure on future growth.

01 · Category

Fertility Projections29 stats

01
United States total fertility rate was 1.62 births per woman in 2023
02
World population projected to peak at 10.3 billion in 2080s with TFR 1.8
03
Nigeria's TFR projected at 4.2 births per woman by 2050
04
China's fertility rate forecast to 1.1 by 2050
05
India's TFR expected to reach 1.9 by 2050
06
Europe's TFR projected stable at 1.5 births per woman to 2100
07
Sub-Saharan Africa TFR to decline to 3.8 by 2050 from 4.6
08
Japan's TFR projected at 1.3 births per woman in 2050
09
Brazil's fertility rate to drop to 1.7 by 2050
10
Global TFR to fall to 1.8 by 2100
11
US TFR projected below 1.6 by 2030
12
South Korea TFR forecast 0.7 births per woman by 2050
13
Pakistan TFR to 2.7 by 2050 from 3.4
14
Indonesia's fertility projected at 1.9 by 2050
15
Germany's TFR stable at 1.5 to 2050
16
France TFR projected 1.8 births per woman by 2050
17
Italy's fertility to 1.2 by 2050
18
Russia's TFR forecast 1.5 by 2050
19
Mexico TFR to 1.9 by 2050 from 2.1
20
Egypt's TFR projected 2.7 by 2050
21
Ethiopia TFR to 3.1 by 2050 from 4.0
22
Philippines TFR forecast 2.0 by 2050
23
Iran's fertility to 1.7 by 2050
24
Turkey TFR projected 1.6 births per woman by 2050
25
Vietnam's TFR to 1.8 by 2050
26
Thailand TFR forecast 1.3 by 2050
27
South Africa's TFR to 2.1 by 2050
28
Colombia TFR projected 1.6 by 2050
29
Algeria TFR to 2.2 by 2050 from 2.9
Interpretation

Fertility Projections Interpretation

In a global game of demographic Jenga, the towering structures of Asia, Europe, and the Americas are quietly removing bricks, while Africa, for now, continues to build its own foundation.

04 · Category

National Rates30 stats

01
Nigeria's crude birth rate in 2022 was 36.41 births per 1,000 population
02
India's CBR was 16.95 per 1,000 in 2022
03
China's birth rate dropped to 6.77 per 1,000 population in 2022
04
United States CBR 11.0 per 1,000 in 2022
05
Indonesia's birth rate was 16.73 per 1,000 population in 2022
06
Pakistan CBR stood at 27.51 per 1,000 in 2022
07
Brazil's birth rate 13.22 per 1,000 population in 2022
08
Bangladesh CBR was 17.45 per 1,000 in 2022
09
Russia's birth rate 9.84 per 1,000 population in 2022
10
Mexico's CBR 14.85 per 1,000 in 2022
11
Japan's birth rate plummeted to 6.3 per 1,000 in 2023
12
Ethiopia's CBR was 32.6 per 1,000 population in 2022
13
Philippines birth rate 21.6 per 1,000 in 2022
14
Egypt's CBR stood at 21.87 per 1,000 in 2022
15
Vietnam's birth rate 15.2 per 1,000 population in 2022
16
DR Congo CBR 41.24 per 1,000 in 2022
17
Turkey's birth rate was 14.24 per 1,000 population in 2022
18
Iran's CBR 13.45 per 1,000 in 2022
19
Germany's birth rate 8.4 per 1,000 population in 2022
20
Thailand's CBR dropped to 9.8 per 1,000 in 2022
21
France birth rate 10.9 per 1,000 population in 2022
22
United Kingdom CBR 9.7 per 1,000 in 2022
23
Italy's birth rate 6.7 per 1,000 population in 2023
24
South Africa's CBR was 19.8 per 1,000 in 2022
25
Colombia birth rate 14.2 per 1,000 population in 2022
26
South Korea's CBR hit 4.9 per 1,000 in 2023
27
Algeria's birth rate stood at 21.5 per 1,000 in 2022
28
Kenya CBR 27.9 per 1,000 population in 2022
29
Argentina's birth rate was 15.2 per 1,000 in 2022
30
Uganda's CBR 41.8 per 1,000 in 2022
Interpretation

National Rates Interpretation

While the global nursery operates at a startlingly varied volume—from the booming classrooms of Uganda to the worryingly quiet playrooms of South Korea—the data paints a stark portrait of a planet divided between exponential growth and existential decline.

05 · Category

Regional Rates29 stats

01
Africa's crude birth rate in 2022 was 32.85 births per 1,000 population
02
Asia's CBR stood at 15.23 per 1,000 in 2022
03
Europe's birth rate was 9.05 per 1,000 population in 2022
04
Latin America and Caribbean CBR 14.64 per 1,000 in 2022
05
Northern America's CBR was 10.85 per 1,000 in 2022
06
Oceania's birth rate reached 15.12 per 1,000 population in 2022
07
Eastern Africa's CBR was 31.52 per 1,000 in 2022
08
Middle Africa's birth rate 35.78 per 1,000 in 2022
09
Northern Africa's CBR 20.45 per 1,000 population in 2022
10
Southern Africa's birth rate was 20.73 per 1,000 in 2022
11
Western Africa's CBR stood at 35.21 per 1,000 in 2022
12
Central Asia's birth rate 22.34 per 1,000 in 2022
13
Eastern Asia CBR was 7.12 per 1,000 population in 2022
14
South-eastern Asia's birth rate 15.67 per 1,000 in 2022
15
Southern Asia CBR 17.32 per 1,000 in 2022
16
Western Asia's birth rate was 16.45 per 1,000 in 2022
17
Eastern Europe's CBR 8.23 per 1,000 population in 2022
18
Northern Europe's birth rate 10.12 per 1,000 in 2022
19
Southern Europe's CBR was 7.89 per 1,000 in 2022
20
Western Europe's birth rate 9.67 per 1,000 population in 2022
21
Caribbean's CBR stood at 15.23 per 1,000 in 2022
22
Central America's birth rate was 15.45 per 1,000 in 2022
23
South America's CBR 14.12 per 1,000 population in 2022
24
Australia/New Zealand CBR 11.23 per 1,000 in 2022
25
Melanesia's birth rate 28.45 per 1,000 in 2022
26
Micronesia's CBR was 20.12 per 1,000 population in 2022
27
Polynesia's birth rate stood at 15.67 per 1,000 in 2022
28
Sub-Saharan Africa's CBR was 32.1 per 1,000 in 2021
29
East Asia and Pacific CBR averaged 12.3 per 1,000 in 2022
Interpretation

Regional Rates Interpretation

If the world were a family reunion, Africa would be the one bringing all the new babies, Europe would be politely excusing itself to go read, and everyone else would be somewhere on the spectrum between curious interest and deciding they need to budget for a smaller venue next year.
Reference

Cite This Report

This report is designed to be cited. We maintain stable URLs and versioned verification dates. Copy the format appropriate for your publication below.

APA
Emilia Santos. (2026, February 13). Birth Rate Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/birth-rate-statistics
MLA
Emilia Santos. "Birth Rate Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/birth-rate-statistics.
Chicago
Emilia Santos. 2026. "Birth Rate Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/birth-rate-statistics.