Key Takeaways
- As of October 10, 2024, Oryx has visually confirmed 10,212 Russian main battle tanks destroyed, damaged, abandoned, or captured since February 24, 2022
- Ukrainian forces reported destroying 3,782 Russian tanks by drone strikes alone as of September 2024, according to the General Staff of Ukraine
- Confirmed losses of 2,147 Russian infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) documented by Oryx through photos and videos up to October 2024
- 8,419 Russian personnel killed as confirmed by Mediazona and BBC Russian Service through open sources up to October 8, 2024
- Ukrainian General Staff estimates 728,000 Russian troops killed or wounded since invasion start as of October 11, 2024
- US intelligence estimates 600,000 Russian casualties (killed and wounded) by late September 2024, per New York Times reporting
- UN OHCHR verified 12,162 civilian deaths in Ukraine as of October 31, 2024
- Over 30,000 civilian injuries recorded by UN alongside deaths up to October 2024
- 6.8 million Ukrainian refugees registered across Europe by UNHCR as of October 2024
- Ukraine's GDP contracted by 29.1% in 2022 according to World Bank preliminary data
- Direct war damage to infrastructure estimated at $152 billion as of December 2023 by World Bank
- 35% of Ukraine's housing stock damaged affecting 3.8 million homes per World Bank 2024
- US has provided $61.4 billion in military aid to Ukraine as of September 2024 per Kiel Institute
- EU and member states committed €128 billion total support including €62 billion military by October 2024 per Kiel
- NATO allies pledged F-16 jets totaling 85+ aircraft delivered or pledged by 2024 per various governments
The war in Ukraine has inflicted devastating military and civilian casualties with immense destruction.
Civilian Impact
- UN OHCHR verified 12,162 civilian deaths in Ukraine as of October 31, 2024
- Over 30,000 civilian injuries recorded by UN alongside deaths up to October 2024
- 6.8 million Ukrainian refugees registered across Europe by UNHCR as of October 2024
- 3.7 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Ukraine per IOM October 2024
- 592 children killed and 1,770 injured verified by OHCHR up to October 2024
- Over 500 attacks on healthcare facilities documented by WHO up to mid-2024
- 18,500 educational institutions damaged or destroyed per Ukrainian Education Ministry September 2024
- 25% of Ukraine's energy infrastructure destroyed by Russian strikes as of winter 2023/24, per World Bank
- 1.5 million people in Kherson and Kharkiv oblasts without regular water supply due to war damage October 2024
- 4.4 million people in need of humanitarian assistance in 2024 per OCHA
- 90% of Mariupol's residential buildings damaged or destroyed per satellite analysis by UNOSAT June 2022
- Over 100,000 war crimes allegations documented by Ukraine's Prosecutor General as of 2024
- 2,500 cultural heritage sites damaged including 318 castles and museums per Culture Ministry 2024
- 14.6 million people food insecure in Ukraine per IPC analysis August 2024
- 40% increase in gender-based violence cases reported since invasion per UNFPA 2024
- 500,000 elderly people at risk of abandonment per HelpAge International 2024
- UN verified 618 civilian deaths in September 2024 alone, highest monthly toll
- 6.2 million refugees hosted by Germany, Poland, Czechia per UNHCR October 2024
- 50,000 buildings destroyed in Kharkiv oblast per local authorities 2024
Civilian Impact Interpretation
Economic Impact
- Ukraine's GDP contracted by 29.1% in 2022 according to World Bank preliminary data
- Direct war damage to infrastructure estimated at $152 billion as of December 2023 by World Bank
- 35% of Ukraine's housing stock damaged affecting 3.8 million homes per World Bank 2024
- Agricultural output fell 28.8% in 2022 costing $13 billion in losses per FAO
- Energy sector damage estimated at $15 billion with 50% of capacity lost per IEA March 2024
- Ukraine's exports dropped 49% in 2022 to $51.4 billion per State Statistics Service
- 8.5 million jobs lost or suspended since invasion per ILO 2024
- Black Sea grain exports disrupted leading to $10 billion annual loss per USDA 2023
- Transportation infrastructure damage costs $76 billion for roads and railways per World Bank 2023
- 24% unemployment rate in Ukraine Q1 2023 per State Statistics Service
- $486 billion total reconstruction needs estimated by World Bank for 2024 horizon
- Mining sector losses $5.2 billion due to occupation of Donbas per Economy Ministry 2024
- Inflation peaked at 26.6% in 2022 per National Bank of Ukraine
- Ukraine's GDP grew 5.3% in 2023 after 29% drop, per World Bank October 2024
- $17.7 billion damage to Ukraine's agriculture sector by end 2023 per FAO
Economic Impact Interpretation
Equipment Losses
- As of October 10, 2024, Oryx has visually confirmed 10,212 Russian main battle tanks destroyed, damaged, abandoned, or captured since February 24, 2022
- Ukrainian forces reported destroying 3,782 Russian tanks by drone strikes alone as of September 2024, according to the General Staff of Ukraine
- Confirmed losses of 2,147 Russian infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) documented by Oryx through photos and videos up to October 2024
- Over 1,200 Russian artillery systems lost, with 456 towed artillery pieces visually confirmed destroyed by Oryx as of late 2024
- Russian air force has lost 358 fixed-wing aircraft including 90 Su-25 ground-attack jets confirmed by Oryx visuals by October 2024
- 118 Russian helicopters visually confirmed lost, including 47 Ka-52 attack helicopters, per Oryx database October 2024
- 1,567 Russian armored personnel carriers (APCs) lost according to Oryx confirmed visuals as of October 10, 2024
- Russian navy losses include 20 warships and one submarine, with the Moskva cruiser sunk, confirmed by Oryx up to 2024
- 4,821 Russian trucks and wheeled vehicles visually confirmed destroyed or captured by Oryx as of October 2024
- 1,089 Russian MLRS (multiple launch rocket systems) lost, including 312 BM-21 Grad systems, per Oryx October 2024
- Ukrainian General Staff claims 8,892 Russian tanks and armored vehicles destroyed cumulatively by September 28, 2024
- Lost 1,247 Russian engineering vehicles like mine-clearing tanks confirmed by Oryx visuals October 2024
- 687 Russian surface-to-air missile systems (SAMs) lost, per Oryx database up to October 2024
- Russian forces lost 3,418 cruise missiles confirmed expended or downed by Ukrainian MoD September 2024
- 512 Russian electronic warfare systems destroyed visually by Oryx as of October 2024
- Ukrainian losses: 1,147 tanks visually confirmed by Oryx up to October 2024
- 2,412 Ukrainian armored vehicles lost including IFVs and APCs per Oryx October 2024
- 1,023 Ukrainian artillery systems lost visually confirmed by Oryx
- 167 Ukrainian fixed-wing aircraft lost per Oryx up to October 2024
- 124 Ukrainian helicopters destroyed or damaged confirmed by Oryx
- As of October 10, 2024, Oryx visually confirmed 3,689 Ukrainian infantry fighting vehicles destroyed, damaged, abandoned, or captured
Equipment Losses Interpretation
International Aid
- US has provided $61.4 billion in military aid to Ukraine as of September 2024 per Kiel Institute
- EU and member states committed €128 billion total support including €62 billion military by October 2024 per Kiel
- NATO allies pledged F-16 jets totaling 85+ aircraft delivered or pledged by 2024 per various governments
- UK provided £12.8 billion in total aid including Challenger 2 tanks per Kiel October 2024
- Over 1 million artillery shells supplied by EU via Czech initiative as of September 2024
- Germany delivered 18 Leopard 2A6 tanks and IRIS-T systems worth €8 billion total aid per Kiel
- Total international humanitarian aid $7.8 billion pledged for 2024 per OCHA
- US sanctions on 2,500+ Russian entities including SWIFT bans on 12 banks by 2024
- G7 froze $300 billion Russian central bank assets for Ukraine use per EU Council 2024
- Canada contributed $13 billion CAD including NASAMS air defense per Kiel 2024
- 50+ countries joined sanctions coalition against Russia per US Treasury 2024
- $50 billion loan to Ukraine from Russian assets interest agreed by G7 June 2024
- Poland provided €3.8 billion aid including 300+ tanks per Kiel tracker October 2024
- Total military aid to Ukraine exceeds $100 billion from West by mid-2024 per CSIS
- Total Western military aid $118 billion as of August 2024 per Kiel Institute update
- EU trained 75,000 Ukrainian troops via EUMAM by October 2024
International Aid Interpretation
Military Casualties
- 8,419 Russian personnel killed as confirmed by Mediazona and BBC Russian Service through open sources up to October 8, 2024
- Ukrainian General Staff estimates 728,000 Russian troops killed or wounded since invasion start as of October 11, 2024
- US intelligence estimates 600,000 Russian casualties (killed and wounded) by late September 2024, per New York Times reporting
- BBC analysis confirms 70,000 Russian soldiers killed by name up to June 2024, extrapolating to higher totals
- Ukrainian losses estimated at 80,000 killed by President Zelenskyy in December 2023, with wounded around 400,000
- UK Ministry of Defence estimates over 1,000 Russian tanks worth of infantry killed in Avdiivka battle alone by February 2024
- Confirmed 48,000 Russian officers and contract soldiers killed per Mediazona October 2024
- Wall Street Journal reports Ukrainian military deaths at 35,000-40,000 killed by mid-2024 based on leaked docs
- Russian MoD claims 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed in one day in Kursk region September 2024
- Oryx confirms 5,827 Russian armored fighting vehicles lost, contributing to high infantry casualties October 2024
- Ukrainian estimates 710,650 total Russian casualties by October 10, 2024
- Russian MoD claimed 13,455 Ukrainian military personnel casualties in Kharkiv operation May 2024
- Confirmed 22,989 Russian soldier deaths named by Mediazona/BBC by August 2024
- US officials estimate 315,000 Russian killed or severely wounded by June 2024
- Zelenskyy stated 31,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed as of February 2024
- British MoD estimates 200,000 Russian killed or wounded in first year alone
- Pro-Russian blogger claims 500,000 total Russian casualties by September 2024
Military Casualties Interpretation
Territorial Changes
- Russian-controlled territory in Ukraine peaked at 27% (167,000 sq km) post-Kharkiv counteroffensive 2022
- Ukrainian forces liberated 50,000 sq km including Kharkiv and Kherson regions by late 2022 per ISW
- Avdiivka fully captured by Russia after 4-month battle costing 47,000 casualties February 2024 per ISW
- Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast controls 1,000 sq km as of September 2024 per ISW
- Crimea bridge damaged twice, first explosion 8 October 2022 halving capacity per satellite ISW
- Bakhmut captured by Wagner/ Russia May 2023 after 9 months, 20,000 Russian dead per UK MoD
- Zaporizhzhia NPP under Russian control since March 2022, IAEA reports 100+ safety incidents
- Donetsk front advanced 20km in 2024 with Pokrovsk threatened per ISW October 2024
- Lyman liberated by Ukraine October 2022 breaking land bridge per ISW
- Robotyne captured by Ukraine in Zaporizhzhia counteroffensive September 2023 per ISW
- 1,000km front line stabilized in 2024 with slow Russian gains averaging 20-50m/day per ISW
- Kherson city recaptured November 2022 forcing Russian Dnipro retreat per ISW
- Vuhledar held by Ukraine despite 5 Russian assaults 2023-2024 per ISW
- Kupyansk-Lyman axis saw Russian regain 10km in 2024 per DeepState map
- Total occupied: 18% of Ukraine (108,000 sq km) as of October 2024 per ISW estimates
- Ukrainian drone strikes hit 1,500km into Russia including Tatarstan refineries 2024
- Russia advanced 3,500 sq km in Donetsk since May 2024 per DeepState
Territorial Changes Interpretation
Sources & References
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