Key Takeaways
- Transistor count on leading-edge microprocessors doubled approximately every 2 years from 1970 to 2020, reaching over 50 billion transistors in Apple's M1 Ultra chip in 2022
- Global semiconductor market revenue grew from $222 billion in 2010 to $574 billion in 2022, a 158% increase driven by demand for AI chips
- Hard disk drive storage capacity increased by 10,000 times from 1 GB in 1991 to 100 TB prototypes in 2023, following Kryder's Law
- Number of AI model parameters grew from 1.5 billion in GPT-2 (2019) to 1.76 trillion in GPT-4 (2023)
- Global AI market size expanded from $40 billion in 2019 to $184 billion in 2024, projected CAGR 37%
- Compute used for largest AI training runs increased 4e6 times from 2010 to 2020, per Epoch AI analysis
- Global internet users increased from 413 million in 2000 to 5.3 billion in 2023, penetration from 6.7% to 66%
- Average fixed broadband speed worldwide rose from 5 Mbps in 2009 to 100 Mbps in 2023, 20x growth
- 5G connections globally reached 1.5 billion by end of 2023, up from zero in 2019
- Global smartphone shipments peaked at 1.47 billion units in 2016, stabilizing at 1.15 billion in 2023 despite market maturity
- Average smartphone battery capacity grew from 1,400 mAh in 2010 to 5,000 mAh in 2023 flagship models
- Smartphone camera megapixels increased from 2 MP in 2008 to 200 MP sensors in 2023 Samsung Galaxy S23 Ultra
- Public cloud spending grew from $70 billion in 2015 to $679 billion in 2024, CAGR 28%
- Global data creation volume hit 181 zettabytes in 2025 projection, from 64.2 ZB in 2020
- Hyperscale data centers worldwide increased from 500 in 2016 to 1,100 in 2023
Semiconductor, AI, and connectivity advances have driven exponential technology growth worldwide.
Artificial Intelligence
- Number of AI model parameters grew from 1.5 billion in GPT-2 (2019) to 1.76 trillion in GPT-4 (2023)
- Global AI market size expanded from $40 billion in 2019 to $184 billion in 2024, projected CAGR 37%
- Compute used for largest AI training runs increased 4e6 times from 2010 to 2020, per Epoch AI analysis
- Generative AI user base hit 100 million weekly active users within 2 months of ChatGPT launch in Nov 2022
- AI chip market revenue surged from $5 billion in 2018 to $45 billion in 2023, led by NVIDIA GPUs
- Accuracy on ImageNet benchmark improved from 50% in 2011 to 90%+ in 2023 with vision transformers
- Number of AI research papers published annually rose from 10,000 in 2010 to over 100,000 in 2022
- Enterprise AI adoption jumped from 10% in 2017 to 55% in 2023, per McKinsey survey
- FLOPS for frontier AI models scaled 10x per year from 2015-2023, reaching 1e25 FLOPS estimates
- AI software market grew to $65 billion in 2023, with 40% CAGR since 2018
- Number of AI model parameters grew from 1.5 billion in GPT-2 (2019) to 1.76 trillion in GPT-4 (2023)
- Global AI market size expanded from $40 billion in 2019 to $184 billion in 2024, projected CAGR 37%
- Compute used for largest AI training runs increased 4e6 times from 2010 to 2020, per Epoch AI analysis
- Generative AI user base hit 100 million weekly active users within 2 months of ChatGPT launch in Nov 2022
- AI chip market revenue surged from $5 billion in 2018 to $45 billion in 2023, led by NVIDIA GPUs
- Accuracy on ImageNet benchmark improved from 50% in 2011 to 90%+ in 2023 with vision transformers
- Number of AI research papers published annually rose from 10,000 in 2010 to over 100,000 in 2022
- Enterprise AI adoption jumped from 10% in 2017 to 55% in 2023, per McKinsey survey
- FLOPS for frontier AI models scaled 10x per year from 2015-2023, reaching 1e25 FLOPS estimates
- AI software market grew to $65 billion in 2023, with 40% CAGR since 2018
Artificial Intelligence Interpretation
Cloud and Data Centers
- Public cloud spending grew from $70 billion in 2015 to $679 billion in 2024, CAGR 28%
- Global data creation volume hit 181 zettabytes in 2025 projection, from 64.2 ZB in 2020
- Hyperscale data centers worldwide increased from 500 in 2016 to 1,100 in 2023
- Cloud storage capacity grew to 10,000 exabytes in 2023, 10x from 2015
- AWS market share in IaaS was 32% in 2023, with revenue $90 billion annually
- Number of cloud computing users reached 103.4% penetration in enterprises by 2023
- Data center power consumption rose to 240-340 TWh in 2022, 1-1.3% of global electricity
- Edge computing market size projected to $250 billion by 2025 from $4 billion in 2019
- Global object storage capacity reached 12 EB in 2023, growing 50% YoY
- Public cloud spending grew from $70 billion in 2015 to $679 billion in 2024, CAGR 28%
- Global data creation volume hit 181 zettabytes in 2025 projection, from 64.2 ZB in 2020
- Hyperscale data centers worldwide increased from 500 in 2016 to 1,100 in 2023
- Cloud storage capacity grew to 10,000 exabytes in 2023, 10x from 2015
- AWS market share in IaaS was 32% in 2023, with revenue $90 billion annually
- Number of cloud computing users reached 103.4% penetration in enterprises by 2023
- Data center power consumption rose to 240-340 TWh in 2022, 1-1.3% of global electricity
- Edge computing market size projected to $250 billion by 5, from $4 billion in 2019
- Global object storage capacity reached 12 EB in 2023, growing 50% YoY
Cloud and Data Centers Interpretation
Computing Hardware
- Transistor count on leading-edge microprocessors doubled approximately every 2 years from 1970 to 2020, reaching over 50 billion transistors in Apple's M1 Ultra chip in 2022
- Global semiconductor market revenue grew from $222 billion in 2010 to $574 billion in 2022, a 158% increase driven by demand for AI chips
- Hard disk drive storage capacity increased by 10,000 times from 1 GB in 1991 to 100 TB prototypes in 2023, following Kryder's Law
- GPU compute performance for AI workloads improved 300,000x from 2012 to 2022 due to NVIDIA's architecture advancements
- Energy efficiency of top supercomputers improved by 100,000x from 1993 to 2023, measured in FLOPS per watt
- 3D NAND flash memory layers increased from 24 in 2013 to 238 in 2023, enabling 8TB consumer SSDs
- Quantum bit (qubit) counts in quantum processors rose from 2 in 2011 to over 1,000 in IBM's 2023 Eagle processor
- DRAM bit density grew 1 million-fold from 1984 to 2022, allowing 128 GB DIMMs in servers
- Fab node shrinks from 10 microns in 1971 to 3 nanometers in 2022, with TSMC's 2nm planned for 2025
- Worldwide data center IT hardware spending reached $250 billion in 2023, up 15% YoY due to hyperscaler demand
- Transistor count on leading-edge microprocessors doubled approximately every 2 years from 1970 to 2020, reaching over 50 billion transistors in Apple's M1 Ultra chip in 2022
- Global semiconductor market revenue grew from $222 billion in 2010 to $574 billion in 2022, a 158% increase driven by demand for AI chips
- Hard disk drive storage capacity increased by 10,000 times from 1 GB in 1991 to 100 TB prototypes in 2023, following Kryder's Law
- GPU compute performance for AI workloads improved 300,000x from 2012 to 2022 due to NVIDIA's architecture advancements
- Energy efficiency of top supercomputers improved by 100,000x from 1993 to 2023, measured in FLOPS per watt
- 3D NAND flash memory layers increased from 24 in 2013 to 238 in 2023, enabling 8TB consumer SSDs
- Quantum bit (qubit) counts in quantum processors rose from 2 in 2011 to over 1,000 in IBM's 2023 Eagle processor
- DRAM bit density grew 1 million-fold from 1984 to 2022, allowing 128 GB DIMMs in servers
- Fab node shrinks from 10 microns in 1971 to 3 nanometers in 2022, with TSMC's 2nm planned for 2025
- Worldwide data center IT hardware spending reached $250 billion in 2023, up 15% YoY due to hyperscaler demand
Computing Hardware Interpretation
Internet and Broadband
- Global internet users increased from 413 million in 2000 to 5.3 billion in 2023, penetration from 6.7% to 66%
- Average fixed broadband speed worldwide rose from 5 Mbps in 2009 to 100 Mbps in 2023, 20x growth
- 5G connections globally reached 1.5 billion by end of 2023, up from zero in 2019
- Data traffic on global internet grew from 2 exabytes/month in 2000 to 4,800 exabytes/month in 2023
- IPv6 adoption climbed from 1% in 2010 to 40% globally in 2023, enabling 340 undecillion addresses
- Number of websites grew from 20 million in 2000 to 1.13 billion in 2023
- Global undersea cable capacity increased 100x from 2010 to 2023 to over 1,400 Tbps
- Wi-Fi 6 adoption in devices reached 25% of smartphones by 2023, enabling 9.6 Gbps speeds
- Satellite internet subscribers for Starlink hit 2 million in 2023, from launch in 2021
- Fiber optic broadband households passed globally: 1.5 billion in 2023 vs 500 million in 2015
- Global internet users increased from 413 million in 2000 to 5.3 billion in 2023, penetration from 6.7% to 66%
- Average fixed broadband speed worldwide rose from 5 Mbps in 2009 to 100 Mbps in 2023, 20x growth
- 5G connections globally reached 1.5 billion by end of 2023, up from zero in 2019
- Data traffic on global internet grew from 2 exabytes/month in 2000 to 4,800 exabytes/month in 2023
- IPv6 adoption climbed from 1% in 2010 to 40% globally in 2023, enabling 340 undecillion addresses
- Number of websites grew from 20 million in 2000 to 1.13 billion in 2023
- Global undersea cable capacity increased 100x from 2010 to 2023 to over 1,400 Tbps
- Wi-Fi 6 adoption in devices reached 25% of smartphones by 2023, enabling 9.6 Gbps speeds
- Satellite internet subscribers for Starlink hit 2 million in 2023, from launch in 2021
- Fiber optic broadband households passed globally: 1.5 billion in 2023 vs 500 million in 2015
Internet and Broadband Interpretation
Mobile Technology
- Global smartphone shipments peaked at 1.47 billion units in 2016, stabilizing at 1.15 billion in 2023 despite market maturity
- Average smartphone battery capacity grew from 1,400 mAh in 2010 to 5,000 mAh in 2023 flagship models
- Smartphone camera megapixels increased from 2 MP in 2008 to 200 MP sensors in 2023 Samsung Galaxy S23 Ultra
- Mobile app downloads worldwide reached 257 billion in 2023, up from 100 billion in 2016
- 5G smartphone penetration hit 50% of shipments in 2023, from 1% in 2019
- Foldable smartphone shipments grew 70% YoY to 21 million units in 2023, led by Samsung
- Average smartphone screen size expanded from 3.5 inches in 2010 iPhone 4 to 6.7 inches in 2023 flagships
- Global wearable device shipments reached 520 million units in 2023, CAGR 15% since 2015
- AR/VR headset shipments tripled to 13 million units in 2023 post-Apple Vision Pro announcement
- Smartphone RAM averaged 512 MB in 2012, reaching 12 GB in 2023 gaming phones like ASUS ROG
- Global smartphone shipments peaked at 1.47 billion units in 2016, stabilizing at 1.15 billion in 2023 despite market maturity
- Average smartphone battery capacity grew from 1,400 mAh in 2010 to 5,000 mAh in 2023 flagship models
- Smartphone camera megapixels increased from 2 MP in 2008 to 200 MP sensors in 2023 Samsung Galaxy S23 Ultra
- Mobile app downloads worldwide reached 257 billion in 2023, up from 100 billion in 2016
- 5G smartphone penetration hit 50% of shipments in 2023, from 1% in 2019
- Foldable smartphone shipments grew 70% YoY to 21 million units in 2023, led by Samsung
- Average smartphone screen size expanded from 3.5 inches in 2010 iPhone 4 to 6.7 inches in 2023 flagships
- Global wearable device shipments reached 520 million units in 2023, CAGR 15% since 2015
- AR/VR headset shipments tripled to 13 million units in 2023 post-Apple Vision Pro announcement
- Smartphone RAM averaged 512 MB in 2012, reaching 12 GB in 2023 gaming phones like ASUS ROG
Mobile Technology Interpretation
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