Pocket aces hold 85.2 percent equity against a random hand before the flop. A royal flush appears once in 649740 five-card deals. The sections that follow list equity figures for preflop matchups, flop draws, and turn situations.
Key Takeaways
- AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts to 42%
- On the flop, top set equity is 81.6% vs overpair in Hold'em
- In Texas Hold'em, AA preflop equity vs random hand is 85.2%
- In five-card poker, the probability of being dealt a Royal Flush is exactly 1 in 649,740 hands
- On river, nuts equity is 100%, but bluff catcher equity vs value range 35%
Most players win by hitting strong top pairs, so studying hand rankings boosts results fast.
Related reading
01 · Category
Equity vs. Ranges30 stats
01
AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts to 42%
02
Set on turn vs flush draw equity 62.3% heads-up
03
Straight on turn vs higher straight draw 55.1% equity
04
Top pair on turn equity vs combo draw 38.7%
05
OESD on turn equity 29.4% to river
06
Flush completed on turn equity 82.5% vs top pair
07
Two pair on turn vs set equity 18.2%
08
Overpair on turn vs double draw 45.6% equity
09
Trips on turn equity vs full house draw 67.8%
10
Broadway straight on turn 71.4% vs flush draw
11
Turn brick for flush draw reduces equity to 19.6%
12
Turn pairs OESD to straight 100% equity if nuts
13
Flush draw on turn vs set 35.2% equity
14
Straight on turn equity vs flush redraw 48.9%
15
Set on turn vs combo draw 61.7%
16
Top two pair turn equity 69.3% vs draws
17
Wheel straight turn 73.5% vs higher cards
18
Overfull house draw turn equity 42.1%
19
Nut flush on turn 88.4% vs bluffs
20
River completes FD but pairs board equity 55%
21
Turn runner-runner FD equity realized 4.3%
22
River block bet with TPTK equity 52.1% vs aggro range
23
Set over set turn cooler equity split 50/50
24
Nut straight river vs flush 0% dead
25
Two pair river equity vs better two pair 33.5%
26
Bluff catcher river equity 28.9% vs polarized range
27
Full house river 92.4% value
28
Trip aces river vs quads 12.1%
29
Blocked value river jam equity +8%
30
PLO nut flush equity 68.7% multiway river
Interpretation
Equity vs. Ranges Interpretation
These statistics reveal poker’s brutal honesty: just when you think you’re drawing to a sure thing, the numbers whisper how often you’ll actually get there, while warning that even your monsters can be someone else’s meal.
02 · Category
Postflop Hand Frequencies30 stats
01
On the flop, top set equity is 81.6% vs overpair in Hold'em
02
Flush draw on flop has 35% equity vs top pair in Hold'em
03
Open-ended straight draw equity 31.5% on flop vs overpair
04
Gutshot straight draw on flop equity 16.5% vs top pair
05
Overpair on flop equity vs two overcards 71.2%
06
Set mining flop equity implied odds require 15:1 pot odds
07
Top pair top kicker flop equity 65.4% vs draw heavy range
08
Double gutter on flop 28.2% equity vs overpair
09
Wheel straight draw flop equity 32.4%
10
Monotone flop hits flush draw 9% of time by river
11
On paired flop, set equity 82.1% vs overpair
12
Rainbow flop flush draw equity 34.9%
13
Monochrome flop nut flush draw 41.2% equity vs top pair
14
Flop texture dry board top pair equity 78.5%
15
Wet flop OESD + FD equity 52.3%
16
Bottom set on flop equity vs draws 76.4%
17
Overpair on coordinated flop 58.7% equity
18
Gutshot + overcards flop equity 22.1%
19
Trips with redraws flop 85.2%
20
Two flush draws on flop multiway equity drops to 28%
21
Flop c-bet frequency with top pair 72.5% in position
22
Dry flop check-raise equity adjustment +12%
23
Flop hit rate with suited connectors 32.1%
24
Paired board fold equity 28.4% with air
25
Nut advantage flop equity +15.2% multiway
26
Blocker heavy floats flop success 41.3%
27
Medium strength hands flop bet frequency 55.6%
28
Turn donk bet equity with draws 39.8%
29
River overbet value equity threshold 75.2%
30
Turn fold equity with semi-bluff 34.7%
Interpretation
Postflop Hand Frequencies Interpretation
These statistics confirm that poker is a game of beautiful, cruel mathematics where the thrill of chasing a dream is constantly being mugged by the sobering reality of your own equity.
03 · Category
Preflop Hand Strengths27 stats
01
In Texas Hold'em, AA preflop equity vs random hand is 85.2%
02
KK preflop win rate vs random range is 82.4% in Hold'em
03
QQ equity heads-up preflop is 79.9%
04
AKs preflop strength vs random is 66.2%
05
AQo equity preflop is 61.8% vs random hand
06
76s suited connector preflop equity 56.3% vs random
07
22 pocket pair preflop winrate 50.3% vs two random cards
08
JTs preflop equity 58.1% heads-up
09
KQo offsuit preflop strength 59.2%
10
98s equity vs random 57.4% in Hold'em preflop
11
In Texas Hold'em preflop, 72o is the worst starting hand with 32.4% equity vs random
12
AJs preflop equity vs 22+ range is 48.7%
13
Pocket 99 preflop winrate 54.2% vs loose range
14
KJs suited preflop strength 62.1% heads-up tight
15
QTo offsuit equity 45.3% vs random hand
16
65s connector preflop 53.8% equity
17
TT pocket pair 57.1% vs AKo specifically
18
ATs preflop 61.2% vs underpair
19
87s equity 55.9% preflop random
20
In Preflop 6-max, raise first in with 22+ 15.2% of hands
21
Button vs BB preflop shoving range equity 58.4%
22
UTG 9-handed open raise AA equity 88.1% vs calling range
23
Suited ace cutoff steal equity 52.3%
24
Pocket kings vs AK preflop all-in 71.2% equity
25
Broadway offsuit SB 3-bet equity 49.7%
26
Gapped connectors MP equity 47.8% vs tight range
27
Weak ace BB defend equity 44.2%
Interpretation
Preflop Hand Strengths Interpretation
In the cold calculus of preflop, pocket aces are a merciless monarch (85.2% chance to crush a random peasant), but even the lowly 72-offsuit (32.4%) reminds us that in poker, as in life, hope is a four-letter word that often spells "donate."
More related reading
04 · Category
Probability Distributions10 stats
01
In five-card poker, the probability of being dealt a Royal Flush is exactly 1 in 649,740 hands
02
The odds of getting a Straight Flush (excluding Royal Flush) in five-card poker are 1 in 72,193 hands
03
Four of a Kind occurs with probability 1 in 4,165 hands in five-card poker
04
Full House probability in five-card poker is 1 in 694 hands
05
Flush odds are 1 in 509 hands in five-card poker
06
Straight probability is 1 in 255 hands in five-card poker
07
Three of a Kind occurs 1 in 47.2 hands in five-card poker
08
Two Pair probability is 1 in 20.0 hands in five-card poker
09
One Pair odds are 1 in 2.36 hands in five-card poker
10
High Card probability is 50.1% or 1 in 2.0 hands approximately in five-card poker
Interpretation
Probability Distributions Interpretation
In poker, you'll mostly just have a sad, lonely card, but if you're truly blessed by the gods of randomness, you might just see a royal flush before you lose your mortgage payment on a bluff.
05 · Category
Variant-Specific Stats22 stats
01
On river, nuts equity is 100%, but bluff catcher equity vs value range 35%
02
In Omaha, double suited AAKK preflop equity 72.5% vs random
03
PLO flop wrap equity 54.2% vs top set
04
Stud 8 or better starting hand AA equity 68.3%
05
In 5-card draw, probability of improving pair to trips is 11.8%
06
Razz lowball ace-2-3-4 equity on fourth street 62.1%
07
Badugi perfect pat hand frequency 0.0012% dealt
08
In Short Deck Poker, AA preflop equity 78.9% vs random (no 2-5)
09
Chinese Poker trips hand win rate 45.2% in fantasy units
10
In PLO, AAxx double suited equity 65.4% preflop vs random four cards
11
Omaha Hi-Lo scoop probability with A-2 suited 28.3%
12
7-card Stud pair on third street equity 62.7%
13
5-card Stud royal flush odds 1 in 500,000
14
Draw poker after discard trips improve to full house 16.7%
15
Pineapple poker AA preflop 78.2% equity
16
Crazy Pineapple scoop rate 22.1%
17
Irish Poker (32 cards) flush probability higher at 1 in 320
18
Omaha preflop AA23ds equity 59.8% vs broadway
19
Stud live cards impact third street equity +10.2%
20
5-draw lowball perfect hand 1 in 3,200
21
HORSE rotation equity averages 55% per game
22
Courchevel PLO flop all-in equity with trips 64.3%
Interpretation
Variant-Specific Stats Interpretation
From the river’s cold certainty to the long-shot dreams of Badugi, these numbers prove poker is a beautiful, brutal math problem where hope and equity share a very tense drink.
report visual · Comparison
Turn hand equities vs common draw matchups
On the turn, made hands and completed draws typically hold large equity advantages over competing draws.
Flush completed on turn vs top pair82.5%
Broadway straight on turn vs flush draw71.4%
Set on turn vs flush draw (heads-up)62.3%
AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts42%
OESD on turn equity to river29.4%
Turn brick for flush draw reduces equity19.6%
Reference
Cite This Report
This report is designed to be cited. We maintain stable URLs and versioned verification dates. Copy the format appropriate for your publication below.
APA
Marcus Engström. (2026, February 13). Poker Hands Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/poker-hands-statistics
MLA
Marcus Engström. "Poker Hands Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/poker-hands-statistics.
Chicago
Marcus Engström. 2026. "Poker Hands Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/poker-hands-statistics.
Sources & references
32 datasets cited across this report · attribution is report-level