GITNUXREPORT 2026

Poker Hands Statistics

This blog post details the exact odds for every poker hand across different game variants.

Min-ji Park

Research Analyst focused on sustainability and consumer trends.

First published: Feb 13, 2026

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Statistic 1

AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts to 42%

Statistic 2

Set on turn vs flush draw equity 62.3% heads-up

Statistic 3

Straight on turn vs higher straight draw 55.1% equity

Statistic 4

Top pair on turn equity vs combo draw 38.7%

Statistic 5

OESD on turn equity 29.4% to river

Statistic 6

Flush completed on turn equity 82.5% vs top pair

Statistic 7

Two pair on turn vs set equity 18.2%

Statistic 8

Overpair on turn vs double draw 45.6% equity

Statistic 9

Trips on turn equity vs full house draw 67.8%

Statistic 10

Broadway straight on turn 71.4% vs flush draw

Statistic 11

Turn brick for flush draw reduces equity to 19.6%

Statistic 12

Turn pairs OESD to straight 100% equity if nuts

Statistic 13

Flush draw on turn vs set 35.2% equity

Statistic 14

Straight on turn equity vs flush redraw 48.9%

Statistic 15

Set on turn vs combo draw 61.7%

Statistic 16

Top two pair turn equity 69.3% vs draws

Statistic 17

Wheel straight turn 73.5% vs higher cards

Statistic 18

Overfull house draw turn equity 42.1%

Statistic 19

Nut flush on turn 88.4% vs bluffs

Statistic 20

River completes FD but pairs board equity 55%

Statistic 21

Turn runner-runner FD equity realized 4.3%

Statistic 22

River block bet with TPTK equity 52.1% vs aggro range

Statistic 23

Set over set turn cooler equity split 50/50

Statistic 24

Nut straight river vs flush 0% dead

Statistic 25

Two pair river equity vs better two pair 33.5%

Statistic 26

Bluff catcher river equity 28.9% vs polarized range

Statistic 27

Full house river 92.4% value

Statistic 28

Trip aces river vs quads 12.1%

Statistic 29

Blocked value river jam equity +8%

Statistic 30

PLO nut flush equity 68.7% multiway river

Statistic 31

On the flop, top set equity is 81.6% vs overpair in Hold'em

Statistic 32

Flush draw on flop has 35% equity vs top pair in Hold'em

Statistic 33

Open-ended straight draw equity 31.5% on flop vs overpair

Statistic 34

Gutshot straight draw on flop equity 16.5% vs top pair

Statistic 35

Overpair on flop equity vs two overcards 71.2%

Statistic 36

Set mining flop equity implied odds require 15:1 pot odds

Statistic 37

Top pair top kicker flop equity 65.4% vs draw heavy range

Statistic 38

Double gutter on flop 28.2% equity vs overpair

Statistic 39

Wheel straight draw flop equity 32.4%

Statistic 40

Monotone flop hits flush draw 9% of time by river

Statistic 41

On paired flop, set equity 82.1% vs overpair

Statistic 42

Rainbow flop flush draw equity 34.9%

Statistic 43

Monochrome flop nut flush draw 41.2% equity vs top pair

Statistic 44

Flop texture dry board top pair equity 78.5%

Statistic 45

Wet flop OESD + FD equity 52.3%

Statistic 46

Bottom set on flop equity vs draws 76.4%

Statistic 47

Overpair on coordinated flop 58.7% equity

Statistic 48

Gutshot + overcards flop equity 22.1%

Statistic 49

Trips with redraws flop 85.2%

Statistic 50

Two flush draws on flop multiway equity drops to 28%

Statistic 51

Flop c-bet frequency with top pair 72.5% in position

Statistic 52

Dry flop check-raise equity adjustment +12%

Statistic 53

Flop hit rate with suited connectors 32.1%

Statistic 54

Paired board fold equity 28.4% with air

Statistic 55

Nut advantage flop equity +15.2% multiway

Statistic 56

Blocker heavy floats flop success 41.3%

Statistic 57

Medium strength hands flop bet frequency 55.6%

Statistic 58

Turn donk bet equity with draws 39.8%

Statistic 59

River overbet value equity threshold 75.2%

Statistic 60

Turn fold equity with semi-bluff 34.7%

Statistic 61

In Texas Hold'em, AA preflop equity vs random hand is 85.2%

Statistic 62

KK preflop win rate vs random range is 82.4% in Hold'em

Statistic 63

QQ equity heads-up preflop is 79.9%

Statistic 64

AKs preflop strength vs random is 66.2%

Statistic 65

AQo equity preflop is 61.8% vs random hand

Statistic 66

76s suited connector preflop equity 56.3% vs random

Statistic 67

22 pocket pair preflop winrate 50.3% vs two random cards

Statistic 68

JTs preflop equity 58.1% heads-up

Statistic 69

KQo offsuit preflop strength 59.2%

Statistic 70

98s equity vs random 57.4% in Hold'em preflop

Statistic 71

In Texas Hold'em preflop, 72o is the worst starting hand with 32.4% equity vs random

Statistic 72

AJs preflop equity vs 22+ range is 48.7%

Statistic 73

Pocket 99 preflop winrate 54.2% vs loose range

Statistic 74

KJs suited preflop strength 62.1% heads-up tight

Statistic 75

QTo offsuit equity 45.3% vs random hand

Statistic 76

65s connector preflop 53.8% equity

Statistic 77

TT pocket pair 57.1% vs AKo specifically

Statistic 78

ATs preflop 61.2% vs underpair

Statistic 79

87s equity 55.9% preflop random

Statistic 80

In Preflop 6-max, raise first in with 22+ 15.2% of hands

Statistic 81

Button vs BB preflop shoving range equity 58.4%

Statistic 82

UTG 9-handed open raise AA equity 88.1% vs calling range

Statistic 83

Suited ace cutoff steal equity 52.3%

Statistic 84

Pocket kings vs AK preflop all-in 71.2% equity

Statistic 85

Broadway offsuit SB 3-bet equity 49.7%

Statistic 86

Gapped connectors MP equity 47.8% vs tight range

Statistic 87

Weak ace BB defend equity 44.2%

Statistic 88

In five-card poker, the probability of being dealt a Royal Flush is exactly 1 in 649,740 hands

Statistic 89

The odds of getting a Straight Flush (excluding Royal Flush) in five-card poker are 1 in 72,193 hands

Statistic 90

Four of a Kind occurs with probability 1 in 4,165 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 91

Full House probability in five-card poker is 1 in 694 hands

Statistic 92

Flush odds are 1 in 509 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 93

Straight probability is 1 in 255 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 94

Three of a Kind occurs 1 in 47.2 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 95

Two Pair probability is 1 in 20.0 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 96

One Pair odds are 1 in 2.36 hands in five-card poker

Statistic 97

High Card probability is 50.1% or 1 in 2.0 hands approximately in five-card poker

Statistic 98

On river, nuts equity is 100%, but bluff catcher equity vs value range 35%

Statistic 99

In Omaha, double suited AAKK preflop equity 72.5% vs random

Statistic 100

PLO flop wrap equity 54.2% vs top set

Statistic 101

Stud 8 or better starting hand AA equity 68.3%

Statistic 102

In 5-card draw, probability of improving pair to trips is 11.8%

Statistic 103

Razz lowball ace-2-3-4 equity on fourth street 62.1%

Statistic 104

Badugi perfect pat hand frequency 0.0012% dealt

Statistic 105

In Short Deck Poker, AA preflop equity 78.9% vs random (no 2-5)

Statistic 106

Chinese Poker trips hand win rate 45.2% in fantasy units

Statistic 107

In PLO, AAxx double suited equity 65.4% preflop vs random four cards

Statistic 108

Omaha Hi-Lo scoop probability with A-2 suited 28.3%

Statistic 109

7-card Stud pair on third street equity 62.7%

Statistic 110

5-card Stud royal flush odds 1 in 500,000

Statistic 111

Draw poker after discard trips improve to full house 16.7%

Statistic 112

Pineapple poker AA preflop 78.2% equity

Statistic 113

Crazy Pineapple scoop rate 22.1%

Statistic 114

Irish Poker (32 cards) flush probability higher at 1 in 320

Statistic 115

Omaha preflop AA23ds equity 59.8% vs broadway

Statistic 116

Stud live cards impact third street equity +10.2%

Statistic 117

5-draw lowball perfect hand 1 in 3,200

Statistic 118

HORSE rotation equity averages 55% per game

Statistic 119

Courchevel PLO flop all-in equity with trips 64.3%

1/119

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While a royal flush is a breathtaking 1 in 649,740 longshot, the cold math of poker equity reveals a complex battlefield where knowing your 47.8% chance with gapped connectors or your 35% flush draw equity can be the difference between a triumphant river or a busted bluff.

Key Takeaways

In five-card poker, the probability of being dealt a Royal Flush is exactly 1 in 649,740 hands
The odds of getting a Straight Flush (excluding Royal Flush) in five-card poker are 1 in 72,193 hands
Four of a Kind occurs with probability 1 in 4,165 hands in five-card poker
In Texas Hold'em, AA preflop equity vs random hand is 85.2%
KK preflop win rate vs random range is 82.4% in Hold'em
QQ equity heads-up preflop is 79.9%
On the flop, top set equity is 81.6% vs overpair in Hold'em
Flush draw on flop has 35% equity vs top pair in Hold'em
Open-ended straight draw equity 31.5% on flop vs overpair
AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts to 42%
Set on turn vs flush draw equity 62.3% heads-up
Straight on turn vs higher straight draw 55.1% equity
On river, nuts equity is 100%, but bluff catcher equity vs value range 35%
In Omaha, double suited AAKK preflop equity 72.5% vs random
PLO flop wrap equity 54.2% vs top set

This blog post details the exact odds for every poker hand across different game variants.

Equity vs. Ranges

AA vs AK on turn with flush draw opponent equity shifts to 42%
Set on turn vs flush draw equity 62.3% heads-up
Straight on turn vs higher straight draw 55.1% equity
Top pair on turn equity vs combo draw 38.7%
OESD on turn equity 29.4% to river
Flush completed on turn equity 82.5% vs top pair
Two pair on turn vs set equity 18.2%
Overpair on turn vs double draw 45.6% equity
Trips on turn equity vs full house draw 67.8%
Broadway straight on turn 71.4% vs flush draw
Turn brick for flush draw reduces equity to 19.6%
Turn pairs OESD to straight 100% equity if nuts
Flush draw on turn vs set 35.2% equity
Straight on turn equity vs flush redraw 48.9%
Set on turn vs combo draw 61.7%
Top two pair turn equity 69.3% vs draws
Wheel straight turn 73.5% vs higher cards
Overfull house draw turn equity 42.1%
Nut flush on turn 88.4% vs bluffs
River completes FD but pairs board equity 55%
Turn runner-runner FD equity realized 4.3%
River block bet with TPTK equity 52.1% vs aggro range
Set over set turn cooler equity split 50/50
Nut straight river vs flush 0% dead
Two pair river equity vs better two pair 33.5%
Bluff catcher river equity 28.9% vs polarized range
Full house river 92.4% value
Trip aces river vs quads 12.1%
Blocked value river jam equity +8%
PLO nut flush equity 68.7% multiway river

Equity vs. Ranges Interpretation

These statistics reveal poker’s brutal honesty: just when you think you’re drawing to a sure thing, the numbers whisper how often you’ll actually get there, while warning that even your monsters can be someone else’s meal.

Postflop Hand Frequencies

On the flop, top set equity is 81.6% vs overpair in Hold'em
Flush draw on flop has 35% equity vs top pair in Hold'em
Open-ended straight draw equity 31.5% on flop vs overpair
Gutshot straight draw on flop equity 16.5% vs top pair
Overpair on flop equity vs two overcards 71.2%
Set mining flop equity implied odds require 15:1 pot odds
Top pair top kicker flop equity 65.4% vs draw heavy range
Double gutter on flop 28.2% equity vs overpair
Wheel straight draw flop equity 32.4%
Monotone flop hits flush draw 9% of time by river
On paired flop, set equity 82.1% vs overpair
Rainbow flop flush draw equity 34.9%
Monochrome flop nut flush draw 41.2% equity vs top pair
Flop texture dry board top pair equity 78.5%
Wet flop OESD + FD equity 52.3%
Bottom set on flop equity vs draws 76.4%
Overpair on coordinated flop 58.7% equity
Gutshot + overcards flop equity 22.1%
Trips with redraws flop 85.2%
Two flush draws on flop multiway equity drops to 28%
Flop c-bet frequency with top pair 72.5% in position
Dry flop check-raise equity adjustment +12%
Flop hit rate with suited connectors 32.1%
Paired board fold equity 28.4% with air
Nut advantage flop equity +15.2% multiway
Blocker heavy floats flop success 41.3%
Medium strength hands flop bet frequency 55.6%
Turn donk bet equity with draws 39.8%
River overbet value equity threshold 75.2%
Turn fold equity with semi-bluff 34.7%

Postflop Hand Frequencies Interpretation

These statistics confirm that poker is a game of beautiful, cruel mathematics where the thrill of chasing a dream is constantly being mugged by the sobering reality of your own equity.

Preflop Hand Strengths

In Texas Hold'em, AA preflop equity vs random hand is 85.2%
KK preflop win rate vs random range is 82.4% in Hold'em
QQ equity heads-up preflop is 79.9%
AKs preflop strength vs random is 66.2%
AQo equity preflop is 61.8% vs random hand
76s suited connector preflop equity 56.3% vs random
22 pocket pair preflop winrate 50.3% vs two random cards
JTs preflop equity 58.1% heads-up
KQo offsuit preflop strength 59.2%
98s equity vs random 57.4% in Hold'em preflop
In Texas Hold'em preflop, 72o is the worst starting hand with 32.4% equity vs random
AJs preflop equity vs 22+ range is 48.7%
Pocket 99 preflop winrate 54.2% vs loose range
KJs suited preflop strength 62.1% heads-up tight
QTo offsuit equity 45.3% vs random hand
65s connector preflop 53.8% equity
TT pocket pair 57.1% vs AKo specifically
ATs preflop 61.2% vs underpair
87s equity 55.9% preflop random
In Preflop 6-max, raise first in with 22+ 15.2% of hands
Button vs BB preflop shoving range equity 58.4%
UTG 9-handed open raise AA equity 88.1% vs calling range
Suited ace cutoff steal equity 52.3%
Pocket kings vs AK preflop all-in 71.2% equity
Broadway offsuit SB 3-bet equity 49.7%
Gapped connectors MP equity 47.8% vs tight range
Weak ace BB defend equity 44.2%

Preflop Hand Strengths Interpretation

In the cold calculus of preflop, pocket aces are a merciless monarch (85.2% chance to crush a random peasant), but even the lowly 72-offsuit (32.4%) reminds us that in poker, as in life, hope is a four-letter word that often spells "donate."

Probability Distributions

In five-card poker, the probability of being dealt a Royal Flush is exactly 1 in 649,740 hands
The odds of getting a Straight Flush (excluding Royal Flush) in five-card poker are 1 in 72,193 hands
Four of a Kind occurs with probability 1 in 4,165 hands in five-card poker
Full House probability in five-card poker is 1 in 694 hands
Flush odds are 1 in 509 hands in five-card poker
Straight probability is 1 in 255 hands in five-card poker
Three of a Kind occurs 1 in 47.2 hands in five-card poker
Two Pair probability is 1 in 20.0 hands in five-card poker
One Pair odds are 1 in 2.36 hands in five-card poker
High Card probability is 50.1% or 1 in 2.0 hands approximately in five-card poker

Probability Distributions Interpretation

In poker, you'll mostly just have a sad, lonely card, but if you're truly blessed by the gods of randomness, you might just see a royal flush before you lose your mortgage payment on a bluff.

Variant-Specific Stats

On river, nuts equity is 100%, but bluff catcher equity vs value range 35%
In Omaha, double suited AAKK preflop equity 72.5% vs random
PLO flop wrap equity 54.2% vs top set
Stud 8 or better starting hand AA equity 68.3%
In 5-card draw, probability of improving pair to trips is 11.8%
Razz lowball ace-2-3-4 equity on fourth street 62.1%
Badugi perfect pat hand frequency 0.0012% dealt
In Short Deck Poker, AA preflop equity 78.9% vs random (no 2-5)
Chinese Poker trips hand win rate 45.2% in fantasy units
In PLO, AAxx double suited equity 65.4% preflop vs random four cards
Omaha Hi-Lo scoop probability with A-2 suited 28.3%
7-card Stud pair on third street equity 62.7%
5-card Stud royal flush odds 1 in 500,000
Draw poker after discard trips improve to full house 16.7%
Pineapple poker AA preflop 78.2% equity
Crazy Pineapple scoop rate 22.1%
Irish Poker (32 cards) flush probability higher at 1 in 320
Omaha preflop AA23ds equity 59.8% vs broadway
Stud live cards impact third street equity +10.2%
5-draw lowball perfect hand 1 in 3,200
HORSE rotation equity averages 55% per game
Courchevel PLO flop all-in equity with trips 64.3%

Variant-Specific Stats Interpretation

From the river’s cold certainty to the long-shot dreams of Badugi, these numbers prove poker is a beautiful, brutal math problem where hope and equity share a very tense drink.

Sources & References

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