Key Takeaways
- Approximately 20% of new businesses in the United States fail within their first year of operation
- Around 30% of small businesses shutter their doors within the first two years
- Nearly 50% of all new businesses fail within five years of launch
- Restaurants have a 30% failure rate within the first year in the U.S.
- Retail businesses fail at 25% in year one per BLS
- Construction firms see 20.5% first-year failure
- No cash flow is cited as the primary reason for 82% of small business failures
- Running out of cash accounts for 29% of startup failures per CB Insights postmortem
- No market need causes 42% of startup shutdowns
- 21.5% of new U.S. businesses fail in first year, 45% by year 5, 65% by year 10 per BLS longitudinal data
- Only 55% survive past 5 years, 35% past 10, 25% past 15 years
- Year 1 survival: 79.4%, Year 2: 69.3%, Year 3: 62.5% for employer firms
- 70% of failed businesses had founders under 30 years old
- Businesses with experienced founders (10+ years) fail 30% less
- Female-led startups fail at 1.5x rate of male-led due to funding gaps
Business failure rates start high and increase sharply over a new company's life.
Common Reasons for Failure
- No cash flow is cited as the primary reason for 82% of small business failures
- Running out of cash accounts for 29% of startup failures per CB Insights postmortem
- No market need causes 42% of startup shutdowns
- Poor team dynamics lead to 23% of failures
- Get outcompeted by 19% of cases
- Pricing/cost issues in 18% of failures
- Poor product quality causes 17% shutdowns
- Need/lack of business model 17%
- Poor marketing reaches only 14% failure attribution
- Ignore customers leads to 14% demise
- Product mistimed for 13%
- Lose focus causes 13% failures
- Disharmony team/investors 13%
- Pivot gone bad 10%
- Ineffective operations 8%
- Bad location 7% for brick-and-mortar
- Overly optimistic projections 6%
- Lack of funding 5% direct cause but amplifies others
- Insufficient planning 4%
- Legal/compliance issues 3%
- Burnout/exhaustion 2%
- Cybersecurity breaches contribute to 1-2% direct failures
- Pandemic-related supply chain issues caused 15% more failures in 2020
- 50% of businesses fail within 5 years primarily due to inadequate management
Common Reasons for Failure Interpretation
Industry-Specific Failure Rates
- Restaurants have a 30% failure rate within the first year in the U.S.
- Retail businesses fail at 25% in year one per BLS
- Construction firms see 20.5% first-year failure
- Tech startups fail at 63% within first three years
- Healthcare services have 15% first-year failure rate
- Information sector (software) 28% failure in year one
- Accommodation and food services 26.7% first-year fail
- Manufacturing new firms 18.2% failure rate year one
- Professional services 14.5% first-year failure
- Arts/entertainment/recreation 29.4% fail in year one
- Transportation/warehousing 22.1% first-year failure
- Real estate 19.8% failure rate year one
- Administrative services 24.6% first-year fail
- E-commerce retail 35% failure within first year
- Fintech startups 75% fail within three years
- Biotech firms 90% failure rate over pipeline development
- Fashion startups 80% fail due to inventory issues
- SaaS companies 43% fail within first 18 months
- Hardware tech 52% first-year failure rate
- Clean energy startups 70% fail within five years
- Gaming industry 95% indie game studios fail
- Travel agencies 28% failure in year one post-COVID
- Fitness gyms 34% first-year closure rate
- Coffee shops 40% fail within first year
Industry-Specific Failure Rates Interpretation
Influencing Factors
- 70% of failed businesses had founders under 30 years old
- Businesses with experienced founders (10+ years) fail 30% less
- Female-led startups fail at 1.5x rate of male-led due to funding gaps
- Urban startups survive 20% better than rural due to market access
- Recession years see 15% higher failure rates
- VC-backed firms fail 75% but survivors grow faster
- College-educated founders correlate with 25% lower failure
- Inflation above 3% increases failure by 10%
- Online-only businesses fail 10% less due to lower overhead
- Pandemic boosted e-com survival by 15%
- Debt-financed firms fail 2x more than bootstrapped
- Serial entrepreneurs succeed 30% more on second venture
- High-interest environments raise failure 12%
- Diverse teams reduce failure risk by 35%
- Remote work post-2020 cut failures by 8% for services
Influencing Factors Interpretation
Overall Failure Rates
- Approximately 20% of new businesses in the United States fail within their first year of operation
- Around 30% of small businesses shutter their doors within the first two years
- Nearly 50% of all new businesses fail within five years of launch
- 65% of startups do not make it past their tenth year
- In 2022, the overall first-year failure rate for U.S. businesses was 21.5%
- 29.6% of businesses fail in their second year according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data from 2021
- The five-year failure rate for new U.S. firms averaged 48.4% between 2013-2019
- Over 70% of small businesses fail due to premature scaling or other factors within a decade
- Global startup failure rate stands at 90% within the first few years
- In the EU, 20% of new enterprises fail in year one as per Eurostat 2022
- U.S. business failure rate rose to 25% in first year during 2020 pandemic
- Average lifespan of a startup is 5.4 years before failure
- 42% of businesses fail within three years per recent IRS data
- First-year failure climbs to 22% for solopreneur ventures
- 55% cumulative failure by year five for tech startups specifically
- Non-employer businesses have a 25.3% first-year failure rate
- Employer firms see 18.7% failure in year one
- Post-2021 recovery saw failure rates drop to 19.8% for new firms
- Historical average U.S. failure rate is 19-22% annually for newborns
- 90% of Indonesian startups fail within first two years
- UK new business failure rate is 60% within three years
- Canada reports 22% first-year failure for SMEs
- Australia sees 30% failure in year two for new ventures
- India startup failure rate hits 90% per NASSCOM
- Brazil new firms fail at 23% in first year
- South Africa SME failure rate 70-80% within five years
- China sees 80% startup failure annually
- Japan new business survival past year one at 80% (20% fail)
- Germany 15% first-year failure rate per Destatis
- France new enterprises 18% failure in year one
Overall Failure Rates Interpretation
Time-Based Survival Rates
- 21.5% of new U.S. businesses fail in first year, 45% by year 5, 65% by year 10 per BLS longitudinal data
- Only 55% survive past 5 years, 35% past 10, 25% past 15 years
- Year 1 survival: 79.4%, Year 2: 69.3%, Year 3: 62.5% for employer firms
- Startups: 10% survive 5+ years, 40% fail immediately
- Median lifespan before failure: 2.1 years for new firms
- 1-year survival rate dropped to 78% in 2020 from 80%
- High-growth firms: 70% survive 5 years vs 50% average
- Solopreneurs: 60% fail by year 3
- Franchises survive 92% past year 1 vs 80% independents
- Post-year 5, annual failure rate stabilizes at 6-7%
- 30% fail between years 2-5
- Survival curve: 80% year1, 50% year5, 30% year10
- Pandemic accelerated failures: 25% less 2-year survivors in 2021 cohort
- Tech sector: 37% survive 5 years vs 50% overall
- Retail: 34% 1-year survival
- Only 10% of startups founded in 2013 still operating in 2023
- Average survival time increased to 7.4 years pre-2000 from 5.7 post
- Year-over-year survival declines 5-10% annually post-year1
- Long-term (20+ years) survivors: under 10% of all startups
- Immigrant-owned firms 70% survive 5 years vs 60% native
- Minority-owned: 65% 5-year survival
Time-Based Survival Rates Interpretation
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