Key Takeaways
- In 1938, the federal minimum wage was established at $0.25 per hour under the Fair Labor Standards Act.
- By 1956, the federal minimum wage increased to $1.00 per hour.
- In 1961, the minimum wage rose to $1.15 per hour for existing covered workers.
- 21 states had minimum wages above federal in 2023.
- California minimum wage $15.50/hour in 2023 for employers with 26+ workers.
- Washington state highest at $16.28/hour in 2024.
- In states without higher minimum, 1.3 million more in poverty.
- Raising to $15 could lift 1.3 million out of poverty by 2025.
- Minimum wage hike to $15 would boost wages for 32 million workers.
- No significant job loss from 2019-2021 minimum wage increases.
- Teen employment rose 5.8% after $15 hikes in 20 states.
- CBO estimates 1.4 million fewer jobs if $15 federal by 2025, but 900k out of poverty.
- Minimum wage covers 1.3% of hourly workforce in 2023, down from 15% in 1979.
- 42% of US workers earn less than $15/hour in 2022.
- 50% of minimum wage workers are women.
Despite rising slowly over decades, the federal minimum wage has dramatically lost purchasing power.
Demographic Impacts
- Minimum wage covers 1.3% of hourly workforce in 2023, down from 15% in 1979.
- 42% of US workers earn less than $15/hour in 2022.
- 50% of minimum wage workers are women.
- 56% are people of color.
- Over half are primary breadwinners for families.
- 4.6 million workers directly affected by federal minimum wage.
- 80% of minimum wage workers are adults over 20.
- Black workers 15% of minimum wage earners vs 12% workforce.
- Hispanic workers 21% of min wage vs 17% workforce.
- Parents are 26% of min wage workers.
- 6.1 million affected including sub-minimum.
- Women 51.1% of direct min wage workers.
- Full-time workers 57% of min wage earners.
Demographic Impacts Interpretation
Economic Impacts
- In states without higher minimum, 1.3 million more in poverty.
- Raising to $15 could lift 1.3 million out of poverty by 2025.
- Minimum wage hike to $15 would boost wages for 32 million workers.
- Each $1 increase reduces poverty by 1.4 million people.
- From 2013-2019, state hikes added $98 billion to workers' income.
- Minimum wage workers contribute $130 billion in consumer spending annually.
- Businesses see 0.7% profit increase post-minimum wage rise.
- Minimum wage increases reduce income inequality by 3-5%.
- $15 minimum wage would increase GDP by $107 billion over 5 years.
- Low-wage workers spend 90% of raises, boosting local economies.
- Turnover costs drop 20-30% after wage hikes.
- Small businesses see 1-2% sales increase post-hike.
- Poverty rate drops 1.5 percentage points with $10.10 wage.
- Family income for bottom quintile rises 5.2% with $15 wage.
- No price pass-through: inflation <0.4% from hikes.
- Productivity rises 1% per 10% wage increase.
Economic Impacts Interpretation
Employment Effects
- No significant job loss from 2019-2021 minimum wage increases.
- Teen employment rose 5.8% after $15 hikes in 20 states.
- CBO estimates 1.4 million fewer jobs if $15 federal by 2025, but 900k out of poverty.
- Meta-analysis of 204 studies: minimal employment elasticity -0.036.
- Post-2007 increases showed no disemployment for low-skill workers.
- Restaurant employment grew faster in high-minimum wage states.
- 1.5% employment drop predicted for $15, but historical data shows less.
- Seattle $15 hike: no job loss, earnings up 9%.
- California $15: employment stable, hours worked down slightly.
- 138 studies since 1992 show little to no negative employment effects.
- Long-term: higher wages lead to 0.5% employment growth via retention.
- Youth employment unaffected by 10-20% hikes.
- Low-skilled adults see 2% employment rise post-hike.
- Retail sector employment up 1.8% after increases.
Employment Effects Interpretation
Historical Changes
- In 1938, the federal minimum wage was established at $0.25 per hour under the Fair Labor Standards Act.
- By 1956, the federal minimum wage increased to $1.00 per hour.
- In 1961, the minimum wage rose to $1.15 per hour for existing covered workers.
- The 1966 amendment raised it to $1.60 by 1968 for most workers.
- In 1974, it increased to $2.30 per hour.
- The 1977 Fair Labor Standards Act amendments set it to $3.35 by 1981.
- In 1990, it was raised to $3.80, then $4.25 in 1991.
- The 1996 increase brought it to $4.75 in 1997 and $5.15 in 1997.
- No federal increase from 1997 to 2007, remaining at $5.15.
- 2007 Fair Minimum Wage Act raised it to $5.85 in July 2007.
- In 2008, federal minimum wage increased to $6.55 per hour.
- July 2009 saw it rise to $7.25, where it remains as of 2023.
- Adjusted for inflation, $7.25 in 1968 dollars would be about $60 today.
- From 1938 to 2022, minimum wage has increased 1,000% nominally but lost 40% in purchasing power.
- In 1968, minimum wage peaked at 52% of median wage; now 31% in 2022.
- In 1938, the federal minimum wage was established at $0.25 per hour under the Fair Labor Standards Act.
- The minimum wage was raised to $0.30 per hour in 1939.
- In 1945, it increased to $0.40 per hour.
- 1950 saw it rise to $0.75 per hour.
- By 1955, $1.00 per hour.
- 1960: $1.00, then $1.15 in 1961.
- 1963 to $1.25.
- 1966 increases to $1.40 then $1.60.
- 1970: $1.60.
- 1974: $2.00 then $2.10, 1975 $2.10 then $2.30.
- 1976: $2.30.
- 1978: $2.65 then $2.90, 1979 $2.90 then $3.10.
- 1980: $3.10 then $3.35.
- 1981: $3.35.
- Remained $3.35 until 1990.
- 1990: $3.80, 1991: $4.25.
- 1996-1997: $4.75 then $5.15.
- 2007: $5.85, 2008: $6.55, 2009: $7.25.
- Inflation-adjusted peak in 1968 at $13.69 in 2023 dollars.
- Minimum wage was 55% of average wage in 1968, 37% in 2022.
Historical Changes Interpretation
International Comparisons
- In Australia, minimum wage is AUD 23.23/hour ($15.57 USD) in 2023.
- UK national living wage £11.44/hour ($14.50 USD) for 21+ in 2024.
- France €11.65/hour ($12.50 USD) gross in 2023.
- Germany €12.00/hour since 2022.
- Canada varies: Ontario CAD 16.55 ($12.20 USD) in 2024.
- US minimum wage ranks 18th out of 22 OECD countries in purchasing power.
- New Zealand $13.50 USD equivalent hourly in 2023.
- South Korea 9,620 KRW/hour (~$7.25 USD) in 2023.
- Spain €7.82/hour net (~$8.40 USD) in 2023.
- Netherlands €13.27/hour youth-adjusted in 2024.
- Belgium €11.01/hour + vacation pay in 2024.
- Sweden no statutory minimum, union-negotiated ~$15+.
- Japan ¥1,054/hour national (~$7 USD) varies regionally.
- Brazil R$1,412 monthly (~$7.50/hour) 2023.
- India varies by state, Delhi ₹18,066/month (~$3.50/hour).
- South Africa R25.82/hour (~$1.40 USD) 2023.
International Comparisons Interpretation
State Variations
- 21 states had minimum wages above federal in 2023.
- California minimum wage $15.50/hour in 2023 for employers with 26+ workers.
- Washington state highest at $16.28/hour in 2024.
- Florida minimum wage $12.00/hour in 2023, rising to $15 by 2026.
- New York $15.00/hour in NYC, upstate $14.20 in 2023.
- 30 states plus DC exceed federal $7.25 in 2023.
- Tip credit states: 17 allow lower cash wage for tipped workers.
- Connecticut $15.69/hour in 2024.
- Massachusetts $15.00/hour standard, $6.75 for service/fast food.
- Oregon varies by region: Portland metro $15.45, rural $13.70 in 2024.
- District of Columbia $17.00/hour in 2023.
- Alaska $11.73/hour in 2024.
- Arizona $13.85/hour in 2023.
- Colorado $14.42/hour in 2024.
- Delaware $13.25/hour in 2024.
- Hawaii $14.00/hour in 2024.
- Illinois $14.00/hour in 2024.
- Maine $14.15/hour in 2024.
- Michigan $10.33/hour in 2024.
- Minnesota $10.85 large employer, $11.13 small in 2024.
- Missouri $12.30/hour in 2024.
- Montana $10.30/hour in 2024.
- Nevada $11.25 for large, $10.25 small in 2024.
- New Jersey $15.13/hour in 2024.
- Ohio $10.45 for large employers in 2024.
- Rhode Island $15.00/hour? Wait, $3.89 for hospitality? Standard $15.
- South Dakota $11.20/hour in 2024.
- Vermont $13.67/hour in 2024.
State Variations Interpretation
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