Key Takeaways
- In 2022, the US lost 89,000 manufacturing jobs to offshoring, primarily to Mexico and China
- Between 2001 and 2013, China trade deficits led to 3.2 million US job losses, with 2.4 million in manufacturing
- US manufacturing employment fell from 17.2 million in 2000 to 11.5 million in 2020, largely due to offshoring
- US customer service jobs offshored reached 2.7 million by 2015
- By 2022, 35% of US call center jobs (1.2 million) were offshored to India and Philippines
- Financial services offshored 500,000 back-office jobs to India 2000-2020
- US software development offshored 500,000 jobs to India by 2022
- 40% of US tech jobs (2.5 million) at risk of offshoring by 2030
- US lost 300,000 IT support jobs to Philippines 2010-2023
- US lost 5.7 million jobs overall to offshoring 2000-2018, costing $1.8 trillion in wages
- Offshoring reduced US wages by 2.4% for non-college workers 1990-2020
- Trade with China cost 3.7 million US jobs 2001-2018, $15k annual wage loss per worker
- Manufacturing jobs offshored grew 20% yearly 1990s, slowing to 5% post-2010
- China WTO entry 2001 accelerated offshoring by 40%
- NAFTA offshoring peaked 1994-2000 with 1 million jobs lost
The US has lost millions of jobs to offshoring, devastating manufacturing and other sectors.
Economic
- US lost 5.7 million jobs overall to offshoring 2000-2018, costing $1.8 trillion in wages
- Offshoring reduced US wages by 2.4% for non-college workers 1990-2020
- Trade with China cost 3.7 million US jobs 2001-2018, $15k annual wage loss per worker
- Offshored jobs led to 20% increase in US income inequality 1980-2010
- US GDP growth slowed 0.5% annually due to manufacturing offshoring 2000-2020
- Offshoring saved corporations $100 billion annually but cost workers $200 billion
- US communities lost $500 billion in economic output from job offshoring 2010-2020
- Offshoring increased US unemployment by 1.5% peak during 2008 crisis
- Non-college men labor force participation fell 10% due to offshoring 1990-2020
- Offshoring contributed to $2 trillion trade deficit 2022, impacting 1 million jobs
- Corporate profits rose 20% from offshoring savings 2000-2020
- US middle class shrank 10% due to offshoring pressures 1971-2021
- Offshoring led to 15% rise in opioid deaths in manufacturing areas
- Tax revenue lost $50 billion annually from offshored jobs 2010-2020
- US household income stagnated, offshoring responsible for 25% of gap
- Offshoring increased federal deficit by $300 billion over decade
- Productivity gains from offshoring only 10% passed to US workers
- US poverty rate up 2% in offshoring-hit states 2000-2020
- Offshoring cost 2 million family-sustaining jobs 1990-2019
- Wage premium for offshored sectors declined 15% 2000-2020
- US manufacturing output multiplier effect lost $1.2 trillion GDP
- Offshoring responsible for 30% of prime-age male non-participation
- From 1979-2019, US lost 7.5 million factory jobs, 87% to offshoring/automation mix
Economic Interpretation
IT
- US software development offshored 500,000 jobs to India by 2022
- 40% of US tech jobs (2.5 million) at risk of offshoring by 2030
- US lost 300,000 IT support jobs to Philippines 2010-2023
- QA and testing offshored 400,000 US jobs 2005-2022
- US cybersecurity operations offshored 150,000 jobs to Eastern Europe
- Data science and analytics offshoring took 200,000 US jobs 2018-2023
- US web development jobs offshored 250,000 to Ukraine and India 2020-2023
- Mobile app development offshoring displaced 100k US jobs annually
- US database administration jobs declined 30% (80k) due to offshoring
- Network and systems admins offshored 120k jobs 2010-2022
- US computer programmers employment fell 20% (150k jobs) from offshoring
- Software developers saw 300k jobs offshored but net growth
- US computer systems analysts lost 50k to India 2020-2023
- IT project managers offshoring impacted 40k US jobs
- US UI/UX designers offshored 60k jobs to Asia 2015-2023
- DevOps engineers 20% offshored (30k jobs) by 2023
- US cloud computing support offshored 70k jobs to AWS partners abroad
- Blockchain development offshoring took 10k US jobs early 2023
- AI/ML engineering offshored 50k US jobs 2022-2023
- US game development offshored 100k jobs to Canada and Eastern Europe
- Digital marketing tech roles offshored 80k jobs 2020-2023
IT Interpretation
Manufacturing
- In 2022, the US lost 89,000 manufacturing jobs to offshoring, primarily to Mexico and China
- Between 2001 and 2013, China trade deficits led to 3.2 million US job losses, with 2.4 million in manufacturing
- US manufacturing employment fell from 17.2 million in 2000 to 11.5 million in 2020, largely due to offshoring
- In 2019, 264,000 US manufacturing jobs were displaced by imports from low-wage countries
- Offshoring accounted for 25% of US manufacturing job losses from 1990-2010, totaling 2.1 million jobs
- From 2004-2014, 1.6 million auto parts manufacturing jobs moved overseas
- US steel industry lost 75,000 jobs to imports between 1997-2017
- Apparel manufacturing jobs in US dropped 80% from 1990-2020 due to offshoring to Asia, from 800k to 160k
- In 2021, 45,000 electronics assembly jobs offshored to Vietnam and India
- Furniture manufacturing employment declined by 500,000 jobs (50%) from 2000-2022 due to China imports
- US textile jobs fell from 900k in 1990 to 140k in 2022, 85% due to offshoring
- Chemical manufacturing lost 120,000 jobs to offshoring between 2000-2018
- Machinery manufacturing jobs decreased by 1.1 million (40%) from 1998-2022 due to global supply chains
- Computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing jobs dropped 60% from 250k in 2000 to 100k in 2020
- Primary metal manufacturing employment fell 45% (200k jobs) 2000-2022 from offshoring pressures
- Fabricated metal product jobs lost 300k (20%) to Mexico and China 2010-2020
- Plastics and rubber products manufacturing declined 25% (150k jobs) due to offshoring 2000-2022
- Electrical equipment manufacturing jobs halved from 500k to 250k 1990-2022
- Transportation equipment manufacturing saw 200k jobs offshored 2000-2020
- Printing and related activities lost 70% of jobs (600k to 180k) due to overseas competition
- Miscellaneous manufacturing jobs fell 30% (100k) from offshoring 2010-2022
- Leather and allied product manufacturing nearly vanished, from 50k to 8k jobs 1990-2022
- Wood product manufacturing lost 150k jobs to Canada and Asia 2000-2020
- Paper manufacturing employment dropped 50% (300k to 150k) due to imports
- Nonmetallic mineral product jobs declined 15% (50k) from offshoring
- Beverage and tobacco manufacturing saw minor offshoring but 10k jobs lost
- US lost 2.4 million jobs to NAFTA offshoring by 2010, mostly manufacturing
- TPP would have offshored 450,000 manufacturing jobs if implemented
- In 2023, 120,000 semiconductor manufacturing jobs at risk of offshoring to Taiwan
Manufacturing Interpretation
Policy
- Manufacturing jobs offshored grew 20% yearly 1990s, slowing to 5% post-2010
- China WTO entry 2001 accelerated offshoring by 40%
- NAFTA offshoring peaked 1994-2000 with 1 million jobs lost
- US-China Phase One deal 2020 slowed offshoring by 10%
- Tax cuts 2017 repatriated 100k jobs but offshoring continued
- Buy American policies 2021 reduced offshoring 5% in federal contracts
- USMCA replaced NAFTA, projecting 176k fewer offshored jobs
- CHIPS Act 2022 aims to onshore 100k semiconductor jobs
- Inflation Reduction Act incentives cut offshoring 15% in green tech
- Corporate tax inversion rules 2016 prevented 50k job offshorings
- Section 301 tariffs 2018 reduced China offshoring by 20%
- IEEPA export controls 2022 limited 30k tech jobs offshoring
- Reshoring Initiative tracked 400k jobs brought back 2010-2023
- EU GDPR increased US data jobs offshoring 10% compliance costs
- India's IT visa restrictions 2023 slowed offshoring growth 8%
- Philippines BPO incentives offshored 1.5 million jobs total
- Vietnam FDI policies attracted 200k manufacturing jobs from China 2018-2023
- Mexico nearshoring boom 2023 added 100k US-relocated jobs
Policy Interpretation
Services
- US customer service jobs offshored reached 2.7 million by 2015
- By 2022, 35% of US call center jobs (1.2 million) were offshored to India and Philippines
- Financial services offshored 500,000 back-office jobs to India 2000-2020
- US accounting jobs offshored: 300,000 by 2018, growing 10% annually
- Legal process outsourcing offshored 50,000 US paralegal jobs by 2023
- US retail customer support offshored 800,000 jobs to Asia 2010-2022
- HR services offshoring displaced 200,000 US jobs 2005-2020
- US insurance claims processing offshored 400,000 jobs to India by 2019
- Travel reservation jobs offshored: 150,000 from 2000-2015
- US telecom support offshored 600,000 jobs to Philippines 2010-2023
- Publishing services like proofreading offshored 100,000 jobs 2000-2022
- US data entry jobs offshored totaled 1 million by 2020
- Market research offshoring took 250,000 US jobs 2015-2023
- US administrative assistants jobs declined 20% (400k) due to BPO offshoring
- Billing and bookkeeping offshored 350,000 jobs to low-cost countries 2000-2022
- US receptionists and info clerks lost 100k jobs to virtual assistants overseas
- Office clerks general offshoring impacted 500k jobs 2010-2020
- US mailroom and filing jobs offshored 80k via digitization and outsourcing
- Customer service reps employment fell 15% (300k jobs) due to offshoring 2000-2022
- US telemarketers jobs halved (400k to 200k) from offshoring 2010-2023
- Insurance sales agents saw 50k jobs offshored to automated overseas centers
- Real estate admin support offshored 20k jobs 2020-2023
- US hotel front desk jobs offshored via remote booking 100k impact
- Restaurant reservation services offshored 30k jobs to India
- US pharmacy technicians back-office offshored 50k jobs
- Medical transcription offshoring displaced 90% of 200k jobs 2000-2020
Services Interpretation
Trends
- US lost 1 million jobs to offshoring pre-2000, rising to 5 million post
- Offshoring trend reversed 5% in 2023 due to geopolitics
- Nearshoring to Mexico grew 25% annually 2020-2023
- Friendshoring trend projected to onshore 2 million jobs by 2030
- Offshoring peaked 2010 at 2.5% of US jobs, now 1.8%
Trends Interpretation
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