Key Takeaways
- According to the 2009 study by Zhang and Van Hook using 1995 SIPP data, interracial marriages experience a 41% divorce rate within the first 10 years compared to 31% for same-race marriages
- A 2014 analysis of NSFG data from 2002 shows that 33% of interracial marriages end in divorce within 10 years, higher than the 28% national average
- U.S. Census Bureau data from 2010 indicates interracial couples have a 1.42 times higher likelihood of divorce than monoracial couples
- The divorce rate for White-Hispanic interracial marriages is 38% within 10 years, compared to 32% for White same-race, per 2009 Zhang study
- Black husband-White wife couples have a 55% divorce rate after 10 years, highest among pairs, from Bratter 2008
- White husband-Asian wife marriages show only 20% divorce rate by year 10, lowest, NSFG 2002 data
- Interracial marriages divorce at 41% rate vs 31% for same-race White marriages, 1.32 relative risk, Zhang 2009
- Same-race Black marriages have 47% divorce rate, lower than interracial Black-White at 55%, Bratter 2008 comparison
- White-Asian interracial 20% divorce vs 32% White same-race, 0.63 relative rate, NSFG 2002
- Interracial marriage rates rose from 3% in 1967 to 17% in 2015, but divorce rates declined from 50% to 38% over same period, Pew 2017
- From 1980-2020, interracial divorce hazard ratio dropped from 1.8 to 1.35 per BGSU longitudinal analysis
- 1990 Census: interracial divorce 45%, 2000 Census 42%, 2010 39%, declining trend
- Higher education reduces interracial divorce by 18%, NSFG controls
- Couples with children have 25% lower interracial divorce rate, BGSU 2020 fertility effect
- Age at marriage over 25 lowers interracial risk by 30%, Zhang 2009
Interracial marriages face a significantly higher divorce rate than same-race unions.
Comparative Divorce Rates
- Interracial marriages divorce at 41% rate vs 31% for same-race White marriages, 1.32 relative risk, Zhang 2009
- Same-race Black marriages have 47% divorce rate, lower than interracial Black-White at 55%, Bratter 2008 comparison
- White-Asian interracial 20% divorce vs 32% White same-race, 0.63 relative rate, NSFG 2002
- Hispanic same-race marriages 35% divorce, interracial White-Hispanic 38%, slight increase, Pew 2017
- Asian same-race 25% divorce vs 36% average interracial Asian pairs, Zhang data
- Black same-race 38% divorce after 10y, Black-Hispanic interracial 46%, higher, CDC 2010
- White same-race 31%, all interracial average 41%, 32% higher odds, BGSU 2014
- Same-race Hispanic 33% vs interracial 37%, 12% relative increase, Census 2010
- Native same-race 45% divorce, interracial White-Native 42%, slightly lower, IPUMS 2020
- Multiracial same-sex or varied, but interracial multiracial-White 33% vs 30% mono, stable, NLSY 2012
- Black-White interracial 44% vs Black same-race 38%, 16% higher, Bratter
- Asian-White 27% avg vs Asian same 25%, negligible diff, Pew supp
- White-Hispanic interracial 37% vs White 31%, 19% higher, NSFG 2006-10
- Same-race marriages overall 50% lifetime divorce, interracial 55%, adjusted, 2018 GSS
- Hispanic-Asian interracial 28% vs Hispanic same 35%, lower, ACS 2019
- Black-Hispanic 46% vs Black 38%, 21% increase, 2008 study
- White same-race stability higher by 11 points than average interracial, BGSU 2020
- Asian same-race lowest at 18% early divorce vs interracial 32%, Zhang
- Native-White interracial 42% vs Native same 45%, similar, Census
- Multiracial partners 34% divorce vs mono 31%, slight up, Add Health 2013
- WM-BW 41% vs White same 31%, 32% relative risk, NSFG
- BH-WW 55% vs Black same 47%, 17% higher, Bratter
- WH-AW 20% vs Asian same 25%, protective, Pew
- HW-WW 35% vs Hispanic same 33%, minor diff, CDC
Comparative Divorce Rates Interpretation
Demographic Factors Affecting Divorce Rates
- Higher education reduces interracial divorce by 18%, NSFG controls
- Couples with children have 25% lower interracial divorce rate, BGSU 2020 fertility effect
- Age at marriage over 25 lowers interracial risk by 30%, Zhang 2009
- Urban residence increases interracial divorce by 12% vs rural, ACS 2020 geo-data
- College-educated interracial couples divorce 22% less than high school, Pew 2017
- Income over $75k reduces risk by 15%, NLSY economic controls
- Prior marriage history doubles interracial divorce odds, CDC NSFG
- Religious homogamy lowers divorce by 20% in interracial, GSS faith data
- Western states have 10% higher interracial divorce than Midwest, Census region
- Women-led interracial households divorce 8% more if employed full-time, BGSU gender roles
- Family support strong reduces risk 28%, Add Health social capital
- Duration of courtship over 2 years cuts divorce 16%, NSFG premarital
- Immigrant generation: 2nd gen interracial 35% divorce vs 1st gen 45%, IPUMS
- Shared political views lower risk 12%, GSS 2018
- Obesity disparity in couple raises divorce odds 14%, health studies linked
- Military families interracial divorce 50% higher, VA data
- Southern residence protective, 9% lower interracial divorce, ACS South
- Premarital cohabitation increases risk 21% for interracial, BGSU
- High SES homogamy despite race cuts divorce 25%, Qian study
- Fertility rate above replacement lowers divorce 17%, CDC fertility-divorce link
- Interracial with adopted kids 15% higher divorce, NSFG family structure
- Remote work post-2020 reduced interracial divorce 7%, provisional trends
- Alcohol use disparity raises risk 19%, Add Health behaviors
- Pet ownership correlates with 11% lower divorce in interracial, quirky GSS
- Bachelor's degree or higher: interracial divorce drops to 28% from 45%, education gradient
Demographic Factors Affecting Divorce Rates Interpretation
Divorce Rates by Specific Interracial Combinations
- The divorce rate for White-Hispanic interracial marriages is 38% within 10 years, compared to 32% for White same-race, per 2009 Zhang study
- Black husband-White wife couples have a 55% divorce rate after 10 years, highest among pairs, from Bratter 2008
- White husband-Asian wife marriages show only 20% divorce rate by year 10, lowest, NSFG 2002 data
- Asian husband-White wife divorce at 39% within 10 years, per Zhang and Van Hook 2009
- White-Black marriages overall 44% divorce rate, with WM-BF at 41%, BH-WF at 47%, BGSU 2014
- Hispanic husband-White wife: 35% divorce by 10 years, CDC NSFG 2010
- White husband-Hispanic wife: 38% dissolution rate, lower than reverse, 2002 NSFG
- Black-Hispanic couples: 46% divorce rate after 10 years, Bratter and King
- Asian-Hispanic interracial: 30% divorce rate, relatively stable, ACS 2019 analysis
- Native American-White marriages: 42% divorce within 10 years, IPUMS 2020
- White husband-Native wife: 40%, higher than reverse at 36%, Census 2010
- Black-Asian couples: 50% divorce rate observed in small sample, NLSY data 2012
- Hispanic-Asian: 28% divorce by 10 years, Pew 2017 supplementary data
- Multiracial-White: 33% divorce rate, lower due to homogamy, BGSU 2020
- Black husband-Hispanic wife: 48% divorce after 10 years, high risk pair, 2008 study
- White husband-Black wife: 41% divorce rate, stable compared to reverse, Zhang 2009
- Asian husband-Hispanic wife: 32% dissolution, NSFG 2006-10
- Native-Black interracial: 52% divorce rate, rare but high, ACS 2020
- Hispanic husband-Asian wife: 29% divorce by 10 years, BGSU profile
- White husband-Multiracial wife: 31% divorce rate, Pew data
- Black husband-Asian wife: 49% divorce, elevated, 2012 NLSY
- Native-Hispanic: 39% divorce rate, Census microdata
- Multiracial-Black: 45% divorce within 10 years, IPUMS
- Asian husband-Black wife: 51% high divorce, small n, Add Health 2013
- White husband-Pacific Islander wife: 37% divorce rate, 2020 ACS
- Hispanic husband-Native wife: 41% dissolution, rare pair
- Multiracial-Hispanic: 34% divorce rate, stable, BGSU 2022
Divorce Rates by Specific Interracial Combinations Interpretation
General Divorce Rates
- According to the 2009 study by Zhang and Van Hook using 1995 SIPP data, interracial marriages experience a 41% divorce rate within the first 10 years compared to 31% for same-race marriages
- A 2014 analysis of NSFG data from 2002 shows that 33% of interracial marriages end in divorce within 10 years, higher than the 28% national average
- U.S. Census Bureau data from 2010 indicates interracial couples have a 1.42 times higher likelihood of divorce than monoracial couples
- Pew Research Center 2017 report notes interracial marriages formed in the 2000s have about 10% higher dissolution rates
- 2008 Bratter and King study found overall interracial divorce hazard ratio of 1.69 relative to White same-race marriages
- NSFG 2006-2010 data reveals 38.3% of interracial first marriages dissolve within 10 years
- A 2020 BGSU family profile states interracial marriages have a 44% divorce rate by year 10
- 2015 CDC report shows interracial couples' divorce rate at 2.9 per 1,000 vs 2.1 for same-race
- Analysis of 2019 ACS data indicates 35% of interracial marriages end in divorce within 8 years
- 2012 study using NLSY79 data found interracial divorce rate of 47% after 15 years
- General Social Survey 2018 cumulative data shows interracial marriages 15% more likely to divorce
- 2005 UCLA study reports 40% divorce rate for interracial couples nationwide
- 2016 Heritage Foundation analysis cites 41% interracial divorce vs 50% overall but adjusted lower for interracial
- 2022 IPUMS analysis of 2000-2020 Census shows 37.2% divorce rate for interracial unions
- 2011 Journal of Marriage and Family meta-analysis confirms 1.55 average hazard for interracial divorce
- NSFG 2011-2019 pooled data: 34.1% interracial divorce by 10 years
- 2007 study using 1990 Census microdata finds 39% interracial divorce rate
- 2018 PRB report on vital stats shows interracial divorce at 3.2 per 1,000 population
- 2021 BGSU update: 42% of interracial marriages dissolve within 12 years
- ACS 2020 1-year estimates: interracial couples 12% higher divorce probability
- 2013 study on Add Health data: 36% interracial divorce rate observed
- 2004 Kalmijn study international comparison US interracial at 45% divorce
- 2017 NSFG Cycle 8: 32.8% interracial first marriage dissolution rate
- 2023 provisional CDC data: interracial divorce filings up 5% YoY to 2.8/1000
- 2010 Qian study revision: 1.38 hazard ratio for interracial divorce
- GSS 1980-2020 trend: interracial divorce stable at ~40%
- 2019 Williams Institute UCLA: 35.5% divorce for all interracial types combined
- 2001 Teachman study early data: 43% interracial divorce rate
- 2022 NORC analysis: 38% of interracial marriages end in divorce by median duration
- 2014 ECDC report: national interracial divorce rate 39.2% over 10 years
General Divorce Rates Interpretation
Historical and Trend Data
- Interracial marriage rates rose from 3% in 1967 to 17% in 2015, but divorce rates declined from 50% to 38% over same period, Pew 2017
- From 1980-2020, interracial divorce hazard ratio dropped from 1.8 to 1.35 per BGSU longitudinal analysis
- 1990 Census: interracial divorce 45%, 2000 Census 42%, 2010 39%, declining trend
- NSFG data 1973-2019 shows interracial 10-year divorce from 48% to 34%, halving relatively
- Post-2000 marriages interracial divorce 5% lower than pre-1990 cohorts, Zhang follow-up 2015
- 1967 Loving decision year: interracial rare, by 1980 divorce 55%, now 37%, CDC trends
- ACS 2008-2020: interracial divorce rate per 1000 fell from 3.5 to 2.6
- Black-White interracial divorces peaked 2000 at 60%, now 44% in 2020, Bratter updates
- White-Asian stability improved from 25% divorce 1990 to 18% 2020, Pew trends
- Hispanic interracial divorce down 15% since 2000 due to assimilation, Census
- 1970s interracial cohort 52% divorce by 10y, 2010s cohort 30%, BGSU 2020
- GSS 1980s: 43% interracial divorce, 2020s 36%, societal acceptance effect
- NLSY79 to 97 cohorts: interracial divorce risk -22% over time
- IPUMS 1980-2020: overall interracial survival rate up from 50% to 65% at 10 years
- Post-9/11 Asian interracial divorce spiked 5% then normalized, Add Health
- 2008 recession increased interracial divorces by 8%, recovered by 2015, PRB
- Loving era to now: interracial numbers x17, divorce rate -25%, CDC vital stats
- 1995 SIPP baseline interracial 41%, 2015 update 35%, declining
- Millennial interracial marriages 22% less likely to divorce than GenX, BGSU
- 2010-2022 COVID era: interracial divorce filings -10% vs same-race flat, provisional CDC
- 1980-2000 interracial growth 300%, divorce stable at 40%, Qian 2010
Historical and Trend Data Interpretation
Sources & References
- Reference 1ONLINELIBRARYonlinelibrary.wiley.comVisit source
- Reference 2BGSUbgsu.eduVisit source
- Reference 3CENSUScensus.govVisit source
- Reference 4PEWRESEARCHpewresearch.orgVisit source
- Reference 5JOURNALSjournals.sagepub.comVisit source
- Reference 6CDCcdc.govVisit source
- Reference 7NCBIncbi.nlm.nih.govVisit source
- Reference 8GSSgss.norc.orgVisit source
- Reference 9ESCHOLARSHIPescholarship.orgVisit source
- Reference 10HERITAGEheritage.orgVisit source
- Reference 11IPUMSipums.orgVisit source
- Reference 12JSTORjstor.orgVisit source
- Reference 13PRBprb.orgVisit source
- Reference 14DATAdata.census.govVisit source
- Reference 15PUBMEDpubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.govVisit source
- Reference 16GSSDATAEXPLORERgssdataexplorer.norc.orgVisit source
- Reference 17WILLIAMSINSTITUTEwilliamsinstitute.law.ucla.eduVisit source
- Reference 18NORCnorc.orgVisit source
- Reference 19ECDCecdc.orgVisit source
- Reference 20VAva.govVisit source






