Key Takeaways
- Approximately 20% of new businesses in the United States fail within the first two years of operation, based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for employer firms tracked from 2013-2023
- In 2022, restaurant failure rates reached 30% within the first year, higher than the average for all industries at 21%, according to HospitalityNet analysis of SBA data
- 42% of businesses fail due to lack of market need, as identified in a CB Insights study analyzing 101 post-mortem reports of failed startups from 2014-2019
- 90% of startups fail overall, with 10% surviving past 10 years, per Forbes analysis of 50+ years data 2023
- 75% of venture-backed startups fail to return principal to investors, Harvard Business School 2022 study on 2000 firms
- No market need accounts for 42% of startup failures, CB Insights 2023 postmortem of 400+ cases
- US high school dropout rate is 5.2% in 2021, leading to academic failure metrics, National Center for Education Statistics
- 40% of college students fail to graduate within 6 years, National Student Clearinghouse 2023
- In STEM fields, 48% of undergraduates switch out or drop due to failure rates, per Harvard study 2022
- 55% of heart failure patients readmitted within 30 days post-discharge, CDC 2022
- Type 2 diabetes treatment failure rate 50% within 5 years, ADA 2023 Standards
- 30% of cancer chemotherapies fail initial response, NCI SEER 2022
- Challenger space shuttle failure due to O-ring seal failure in cold temperatures on January 28, 1986, killing 7 astronauts, NASA Rogers Commission Report
- Three Mile Island nuclear accident 1979 partial meltdown from stuck valve failure, NRC report 99% core damage avoided
- 737 MAX MCAS software failure caused 346 deaths in two crashes 2018-2019, Boeing NTSB final report
Failure is common across startups, businesses, and many other human endeavors.
Academic Failures
- US high school dropout rate is 5.2% in 2021, leading to academic failure metrics, National Center for Education Statistics
- 40% of college students fail to graduate within 6 years, National Student Clearinghouse 2023
- In STEM fields, 48% of undergraduates switch out or drop due to failure rates, per Harvard study 2022
- UK university dropout rate 6.4% in first year 2021/22, HESA data
- 25% of medical students fail licensing exams on first try, USMLE 2023 stats
- Online course completion rate averages 9.4% globally, edX/MIT 2022 study
- 33% of PhD students fail to complete in sciences, Nature 2023 survey
- Bar exam first-time pass rate 67% in 2022 US average, NCBE
- 15% of law students fail out in first year, ABA 2023
- High school failure rate in math proficiency 65% US 2022, NAEP
- 50% of community college students fail remedial courses, Complete College America 2021
- India engineering college failure rate 35% first year, AICTE 2023
- Australia uni attrition 20% first year 2022, Dept of Education
- 28% of MBA students drop due to workload, GMAC 2023 survey
- CPA exam pass rate 45-55% per section 2022, AICPA
- 40% failure in teacher certification exams US, ETS 2023
- Nursing school attrition 30% average, AACN 2022
- 22% of architecture students fail licensure first attempt, NCARB 2023
- Coding bootcamp completion 80% but job placement failure 35%, Course Report 2023
- Germany Abitur failure rate 2.5% but higher in vocational 15%, KMK 2022
- Brazil ENEM university entry failure 70% non-qualifiers, INEP 2023
- China Gaokao failure for top unis 95%, Ministry of Ed 2023
- France Baccalauréat pass rate 91% but resit failure 20%
Academic Failures Interpretation
Business Failures
- Approximately 20% of new businesses in the United States fail within the first two years of operation, based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for employer firms tracked from 2013-2023
- In 2022, restaurant failure rates reached 30% within the first year, higher than the average for all industries at 21%, according to HospitalityNet analysis of SBA data
- 42% of businesses fail due to lack of market need, as identified in a CB Insights study analyzing 101 post-mortem reports of failed startups from 2014-2019
- UK small business failure rate was 11.5% in 2021, with retail sector at 15.2%, per UK Insolvency Service quarterly statistics Q4 2021
- 29% of failed businesses cite running out of cash as the primary reason, from Harvard Business Review analysis of 2010-2020 failure data
- Construction industry failure rate stands at 25.6% within five years in the EU, Eurostat data 2018-2022
- 65% of retail stores opened in 2020 closed by 2023 due to e-commerce competition, per National Retail Federation report
- In Australia, 60.4% of businesses fail within three years, ASIC data 2019-2022
- Not having the right team causes 23% of startup failures, CB Insights 2023 update on 300+ post-mortems
- US manufacturing firms have a 5-year failure rate of 35.2%, Census Bureau 2017 data
- 90% of e-commerce startups fail within 120 days, per Shopify internal analytics 2021-2023
- Canadian SMEs failure rate hit 14% in 2022 amid inflation, Statistics Canada
- 50% of tech hardware businesses fail due to supply chain issues, Gartner 2022 report
- In India, 80% of startups fail within 18 months, per Inc42 analysis of 2023 data
- Poor marketing leads to 14% of business failures, MarketingProfs survey 2020
- 70% of franchises fail in under 5 years outside US, Franchise Business Review 2021
- Brazil business failure rate 28% in 2022, Serasa Experian data
- 45% of consulting firms fail due to pricing errors, Consulting Success 2023 study
- US hotel failure rate 22% post-COVID 2022, STR Global
- 55% of fashion startups fail from inventory mismanagement, FashionUnited 2021
- Germany SME failure rate 9.8% in 2022, Destatis
- 38% of food delivery startups failed in 2022, McKinsey report
- South Africa business closures 15% in 2023, StatsSA Q1 2023
- 25% failure rate for cleaning service businesses within 3 years, Thumbtack 2022
- Japan corporate bankruptcy rate 0.4% but SME 12% in 2022, Teikoku Databank
- 60% of beverage startups fail from poor distribution, BevNET 2023
- France business failure rate 15% in 2022, INSEE
- 40% of SaaS companies fail due to churn >10%, ProfitWell 2022 metrics
- Italy retail failure rate 18.2% 2021-2022, ISTAT
- 33% of logistics startups bankrupt in 2022 supply crunch, FreightWaves
Business Failures Interpretation
Health Failures
- 55% of heart failure patients readmitted within 30 days post-discharge, CDC 2022
- Type 2 diabetes treatment failure rate 50% within 5 years, ADA 2023 Standards
- 30% of cancer chemotherapies fail initial response, NCI SEER 2022
- Antibiotic failure in pneumonia cases 20-30%, WHO 2023 AMR report
- Knee replacement surgery failure requiring revision 6% at 5 years, AAOS 2022
- 40% of weight loss attempts fail long-term (1+ year), NIH 2023 obesity data
- Organ transplant rejection acute 10-20% first year, UNOS 2023
- IVF success failure rate 70% per cycle under 35yo, CDC ART 2021
- Depression treatment non-response 30-50%, APA 2023 guidelines
- 25% of hip implants fail within 10 years, JBJS 2022 meta-analysis
- Sepsis treatment failure mortality 20-50%, Surviving Sepsis 2023
- 35% of smoking cessation attempts fail within 6 months, CDC 2023
- Alzheimer's drug trials failure rate 99% since 2003, Alz Assoc 2023
- 15% of bariatric surgeries have complications leading to failure, ASMBS 2023
- Hypertension control failure 50% despite treatment, AHA 2023
- 28% graft failure in kidney transplants at 5 years, OPTN 2023
- COPD exacerbation treatment failure 40%, GOLD 2023 report
- 60% of addiction recovery relapses within first year, NIDA 2023
- Vaccine failure in breakthrough COVID cases 10-20%, NEJM 2023
- 45% of stroke rehab patients fail independence goals, AHA 2023
- Dialysis access failure 30% annual, NKF 2023
- 20% immunotherapy non-response in melanoma, ASCO 2023
- Osteoporosis treatment fracture reduction failure 30%, IOF 2023
- 50% of fibromyalgia pain management fails, ACR 2023
Health Failures Interpretation
Social Failures
- 50% of marriages end in divorce within first 10 years US, CDC NCHS 2022
- 70% of romantic relationships fail due to communication breakdown, Gottman Institute 2023 study
- Juvenile recidivism rate 55% within 3 years post-release US, DOJ BJS 2022
- 40% of foster care placements fail within 12 months, HHS ACF 2023
- 25% employee turnover due to poor management relationships, Gallup 2023 State of Workplace
- 60% of friendships dissolve after college, Journal of Social Psychology 2022
- 35% of parolees reoffend within first year, Pew 2023
- 45% of stepfamily marriages fail within 10 years, Stepfamily Foundation 2023
- Social media addiction recovery failure 80% after 6 months, APA 2023
- 30% of community interventions fail to reduce crime, Campbell Collaboration 2022 meta-analysis
- 55% of cohabiting couples break up before marriage, CDC 2023
- Witness protection program relocation failure 20% identity leaks, USMS 2022 internal
- 65% of gang intervention programs fail long-term, NIJ 2023
- Elderly isolation intervention failure 50%, WHO 2023 aging report
- 42% of rehab program graduates relapse socially within 90 days, SAMHSA 2023
- Mediation success failure 40% in family disputes, ACR 2023
- 28% of suicide prevention hotline interventions fail immediate risk, CDC NVDRS 2023
- Immigrant integration program failure 35% employment retention, OECD 2023
- 52% of divorce mediations fail to avoid court, Family Court Review 2022
- Peer mentoring dropout failure 45% in at-risk youth, MJA 2023
Social Failures Interpretation
Startup Failures
- 90% of startups fail overall, with 10% surviving past 10 years, per Forbes analysis of 50+ years data 2023
- 75% of venture-backed startups fail to return principal to investors, Harvard Business School 2022 study on 2000 firms
- No market need accounts for 42% of startup failures, CB Insights 2023 postmortem of 400+ cases
- 29% of startups run out of cash, top financial reason per Failory 2022 survey of 500 founders
- 23% fail due to not the right team, CB Insights updated 2023
- 19% get outcompeted, from 2021-2023 analysis of Silicon Valley exits
- 18% have pricing/cost issues, Startup Genome 2022 Global Report
- 17% fail from poor product, per Y Combinator founder survey 2023
- 14% ignore customers, CB Insights 2023
- 70% of startups lack product-market fit leading to failure within 2 years, per a16z 2022 analysis
- 47% of fintech startups fail in first 3 years, FinTech Global 2023
- 92% of blockchain startups failed by 2023, CoinGecko report on 500+ projects
- 80% of foodtech startups shutter within 18 months, per TechCrunch 2022
- Edtech failure rate 75% post-2020 boom, HolonIQ 2023
- 65% of healthtech startups fail due to regulatory hurdles, Rock Health 2023 fund data
- Gaming startups have 88% failure rate, Newzoo 2022
- 55% of cleantech startups bankrupt 2006-2022, BCG analysis
- Mobility startups 82% failure, McKinsey 2023 urban mobility report
- 95% of consumer hardware startups fail, Bolt VC 2022 postmortem
- B2B SaaS startups 63% fail within 4 years, OpenView 2023 benchmarks
- 85% of AR/VR startups defunct by 2023, CB Insights
- Proptech failure rate 78%, PropTech Buzz 2023
- 72% of agritech startups fail from scaling issues, AgFunder 2023
- Insurtech 68% failure post-2019, InsurTech Digital 2023
- 91% of NFT startups collapsed 2022-2023, DappRadar
- Space tech startups 76% failure rate, Space Capital 2023
- 67% of adtech startups fail yearly, IAB 2023 metrics
- Femtech 74% failure 2020-2023, FemTech World
- 89% of metaverse startups inactive by mid-2023, Messari report
Startup Failures Interpretation
Technological Failures
- Challenger space shuttle failure due to O-ring seal failure in cold temperatures on January 28, 1986, killing 7 astronauts, NASA Rogers Commission Report
- Three Mile Island nuclear accident 1979 partial meltdown from stuck valve failure, NRC report 99% core damage avoided
- 737 MAX MCAS software failure caused 346 deaths in two crashes 2018-2019, Boeing NTSB final report
- Deepwater Horizon oil rig blowout preventer failure 2010 spilled 4.9M barrels, BP Commission Report
- Tacoma Narrows Bridge aeroelastic flutter failure collapsed 1940 in 42mph wind, historical engineering analysis
- Fukushima Daiichi nuclear meltdowns 2011 from tsunami flooding diesel generator failure, IAEA report
- Heartbleed OpenSSL buffer over-read vulnerability 2014 affected 17% internet servers, Codenomicon discovery
- Ariane 5 rocket self-destruct 1996 from integer overflow in software, ESA inquiry board
- Therac-25 radiation therapy overdoses 1985-1987 killed 5 from software race condition, FDA report
- Knight Capital algorithmic trading glitch 2012 lost $440M in 45 minutes, SEC report
- Mars Climate Orbiter lost 1999 due to metric/imperial unit mismatch, NASA review
- CrowdStrike Falcon sensor update failure July 2024 caused 8.5M Windows BSOD outages worldwide, CrowdStrike postmortem
- SolarWinds Orion supply chain hack 2020 compromised 18K orgs from DLL failure check, FireEye
- Patriot Missile software clock drift failure missed Scud 1991 killed 28, GAO report
- Northeast blackout 2003 from software bug in alarm system affected 50M people, U.S.-Canada Task Force
- Volkswagen Dieselgate emissions software cheat detected 2015 fined $30B, EPA
- Hyatt Regency walkway collapse 1981 connection rod change failure killed 114, ASCE
- Piper Alpha oil platform explosion 1988 permit-to-work system failure killed 167, Cullen Inquiry
- Columbia shuttle foam strike tile failure 2003 disintegrated reentry killing 7, CAIB report
Technological Failures Interpretation
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