GITNUXREPORT 2026

Christianity Decline Statistics

Christianity is experiencing steady and widespread decline across all major American denominations.

How We Build This Report

01
Primary Source Collection

Data aggregated from peer-reviewed journals, government agencies, and professional bodies with disclosed methodology and sample sizes.

02
Editorial Curation

Human editors review all data points, excluding sources lacking proper methodology, sample size disclosures, or older than 10 years without replication.

03
AI-Powered Verification

Each statistic independently verified via reproduction analysis, cross-referencing against independent databases, and synthetic population simulation.

04
Human Cross-Check

Final human editorial review of all AI-verified statistics. Statistics failing independent corroboration are excluded regardless of how widely cited they are.

Statistics that could not be independently verified are excluded regardless of how widely cited they are elsewhere.

Our process →

Key Statistics

Statistic 1

Gallup U.S. weekly church attendance dropped from 42% in 2000 to 29% in 2021

Statistic 2

Pew Research shows U.S. Christians attending monthly or more fell from 54% in 2007 to 44% in 2019

Statistic 3

Barna Group reports practicing Christian attendance (church + Bible + prayer) down from 37% in 1993 to 25% in 2019

Statistic 4

LifeWay Research finds 65% of U.S. churchgoers attended fewer than 4 Sundays per month pre-COVID, down from 50% in 2010

Statistic 5

Grey Matter Research shows U.S. Protestant weekly attendance from 50% in 1996 to 35% in 2020

Statistic 6

U.S. Catholic weekly Mass attendance declined from 45% in 2000 to 33% in 2018

Statistic 7

Southern Baptist Convention average weekly worship attendance fell 52% from 1999 peak to 2022

Statistic 8

Episcopal Church Sunday attendance dropped 27% from 2000 to 2019

Statistic 9

PCUSA worship attendance declined 40% from 2000 to 2020

Statistic 10

United Methodist Church weekly attendance fell from 3.6 million in 2007 to 2.2 million in 2019

Statistic 11

ELCA average weekly worship attendance down 30% since 2006

Statistic 12

Gallup teen church attendance (13-17) dropped from 55% in 2000 to 35% in 2020

Statistic 13

Barna finds U.S. millennial church attendance half that of boomers at same age

Statistic 14

PRRI reports 40% decline in U.S. Protestant small group participation 2006-2019

Statistic 15

Faith Communities Today survey: U.S. congregations average attendance down 15% 2000-2015

Statistic 16

Hartford Institute: 20% of U.S. churches had average attendance under 50 in 2020, up from 10% in 2000

Statistic 17

Pushpay data shows U.S. church digital engagement up but in-person down 25% post-2019

Statistic 18

Church Answers reports 6,000 U.S. churches closed since 2000 due to low attendance

Statistic 19

Barna: U.S. Gen Z church attendance 10% lower than millennials at same age

Statistic 20

LifeWay: Southern Baptist Sunday School attendance down 60% since 1990

Statistic 21

Catholic Archdioceses report Confirmation reception down 20% 2000-2020

Statistic 22

Assemblies of God U.S. weekly attendance flat but per capita down 10% 2010-2020

Statistic 23

Presbyterian attendance per member fell 25% since 1990

Statistic 24

United Church of Christ worship attendance down 50% 2000-2020

Statistic 25

Disciples of Christ average attendance declined 35% 2005-2020

Statistic 26

Gallup: U.S. Black Protestant attendance from 65% weekly in 2000 to 50% in 2021

Statistic 27

Barna Group U.S. Bible engagement (daily reading) dropped from 28% in 2011 to 14% in 2021 among Christians

Statistic 28

Pew Research shows U.S. Christian share among 18-29 year olds fell from 54% in 2007 to 34% in 2021

Statistic 29

Barna Group: Only 15% of U.S. millennials are church-active Christians vs 26% of elders

Statistic 30

LifeWay Research: 66% of U.S. 18-22 year olds who attended church regularly as teens dropped out

Statistic 31

Gallup: U.S. Gen Z (born 1997+) church membership 20% vs 50% for boomers at same age

Statistic 32

PRRI: 40% of U.S. white millennials are nones vs 20% boomers

Statistic 33

Barna: U.S. Gen Z Christians 4% highly faith active vs 15% boomers

Statistic 34

Pew: U.S. teens (13-17) Christian ID 72% in 2019 down from 83% in 2010

Statistic 35

Springtide Research: 40% of U.S. Gen Z feel church irrelevant

Statistic 36

Barna: Millennial church dropout rate 59% by age 30

Statistic 37

LifeWay: U.S. young adult Bible engagement half of previous generations

Statistic 38

PRRI: U.S. Gen Z nones 34% vs 22% millennials

Statistic 39

Gallup: U.S. 18-29 religious service attendance 25% weekly vs 40% in 2000

Statistic 40

Barna: Only 1 in 10 U.S. Gen Z have biblical worldview

Statistic 41

Pew: U.S. millennial atheists/agnostics 13% vs 5% silent generation

Statistic 42

Fuller Youth Institute: 70% U.S. youth group alumni disengage from church post-high school

Statistic 43

Grey Matter: U.S. Protestant youth retention fell from 60% to 40% 1990-2020

Statistic 44

Barna: U.S. millennial practicing faith 15% vs 35% Gen X at same age

Statistic 45

LifeWay: Southern Baptist youth retention down 20% since 2000

Statistic 46

PRRI: U.S. young men Christian ID drop 20 points faster than women

Statistic 47

Pew: U.S. college students nones 36% in 2021

Statistic 48

Barna: Gen Z doubt God existence 40% vs 20% boomers

Statistic 49

Springtide: U.S. youth spiritual but not religious 52%

Statistic 50

Gallup: U.S. teen belief in God down to 74% in 2022 from 92% in 1950s

Statistic 51

LifeWay: U.S. 18-24 Bible reading weekly 20% vs 40% elders

Statistic 52

Barna: U.S. youth church trust 30% vs 60% 20 years ago

Statistic 53

PRRI: U.S. Gen Z Democrats 50% nones

Statistic 54

European Social Survey shows Christianity identification in Western Europe fell from 80% in 1981 to 60% in 2018

Statistic 55

WIN/Gallup International: UK Christians down from 66% in 2005 to 46% in 2015

Statistic 56

Pew: Germany Christians 71% in 2010 to 55% in 2020

Statistic 57

Eurobarometer: France "Catholic" ID 81% in 2005 to 47% in 2019

Statistic 58

British Social Attitudes: England/Wales Christians 59% in 2001 census to 46% in 2021

Statistic 59

Pew: Sweden Christians 78% affiliated but only 18% believers in 2018

Statistic 60

Kantar: Netherlands church members 24% in 2019 down from 50% in 1980

Statistic 61

Spanish CIS: Catholics practicing dropped from 40% in 1995 to 20% in 2020

Statistic 62

Pew: Italy weekly Mass 30% in 1990 to 23% in 2018

Statistic 63

Church of England attendance fell 40% from 1.7M in 2000 to 1M in 2019

Statistic 64

French INSEE: Baptisms down 50% 1990-2020

Statistic 65

German Church Tax data: Protestants 24M in 2000 to 20M in 2021

Statistic 66

Belgian churchgoers 15% weekly in 2018 vs 30% in 1980

Statistic 67

Austrian EVZ: Catholics 70% but practicing 15% in 2020

Statistic 68

Pew: Czech Republic Christians 34% in 2020 down from 60% post-communism

Statistic 69

Polish CBOS: Regular churchgoers 36% in 2019 vs 50% in 1990

Statistic 70

Norwegian SSB: Church of Norway members 71% but attendance 2% weekly

Statistic 71

Danish Gallup: Christians believing 45% in 2020 vs 70% 1990

Statistic 72

Finnish Church: Membership 65% in 2021 down 10% since 2000

Statistic 73

Irish CSO: Catholics 78% in 2016 census but Mass weekly 30% vs 60% 1980s

Statistic 74

Scottish Census: Christians 54% in 2011 to projected 40% 2021

Statistic 75

Swiss FSO: Protestants/Catholics practicing 10% weekly 2020

Statistic 76

Portuguese PORDATA: Church attendance 20% in 2019 vs 40% 1990

Statistic 77

Hungarian KSH: Protestants down 20% since 2001 census

Statistic 78

WIN/Gallup: Spain God believers 59% in 2015 vs 80% 2000

Statistic 79

Eurostat: EU average church attendance 10% weekly among youth

Statistic 80

Pew Global: Western Europe nones average 25% in 2018 up 10 points decade prior

Statistic 81

Barna Europe: UK churchgoers under 30 halved since 1990

Statistic 82

Latinobarometro: Latin America Catholics 70% in 2010 to 56% 2018

Statistic 83

Pew: Brazil evangelicals up but Catholics down from 74% to 65% 2007-2014

Statistic 84

World Values Survey: South Korea Christians 29% in 2020 down from 40% 1990

Statistic 85

WIN/Gallup: Australia Christians 52% in 2016 census to 44% 2021

Statistic 86

Pew Global Religious Futures: Sub-Saharan Africa Christians growing but % stable at 63%

Statistic 87

Chinese General Social Survey: Urban Christians 5% practicing down post-2010 crackdown

Statistic 88

Japan NHK: Christians 1% but interest down 20% since 2000

Statistic 89

Canadian Census: Christians 67% in 2011 to 53% 2021

Statistic 90

New Zealand Census: Christians 48% 2013 to 37% 2018

Statistic 91

ARDA World: Global Christian % projected decline from 33% to 32% by 2050

Statistic 92

In the United States, the share of adults identifying as Christian fell from 78.4% in 2007 to 62.9% in 2021, marking a 15.5 percentage point decline

Statistic 93

Gallup polls show U.S. Christian identification dropped from 91% in 1976 to 68% in 2022, a 23-point decline over 46 years

Statistic 94

PRRI data indicates white Christians comprised 54% of the U.S. population in 2006 but only 44% in 2020, a 10-point drop

Statistic 95

The General Social Survey reports Protestant identification in the U.S. declined from 62% in 1988 to 40% in 2018

Statistic 96

Pew Research finds Catholic identification in the U.S. decreased from 23.9% in 2009 to 20% in 2021

Statistic 97

Barna Group notes evangelicals as a share of U.S. adults fell from 28% in 2007 to 25% in 2019

Statistic 98

LifeWay Research shows Southern Baptist Convention membership declined from 16.2 million in 2006 to 14.1 million in 2020, a 13% drop

Statistic 99

U.S. Episcopal Church membership fell from 2.3 million in 2000 to 1.6 million in 2021, a 30% decline

Statistic 100

Presbyterian Church (USA) reported a loss of 103,000 members between 2018 and 2019 alone

Statistic 101

United Methodist Church U.S. membership dropped 26% from 11 million in 2004 to 8.1 million in 2021

Statistic 102

Lutheran Church–Missouri Synod membership declined from 2.6 million in 2000 to 1.8 million in 2021, 31% drop

Statistic 103

Assemblies of God U.S. adherents grew slightly but weekly attendance fell 5% from 2010 to 2020

Statistic 104

Cooperative Baptist Fellowship churches reported a 10% membership decline from 2015 to 2020

Statistic 105

Christian Churches and Churches of Christ lost 4% of members from 2010 to 2020

Statistic 106

Gallup indicates mainline Protestant identification in U.S. halved from 30% in 1976 to 15% in 2020

Statistic 107

Pew data shows U.S. evangelical Protestants stable at 25% but absolute numbers declined due to population growth

Statistic 108

Barna reports U.S. practicing Christians dropped from 40% in 2000 to 25% in 2020

Statistic 109

PRRI finds 66% of white mainline Protestants in 2013 down to 54% of that group in 2020 still identifying strongly

Statistic 110

General Social Survey: U.S. Catholics from 28% in 1988 to 20% in 2018

Statistic 111

U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops reports sacramental participation down 30% since 2000

Statistic 112

ELCA membership fell from 5.1 million in 1988 to 3.3 million in 2021, 35% decline

Statistic 113

PCUSA lost 1.3 million members since 1999 peak

Statistic 114

Anglican Church in North America growth stalled, net loss post-2010 split

Statistic 115

Seventh-day Adventist U.S. membership flat but retention down 20% for youth

Statistic 116

Churches of Christ U.S. congregations down 5% from 2003 to 2018

Statistic 117

Orthodox Church in America membership declined 10% from 2010 to 2020

Statistic 118

Vineyard USA churches reported 8% membership drop 2015-2020

Statistic 119

Foursquare Church U.S. membership fell 15% since 2000

Statistic 120

Christian Methodist Episcopal Church lost 20% members 2000-2020

Statistic 121

Reformed Church in America membership down 25% from 2000 to 2020

Statistic 122

Pew Research Center reports the religiously unaffiliated ("nones") in the U.S. rose from 16% in 2007 to 29% in 2021

Statistic 123

Gallup shows U.S. "nones" increased from 10% in 1990 to 21% in 2021

Statistic 124

PRRI data: U.S. nones grew from 16% in 2006 to 27% in 2021

Statistic 125

General Social Survey: U.S. no religious preference from 8% in 1990 to 23% in 2018

Statistic 126

Barna Group: U.S. nones doubled from 11% in 2004 to 23% in 2020

Statistic 127

Pew: Among U.S. millennials, nones rose from 25% in 2007 to 40% in 2021

Statistic 128

Cooperative Election Study: U.S. nones from 15% in 2008 to 30% in 2020

Statistic 129

PRRI: White nones increased from 19% in 2013 to 28% in 2020

Statistic 130

Pew: U.S. atheist/agnostic share tripled from 4% in 2007 to 12% in 2021

Statistic 131

Gallup: No religion in U.S. from 2% in 1948 to 14% in 2022 among young adults

Statistic 132

Barna: Post-Christian U.S. adults rose from 17% in 2012 to 32% in 2021

Statistic 133

LifeWay: Nones now largest group among U.S. Gen Z at 34%

Statistic 134

Public Religion Research Institute: Nones grew 6 points in U.S. 2014-2019 alone

Statistic 135

General Social Survey: U.S. "nothing in particular" nones from 12% to 20% 2000-2020

Statistic 136

Pew: U.S. nothing in particular rose from 12% to 17% 2007-2021

Statistic 137

Barna: U.S. skeptic/atheist share up 10 points since 1990s

Statistic 138

PRRI: Nones now 28% of U.S. population, surpassing Catholics at 24%

Statistic 139

Cooperative Election Study: Nones 13% in 2006 to 26% in 2018

Statistic 140

Gallup Youth Poll: U.S. high school seniors no religion up from 8% in 1990 to 25% in 2021

Statistic 141

Pew: Among U.S. under-30s, nones 41% in 2021 vs 25% Christians

Statistic 142

Barna Gen Z: 44% of U.S. 18-24 nones or spiritual but not religious

Statistic 143

LifeWay Research: U.S. young adults nones up 15 points 2006-2020

Statistic 144

PRRI: Hispanic nones in U.S. doubled from 12% to 24% 2006-2020

Statistic 145

General Social Survey: Black nones tripled from 3% to 10% 1990-2018

Statistic 146

Pew: U.S. regional nones highest in West at 33% in 2021

Statistic 147

Barna: U.S. urban nones 35% vs 20% rural 2020

Statistic 148

Gallup: College-educated U.S. adults nones 25% vs 15% non-college 2022

Statistic 149

PRRI: U.S. Democrats nones 38% vs 12% Republicans 2021

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As pew after pew grows emptier, the once-unquestionable Christian identity of the United States is undergoing a seismic retreat, with identification plummeting from 91% in 1976 to just 68% today—a staggering unraveling of faith at a national scale.

Key Takeaways

  • In the United States, the share of adults identifying as Christian fell from 78.4% in 2007 to 62.9% in 2021, marking a 15.5 percentage point decline
  • Gallup polls show U.S. Christian identification dropped from 91% in 1976 to 68% in 2022, a 23-point decline over 46 years
  • PRRI data indicates white Christians comprised 54% of the U.S. population in 2006 but only 44% in 2020, a 10-point drop
  • Gallup U.S. weekly church attendance dropped from 42% in 2000 to 29% in 2021
  • Pew Research shows U.S. Christians attending monthly or more fell from 54% in 2007 to 44% in 2019
  • Barna Group reports practicing Christian attendance (church + Bible + prayer) down from 37% in 1993 to 25% in 2019
  • Pew Research Center reports the religiously unaffiliated ("nones") in the U.S. rose from 16% in 2007 to 29% in 2021
  • Gallup shows U.S. "nones" increased from 10% in 1990 to 21% in 2021
  • PRRI data: U.S. nones grew from 16% in 2006 to 27% in 2021
  • Pew Research shows U.S. Christian share among 18-29 year olds fell from 54% in 2007 to 34% in 2021
  • Barna Group: Only 15% of U.S. millennials are church-active Christians vs 26% of elders
  • LifeWay Research: 66% of U.S. 18-22 year olds who attended church regularly as teens dropped out
  • European Social Survey shows Christianity identification in Western Europe fell from 80% in 1981 to 60% in 2018
  • WIN/Gallup International: UK Christians down from 66% in 2005 to 46% in 2015
  • Pew: Germany Christians 71% in 2010 to 55% in 2020

Christianity is experiencing steady and widespread decline across all major American denominations.

Church Attendance and Participation Drop

1Gallup U.S. weekly church attendance dropped from 42% in 2000 to 29% in 2021
Verified
2Pew Research shows U.S. Christians attending monthly or more fell from 54% in 2007 to 44% in 2019
Verified
3Barna Group reports practicing Christian attendance (church + Bible + prayer) down from 37% in 1993 to 25% in 2019
Verified
4LifeWay Research finds 65% of U.S. churchgoers attended fewer than 4 Sundays per month pre-COVID, down from 50% in 2010
Directional
5Grey Matter Research shows U.S. Protestant weekly attendance from 50% in 1996 to 35% in 2020
Single source
6U.S. Catholic weekly Mass attendance declined from 45% in 2000 to 33% in 2018
Verified
7Southern Baptist Convention average weekly worship attendance fell 52% from 1999 peak to 2022
Verified
8Episcopal Church Sunday attendance dropped 27% from 2000 to 2019
Verified
9PCUSA worship attendance declined 40% from 2000 to 2020
Directional
10United Methodist Church weekly attendance fell from 3.6 million in 2007 to 2.2 million in 2019
Single source
11ELCA average weekly worship attendance down 30% since 2006
Verified
12Gallup teen church attendance (13-17) dropped from 55% in 2000 to 35% in 2020
Verified
13Barna finds U.S. millennial church attendance half that of boomers at same age
Verified
14PRRI reports 40% decline in U.S. Protestant small group participation 2006-2019
Directional
15Faith Communities Today survey: U.S. congregations average attendance down 15% 2000-2015
Single source
16Hartford Institute: 20% of U.S. churches had average attendance under 50 in 2020, up from 10% in 2000
Verified
17Pushpay data shows U.S. church digital engagement up but in-person down 25% post-2019
Verified
18Church Answers reports 6,000 U.S. churches closed since 2000 due to low attendance
Verified
19Barna: U.S. Gen Z church attendance 10% lower than millennials at same age
Directional
20LifeWay: Southern Baptist Sunday School attendance down 60% since 1990
Single source
21Catholic Archdioceses report Confirmation reception down 20% 2000-2020
Verified
22Assemblies of God U.S. weekly attendance flat but per capita down 10% 2010-2020
Verified
23Presbyterian attendance per member fell 25% since 1990
Verified
24United Church of Christ worship attendance down 50% 2000-2020
Directional
25Disciples of Christ average attendance declined 35% 2005-2020
Single source
26Gallup: U.S. Black Protestant attendance from 65% weekly in 2000 to 50% in 2021
Verified
27Barna Group U.S. Bible engagement (daily reading) dropped from 28% in 2011 to 14% in 2021 among Christians
Verified

Church Attendance and Participation Drop Interpretation

While congregations are busy streaming their services, the data shows that the American pew is becoming an increasingly lonely place, as if the collective flock has quietly decided to take its own, very long intermission.

Declines Among Youth and Millennials

1Pew Research shows U.S. Christian share among 18-29 year olds fell from 54% in 2007 to 34% in 2021
Verified
2Barna Group: Only 15% of U.S. millennials are church-active Christians vs 26% of elders
Verified
3LifeWay Research: 66% of U.S. 18-22 year olds who attended church regularly as teens dropped out
Verified
4Gallup: U.S. Gen Z (born 1997+) church membership 20% vs 50% for boomers at same age
Directional
5PRRI: 40% of U.S. white millennials are nones vs 20% boomers
Single source
6Barna: U.S. Gen Z Christians 4% highly faith active vs 15% boomers
Verified
7Pew: U.S. teens (13-17) Christian ID 72% in 2019 down from 83% in 2010
Verified
8Springtide Research: 40% of U.S. Gen Z feel church irrelevant
Verified
9Barna: Millennial church dropout rate 59% by age 30
Directional
10LifeWay: U.S. young adult Bible engagement half of previous generations
Single source
11PRRI: U.S. Gen Z nones 34% vs 22% millennials
Verified
12Gallup: U.S. 18-29 religious service attendance 25% weekly vs 40% in 2000
Verified
13Barna: Only 1 in 10 U.S. Gen Z have biblical worldview
Verified
14Pew: U.S. millennial atheists/agnostics 13% vs 5% silent generation
Directional
15Fuller Youth Institute: 70% U.S. youth group alumni disengage from church post-high school
Single source
16Grey Matter: U.S. Protestant youth retention fell from 60% to 40% 1990-2020
Verified
17Barna: U.S. millennial practicing faith 15% vs 35% Gen X at same age
Verified
18LifeWay: Southern Baptist youth retention down 20% since 2000
Verified
19PRRI: U.S. young men Christian ID drop 20 points faster than women
Directional
20Pew: U.S. college students nones 36% in 2021
Single source
21Barna: Gen Z doubt God existence 40% vs 20% boomers
Verified
22Springtide: U.S. youth spiritual but not religious 52%
Verified
23Gallup: U.S. teen belief in God down to 74% in 2022 from 92% in 1950s
Verified
24LifeWay: U.S. 18-24 Bible reading weekly 20% vs 40% elders
Directional
25Barna: U.S. youth church trust 30% vs 60% 20 years ago
Single source
26PRRI: U.S. Gen Z Democrats 50% nones
Verified

Declines Among Youth and Millennials Interpretation

The statistics paint a sobering portrait: the American church is facing a generational ebb tide, where the pews are graying as young people, unconvinced by the faith of their fathers, increasingly vote with their feet.

Geographic Declines (US/Europe)

1European Social Survey shows Christianity identification in Western Europe fell from 80% in 1981 to 60% in 2018
Verified
2WIN/Gallup International: UK Christians down from 66% in 2005 to 46% in 2015
Verified
3Pew: Germany Christians 71% in 2010 to 55% in 2020
Verified
4Eurobarometer: France "Catholic" ID 81% in 2005 to 47% in 2019
Directional
5British Social Attitudes: England/Wales Christians 59% in 2001 census to 46% in 2021
Single source
6Pew: Sweden Christians 78% affiliated but only 18% believers in 2018
Verified
7Kantar: Netherlands church members 24% in 2019 down from 50% in 1980
Verified
8Spanish CIS: Catholics practicing dropped from 40% in 1995 to 20% in 2020
Verified
9Pew: Italy weekly Mass 30% in 1990 to 23% in 2018
Directional
10Church of England attendance fell 40% from 1.7M in 2000 to 1M in 2019
Single source
11French INSEE: Baptisms down 50% 1990-2020
Verified
12German Church Tax data: Protestants 24M in 2000 to 20M in 2021
Verified
13Belgian churchgoers 15% weekly in 2018 vs 30% in 1980
Verified
14Austrian EVZ: Catholics 70% but practicing 15% in 2020
Directional
15Pew: Czech Republic Christians 34% in 2020 down from 60% post-communism
Single source
16Polish CBOS: Regular churchgoers 36% in 2019 vs 50% in 1990
Verified
17Norwegian SSB: Church of Norway members 71% but attendance 2% weekly
Verified
18Danish Gallup: Christians believing 45% in 2020 vs 70% 1990
Verified
19Finnish Church: Membership 65% in 2021 down 10% since 2000
Directional
20Irish CSO: Catholics 78% in 2016 census but Mass weekly 30% vs 60% 1980s
Single source
21Scottish Census: Christians 54% in 2011 to projected 40% 2021
Verified
22Swiss FSO: Protestants/Catholics practicing 10% weekly 2020
Verified
23Portuguese PORDATA: Church attendance 20% in 2019 vs 40% 1990
Verified
24Hungarian KSH: Protestants down 20% since 2001 census
Directional
25WIN/Gallup: Spain God believers 59% in 2015 vs 80% 2000
Single source
26Eurostat: EU average church attendance 10% weekly among youth
Verified
27Pew Global: Western Europe nones average 25% in 2018 up 10 points decade prior
Verified
28Barna Europe: UK churchgoers under 30 halved since 1990
Verified

Geographic Declines (US/Europe) Interpretation

Europe appears to be running a forty-year experiment to see if a continent can retain its historic culture while steadily filing "Christian" under 'Hobby, Former' in its collective identity paperwork.

Global Trends

1Latinobarometro: Latin America Catholics 70% in 2010 to 56% 2018
Verified
2Pew: Brazil evangelicals up but Catholics down from 74% to 65% 2007-2014
Verified
3World Values Survey: South Korea Christians 29% in 2020 down from 40% 1990
Verified
4WIN/Gallup: Australia Christians 52% in 2016 census to 44% 2021
Directional
5Pew Global Religious Futures: Sub-Saharan Africa Christians growing but % stable at 63%
Single source
6Chinese General Social Survey: Urban Christians 5% practicing down post-2010 crackdown
Verified
7Japan NHK: Christians 1% but interest down 20% since 2000
Verified
8Canadian Census: Christians 67% in 2011 to 53% 2021
Verified
9New Zealand Census: Christians 48% 2013 to 37% 2018
Directional
10ARDA World: Global Christian % projected decline from 33% to 32% by 2050
Single source

Global Trends Interpretation

While the flock may be thinning in the old pews, it appears the global congregation is merely reorganizing its seating chart, trading some traditional benches for either new charismatic bleachers, secular couches, or, in some cases, a very empty and closely monitored folding chair.

Membership and Identification Decline

1In the United States, the share of adults identifying as Christian fell from 78.4% in 2007 to 62.9% in 2021, marking a 15.5 percentage point decline
Verified
2Gallup polls show U.S. Christian identification dropped from 91% in 1976 to 68% in 2022, a 23-point decline over 46 years
Verified
3PRRI data indicates white Christians comprised 54% of the U.S. population in 2006 but only 44% in 2020, a 10-point drop
Verified
4The General Social Survey reports Protestant identification in the U.S. declined from 62% in 1988 to 40% in 2018
Directional
5Pew Research finds Catholic identification in the U.S. decreased from 23.9% in 2009 to 20% in 2021
Single source
6Barna Group notes evangelicals as a share of U.S. adults fell from 28% in 2007 to 25% in 2019
Verified
7LifeWay Research shows Southern Baptist Convention membership declined from 16.2 million in 2006 to 14.1 million in 2020, a 13% drop
Verified
8U.S. Episcopal Church membership fell from 2.3 million in 2000 to 1.6 million in 2021, a 30% decline
Verified
9Presbyterian Church (USA) reported a loss of 103,000 members between 2018 and 2019 alone
Directional
10United Methodist Church U.S. membership dropped 26% from 11 million in 2004 to 8.1 million in 2021
Single source
11Lutheran Church–Missouri Synod membership declined from 2.6 million in 2000 to 1.8 million in 2021, 31% drop
Verified
12Assemblies of God U.S. adherents grew slightly but weekly attendance fell 5% from 2010 to 2020
Verified
13Cooperative Baptist Fellowship churches reported a 10% membership decline from 2015 to 2020
Verified
14Christian Churches and Churches of Christ lost 4% of members from 2010 to 2020
Directional
15Gallup indicates mainline Protestant identification in U.S. halved from 30% in 1976 to 15% in 2020
Single source
16Pew data shows U.S. evangelical Protestants stable at 25% but absolute numbers declined due to population growth
Verified
17Barna reports U.S. practicing Christians dropped from 40% in 2000 to 25% in 2020
Verified
18PRRI finds 66% of white mainline Protestants in 2013 down to 54% of that group in 2020 still identifying strongly
Verified
19General Social Survey: U.S. Catholics from 28% in 1988 to 20% in 2018
Directional
20U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops reports sacramental participation down 30% since 2000
Single source
21ELCA membership fell from 5.1 million in 1988 to 3.3 million in 2021, 35% decline
Verified
22PCUSA lost 1.3 million members since 1999 peak
Verified
23Anglican Church in North America growth stalled, net loss post-2010 split
Verified
24Seventh-day Adventist U.S. membership flat but retention down 20% for youth
Directional
25Churches of Christ U.S. congregations down 5% from 2003 to 2018
Single source
26Orthodox Church in America membership declined 10% from 2010 to 2020
Verified
27Vineyard USA churches reported 8% membership drop 2015-2020
Verified
28Foursquare Church U.S. membership fell 15% since 2000
Verified
29Christian Methodist Episcopal Church lost 20% members 2000-2020
Directional
30Reformed Church in America membership down 25% from 2000 to 2020
Single source

Membership and Identification Decline Interpretation

It seems the American church, much like a disgruntled congregation during a long sermon, is seeing a steady and coordinated exodus out the back doors.

Rise of Religiously Unaffiliated (Nones)

1Pew Research Center reports the religiously unaffiliated ("nones") in the U.S. rose from 16% in 2007 to 29% in 2021
Verified
2Gallup shows U.S. "nones" increased from 10% in 1990 to 21% in 2021
Verified
3PRRI data: U.S. nones grew from 16% in 2006 to 27% in 2021
Verified
4General Social Survey: U.S. no religious preference from 8% in 1990 to 23% in 2018
Directional
5Barna Group: U.S. nones doubled from 11% in 2004 to 23% in 2020
Single source
6Pew: Among U.S. millennials, nones rose from 25% in 2007 to 40% in 2021
Verified
7Cooperative Election Study: U.S. nones from 15% in 2008 to 30% in 2020
Verified
8PRRI: White nones increased from 19% in 2013 to 28% in 2020
Verified
9Pew: U.S. atheist/agnostic share tripled from 4% in 2007 to 12% in 2021
Directional
10Gallup: No religion in U.S. from 2% in 1948 to 14% in 2022 among young adults
Single source
11Barna: Post-Christian U.S. adults rose from 17% in 2012 to 32% in 2021
Verified
12LifeWay: Nones now largest group among U.S. Gen Z at 34%
Verified
13Public Religion Research Institute: Nones grew 6 points in U.S. 2014-2019 alone
Verified
14General Social Survey: U.S. "nothing in particular" nones from 12% to 20% 2000-2020
Directional
15Pew: U.S. nothing in particular rose from 12% to 17% 2007-2021
Single source
16Barna: U.S. skeptic/atheist share up 10 points since 1990s
Verified
17PRRI: Nones now 28% of U.S. population, surpassing Catholics at 24%
Verified
18Cooperative Election Study: Nones 13% in 2006 to 26% in 2018
Verified
19Gallup Youth Poll: U.S. high school seniors no religion up from 8% in 1990 to 25% in 2021
Directional
20Pew: Among U.S. under-30s, nones 41% in 2021 vs 25% Christians
Single source
21Barna Gen Z: 44% of U.S. 18-24 nones or spiritual but not religious
Verified
22LifeWay Research: U.S. young adults nones up 15 points 2006-2020
Verified
23PRRI: Hispanic nones in U.S. doubled from 12% to 24% 2006-2020
Verified
24General Social Survey: Black nones tripled from 3% to 10% 1990-2018
Directional
25Pew: U.S. regional nones highest in West at 33% in 2021
Single source
26Barna: U.S. urban nones 35% vs 20% rural 2020
Verified
27Gallup: College-educated U.S. adults nones 25% vs 15% non-college 2022
Verified
28PRRI: U.S. Democrats nones 38% vs 12% Republicans 2021
Verified

Rise of Religiously Unaffiliated (Nones) Interpretation

The pews are emptying with such velocity that one might wonder if the final "Amen" will simply be a collective, polite yawn.

Sources & References