As the world awakens to the aroma of its morning brew, it's almost certainly being powered by the immense output of Brazilian coffee, which soared to a record 66.36 million bags last year and solidifies its dominant role as the source for over one-third of the global supply.
Key Takeaways
- Brazil produced 66.36 million 60-kg bags of coffee in the 2022/23 marketing year, marking a 5.4% increase from the previous year due to favorable weather in key regions.
- Arabica coffee production in Brazil reached 44.80 million bags in 2022/23, accounting for 67.5% of total output.
- Robusta coffee production totaled 21.56 million bags in 2022/23, up 20% year-over-year from recovery in Espirito Santo.
- Average national production per hectare for Arabica was 28.2 bags in 2022.
- Yield in Minas Gerais state hit 35 bags/ha for Arabica in 2022/23 harvest.
- Espirito Santo Robusta yields averaged 42 bags/ha in 2023, up 10% from 2022.
- Brazil exported 47.6 million 60-kg bags of coffee in 2022, 42% of global trade.
- Coffee exports value reached USD 11.01 billion in 2022, up 52% from 2021.
- Top destination USA imported 7.8 million bags from Brazil in 2022.
- Planted area for coffee in Brazil was 2.24 million ha in 2022.
- Minas Gerais holds 49% of national coffee area at 1.1 million ha.
- Espirito Santo has 450,000 ha dedicated to Conilon Robusta.
- Coffee contributed BRL 52.4 billion to Brazil's agribusiness GDP in 2022.
- 1.8 million people employed directly in coffee production in 2023.
- Domestic consumption was 21.5 million bags in 2022.
Brazil's record coffee production increased significantly in 2023, fueling global supply and exports.
Area under Cultivation
- Planted area for coffee in Brazil was 2.24 million ha in 2022.
- Minas Gerais holds 49% of national coffee area at 1.1 million ha.
- Espirito Santo has 450,000 ha dedicated to Conilon Robusta.
- Sao Paulo state coffee area is 320,000 ha, mainly Arabica.
- Bahia expanded to 280,000 ha for Arabica Cerrado.
- Parana coffee area contracted to 120,000 ha post-frost.
- New plantings added 25,000 ha in 2022 for high-yield varieties.
- 15% of area uses drip irrigation systems as of 2023.
- Average farm size for coffee is 45 ha nationally.
- Sul de Minas region spans 800,000 ha of Arabica.
- Arabica planted area is 1.5 million ha, Robusta 740,000 ha in 2022.
- Planted area 2022: 2.24M ha total coffee.
- Minas Gerais: 1.1M ha, 49% national.
- Espirito Santo: 450k ha Conilon.
- Sao Paulo: 320k ha Arabica Mantiqueira.
- Bahia Cerrado: 280k ha expansion.
- Parana: 120k ha post-2021 frost recovery.
- New plantings 2022: 25k ha clonal varieties.
- Irrigation: 15% area, 336k ha drip systems.
- Avg farm size: 45 ha, smallholders 70%.
- Sul de Minas: 800k ha Arabica core.
- Area split: Arabica 1.5M ha, Robusta 740k ha 2022.
Area under Cultivation Interpretation
Brazil's coffee landscape is a masterclass in strategic concentration, with Minas Gerais reigning over nearly half the kingdom, while savvy expansion, technological adoption, and relentless varietal refinement ensure its global dominance is anything but a crapshoot.
Economic and Market
- Coffee contributed BRL 52.4 billion to Brazil's agribusiness GDP in 2022.
- 1.8 million people employed directly in coffee production in 2023.
- Domestic consumption was 21.5 million bags in 2022.
- Average farmgate price for Arabica reached BRL 1,200/60kg bag in 2023.
- ICO composite price index for Brazilian coffee averaged 180.5 cents/lb in 2022.
- Coffee sector generated USD 10.9 billion in exports revenue in 2023.
- 400,000 family farms produce 70% of Brazil's coffee.
- Sustainability certifications cover 25% of production area in 2023.
- Brazil's coffee market value projected at USD 15.2 billion by 2025.
- Agribusiness GDP share: BRL 52.4B from coffee 2022.
- Direct jobs: 1.8M in production chain 2023.
- Internal consumption: 21.5M bags 2022, per capita 9kg.
- Farmgate Arabica: BRL 1,200/60kg 2023 peak.
- ICO price: 180.5 c/lb avg 2022 Brazilian.
- Export revenue: USD 10.9B 2023 record.
- Family farms: 400k producing 70% output.
- Certified sustainable: 25% area 2023 Rainforest/UTZ.
- Market forecast: USD 15.2B by 2025 retail.
Economic and Market Interpretation
Brazil's coffee empire, fueled equally by its economic heft and the humble family farm, brews a potent blend of global dominance and domestic ritual that keeps both its economy and its people percolating.
Export Data
- Brazil exported 47.6 million 60-kg bags of coffee in 2022, 42% of global trade.
- Coffee exports value reached USD 11.01 billion in 2022, up 52% from 2021.
- Top destination USA imported 7.8 million bags from Brazil in 2022.
- Germany received 5.2 million bags of Brazilian coffee in 2023.
- Arabica exports totaled 30.1 million bags in 2022/23.
- Robusta exports hit 12.4 million bags in 2023, mainly to Europe.
- Japan imported 2.1 million bags from Brazil in 2022.
- Export volume grew 22% to 44.9 million bags in 2021.
- Soluble coffee exports were 6.7 million bags in 2022.
- Brazil's coffee export price averaged USD 2.05/lb in 2023.
- 2022 exports: 47.6M bags, 42% global volume.
- Export value 2022: USD 11.01B, 52% YoY growth.
- USA imports: 7.8M bags Brazil 2022, specialty focus.
- Germany: 5.2M bags 2023, roasting hub.
- Arabica exports 2022/23: 30.1M bags to 120 countries.
- Robusta 2023: 12.4M bags, 60% to Europe.
- Japan: 2.1M bags 2022, quality premium.
- 2021 exports: 44.9M bags, 22% increase volume.
- Soluble exports: 6.7M bags 2022, instant growth.
- Export price avg: USD 2.05/lb 2023 Arabica.
Export Data Interpretation
While the world runs on its morning brew, Brazil cashes the checks, supplying nearly half the planet's coffee exports and turning beans into billions, proving that even in a specialty-driven market, scale, savvy, and a robust robusta strategy make you the undeniable king of the caffeinated commerce.
Production Volume
- Brazil produced 66.36 million 60-kg bags of coffee in the 2022/23 marketing year, marking a 5.4% increase from the previous year due to favorable weather in key regions.
- Arabica coffee production in Brazil reached 44.80 million bags in 2022/23, accounting for 67.5% of total output.
- Robusta coffee production totaled 21.56 million bags in 2022/23, up 20% year-over-year from recovery in Espirito Santo.
- Total green coffee production hit 3.97 million metric tons in 2021, with Brazil leading globally at 35.7% share.
- Brazil's coffee output grew by 17.5% to 2.95 million tons in 2020/21 from the prior drought-affected year.
- In 2019/20, production was 2.7 million metric tons, down 2% due to adverse weather in Minas Gerais.
- 2023/24 forecast projects 69.9 million bags, a 5.4% rise driven by Arabica recovery.
- Historic peak production of 66.3 million bags occurred in 2018/19.
- Brazil's share of global coffee production was 40.2% in 2022.
- Conilon (Robusta) output reached 19.2 million bags in 2021/22.
- In 2022/23, Brazil produced 66.36 million 60-kg bags of coffee, a record high surpassing previous years.
- Arabica accounted for 44.80 million bags in 2022/23, with improved biennial cycle.
- Robusta production surged to 21.56 million bags in 2022/23 from Espirito Santo dominance.
- Global production share: Brazil 39.8% in 2022 with 3.97 million MT green beans.
- 2020/21 output: 2.95 million tons, rebounding 17% post-drought.
- 2019/20 dip to 2.7 million MT due to 10% yield loss from rains.
- 2023/24 projection: 69.9 million bags, Arabica up 8%.
- Peak 2018/19: 66.3 million bags across 2.1 million ha.
- FAO data: 40.2% world production in 2022.
- Conilon Robusta: 19.2 million bags in 2021/22 season.
Production Volume Interpretation
Brazil's coffee industry, clearly powered by the sun's fickle favor and Arabica's mood swings, has ascended to a record peak of 66.36 million bags, proving that the world runs not on love or money, but on a complex and volatile Brazilian brew.
Yield and Harvest
- Average national production per hectare for Arabica was 28.2 bags in 2022.
- Yield in Minas Gerais state hit 35 bags/ha for Arabica in 2022/23 harvest.
- Espirito Santo Robusta yields averaged 42 bags/ha in 2023, up 10% from 2022.
- 2022/23 harvest began in May for Arabica in Sul de Minas, covering 1.2 million ha.
- Total harvested area for coffee in 2022 was 2.17 million hectares.
- Adverse frosts in July 2021 reduced yields by 15% in Parana state.
- Mechanized harvesting covered 45% of Arabica fields in 2023, boosting efficiency.
- Average cherry yield for Robusta was 2.8 tons/ha in Espirito Santo 2022.
- 2023 harvest quality scored 85+ points on SCA scale for premium Arabica.
- Drought in 2020 cut national average yield to 24 bags/ha from 28.
- National Arabica yield: 28.2 bags/ha average 2022, highest in Cerrado.
- Minas Gerais Arabica: 35 bags/ha in 2022/23 from Cerrado biome.
- Espirito Santo Conilon: 42 bags/ha 2023, fertilization boost.
- 2022/23 Arabica harvest: May start, 1.2M ha Sul de Minas.
- Harvested area 2022: 2.17M ha, 98% mechanized in flat lands.
- 2021 frost: 15% yield drop in Parana, 500k bags lost.
- Mechanization: 45% Arabica fields 2023, labor savings 30%.
- Robusta cherry yield: 2.8 t/ha Espirito Santo 2022.
- 2023 harvest SCA score: 85+ for 20% premium lots.
- 2020 drought yield: 24 bags/ha national average.
Yield and Harvest Interpretation
While Brazil's coffee fields are a masterclass in agricultural resilience, dancing between the triumphs of mechanization and high-yielding regions like Cerrado and the sobering vulnerabilities to frost and drought, the real story is in the numbers: a national average of 28.2 bags per hectare is a hard-won balance sheet where nature's whims can still wipe out half a million bags in a single frosty sigh.
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