Key Takeaways
- The Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine demonstrated 95% efficacy against confirmed COVID-19 in participants without prior infection starting 7 days after the second dose in a phase 3 trial with over 44,000 participants.
- The Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine showed 94.1% efficacy in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 in a randomized trial of 30,420 participants aged 18 years or older.
- The AstraZeneca-Oxford COVID-19 vaccine had 76.0% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 with two standard doses in a pooled analysis of four trials involving 23,848 participants.
- Serious adverse events occurred in 0.00003% of doses of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in VAERS data from 12/2020-12/2021 for 469 million doses.
- Anaphylaxis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines occurs at 5 cases per million doses, mostly in persons with history of allergies, CDC MMWR.
- Myocarditis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines is rare at 12.6 cases per million second doses in males 12-17 years, mostly mild, CDC study.
- Global DTP3 coverage reached 84% in 2022, vaccinating 108 million infants, per WHO/UNICEF estimates.
- Measles first dose coverage 83% worldwide in 2022, second dose 74%, leaving 22.6 million unvaccinated children.
- HPV vaccine first dose coverage in girls 13-20 years was 63% globally in 2021, per WHO estimates.
- Vaccines prevented 154 million lives globally 50 years (1974-2024), 6 million annually, Lancet study.
- Measles deaths dropped 73% (2.6M to 207K) 2000-2019 due to vaccination, WHO data.
- Polio cases reduced 99.9% since 1988 (350K to 22 in 2017), near eradication.
- Vaccines saved $1.5 trillion in health costs globally 2011-2020, WHO/UNICEF.
- Every $1 spent on childhood vaccines saves $44 in future costs, US analysis.
- Gavi Alliance vaccinated 1B children, averting 17.3M future deaths, $10 ROI.
Vaccines are highly effective and have saved millions of lives globally.
Disease Prevention Impact
- Vaccines prevented 154 million lives globally 50 years (1974-2024), 6 million annually, Lancet study.
- Measles deaths dropped 73% (2.6M to 207K) 2000-2019 due to vaccination, WHO data.
- Polio cases reduced 99.9% since 1988 (350K to 22 in 2017), near eradication.
- Diphtheria cases fell 94% in Europe post-vaccination campaigns 1990s.
- Tetanus neonatal cases declined 97% globally 1988-2019 via maternal immunization.
- Pertussis deaths in US infants dropped 99% post-DTaP introduction 1990s.
- Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) invasive disease reduced 99% in US children <5 post-vaccine.
- Rotavirus hospitalizations decreased 80-90% in US post-2006 vaccine.
- HPV vaccination prevented 90% cervical pre-cancers in vaccinated cohorts Australia.
- Hepatitis B vaccination prevented 21 million deaths in China 1992-2012.
- Pneumococcal vaccines averted 700,000 deaths annually worldwide.
- Meningitis A cases dropped 99% in meningitis belt post-MenAfriVac 2010-2019.
- Varicella cases declined 90% in US post-vaccine 1995-2010.
- Rubella congenital syndrome cases eliminated in Americas via vaccination.
- COVID-19 vaccines prevented 14.4-19.8 million deaths globally first year, Imperial College model.
- Influenza vaccines prevent 7.5 million illnesses, 100K hospitalizations US annually.
- Shingles vaccine (Zostavax) reduced cases 51%, Shingrix 97% post-licensure.
- Smallpox vaccination eradicated last case 1977, saved 300-500M lives 20th century.
- Yellow fever vaccination prevented outbreaks in 30+ countries.
- Cholera vaccine reduced cases 40% in endemic areas Bangladesh.
- Typhoid vaccination averted 66% cases in schoolchildren trials.
Disease Prevention Impact Interpretation
Economic and Social Benefits
- Vaccines saved $1.5 trillion in health costs globally 2011-2020, WHO/UNICEF.
- Every $1 spent on childhood vaccines saves $44 in future costs, US analysis.
- Gavi Alliance vaccinated 1B children, averting 17.3M future deaths, $10 ROI.
- Rotavirus vaccine saved $1B+ US healthcare costs 2008-2019.
- HPV vaccination prevents $130B cervical cancer costs US lifetime.
- PCV reduced US pneumococcal costs $5.8B 2000-2015.
- Measles vaccination economic benefit $23.1 per $1 invested globally.
- Hepatitis B vaccine ROI 229:1 in low/middle income countries.
- COVID-19 vaccines global economic value $1.6T first year, prevented GDP loss.
- Flu vaccination saves US employers $3.1B annually productivity.
- Polio eradication economic benefit $40-50B 2001-2040.
- Shingrix prevents 200K US shingles cases yearly, $1.5B savings.
- Hib vaccine saved $7B US healthcare 1989-2009.
- Maternal Tdap prevents 32K US pertussis cases infants yearly, cost-saving.
- Varicella vaccine saved $5.1B US 2005-2020.
- Meningococcal vaccines cost-effective at $25K/QALY US.
- RSV prevention in infants could save $3B US annually.
- Smallpox eradication saved $1.3B annually post-1980.
- Rubella vaccination prevents $2.4B congenital defects costs US.
- Typhoid vaccine cost-effective <$500/DALY averted LMICs.
Economic and Social Benefits Interpretation
Efficacy and Effectiveness
- The Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine demonstrated 95% efficacy against confirmed COVID-19 in participants without prior infection starting 7 days after the second dose in a phase 3 trial with over 44,000 participants.
- The Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine showed 94.1% efficacy in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 in a randomized trial of 30,420 participants aged 18 years or older.
- The AstraZeneca-Oxford COVID-19 vaccine had 76.0% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 with two standard doses in a pooled analysis of four trials involving 23,848 participants.
- The Johnson & Johnson single-dose COVID-19 vaccine prevented 66.9% of moderate to severe/critical COVID-19 cases 28 days post-vaccination in adults 18+ across global phase 3 trials with 43,783 participants.
- The Novavax COVID-19 vaccine (NVX-CoV2373) achieved 90.4% efficacy against mild, moderate, or severe COVID-19 in a phase 3 trial with 29,960 participants in the UK.
- The measles vaccine is 97% effective against measles with two doses in children, based on CDC surveillance data from 2000-2019 outbreaks.
- The HPV vaccine (Gardasil 9) prevents 97% of cervical pre-cancers caused by HPV types 16/18 in women vaccinated before age 25, per long-term follow-up studies.
- The rotavirus vaccine (Rotateq) reduced severe gastroenteritis by 85-98% in infants in clinical trials involving over 70,000 participants across multiple countries.
- The DTaP vaccine is 80-90% effective at preventing pertussis in children after three doses, with efficacy rising to 90% after five doses per CDC estimates.
- The influenza vaccine reduces the risk of flu illness by 40-60% among the overall population during seasons when well-matched to circulating strains, meta-analysis of 31 studies.
- The shingles vaccine (Shingrix) is over 90% effective at preventing shingles in adults 50+ and over 97% in those 70+, based on two phase 3 trials with 38,000 participants.
- The polio vaccine (IPV) provides 99% protection against paralytic polio after three doses in children, per WHO global eradication data.
- The hepatitis B vaccine is 95% effective in preventing chronic infection when given to infants, with long-term studies showing protection lasting 30+ years.
- The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) reduced invasive pneumococcal disease by 97% in children under 2 years in the US post-licensure.
- The meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MenACWY) is 88% effective against serogroup C disease in adolescents, per UK surveillance data.
- The MMR vaccine prevents 93% of mumps cases with one dose and 88% with two doses in outbreak settings, CDC analysis of 2006-2019 data.
- The varicella vaccine is 90% effective against all varicella and 98% against severe cases after two doses in children.
- The Tdap booster prevents 78% of pertussis cases in adolescents, per 10-year follow-up study post-implementation.
- The COVID-19 mRNA vaccines reduced hospitalization by 94% in fully vaccinated adults during Delta wave, CDC VISION network data.
- The RSV monoclonal antibody (nirsevimab) prevented 75% of medically attended RSV lower respiratory tract infections in infants, phase 3 trial.
- The Ebola vaccine (rVSV-ZEBOV) showed 97.5% efficacy in a ring vaccination trial in Guinea with 7,838 contacts.
- The dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia) is 80.8% effective against virologically confirmed dengue in seropositive children aged 9-16.
- The yellow fever vaccine provides lifelong immunity in 99% of recipients after a single dose, per WHO expert review.
- The rabies vaccine post-exposure prophylaxis is nearly 100% effective if administered promptly before symptoms.
- The anthrax vaccine adsorbed (AVA) is 92.5% effective against cutaneous anthrax in animal models and humans per FDA approval data.
- The Japanese encephalitis vaccine (Ixiaro) prevents 99% of cases in travelers, per CDC surveillance.
- The typhoid conjugate vaccine (Typbar TCV) is 79% effective against typhoid fever in children 9 months to 16 years, phase 3 trial in Bangladesh.
- The cholera vaccine (Vaxchora) is 90.3% effective against cholera diarrhea in US travelers to endemic areas, per challenge studies.
- The COVID-19 booster (bivalent) restored protection to 71% against symptomatic infection during Omicron, Israeli study of 1.1 million.
- The HPV vaccine reduced HPV-16/18 infections by 83% in vaccinated vs unvaccinated women in a 10-year Australian study.
Efficacy and Effectiveness Interpretation
Immunization Coverage
- Global DTP3 coverage reached 84% in 2022, vaccinating 108 million infants, per WHO/UNICEF estimates.
- Measles first dose coverage 83% worldwide in 2022, second dose 74%, leaving 22.6 million unvaccinated children.
- HPV vaccine first dose coverage in girls 13-20 years was 63% globally in 2021, per WHO estimates.
- Rotavirus vaccine coverage 49% in low-income countries in 2022, up from 11% in 2010, WHO data.
- Influenza vaccination coverage 52% among US seniors 65+ in 2022-23 season, CDC FluVaxView.
- Hepatitis B birth dose coverage 86% globally in 2022, preventing 43 million chronic infections since 1990.
- Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV3+) coverage 84% in children under 1 year worldwide 2022.
- Meningococcal A conjugate vaccine (MenAfriVac) coverage 95%+ in meningitis belt countries, 300+ million doses.
- Polio vaccine coverage (3+ doses) 83% globally in 2022, near eradication except Afghanistan/Pakistan.
- COVID-19 primary series coverage 70.6% globally as of 2023, 13.5 billion doses administered.
- Shingles vaccine (Shingrix) coverage 35% in US adults 60+ as of 2022, CDC NIS.
- Tdap coverage during pregnancy 57% in US 2021, CDC data.
- Varicella vaccine coverage 92% for two doses in US kindergarteners 2021-22.
- MMR coverage 93% for two doses in US children 2021-22 school year.
- DTP3 coverage in WHO Africa region 82% in 2022, improved from 75% pre-COVID.
- HPV vaccine coverage in boys reached 54% first dose globally 2021.
- Yellow fever routine immunization coverage 80%+ in at-risk countries via IDSR.
- Typhoid conjugate vaccine coverage 90%+ in pilot programs Pakistan, 25 million children.
- Dengue vaccine coverage low at <1% globally due to policy limits, Sanofi data.
- RSV maternal vaccine coverage pilot 80% in trials, rollout pending.
- Global routine vaccination coverage for DTP3 dropped to 81% in 2021 due to COVID disruptions.
- US adult flu shot coverage 50.3% in 2022-23, highest since 2010.
- Smallpox vaccination eradicated disease; coverage 100% in endemic areas 1967-1980.
- Rubella vaccine coverage 89% globally first dose 2022, near elimination in Americas.
Immunization Coverage Interpretation
Safety Profile
- Serious adverse events occurred in 0.00003% of doses of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in VAERS data from 12/2020-12/2021 for 469 million doses.
- Anaphylaxis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines occurs at 5 cases per million doses, mostly in persons with history of allergies, CDC MMWR.
- Myocarditis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines is rare at 12.6 cases per million second doses in males 12-17 years, mostly mild, CDC study.
- No increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome with mRNA COVID-19 vaccines (SIR 0.78), large US cohort of 99 million.
- The rotavirus vaccine has an intussusception risk of 1-6 excess cases per 100,000 vaccinated infants in first week post-dose.
- MMR vaccine does not cause autism; meta-analysis of 1.26 million children showed no association (OR 0.99), Cochrane review.
- HPV vaccine Guillain-Barré risk is not increased (1.4 excess cases per million doses max, but not causal), VAERS analysis.
- Shingrix vaccine local reactions in 78% (pain), systemic in 49%, serious adverse events in 1.1%, ZOE-50/70 trials.
- DTaP vaccine febrile seizures occur in 1 per 16,000 doses, mostly benign, VAERS post-licensure surveillance.
- Influenza vaccine does not increase hospitalization risk in elderly; VE against hospitalization 39%, no safety signals in millions.
- PCV13 vaccine serious hypersensitivity <1 per million doses, no increased autoimmune risk, post-marketing studies.
- Hepatitis B vaccine has no link to multiple sclerosis; 163 studies confirm safety in 30+ years use.
- Polio vaccine (OPV) vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis risk 1 per 2.4 million doses, IPV safer at near zero.
- Meningococcal vaccine syncope common post-vax (15/10,000), managed by supine position, no serious outcomes increased.
- Varicella vaccine rash in 5% after first dose, transmission rare (1%), CDC VSD data.
- Tdap vaccine during pregnancy no adverse fetal outcomes; 130,000+ exposures safe, CDC study.
- No thrombosis with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines; AstraZeneca TTS 1-2 per 100,000, J&J 3 per million.
- Measles vaccine thrombocytopenia transient in 1 per 30,000-40,000 doses, resolves spontaneously.
- No increased miscarriage risk with COVID-19 vaccination; 35% rate same as unvaccinated, NEJM study 2,456 pregnancies.
- Yellow fever vaccine viscerotropic disease rare at 0.3-0.5 per 100,000 doses in low-risk groups.
- Dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia) safe in seropositive, hospitalization risk increased only in seronegative (hospital policy).
- Ebola vaccine arthralgia common (30%), serious events 1%, no deaths related in PREVAIL II trial.
- RSV vaccine (Arexvy) serious events similar to placebo (1.6% vs 1.5%), phase 3 trial 25,000 adults.
- Anthrax vaccine local reactions 60-80%, systemic 10-20%, no long-term effects in military cohorts.
- Rabies vaccine neuroparalytic reactions <1 per 10,000, HDCV safer than nerve tissue vaccines.
Safety Profile Interpretation
Sources & References
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- Reference 4WHOwho.intVisit source
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- Reference 10POLIOERADICATIONpolioeradication.orgVisit source
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- Reference 14GAVIgavi.orgVisit source
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