Key Takeaways
- As of Q4 2023, total U.S. student loan debt stood at $1.605 trillion, held by 42.6 million borrowers.
- Student loan debt grew by 3.04% from Q4 2022 to Q4 2023, adding approximately $47.5 billion to the total balance.
- Federal student loans account for 92% of total student debt, totaling about $1.477 trillion as of late 2023.
- Women hold 58% of total student debt, about $929 billion.
- Black borrowers hold 13% of debt but are 7% of population, averaging $53,000 per borrower.
- 56% of bachelor's recipients borrow, average $28,950 debt.
- 9.7% of federal loans in default as of 2023.
- Delinquency rate spiked to 37% post-pause in Q3 2023.
- 20% of borrowers 90+ days delinquent by late 2023.
- Student debt delays homeownership by 7 years on average.
- Borrowers with debt 39% less likely to buy homes.
- $250 billion annual hit to GDP from debt overhang.
- $60 billion forgiven in 2023, but $400 billion more needed.
- PSLF: 4.5 million eligible, $473 billion potential forgiveness.
- IDR forgiveness: 1.3 million borrowers approved post-2021.
Total student debt is now over $1.6 trillion and impacts tens of millions of borrowers.
Aggregate Debt Statistics
- As of Q4 2023, total U.S. student loan debt stood at $1.605 trillion, held by 42.6 million borrowers.
- Student loan debt grew by 3.04% from Q4 2022 to Q4 2023, adding approximately $47.5 billion to the total balance.
- Federal student loans account for 92% of total student debt, totaling about $1.477 trillion as of late 2023.
- Private student loans make up 8% of the market, roughly $128 billion outstanding in 2023.
- Average federal student loan debt per borrower is $38,375 as of 2023.
- Median student loan debt for bachelor's degree holders is $28,400 according to 2022 data.
- Student debt has increased 302% since 2004 after adjusting for inflation.
- Total student loan debt surpassed auto loans in 2013 and credit card debt in 2012.
- In 2023, student loans represent 7.5% of total U.S. household debt.
- From 2006 to 2016, student loan debt tripled from $500 billion to $1.3 trillion.
- Outstanding student debt reached $1.6 trillion by mid-2023, per Federal Reserve data.
- Student loan balances grew 0.86% in Q3 2023 alone.
- Total Direct Loan Program disbursements exceeded $1.68 trillion since inception through 2023.
- FFEL program loans outstanding were $324 billion before transition to Direct Loans.
- Perkins Loans totaled $8.2 billion before program ended in 2017.
- Total student debt per capita in the US is about $4,800 as of 2023.
- States like California hold $99 billion in student debt collectively.
- New York has $92.2 billion in total student loan debt.
- Texas student loan debt totals $61 billion across borrowers.
- Student debt overtook mortgage debt growth in the 2010s.
- By 2022, 45 million Americans held student debt averaging $37,000.
- Total debt hit $1.73 trillion peak before forgiveness in 2023.
- Post-pause, debt balances increased by $40 billion in Q1 2023.
- 43 million federal borrowers hold $1.6 trillion as of 2024.
- Institutional loans add $10-15 billion annually to totals.
- Total disbursements in 2022-2023 academic year: $102 billion federal.
- Student debt as % of GDP: 6.5% in 2023.
- Growth rate slowed to 2% annually post-2020.
- $1.61 trillion total with 42.4 million accounts in Q1 2024.
Aggregate Debt Statistics Interpretation
Borrower Demographics
- Women hold 58% of total student debt, about $929 billion.
- Black borrowers hold 13% of debt but are 7% of population, averaging $53,000 per borrower.
- 56% of bachelor's recipients borrow, average $28,950 debt.
- Age 25-34 group holds 33% of debt, $528 billion.
- Parent PLUS loans: $108 billion held by 3.8 million parents.
- 41% of borrowers aged 35-49, holding $636 billion.
- Hispanic borrowers: 15% of borrowers, average debt $25,000.
- Master's degree holders average $71,000 in debt.
- 70% of 2016 graduates had debt, average $30,650.
- Low-income borrowers (<$22k family income) borrow 60% more.
- 14 million borrowers in repayment plans, mostly IDR.
- Female borrowers average 12% more debt than males at graduation.
- Black women hold $47 billion more debt than white women.
- 25% of borrowers over age 50, $272 billion debt.
- Public 4-year college grads: 50% borrow, avg $27,000.
- Private nonprofit grads: 70% borrow, avg $34,000.
- For-profit grads: 90% borrow, avg $39,000.
- Rural borrowers 20% more likely to default, hold less debt.
- Veterans hold $24 billion in student debt.
- 57% of white bachelor's grads borrow vs 82% Black.
- Asian borrowers average lowest debt at $22,500.
- Single mothers with degrees hold 2x debt of others.
- 6.5 million borrowers in default or delinquent pre-pause.
- Borrowers under 25 hold 8% of debt, $128 billion.
- 40% of debt held by top 25% income households.
- 38% of undergraduates from lowest income quartile borrow.
Borrower Demographics Interpretation
Economic and Social Impacts
- Student debt delays homeownership by 7 years on average.
- Borrowers with debt 39% less likely to buy homes.
- $250 billion annual hit to GDP from debt overhang.
- 20% reduction in small business formation due to debt.
- Student debt reduces net worth by $100,000+ by age 40.
- Fertility rates drop 1-2% per $10k debt increase.
- Black wealth gap widened by $100k due to debt.
- 40% of borrowers cut spending on daily expenses.
- Debt holders save 50% less for retirement.
- $1.5 trillion debt costs economy $1 trillion in lost growth.
- Divorce risk up 31% for recent grads with debt.
- Mobility reduced: borrowers move 20% less for jobs.
- Mental health: 40% report anxiety from payments.
- Car ownership delayed by 2 years for borrowers.
- $90 billion less in consumer spending annually.
- Wage premium for college offset by 10% due to debt.
- 25% of underemployed grads cite debt as barrier.
- Family formation delayed by 3 years on average.
- $400 billion in lost home equity from delayed buying.
- Suicide risk 2x higher for high-debt borrowers.
- Entrepreneurship rates down 15% for indebted grads.
- 35% forgo raises to stay in PSLF track.
- Credit scores 60 points lower for debtors.
- 50% reduce charitable giving due to payments.
- Geographic immobility costs $50k lifetime earnings.
- $2,000 less annual spending per borrower.
- Gender pay gap worsened by women's higher debt.
Economic and Social Impacts Interpretation
Forgiveness and Policy Measures
- $60 billion forgiven in 2023, but $400 billion more needed.
- PSLF: 4.5 million eligible, $473 billion potential forgiveness.
- IDR forgiveness: 1.3 million borrowers approved post-2021.
- Biden admin forgave $167 billion for 4.8 million.
- SAVE plan: lowers payments to 5% of discretionary income.
- Borrower Defense: $10 billion discharged for 500k+.
- TPD discharge: 1.3 million disabled borrowers, $29 billion.
- HEROES Act waivers expanded PSLF for 800k.
- Public Service Loan Forgiveness credit hours: 2 million approved.
- ICR plan forgiveness after 25 years: $5 billion discharged.
- Proposed $10k forgiveness blocked by courts.
- FFEL borrowers transferred to Direct for forgiveness eligibility.
- 39 states have state-level forgiveness programs.
- Employer assistance max $5,250 tax-free annually.
- AGRD program: military forgiveness up to $65k.
- NHSC Loan Repayment: $50k for health professionals.
- TEACH Grant conversion to loans avoided for 10k.
- One-time IDR adjustment credits 584k borrowers.
- False certification discharges: 1.1 million, $24 billion.
- State AG settlements: $1.8 billion from servicer fines.
- Pell Grant restoration proposed in debt relief plans.
- 8 million affected by payment pause 2020-2023.
- Interest subsidy during pause: $100 billion saved.
- Caps on graduate loans proposed at $100k.
Forgiveness and Policy Measures Interpretation
Repayment and Default Rates
- 9.7% of federal loans in default as of 2023.
- Delinquency rate spiked to 37% post-pause in Q3 2023.
- 20% of borrowers 90+ days delinquent by late 2023.
- Black borrowers default at 50% within 12 years vs 20% white.
- Average time to default: 5 years for federal loans.
- 7 million borrowers in default on $118 billion as of 2023.
- Serious delinquency (90+ days) at 8.2% in 2024.
- For-profit college borrowers default at 4x rate of public.
- 30% of 2004 cohort in default by 12 years.
- IDR enrollment prevents 40% of projected defaults.
- Parent PLUS default rate: 8.5% within 5 years.
- 25% of borrowers miss first payment post-pause.
- Average monthly payment: $222 for undergrad loans.
- 11% of balances 30-89 days past due in Q1 2024.
- Low-income borrowers 3x more likely to default.
- Forgiveness via default rehab: 1 million borrowers since 2014.
- 90-day delinquency doubled to 7.74% post-pause.
- Cohort default rate for 2020: 0.6% official.
- 50% of defaulters re-default within 2 years.
- PSLF approvals: 867,000 borrowers forgiven $60 billion.
- Average repayment term extended to 20 years on IDR.
- 28% of borrowers struggle with payments per 2023 survey.
- Default rates fell from 17% to 7% with IDR expansion.
- 4 million on paused payments still accruing interest.
- 65% of defaulters have < $10k in debt.
- Repayment rates: 60% pay on time post-pause.
Repayment and Default Rates Interpretation
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