Key Takeaways
- During the 2019-2020 Hong Kong protests, the largest single-day turnout was estimated at 1.7 million participants on June 16, 2019, representing about 24% of the city's population
- The 2017 Women's March in Washington, D.C., drew an estimated 470,000 to 680,000 participants, making it one of the largest single-day protests in U.S. history
- Black Lives Matter protests in the U.S. from May to August 2020 involved an estimated 15 to 26 million participants across over 2,400 locations
- The George Floyd protests accounted for 93% of all U.S. demonstrations in summer 2020, with 7,750 events
- Worldwide, there were 10,000+ Black Lives Matter solidarity protests in 60+ countries in 2020
- U.S. protests rose 50% from 2016-2020, with 24,000+ events in 2020 alone
- Only 4.5% of protests from 2006-2020 were violent globally, per Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns study
- Nonviolent protests succeed 53% of time vs. 26% for violent ones (1900-2006)
- 2011 Arab Spring saw 2 regimes fall (Tunisia, Egypt) out of 6 major protests
- Hong Kong protests saw 10,000+ injuries and psychological trauma in 30% of youth participants
- U.S. George Floyd protests (2020) resulted in 25 deaths, 2,000+ injuries to police, 12,000+ arrests
- Tiananmen Square 1989 massacre killed 200-10,000 protesters per estimates
- U.S. George Floyd protests cost $1-2 billion in insured damages, highest in history
- Hong Kong protests caused HK$100 billion+ economic loss over 6 months in 2019
- Chile 2019 protests led to $3-4 billion GDP loss, 1.1% contraction Q4 2019
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Duration and Frequency
- The George Floyd protests accounted for 93% of all U.S. demonstrations in summer 2020, with 7,750 events
- Worldwide, there were 10,000+ Black Lives Matter solidarity protests in 60+ countries in 2020
- U.S. protests rose 50% from 2016-2020, with 24,000+ events in 2020 alone
- Hong Kong protests (2019-2020) lasted 13 months with over 10,000 events
- French Yellow Vests protests continued for 2+ years with 100+ consecutive Saturdays
- U.S. BLM protests from 2013-2020 totaled over 10,600 demonstrations
- Global climate strikes occurred weekly in 7,500+ cities since 2018
- Chile's 2019 protests lasted 6 months with daily actions in 50+ cities
- India's farmers' protest endured 13 months from Nov 2020 to Dec 2021
- Belarus protests (2020-2021) had near-daily marches for 6 months
- U.S. anti-war protests (1963-1975) included 3,000+ major events
- Lebanon's 2019 protests lasted 10 months with nationwide blockades
- Thailand protests (2020-2021) spanned 18 months with 1,000+ rallies
- Myanmar civil disobedience movement post-2021 coup lasted 2+ years ongoing
- Iran's 2022 protests continued for 6+ months across 200+ cities
- U.S. Occupy movement (2011) had encampments lasting 2 months in 900+ cities
- Algeria Hirak protests (2019-) paused but resumed, totaling 2 years intermittent
- Global Extinction Rebellion actions since 2018 include 5,000+ events yearly
- U.S. police brutality protests post-Ferguson (2014-2020) averaged 1,000/year
- Hong Kong had 16,000+ protest-related arrests over 2019-2020 period
- Worldwide protests increased 30% from 2010-2020 per Carnegie data
- Puerto Rico 2019 protests led to governor's resignation after 2 weeks intense action
- Armenia Velvet Revolution took 11 days of continuous marches in 2018
- Sudanese protests (2018-2019) spanned 9 months leading to Bashir's ouster
- Russia anti-Putin protests (2011-2012) had 100+ events over 9 months
- U.S. Civil Rights Movement protests (1954-1968) included 2,000+ sit-ins and marches
Duration and Frequency Interpretation
Economic and Legal Consequences
- U.S. George Floyd protests cost $1-2 billion in insured damages, highest in history
- Hong Kong protests caused HK$100 billion+ economic loss over 6 months in 2019
- Chile 2019 protests led to $3-4 billion GDP loss, 1.1% contraction Q4 2019
- BLM 2020 riots damaged 1,500+ businesses, $500M+ uninsured losses in Minneapolis alone
- French Yellow Vests: €1 billion+ blocked tolls/fuel sales losses by Dec 2018
- India's farmers' protest disrupted ₹2.5 lakh crore trade over 1 year
- U.S. Jan 6 Capitol: $30 million damages, 1,500+ lawsuits pending
- Lebanon 2019 protests caused $2 billion tourism loss, banks closed weeks
- Myanmar post-coup protests/economy: 18% GDP contraction 2021, $10B+ losses
- Belarus 2020: 4,000+ businesses sanctioned, $10B+ export losses
- Thailand protests 2020: Tourism down 80%, $40B GDP hit 2020 partly due
- Iran 2022 protests: $1B+ damages, 300+ businesses burned
- Occupy Wall Street evictions cost cities $20M+ in policing
- Algeria Hirak: Oil strikes cost $5B+ revenue 2019
- U.S. 2020 protests policing cost $1.5B+ across cities
- Hong Kong: 10,000+ convicted by 2023, average sentence 4 years under NSL
- U.S. BLM arrests: 14,000+ charged, 90% dropped or non-violent misdemeanors
- Jan 6: 1,200+ federal charges, 700+ guilty pleas by 2023
- France Yellow Vests: 13,000+ investigated, 4,000 convictions mostly fines
- Global protest policing costs average $100K per large event per studies
Economic and Legal Consequences Interpretation
Impacts and Outcomes
- Only 4.5% of protests from 2006-2020 were violent globally, per Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns study
- Nonviolent protests succeed 53% of time vs. 26% for violent ones (1900-2006)
- 2011 Arab Spring saw 2 regimes fall (Tunisia, Egypt) out of 6 major protests
- U.S. Civil Rights Act 1964 passed after years of protests influencing 80% of Congress
- Hong Kong protests led to 5 demands unmet, but electoral reforms partially granted
- India's farmers' protests forced repeal of 3 farm laws in Nov 2021 after 1 year
- Chile protests (2019) resulted in new constitution process approved by 78% referendum
- BLM protests correlated with 20-30% drop in police killings in 2020 cities
- Women's March 2017 boosted Democratic turnout by 11% in midterms per studies
- South Africa's anti-apartheid protests led to 1994 democratic elections
- Velvet Revolution in Czechoslovakia (1989) ended communism in 10 days nonviolently
- Philippine People Power Revolution (1986) ousted Marcos with 2 million protesters
- U.S. Vietnam War protests contributed to 1973 withdrawal and 58% public opposition peak
- Yellow Vests forced Macron to raise minimum wage by 100 euros/month in 2019
- Occupy Wall Street shifted discourse, leading to 2012 Dodd-Frank support polls at 60%
- Sudanese revolution (2019) removed al-Bashir after 30 years, installed civilian council
- Belarus protests (2020) failed to oust Lukashenko but led to 5 million emigrant votes abroad
- Iran's 2022 protests led to 500+ deaths but no regime change, morality police paused
- Lebanon protests (2019) caused government resignations but economic crisis worsened
- Global climate protests influenced EU Green Deal adoption in 2019
- U.S. protests post-Floyd led to 140+ police reform bills passed in states by 2021
- Gandhi's Salt March (1930) sparked independence movement, leading to 60,000 arrests
Impacts and Outcomes Interpretation
Participation and Scale
- During the 2019-2020 Hong Kong protests, the largest single-day turnout was estimated at 1.7 million participants on June 16, 2019, representing about 24% of the city's population
- The 2017 Women's March in Washington, D.C., drew an estimated 470,000 to 680,000 participants, making it one of the largest single-day protests in U.S. history
- Black Lives Matter protests in the U.S. from May to August 2020 involved an estimated 15 to 26 million participants across over 2,400 locations
- The 1989 Tiananmen Square protests in Beijing peaked with over 1 million participants in the city center
- India's 2020-2021 farmers' protests saw up to 250,000 farmers camped at Delhi borders at peak times
- The 2011 Egyptian Revolution protests in Tahrir Square had daily attendances exceeding 1 million people
- France's Yellow Vests movement (2018-2019) mobilized 282,000 participants nationwide on November 17, 2018
- The 1963 March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom attracted 250,000 participants
- Chile's 2019 protests peaked with 1.2 million demonstrators in Santiago on October 25, 2019
- The 2020 George Floyd protests spread to over 2,000 cities and towns in the U.S., with total participation estimated at 15-26 million
- Anti-lockdown protests in the U.S. during 2020-2021 drew crowds of up to 10,000 in Michigan on April 30, 2020
- The 1999 WTO protests in Seattle involved 40,000 participants, shutting down the conference
- Global Climate Strike on September 20, 2019, saw 4 million participants worldwide
- The 2014 Umbrella Movement in Hong Kong had peak daily attendance of 100,000-400,000
- U.S. anti-Vietnam War protests peaked with 500,000 in Washington, D.C., on November 15, 1969
- Belarus 2020 protests after elections drew up to 200,000 in Minsk on August 16, 2020
- Sudan's 2018-2019 revolution saw 1-2 million in Khartoum on April 6, 2019
- The 2021 Myanmar protests against the coup had daily marches of tens of thousands, peaking at 1 million in Yangon
- London's 2003 anti-Iraq War march had 1.5 million participants, largest in UK history
- Puerto Rico's 2019 Telegramgate protests drew 500,000-1 million on July 22
- The 2019 Lebanese October Revolution saw 1.5 million protesters, a quarter of the population
- Algeria's Hirak protests (2019-) peaked with 1-3 million in Algiers on March 1, 2019
- U.S. Women's March 2018 had 1.8 million participants across 600+ cities
- The 2022 Iranian protests after Mahsa Amini's death involved millions across 100+ cities
- Global anti-vaccine mandate protests in Canada (2022) saw 10,000-50,000 in Ottawa trucker convoy
- The 1968 global protests included 400,000 in Mexico City before Olympics
- Russia's 2022 anti-war protests drew 15,000 arrests in first weeks, implying large crowds
- Thailand's 2020-2021 youth-led protests peaked at 100,000 in Bangkok
- The 2011 Occupy Wall Street inspired global protests with 100,000+ in NYC over months
- Armenia's 2018 Velvet Revolution had 100,000+ marching to Yerevan
Participation and Scale Interpretation
Violence and Casualties
- Hong Kong protests saw 10,000+ injuries and psychological trauma in 30% of youth participants
- U.S. George Floyd protests (2020) resulted in 25 deaths, 2,000+ injuries to police, 12,000+ arrests
- Tiananmen Square 1989 massacre killed 200-10,000 protesters per estimates
- Chile 2019 protests had 36 civilian deaths, 445 eye injuries from police rubber bullets
- BLM protests 2020 saw 570+ riots with $1-2B property damage, 14,000+ arrests
- Myanmar 2021 protests killed 1,500+ civilians by security forces
- Belarus 2020 protests led to 30,000+ arrests, 1,000+ hospitalized from beatings
- Iran's Mahsa Amini protests (2022) caused 500+ deaths, 20,000+ arrests
- Yellow Vests France: 11 deaths, 4,000+ injured including 2,500 police by Dec 2018
- U.S. Jan 6 Capitol riot (2021) had 5 deaths, 174 police injured, 1,200+ charged
- Kent State shooting (1970): 4 students killed, 9 wounded by National Guard
- Sudanese revolution: 100+ killed by forces before Bashir fall
- Lebanon 2019 protests: 6 deaths, 2,700 injured in first month
- Occupy Wall Street: 7,000+ arrests nationwide, minimal deaths but 200+ injuries
- Algeria Hirak: 10+ deaths from crowd crushes/police, thousands injured
- Thailand 2020 protests: 2 deaths, 100+ injured by police water cannons/pepperspray
- Russia 2022 anti-war: 15,000+ arrested, beatings reported in 100+ cities
- Puerto Rico 2019: 3 deaths, minimal violence but tear gas widespread
- WTO Seattle 1999: 600+ arrests, 100 injured including police from projectiles
- U.S. anti-lockdown: 100+ arrests in Michigan, few injuries but vehicle rammings
- Global protests: Police use force in 20% of events, injuring 1-5% participants per ACLED
Violence and Casualties Interpretation
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