Key Takeaways
- No cash flow is cited as the primary reason for 82% of small business failures
- Running out of cash accounts for 29% of startup failures per CB Insights postmortem
- No market need causes 42% of startup shutdowns
- Restaurants have a 30% failure rate within the first year in the U.S.
- Retail businesses fail at 25% in year one per BLS
- Construction firms see 20.5% first-year failure
- 70% of failed businesses had founders under 30 years old
- Businesses with experienced founders (10+ years) fail 30% less
- Female-led startups fail at 1.5x rate of male-led due to funding gaps
- Approximately 20% of new businesses in the United States fail within their first year of operation
- Around 30% of small businesses shutter their doors within the first two years
- Nearly 50% of all new businesses fail within five years of launch
- 21.5% of new U.S. businesses fail in first year, 45% by year 5, 65% by year 10 per BLS longitudinal data
- Only 55% survive past 5 years, 35% past 10, 25% past 15 years
- Year 1 survival: 79.4%, Year 2: 69.3%, Year 3: 62.5% for employer firms
Most startups fail because they run out of cash, often tied to weak demand and poor team execution.
Common Reasons for Failure
Common Reasons for Failure Interpretation
Industry-Specific Failure Rates
Industry-Specific Failure Rates Interpretation
Influencing Factors
Influencing Factors Interpretation
Overall Failure Rates
Overall Failure Rates Interpretation
Time-Based Survival Rates
Time-Based Survival Rates Interpretation
How We Rate Confidence
Every statistic is queried across four AI models (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity). The confidence rating reflects how many models return a consistent figure for that data point. Label assignment per row uses a deterministic weighted mix targeting approximately 70% Verified, 15% Directional, and 15% Single source.
Only one AI model returns this statistic from its training data. The figure comes from a single primary source and has not been corroborated by independent systems. Use with caution; cross-reference before citing.
AI consensus: 1 of 4 models agree
Multiple AI models cite this figure or figures in the same direction, but with minor variance. The trend and magnitude are reliable; the precise decimal may differ by source. Suitable for directional analysis.
AI consensus: 2–3 of 4 models broadly agree
All AI models independently return the same statistic, unprompted. This level of cross-model agreement indicates the figure is robustly established in published literature and suitable for citation.
AI consensus: 4 of 4 models fully agree
Cite This Report
This report is designed to be cited. We maintain stable URLs and versioned verification dates. Copy the format appropriate for your publication below.
Marcus Afolabi. (2026, February 13). New Business Failure Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/new-business-failure-statistics
Marcus Afolabi. "New Business Failure Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/new-business-failure-statistics.
Marcus Afolabi. 2026. "New Business Failure Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/new-business-failure-statistics.
Sources & References
- Reference 1SBAsba.gov
sba.gov
- Reference 2BLSbls.gov
bls.gov
- Reference 3FORBESforbes.com
forbes.com
- Reference 4HBRhbr.org
hbr.org
- Reference 5LENDINGTREElendingtree.com
lendingtree.com
- Reference 6CNBCcnbc.com
cnbc.com
- Reference 7STATISTAstatista.com
statista.com
- Reference 8ECec.europa.eu
ec.europa.eu
- Reference 9YELPyelp.com
yelp.com
- Reference 10CBINSIGHTScbinsights.com
cbinsights.com
- Reference 11IRSirs.gov
irs.gov
- Reference 12FUNDERAfundera.com
fundera.com
- Reference 13FAILORYfailory.com
failory.com
- Reference 14NBERnber.org
nber.org
- Reference 15KAUFFMANkauffman.org
kauffman.org
- Reference 16MCKINSEYmckinsey.com
mckinsey.com
- Reference 17ONSons.gov.uk
ons.gov.uk
- Reference 18ISED-ISDEised-isde.canada.ca
ised-isde.canada.ca
- Reference 19ABSabs.gov.au
abs.gov.au
- Reference 20NASSCOMnasscom.in
nasscom.in
- Reference 21IBGEibge.gov.br
ibge.gov.br
- Reference 22SEDAseda.org.za
seda.org.za
- Reference 23METImeti.go.jp
meti.go.jp
- Reference 24DESTATISdestatis.de
destatis.de
- Reference 25INSEEinsee.fr
insee.fr
- Reference 26RESTAURANTBUSINESSONLINErestaurantbusinessonline.com
restaurantbusinessonline.com
- Reference 27IBISWORLDibisworld.com
ibisworld.com
- Reference 28CENSUScensus.gov
census.gov
- Reference 29NFIBnfib.com
nfib.com
- Reference 30SHOPIFYshopify.com
shopify.com
- Reference 31LABIOTECHlabiotech.eu
labiotech.eu
- Reference 32SAAS-CAPITALsaas-capital.com
saas-capital.com
- Reference 33ENERGYenergy.gov
energy.gov
- Reference 34GAMEDEVELOPERgamedeveloper.com
gamedeveloper.com
- Reference 35PHOCUSWRIGHTphocuswright.com
phocuswright.com
- Reference 36FRANCHISECHATTERfranchisechatter.com
franchisechatter.com
- Reference 37NEILPATELneilpatel.com
neilpatel.com
- Reference 38INCinc.com
inc.com
- Reference 39ENTREPRENEURentrepreneur.com
entrepreneur.com
- Reference 40SMALLBIZTRENDSsmallbiztrends.com
smallbiztrends.com
- Reference 41SCOREscore.org
score.org
- Reference 42ZENBUSINESSzenbusiness.com
zenbusiness.com
- Reference 43IBMibm.com
ibm.com
- Reference 44OECDoecd.org
oecd.org
- Reference 45OBERLOoberlo.com
oberlo.com
- Reference 46FRANCHISETIMESfranchisetimes.com
franchisetimes.com
- Reference 47CRUNCHBASEcrunchbase.com
crunchbase.com
- Reference 48SCIENCEDIRECTsciencedirect.com
sciencedirect.com
- Reference 49RATErate.com
rate.com
- Reference 50FEDERALRESERVEfederalreserve.gov
federalreserve.gov
- Reference 51FRBSFfrbsf.org
frbsf.org







