Key Takeaways
- US total public debt outstanding as of September 30, 2024, reached $35.46 trillion
- US gross federal debt on June 30, 2024, was $34.89 trillion
- Total US public debt held by the public as of Q2 2024 was $27.89 trillion
- US gross national debt per capita as of 2024 is approximately $105,000
- US debt held by the public per person was $81,500 in Q2 2024
- Total gross federal debt per capita reached $102,300 by September 2024
- US gross federal debt to GDP ratio was 122.3% in Q2 2024
- US debt held by public to GDP was 98.9% as of June 2024
- Historical peak US debt-to-GDP was 106% post-WWII in 1946
- US federal budget deficit in FY2023 was 6.3% of GDP
- FY2024 deficit projected at $1.9 trillion or 6.7% of GDP by CBO
- US primary deficit excluding interest was 3.1% of GDP in 2023
- CBO projects federal debt to rise to 122% of GDP by 2034
- Under current law, debt held by public 166% GDP by 2054
- Annual deficits average $2.6 trillion 2024-2034 nominal
US national debt stats include high totals, GDP ratio, and projections.
Annual Deficit
- US federal budget deficit in FY2023 was 6.3% of GDP
- FY2024 deficit projected at $1.9 trillion or 6.7% of GDP by CBO
- US primary deficit excluding interest was 3.1% of GDP in 2023
- Cumulative deficits 2021-2024 total $7.5 trillion
- FY2022 deficit was $1.38 trillion or 5.5% GDP
- Pandemic-era deficit 2020 was 14.9% of GDP largest ever
- FY2019 surplus on some measures but overall deficit 4.6% GDP
- Interest payments on debt 2.4% of GDP in FY2023
- Structural deficit estimated 4.5% GDP long-term
- FY2024 year-to-date deficit $1.3 trillion through August
- Average annual deficit 2009-2019 was 4.8% GDP
- Cyclically-adjusted deficit 2.8% GDP in 2023
- Deficit reduction from 2020 peak to 2024 is 8 points of GDP
- Mandatory spending drives 70% of deficits projected
- Revenue as % GDP 17.5% vs spending 24% in FY2023
- Off-budget deficit $150 billion in FY2023
- On-budget deficit $1.7 trillion FY2023
- Deficit financed by borrowing $2.0 trillion net in FY2023
- Primary surplus last achieved 2000 at 2.3% GDP
- CBO projects average deficit 5.8% GDP 2024-2034
- State and local surpluses offset federal by 1% GDP annually
- US unified budget deficit FY2001 was 1.3% GDP pre-surge
- Deficit-to-debt ratio 6% in 2023 meaning debt grows 6% yearly
Annual Deficit Interpretation
Debt per Capita
- US gross national debt per capita as of 2024 is approximately $105,000
- US debt held by the public per person was $81,500 in Q2 2024
- Total gross federal debt per capita reached $102,300 by September 2024
- Per capita public debt in 2023 was $79,000 according to Treasury data
- US federal debt per capita in 2020 spiked to $82,000 amid pandemic
- Debt per capita for intragovernmental holdings is about $21,700 in 2024
- Per taxpayer debt burden is $427,000 in 2024 estimates
- US public debt per capita historical average since 2000 is $45,000 inflation-adjusted
- Debt per capita in 2019 pre-pandemic was $68,000 gross
- Per capita debt held by foreign entities is $24,000 in 2024
- US debt per capita grew 40% from 2020 to 2024
- Federal debt per household is $850,000 in current estimates
- Public debt per capita in Q1 2024 was $82,900
- Gross debt per capita on Dec 31, 2022, was $99,000
- US debt per capita compared to 2008 crisis was $42,000 then vs $105k now
- Per capita intragovernmental debt steady at $21k since 2019
- Total debt per working-age adult is $140,000 in 2024
- Debt per capita for Social Security trust fund is $13,500
- Medicare trust fund per capita contribution to debt $8,200 in 2024
- Military retirement fund per capita debt $2,100
- Per capita debt growth rate 2023-2024 was 8.5%
Debt per Capita Interpretation
Debt-to-GDP Ratio
- US gross federal debt to GDP ratio was 122.3% in Q2 2024
- US debt held by public to GDP was 98.9% as of June 2024
- Historical peak US debt-to-GDP was 106% post-WWII in 1946
- US debt-to-GDP ratio in 2023 averaged 121.5%
- Projected US debt-to-GDP to reach 166% by 2054 per CBO
- Debt held by public to GDP in 2008 was 52.3%
- US gross debt-to-GDP in 2020 hit 132.0% due to COVID
- Current policy baseline debt-to-GDP 116% in 2024 CBO estimate
- Japan has the highest debt-to-GDP at 255% in 2023
- Greece debt-to-GDP 165% in 2023 post-crisis
- US debt-to-GDP trend upward 70% in 2000 to 122% 2024
- Italy debt-to-GDP 140% in 2023
- France debt-to-GDP rose to 110% in 2023
- UK debt-to-GDP 101% in FY2023/24
- Canada debt-to-GDP 107% gross in 2023
- China general government debt-to-GDP 83% in 2023 IMF data
- US federal debt-to-GDP under Biden administration rose 25 points since 2021
- Net debt-to-GDP for US is 99% in 2024
- Advanced economies average debt-to-GDP 112% in 2023
- Emerging markets debt-to-GDP average 74% in 2023
- US public debt-to-GDP in 1980s averaged 45%
- Net interest as percent of GDP projected 3.6% by 2034
Debt-to-GDP Ratio Interpretation
Future Projections
- CBO projects federal debt to rise to 122% of GDP by 2034
- Under current law, debt held by public 166% GDP by 2054
- Annual deficits average $2.6 trillion 2024-2034 nominal
- Net interest costs to reach $1.7 trillion by 2034 or 4.1% GDP
- Social Security shortfall adds $20 trillion to debt by 2034
- Medicare HI trust fund depletes 2036 adding pressure
- Long-term debt projection 195% GDP by 2053 extended baseline
- IMF forecasts US debt-to-GDP 140% by 2029
- Absent policy change, debt unsustainable per GAO 2040s
- CBO alternative scenario debt 200%+ GDP by 2050
- Interest payments projected 6.3% GDP by 2053 highest ever
- Aging population adds 50 trillion to unfunded liabilities
- Revenue projected 18.2% GDP but spending 26.6% by 2054
- Federal debt projected to double in 10 years to $48 trillion by 2034
- 3% real GDP growth assumption in baselines to 2054
- Higher interest rates add $7 trillion to debt by 2034
- Contingent liabilities like Fannie/Freddie $8 trillion risk
- Climate change costs projected to increase deficits 0.5% GDP
- Extended baseline debt 219% GDP by 2054 if trends continue
- Primary deficits persist averaging 2% GDP long-term
- GAO high-risk list warns of $30 trillion debt increase by 2040
- IMF WEO projects global debt 100% GDP but US leads advanced
- US debt projected $50 trillion nominal by 2030 estimates
Future Projections Interpretation
Total Debt Outstanding
- US total public debt outstanding as of September 30, 2024, reached $35.46 trillion
- US gross federal debt on June 30, 2024, was $34.89 trillion
- Total US public debt held by the public as of Q2 2024 was $27.89 trillion
- US intragovernmental holdings as of August 2024 stood at $7.29 trillion
- US marketable debt outstanding as of July 2024 was $27.1 trillion
- Total US federal debt on December 31, 2023, was $33.17 trillion
- US public debt outstanding on March 31, 2024, hit $34.59 trillion
- Non-marketable debt held by government accounts as of 2024 Q2 was $7.0 trillion
- US Treasury bills outstanding totaled $5.8 trillion in August 2024
- US Treasury notes outstanding reached $18.2 trillion as of mid-2024
- US Treasury bonds outstanding were $4.9 trillion in July 2024
- Inflation-indexed securities outstanding amounted to $0.45 trillion in 2024
- US Federal Financing Bank debt was $0.11 trillion as of 2024
- Total debt subject to statutory limit was $36.1 trillion in January 2024 before suspension
- US debt held by foreign investors was $8.1 trillion as of June 2024
- Mutual debt of agencies totaled $0.15 trillion in 2024
- US gross debt as percentage of GDP peaked at 132% in 2020 but was 122% in 2024
- Total public debt on inauguration day 2021 was $27.75 trillion
- US debt outstanding in Treasury securities was $27.5 trillion held by public in 2023 end
- Guaranteed debt of federal agencies was minimal at $0.02 trillion in 2024
- Total debt issued by Treasury in FY2023 was $23.3 trillion gross
- US public debt securities maturing within 1 year were $9.2 trillion in 2024
- Long-term debt over 10 years outstanding $14.5 trillion as of 2024
- Total US debt ceiling invocations historically led to $35+ trillion debt in 2024
Total Debt Outstanding Interpretation
Sources & References
- Reference 1FISCALDATAfiscaldata.treasury.govVisit source
- Reference 2TREASURYDIRECTtreasurydirect.govVisit source
- Reference 3TICDATAticdata.treasury.govVisit source
- Reference 4FREDfred.stlouisfed.orgVisit source
- Reference 5CBOcbo.govVisit source
- Reference 6PGPFpgpf.orgVisit source
- Reference 7USDEBTCLOCKusdebtclock.orgVisit source
- Reference 8SSAssa.govVisit source
- Reference 9CMScms.govVisit source
- Reference 10DATAdata.worldbank.orgVisit source
- Reference 11DATAdata.imf.orgVisit source
- Reference 12ONSons.gov.ukVisit source
- Reference 13IMFimf.orgVisit source
- Reference 14GAOgao.govVisit source






