Key Takeaways
- Black race vs White OS HR 1.25 in US MBC data
- Age 65-74 at MBC diagnosis 5-yr OS 28% vs 35% age 50-64
- Hispanic women MBC median OS 32 months vs 38 non-Hispanic white
- The 5-year relative survival rate for women diagnosed with distant metastatic breast cancer (stage IV) between 2014-2020 is 32.4%
- Median overall survival (OS) for metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients is 39.1 months based on real-world data from 13,760 patients
- 3-year OS rate for de novo MBC is 59% versus 47% for recurrent MBC
- Age at MBC diagnosis <40 years HR for worse OS 1.25
- Visceral metastases present OS HR 1.8 vs bone-only
- ECOG PS >=2 predicts median OS 6 months vs 30 months PS0
- The 5-year OS for HR+/HER2- MBC is 45%
- Median OS for HER2+ MBC is 52 months with trastuzumab
- TNBC MBC has median OS of 12.5 months (95% CI 11.8-13.2)
- Median OS for hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer with CDK4/6 inhibitors is 48 months
- Addition of trastuzumab to chemotherapy in HER2+ MBC improves median OS by 5 months to 25.4 months
- Sacituzumab govitecan in TNBC MBC extends median OS to 12.1 months vs 6.7 months
Survival for metastatic breast cancer remains limited at about 32% five year OS overall, with major disparities.
Related reading
Demographic Influences on Survival
Demographic Influences on Survival Interpretation
Overall Survival Statistics
Overall Survival Statistics Interpretation
More related reading
Prognostic Factors and Survival
Prognostic Factors and Survival Interpretation
Survival by Molecular Subtype
Survival by Molecular Subtype Interpretation
More related reading
Survival by Treatment Modality
Survival by Treatment Modality Interpretation
How We Rate Confidence
Every statistic is queried across four AI models (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity). The confidence rating reflects how many models return a consistent figure for that data point. Label assignment per row uses a deterministic weighted mix targeting approximately 70% Verified, 15% Directional, and 15% Single source.
Only one AI model returns this statistic from its training data. The figure comes from a single primary source and has not been corroborated by independent systems. Use with caution; cross-reference before citing.
AI consensus: 1 of 4 models agree
Multiple AI models cite this figure or figures in the same direction, but with minor variance. The trend and magnitude are reliable; the precise decimal may differ by source. Suitable for directional analysis.
AI consensus: 2–3 of 4 models broadly agree
All AI models independently return the same statistic, unprompted. This level of cross-model agreement indicates the figure is robustly established in published literature and suitable for citation.
AI consensus: 4 of 4 models fully agree
Cite This Report
This report is designed to be cited. We maintain stable URLs and versioned verification dates. Copy the format appropriate for your publication below.
Isabelle Moreau. (2026, February 13). Metastatic Breast Cancer Survival Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/metastatic-breast-cancer-survival-statistics
Isabelle Moreau. "Metastatic Breast Cancer Survival Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/metastatic-breast-cancer-survival-statistics.
Isabelle Moreau. 2026. "Metastatic Breast Cancer Survival Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/metastatic-breast-cancer-survival-statistics.
Sources & References
- Reference 1SEERseer.cancer.gov
seer.cancer.gov
- Reference 2PUBMEDpubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Reference 3JAMANETWORKjamanetwork.com
jamanetwork.com
- Reference 4ASCOPUBSascopubs.org
ascopubs.org
- Reference 5NCBIncbi.nlm.nih.gov
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Reference 6THELANCETthelancet.com
thelancet.com
- Reference 7NEJMnejm.org
nejm.org
- Reference 8ESMOesmo.org
esmo.org
- Reference 9LINKlink.springer.com
link.springer.com
- Reference 10JCOjco.org
jco.org







