Key Takeaways
- The global lending market was valued at $12.4 trillion in 2023, projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.8% from 2024 to 2030.
- U.S. outstanding consumer credit reached $4.88 trillion in Q4 2023, up 4.1% year-over-year.
- Lending industry assets in the U.S. banking sector totaled $23.7 trillion as of December 2023.
- U.S. personal loan originations reached $220 billion in 2023.
- Average U.S. personal loan interest rate was 12.45% in Q4 2023.
- 42 million Americans have personal loans, with average balance $7,850 in 2023.
- Total U.S. mortgage debt outstanding was $12.25 trillion in Q4 2023.
- U.S. mortgage origination volume fell 35% to $1.62 trillion in 2023.
- Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.81% in 2023.
- U.S. commercial real estate mortgage debt was $4.8 trillion in Q4 2023.
- U.S. small business loan originations totaled $700 billion in 2023.
- Average SBA 7(a) loan size was $532,000 in FY2023.
- U.S. fintech lending market share in consumer segment hit 15% in 2023.
- Buy-now-pay-later transactions reached 550 million in U.S. 2023.
- Fintech loan approval rates averaged 85% vs. 60% for banks in 2023.
The global lending market is large, growing, and being transformed by fintech.
Business Lending
- U.S. commercial real estate mortgage debt was $4.8 trillion in Q4 2023.
- U.S. small business loan originations totaled $700 billion in 2023.
- Average SBA 7(a) loan size was $532,000 in FY2023.
- Corporate loan spreads averaged 175 bps over LIBOR in 2023.
- U.S. leveraged loan issuance volume was $580 billion in 2023.
- 45% of U.S. SMEs applied for bank loans in 2023, approval rate 55%.
- Global trade finance lending gap estimated at $2.5 trillion in 2023.
- U.S. C&I loan growth was 3.1% to $2.9 trillion in 2023.
- Average business loan interest rate was 7.2% for small firms in U.S. 2023.
- Non-bank business lending in U.S. reached $450 billion in 2023.
- Delinquency rate on U.S. business loans was 1.2% in Q4 2023.
- Equipment financing loans outstanding: $1.1 trillion globally in 2023.
- 32% of U.S. business loans were variable rate in 2023.
- Factoring receivables volume in U.S. hit $150 billion in 2023.
- Venture debt lending to startups: $25 billion in U.S. 2023.
- U.S. banks approved 52% of business loan apps under $100k in 2023.
- Middle-market lending ($10-50M) volume: $300 billion in U.S. 2023.
- Covenant-lite loans share reached 90% of institutional issuance in 2023.
- U.S. PPP loan forgiveness processed $740 billion for 11 million loans in 2023.
- Business loan securitization issuance: $120 billion in U.S. 2023.
- Fintech business loan approvals 20% faster than banks in U.S. 2023.
- Global P2P business lending volume $50 billion in 2023.
Business Lending Interpretation
Consumer Lending
- U.S. personal loan originations reached $220 billion in 2023.
- Average U.S. personal loan interest rate was 12.45% in Q4 2023.
- 42 million Americans have personal loans, with average balance $7,850 in 2023.
- Personal loan delinquency rate in U.S. was 3.1% in Q3 2023.
- U.S. consumers took out 25 million personal loans in 2023, up 15% YoY.
- Women borrowers for personal loans grew 18% faster than men in U.S. 2023.
- Average personal loan term in U.S. was 43 months in 2023.
- 28% of U.S. personal loans used for debt consolidation in 2023.
- Gen Z personal loan applications rose 35% YoY in U.S. 2023.
- U.S. personal loan approval rates averaged 74% for prime borrowers in 2023.
- Credit cards vs. personal loans: 65% prefer personal loans for lower rates in 2023 survey.
- Average personal loan APR for subprime borrowers was 25.6% in U.S. 2023.
- Personal loan balances grew 12% to $245 billion in U.S. 2023.
- 15% of U.S. millennials have 3+ personal loans averaging $15k debt.
- Online personal loan originations comprised 60% of total U.S. volume in 2023.
- U.S. personal loan default rate was 2.8% for loans originated in 2023.
- 72% of personal loan borrowers in U.S. had FICO score 680+ in 2023.
- Personal loans for home improvement: 22% of usage in U.S. 2023.
- U.S. personal loan market CAGR projected at 9.2% to 2028 from 2023 base.
- Average monthly payment on U.S. personal loans was $512 in 2023.
- 19% of U.S. personal loans refinanced within first year in 2023.
- Personal loan interest deductions claimed by 8% of U.S. taxpayers in 2023.
- U.S. Hispanics represented 22% of personal loan applicants in 2023.
- Personal loan fees averaged 5.3% of loan amount in U.S. 2023.
- 55% of U.S. personal loan users had prior payday loan experience.
- U.S. 30+ day delinquency on personal loans hit 4.2% in late 2023.
Consumer Lending Interpretation
Digital & Fintech Lending
- U.S. fintech lending market share in consumer segment hit 15% in 2023.
- Buy-now-pay-later transactions reached 550 million in U.S. 2023.
- Fintech loan approval rates averaged 85% vs. 60% for banks in 2023.
- Global digital lending platforms numbered 1,200 active in 2023.
- U.S. BNPL outstanding loans totaled $18 billion in Q4 2023.
- AI-driven credit scoring used in 70% of U.S. fintech loans in 2023.
- Embedded lending partnerships grew to 500 in U.S. retail 2023.
- Fintech lending to underserved U.S. borrowers: 25% market penetration in 2023.
- Average fintech personal loan size $8,200 in U.S. 2023.
- Robo-advisory integrated lending apps served 40 million users globally 2023.
- U.S. neobank loan originations up 40% to $50 billion in 2023.
- Blockchain-based lending protocols TVL $10 billion in DeFi 2023.
- Mobile lending apps downloads hit 2 billion globally in 2023.
- Fintech delinquency rates 1.5% lower than traditional lenders in U.S. 2023.
- Open banking APIs enabled 30% of EU digital loans in 2023.
- U.S. instant loan approvals via fintech averaged 2 minutes in 2023.
- Crowdfunding lending platforms raised $15 billion for businesses in 2023.
- Alternative data used in 65% of fintech credit decisions U.S. 2023.
- BNPL default rates averaged 1.8% in U.S. Q4 2023.
- Digital mortgage originations share 55% in U.S. 2023.
Digital & Fintech Lending Interpretation
Market Size & Growth
- The global lending market was valued at $12.4 trillion in 2023, projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.8% from 2024 to 2030.
- U.S. outstanding consumer credit reached $4.88 trillion in Q4 2023, up 4.1% year-over-year.
- Lending industry assets in the U.S. banking sector totaled $23.7 trillion as of December 2023.
- The peer-to-peer lending market grew to $105.4 billion globally in 2023, with a 28.5% CAGR since 2018.
- Commercial lending in Europe expanded by 2.3% in 2023, reaching €18.2 trillion in outstanding loans.
- India's lending market hit INR 200 trillion in FY2023, driven by NBFCs growing at 20% YoY.
- U.S. non-bank lending assets surged to $1.2 trillion in 2023, a 15% increase from 2022.
- Global corporate lending volume was $4.5 trillion in syndicated loans in 2023.
- The U.S. small business lending market size was $750 billion in 2023.
- Asia-Pacific lending market share accounted for 45% of global volume in 2023 at $5.6 trillion.
- U.S. household debt service ratio stood at 9.8% of disposable income in Q4 2023.
- Global fintech lending funding reached $25 billion in 2023, down 45% from 2022 peak.
- U.S. credit card debt hit $1.13 trillion in Q4 2023, up 8.4% YoY.
- Mortgage lending originations in the U.S. totaled $1.62 trillion in 2023.
- The buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) global market size was $24 billion in transaction volume in 2023.
- U.S. auto loan balances reached $1.61 trillion in Q4 2023, +5.9% YoY.
- Global green lending commitments exceeded $1 trillion in 2023.
- China's shadow banking lending assets were estimated at CNY 60 trillion in 2023.
- U.S. student loan debt outstanding was $1.60 trillion in Q4 2023.
- European bank lending to SMEs grew 4.2% to €2.8 trillion in 2023.
- Global lending platform users numbered 450 million in 2023.
- U.S. revolving credit grew 9.1% YoY to $1.21 trillion in Q4 2023.
- The lending-as-a-service market was valued at $2.5 billion in 2023, CAGR 18%.
- UK unsecured personal lending reached £45 billion in 2023.
- Global invoice financing market size hit $4.2 trillion in 2023.
- U.S. delinquency rates on consumer loans averaged 3.2% in 2023.
- Brazilian lending market expanded 12% to BRL 5.5 trillion in 2023.
- Global microfinance lending portfolio was $200 billion serving 140 million clients in 2023.
- U.S. HELOC balances stood at $360 billion in Q4 2023.
- Lending tech investments globally totaled $18 billion in 2023.
Market Size & Growth Interpretation
Mortgage Lending
- Total U.S. mortgage debt outstanding was $12.25 trillion in Q4 2023.
- U.S. mortgage origination volume fell 35% to $1.62 trillion in 2023.
- Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.81% in 2023.
- FHA mortgage loans comprised 13% of U.S. originations at $290 billion in 2023.
- U.S. mortgage delinquency rate was 3.97% in Q4 2023.
- Jumbo mortgage originations totaled $120 billion in U.S. 2023.
- 76% of U.S. homebuyers used conventional mortgages in 2023.
- U.S. mortgage refinancing volume was $320 billion in 2023, down 60% YoY.
- Average U.S. mortgage debt per borrower was $244,000 in 2023.
- VA loans accounted for 11% of U.S. purchase mortgages at $180 billion in 2023.
- U.S. mortgage foreclosure starts rose 9% to 187,000 in 2023.
- 91% of U.S. mortgages were fixed-rate in 2023 originations.
- Median down payment on U.S. purchase mortgages was 14% in 2023.
- U.S. seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days) at 1.37% in Q4 2023.
- Reverse mortgage balances grew to $50 billion for 900,000 seniors in 2023.
- First-time homebuyer mortgages: 26% of U.S. volume in 2023.
- U.S. mortgage servicing rights valued at $1.8 trillion in 2023.
- Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) share rose to 10% in U.S. 2023.
- U.S. mortgage prepayment speeds averaged 5.2 CPR in 2023.
- Home equity loans outstanding: $350 billion in U.S. Q4 2023.
- 62% of U.S. mortgages had LTV ratio under 80% in 2023.
- GSE-backed mortgages covered 52% of U.S. outstanding debt in 2023.
Mortgage Lending Interpretation
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