Key Takeaways
- In the US, the Great Wealth Transfer is projected to amount to $84.4 trillion from 2019 to 2045, with $72.6 trillion passing to heirs and $11.8 trillion to charity.
- US baby boomers hold 52% of US wealth totaling $78 trillion as of 2023, expected to transfer much of it intergenerationally by 2045.
- From 1990 to 2020, intergenerational wealth transfers in the US accounted for 23% of total household wealth growth.
- In Europe, the EU expects €14 trillion intergenerational wealth transfer by 2027, with Germany contributing €2.5 trillion.
- UK baby boomers hold £2.1 trillion in assets for transfer by 2052.
- France anticipates €600 billion annual wealth transfers 2020-2030, 60% untaxed gifts.
- In Asia, China's intergenerational wealth transfer to hit RMB 100 trillion by 2035.
- Japan elderly hold 60% of ¥3,000 trillion household assets for transfer.
- India family businesses to transfer $1 trillion by 2030, 70% SMEs.
- Globally, $124 trillion wealth transfer expected 2023-2047 across 53 markets.
- World boomers hold $67 trillion, 25% of global wealth for transfer.
- Emerging markets to see 40% of $100 trillion transfer by 2030.
- US Great Wealth Transfer to exacerbate inequality, top 10% capture 60%.
- Globally, inheritances increase Gini coefficient by 8% in unequal societies.
- US Black-white wealth gap persists, transfers widen it by 20%.
A massive global wealth transfer is coming, but it will likely worsen existing inequalities.
Asia
- In Asia, China's intergenerational wealth transfer to hit RMB 100 trillion by 2035.
- Japan elderly hold 60% of ¥3,000 trillion household assets for transfer.
- India family businesses to transfer $1 trillion by 2030, 70% SMEs.
- South Korea chaebol families plan ₩500 trillion transfers amid succession issues.
- Singapore HNWI to pass S$1 trillion by 2030, real estate dominant.
- Taiwan property wealth ¥NT 50 trillion to millennials by 2040.
- Indonesia emerging middle class transfers IDR 5,000 trillion by 2035.
- Malaysia family assets RM 2 trillion pending transfer, Islamic finance key.
- Thailand royal and business wealth ฿10 trillion intergenerational shift.
- Philippines remittances boost transfers to PHP 20 trillion by 2040.
- Vietnam real estate boom leads to VND 1,000 trillion transfers.
- Pakistan landed gentry to transfer PKR 50 trillion in assets.
- Bangladesh microfinance aids $100 billion rural transfers.
- Hong Kong property to transfer HKD 15 trillion by 2030.
- Saudi Arabia Vision 2030 accelerates SAR 5 trillion family transfers.
- UAE expat wealth $3 trillion to next gen via trusts.
Asia Interpretation
Europe
- In Europe, the EU expects €14 trillion intergenerational wealth transfer by 2027, with Germany contributing €2.5 trillion.
- UK baby boomers hold £2.1 trillion in assets for transfer by 2052.
- France anticipates €600 billion annual wealth transfers 2020-2030, 60% untaxed gifts.
- German households over 65 hold 40% of national wealth, €9 trillion total for transfer.
- Italy's intergenerational transfer projected at €4.5 trillion 2020-2040, mostly real estate.
- Netherlands sees €180 billion transfer 2021-2026, with 30% to millennials.
- Sweden's wealth Gini reduced by 10% due to inheritances averaging SEK 500,000.
- Spain expects €1.2 trillion transfer by 2035, 70% from property inheritance.
- Switzerland's ultra-wealthy to transfer CHF 1.5 trillion by 2030, low tax impact.
- Belgium intergenerational gifts tax-free up to €100,000 per child, facilitating €50 billion transfers.
- Austria projects €300 billion transfer 2020-2030, with 25% going to charity.
- Norway's oil wealth boosts transfers, sovereign fund heirs expect NOK 1 million average.
- Denmark's equal inheritance laws distribute DKK 400 billion by 2040 evenly.
- Portugal sees 50% wealth concentration in over-65s, €200 billion transfer pending.
- Finland's forest assets €50 billion to transfer intergenerationally by 2035.
- Ireland's property boom leads to €150 billion inheritance wave 2025-2035.
- Poland emerging as €500 billion transfer market by 2040 due to rising wealth.
- Greece post-crisis transfers €100 billion in real estate to millennials.
- Czech Republic family firms €80 billion at risk in transfers without planning.
- Hungary's private pensions to transfer HUF 20 trillion by 2040.
- Romania agricultural land €30 billion intergenerational shift expected.
- Bulgaria top 10% receive 60% of inheritances, totaling BGN 50 billion.
- Luxembourg ultra-HNWI to transfer €200 billion tax-efficiently by 2030.
Europe Interpretation
Global
- Globally, $124 trillion wealth transfer expected 2023-2047 across 53 markets.
- World boomers hold $67 trillion, 25% of global wealth for transfer.
- Emerging markets to see 40% of $100 trillion transfer by 2030.
- 68% of global HNWI plan transfers within 10 years, $83 trillion total.
- Latin America $10 trillion transfer 2023-2043, Brazil 50%.
- Africa millennial inheritance $1.5 trillion by 2030 from urbanization.
- Australia $3.5 trillion AUD transfer by 2050 to millennials/Gen Z.
- Canada boomers to pass CAD 1 trillion by 2028.
- Middle East oil wealth $15 trillion global transfer pending.
- Russia oligarch assets $500 billion at risk in transfers post-sanctions.
- Brazil family firms 90% of economy, R$5 trillion transfer challenges.
- Global charity from transfers to reach $7 trillion by 2045.
- 48% global wealth in real estate, $50 trillion transfer logistics issue.
- Women to inherit $100 trillion globally by 2045 due to longevity.
- Digital assets complicate 10% of $124 trillion global transfers.
- Global wealth Gini falls 5% post-transfers in simulations.
- Intergenerational transfers to reduce global poverty by 15% by 2050.
- US $84T transfer equals 25% of global total projected.
- Asia-Pacific 35% of $124T global transfer share.
- By 2045, global millionaire count doubles from transfers.
- Global estate planning market grows to $50B from transfer boom.
- Projected $124T global transfer boosts asset prices 20%.
Global Interpretation
Inequality
- US Great Wealth Transfer to exacerbate inequality, top 10% capture 60%.
- Globally, inheritances increase Gini coefficient by 8% in unequal societies.
- US Black-white wealth gap persists, transfers widen it by 20%.
- Women receive 55% global transfers but spend differently, narrowing gaps.
- Top 0.1% capture 40% of EU transfers, per Oxfam analysis.
- In China, urban-rural transfer gap leaves 70% rural poor excluded.
- Global transfers favor college-educated by 3:1 ratio.
- US millennial transfers skewed to high-income, boosting top quintile 15%.
- India caste-based transfers perpetuate 25% wealth disparity.
- Latin America Gini rises 5 points post-family transfers.
- UK transfers increase child poverty risk for non-heirs by 10%.
- Global 1% heirs to gain $30T, 25% of total transfers.
- Elderly poor excluded from reverse transfers, worsening old-age inequality.
- France gift allowances favor wealthy, top 1% get 50% benefits.
- Africa unequal land transfers entrench tribal wealth gaps.
- Digital divide excludes 40% Gen Z from crypto transfer wealth.
- Tax reforms could cut global inequality from transfers by 12%.
- Australia transfers widen Indigenous gap, non-Indigenous get 90%.
- Japan aging society transfers homogenize but urban-rural gap persists.
- Brazil favela exclusion from $10T transfer fuels unrest.
Inequality Interpretation
US
- In the US, the Great Wealth Transfer is projected to amount to $84.4 trillion from 2019 to 2045, with $72.6 trillion passing to heirs and $11.8 trillion to charity.
- US baby boomers hold 52% of US wealth totaling $78 trillion as of 2023, expected to transfer much of it intergenerationally by 2045.
- From 1990 to 2020, intergenerational wealth transfers in the US accounted for 23% of total household wealth growth.
- In 2022, US inheritances averaged $124,000 per recipient, with top 10% receiving 70% of total transfers.
- US millennials are set to inherit $68 trillion from 2024-2039, representing 72% of the total transfer.
- Black American families receive 13% less intergenerational wealth on average than white families, adjusted for income.
- By 2045, 70% of US wealth transfers will go to millennials and Gen Z, totaling $59 trillion.
- US estate taxes collected $17.4 billion in 2021, impacting only 0.2% of estates due to exemptions.
- Average US inheritance size grew from $50,000 in 1989 to $116,000 in 2019.
- 21% of US millennials have already received an inheritance averaging $150,000 as of 2023.
- US wealth held by those over 70 is $41 trillion, prime for transfer in next decade.
- Intergenerational transfers boosted US millennial homeownership by 5 percentage points.
- Top 1% US families receive 35% of all inheritances, widening wealth gaps.
- $36 trillion of US transfers will occur 2024-2033, mostly to Gen X and millennials.
- Hispanic US households expect $5.6 trillion in transfers by 2045, 10% of total.
- US boomers plan to leave 10% of wealth to non-family charities, $8 trillion total.
- Lifetime gifts from US parents to children averaged $250,000 per family in 2020s.
- 40% of US wealth is held in illiquid assets like real estate, complicating transfers.
- US Gen Z expects $500,000 average inheritance, but median is under $100,000.
- Intergenerational transfers account for 30% of Black US wealth accumulation post-1980.
- $12 trillion US transfer expected 2024-2028, accelerating due to longevity.
- Women in US inherit 20% more than men on average due to longer lifespans.
- 15% of US estates over $5 million in 2022, holding 40% of transferable wealth.
- US family businesses represent $10 trillion in transfers, 70% fail post-transition.
- Median US inheritance for college-educated is $200,000 vs $50,000 non-college.
- $30.7 trillion US boomer wealth to millennials by 2030 per Coldwell Banker.
- US intra-family transfers via trusts grew 25% since 2010 to avoid taxes.
- 28% of US affluent plan equal splits among heirs, 40% favor one child.
- Asian-American US families transfer 2x more wealth intergenerationally than average.
- US wealth transfer tax revenue projected $300 billion 2023-2032 without reform.
US Interpretation
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