Key Takeaways
- During the 2022-2023 influenza season in the United States, the CDC estimated 31 million flu illnesses, 360,000 hospitalizations, and 21,000 flu deaths.
- Globally, influenza causes an estimated 1 billion cases annually, including 3-5 million severe cases.
- In the US, influenza results in an average of 34.8 million illnesses, 16 million medical visits, 450,000 hospitalizations, and 41,000 deaths per year from 2010-2023.
- Influenza causes fever in 80-90% of symptomatic cases.
- Cough is present in 90-98% of influenza patients.
- Myalgias occur in 60-80% of adults with influenza.
- Influenza virus spreads via droplets within 1-2 meters.
- Aerosol transmission possible in poorly ventilated spaces.
- Infectious period 1 day before to 5-7 days after symptom onset.
- Annual flu vaccine 40-60% effective against infection.
- High-dose vaccine in >65yo: 24% efficacy vs hospitalization.
- Vaccination prevents 11,000 US deaths yearly.
- Oseltamivir shortens illness by 0.5-1 day.
- Within 48 hours, antivirals reduce complications by 50%.
- Hospitalized patients: oseltamivir reduces mortality 25%.
The flu causes millions of illnesses and tens of thousands of deaths every single year.
Clinical Aspects
- Influenza causes fever in 80-90% of symptomatic cases.
- Cough is present in 90-98% of influenza patients.
- Myalgias occur in 60-80% of adults with influenza.
- Headache reported in 70-90% of influenza cases.
- Sore throat in 50-80% of patients.
- Fatigue lasts 2-3 weeks in 30% of cases post-influenza.
- Rhinorrhea more common in children (60%) than adults (30%).
- Incubation period averages 2 days (range 1-4 days).
- Viral shedding peaks day 1, lasts 5-7 days in adults.
- Children shed virus 7-10 days, longer if immunocompromised.
- Pneumonia complicates 2-5% of hospitalized adults.
- Myocarditis in 0.4-4% of fatal influenza cases.
- Encephalitis rare, 0.2-2 per million influenza cases.
- Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in 10-20% severe cases.
- Otitis media in 30-50% of children with influenza.
- Febrile seizures in 20-30% of influenza A cases in young children.
- Reye syndrome associated with aspirin use, now <1 case/year.
- Lymphopenia (<1000/mm3) in 30-50% hospitalized patients.
- Elevated CRP (>50 mg/L) in 80% of confirmed cases.
- Procalcitonin >0.25 mcg/L suggests bacterial co-infection in 20%.
- Thrombocytopenia (<150,000) in 10-20% severe cases.
- Dyspnea in 40% of adults seeking care.
- Anosmia/hyposmia in 15-30% of influenza cases.
- Conjunctivitis in 10-20% of cases.
- Hoarseness in 30% of patients.
- Chest pain in 10-15% hospitalized adults.
- Diarrhea in 10-20% of children, 5% adults.
Clinical Aspects Interpretation
Epidemiology
- During the 2022-2023 influenza season in the United States, the CDC estimated 31 million flu illnesses, 360,000 hospitalizations, and 21,000 flu deaths.
- Globally, influenza causes an estimated 1 billion cases annually, including 3-5 million severe cases.
- In the US, influenza results in an average of 34.8 million illnesses, 16 million medical visits, 450,000 hospitalizations, and 41,000 deaths per year from 2010-2023.
- The 2009 H1N1 pandemic caused an estimated 151,700 to 575,400 flu-related respiratory deaths worldwide.
- In Europe, during the 2018-2019 season, WHO reported 72,000 excess deaths attributable to influenza.
- Australia's 2019 flu season saw 313,400 laboratory-confirmed cases, a record high.
- In the UK, influenza and pneumonia accounted for 29,516 deaths in 2022.
- India's influenza surveillance from 2016-2021 detected influenza in 12-20% of acute respiratory illness cases.
- Brazil reported 25,692 influenza deaths in 2020, mostly due to A(H1N1)pdm09.
- In Japan, the 2018-2019 season had 14.5 million influenza cases.
- China's national influenza surveillance (2017-2022) showed A(H3N2) dominating 45% of cases.
- South Africa's 2019 sentinel surveillance detected influenza positivity in 8.5% of patients.
- Canada estimated 12,200 flu hospitalizations in 2022-2023.
- In the EU/EEA, 2016-2017 season had up to 170,000 influenza-associated excess deaths.
- Mexico's 2022-2023 season reported 1,200 influenza deaths.
- Influenza accounts for 5-10% of all pneumonia cases globally.
- In the US, children under 5 experience 20% of flu hospitalizations.
- Elderly over 65 represent 70-85% of flu deaths in the US annually.
- Pregnant women have 4-8 times higher hospitalization risk from flu.
- Indigenous populations in Australia have 5 times higher flu hospitalization rates.
- In the US, 2009 H1N1 caused 43-89 thousand deaths.
- Global influenza surveillance detects 100,000+ samples yearly via GISRS.
- Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 circulates at 20-30% positivity in recent seasons.
- H3N2 causes longer illness duration and higher hospitalization in elderly.
- B/Victoria lineage dominated 40% of cases in 2023 Northern Hemisphere.
- In Africa, influenza positivity rates average 10-15% in SARI cases.
- Russia's 2022-2023 season had 25 million cases reported.
- In the US, flu peaks between December and February in 90% of seasons.
- Southeast Asia sees year-round influenza with two peaks.
- In 1918 pandemic, global deaths estimated at 50 million.
Epidemiology Interpretation
Mortality
- Global flu deaths 290,000–650,000 annually respiratory.
- US average 34,000 flu deaths per year (2010-2020).
- 2017-2018 US season: 61,000 deaths.
- Children <5: 100-200 US flu deaths yearly.
- >65yo: 70-90% of US flu deaths.
- Cardiovascular deaths from flu: 2x pneumonia deaths.
- Pregnant women mortality risk 7x higher.
- Obesity BMI>40: 2-3x mortality risk.
- 1918 pandemic: 675,000 US deaths.
- 1957 Asian flu: 1.1 million global deaths.
- 1968 Hong Kong flu: 1 million global deaths.
- 2009 H1N1: 12,469 lab-confirmed US deaths.
- H5N1 avian: 455 human cases, 52% CFR (1997-2023).
- Economic cost US: $11 billion/year healthcare.
- Lost productivity: $60-100 billion/year US.
- Global DALYs from flu: 16.3 million yearly.
- ICU admission mortality 17% adults.
- Bacterial pneumonia causes 20-40% excess flu deaths.
- Underreporting: flu deaths 10-52x pneumonia-coded.
Mortality Interpretation
Prevention
- Annual flu vaccine 40-60% effective against infection.
- High-dose vaccine in >65yo: 24% efficacy vs hospitalization.
- Vaccination prevents 11,000 US deaths yearly.
- Coverage in US children: 60% by season end.
- Elderly coverage: 70% in recent years.
- Vaccine reduces GP visits by 50-60%.
- Live attenuated vaccine 80% effective in children 2-17yo.
- Adjuvanted vaccine 50% better in frail elderly.
- Universal vaccine trials show 20-40% heterologous protection.
- Antiviral prophylaxis 70-90% effective post-exposure.
- School closures reduce spread by 20-30%.
- Handwashing + sanitizer: 20% reduction transmission.
- Face masks in community: 10-20% risk reduction.
- Travel restrictions delay outbreaks by 1-2 weeks.
- Neuraminidase inhibitors prophylaxis 79% effective.
- Herd immunity threshold ~60-70% for seasonal flu.
- Egg-based vaccines mismatch 10-20% due to adaptation.
- mRNA flu vaccines phase 3 trials show 75% efficacy.
- Nasal spray vaccine safe in egg-allergic children.
- Annual revaccination needed due to drift.
- Oseltamivir prophylaxis 89% in households.
- Zanamivir 96% prophylaxis efficacy.
- Baloxavir single dose 90% prophylaxis.
Prevention Interpretation
Transmission
- Influenza virus spreads via droplets within 1-2 meters.
- Aerosol transmission possible in poorly ventilated spaces.
- Infectious period 1 day before to 5-7 days after symptom onset.
- Children shed higher viral loads, longer periods.
- Surface fomites viable up to 48 hours on hard surfaces.
- Virus survives 24 hours on porous surfaces.
- R0 for seasonal flu 1.3 (range 1.2-1.4).
- H1N1pdm09 R0 estimated at 1.5.
- Household secondary attack rate 10-38%.
- School settings have 14-40% attack rates.
- Nosocomial transmission in 1-5% of hospitalized patients.
- Hand hygiene reduces transmission by 16-21%.
- Masks reduce risk by 70-80% in household contacts.
- Social distancing >1m lowers risk by 82%.
- Ventilation reduces airborne transmission by 30-70%.
- Animal reservoirs include pigs (triple reassortant), birds (H5N1).
- Human-to-human sustained for novel strains rare without adaptation.
- Superspreading events contribute 10-20% transmissions.
- Asymptomatic shed virus in 30-50% cases.
- Pre-symptomatic transmission 40-60% of cases.
- Contact tracing identifies 20-30% secondary cases.
- Public transport high risk, attack rate 5-10%.
- Cold weather increases survival, transmission peaks winter.
- Humidity <20% optimal for aerosol stability.
- UV light inactivates virus in minutes.
Transmission Interpretation
Treatment
- Oseltamivir shortens illness by 0.5-1 day.
- Within 48 hours, antivirals reduce complications by 50%.
- Hospitalized patients: oseltamivir reduces mortality 25%.
- Baloxavir faster viral clearance than oseltamivir.
- Zanamivir safe alternative for oseltamivir-resistant cases.
- Peramivir IV for critically ill, reduces ICU stay.
- Supportive care: hydration, antipyretics standard.
- Avoid salicylates in children to prevent Reye.
- Antibiotics only for bacterial superinfection (10-20% cases).
- ECMO survival 60% in severe pediatric H1N1.
- Steroids not recommended routinely, increase mortality.
- Remdesivir in vitro active, limited clinical benefit.
- Favipiravir phase 3 showed no benefit over oseltamivir.
- Recovery median 7 days in uncomplicated cases.
- Resistance to oseltamivir 0.5-2% seasonal H1N1.
- H3N2 resistance low (<1%).
- Post-exposure prophylaxis 75-90% effective.
- Outpatient antivirals reduce hospitalization 40% high-risk.
- ICU mortality 20-30% in severe influenza.
Treatment Interpretation
Sources & References
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