Key Takeaways
- Indonesia's cement production reached 66.3 million tons in 2022, marking a 2.5% increase from 2021
- Installed cement production capacity in Indonesia stood at 78.5 million tons per annum (Mta) as of end-2022, with Semen Indonesia Group holding 54%
- In 2023 Q1, cement production in Java region accounted for 62% of national total at 16.8 million tons
- Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia was 59.8 million tons in 2022, down 1.8% YoY due to economic slowdown
- Per capita cement consumption in Indonesia reached 220 kg in 2022
- Cement demand in Java island consumed 38.2 million tons or 64% of national total in 2022
- Indonesia cement exports totaled 2.8 million tons in 2022, down 15% YoY due to global slowdown
- Cement imports into Indonesia were 1.2 million tons in 2022, mainly clinker from Vietnam
- Top export destination Philippines received 1.1 Mtons Indonesian cement in 2022
- Semen Indonesia (SIG) held 52.3% market share in domestic cement sales in 2022
- PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa market share 18.7% with 11.2 Mtons sales 2022
- PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia (ex-Holcim) 16.4% share post-merger in 2022
- Average cement price IDR 1,250,000 per ton in Java 2022, up 8% YoY
- Semen Indonesia Group revenue from cement sales IDR 85.4 trillion in 2022
- EBITDA margin for Indonesian cement firms averaged 22% in 2022
Indonesia's growing cement industry faces oversupply despite regional demand increases.
Company Market Shares
- Semen Indonesia (SIG) held 52.3% market share in domestic cement sales in 2022
- PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa market share 18.7% with 11.2 Mtons sales 2022
- PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia (ex-Holcim) 16.4% share post-merger in 2022
- PT Semen Padang captured 9.2% market share in Sumatra region 2022
- PT Semen Baturaja 3.1% national share with focus on South Sumatra 2022
- PT Cemindo Gemilang (Bayah) 5.8% share growing in Eastern markets 2022
- PT Semen Dinia Indonesia 1.2% share in Java grinding plants 2022
- PT Bukit Asam (Semen BUKIT) 2.4% share integrated with coal ops 2022
- Others combined 11.9% including imports and small grinders 2022
- SIG group post-merger controlled 68% capacity in 2023
- Indocement's Portland Composite Cement (PCC) held 25% sub-segment share 2022
- Semen Padang dominated West Sumatra with 65% local share 2022
- Cemindo's RD Shield brand 15% in eco-cement niche 2022
- Market concentration ratio CR5 at 92% in Indonesian cement 2022
- PT PABRIK Kertas Leces (cement arm) 0.8% share in Banten 2022
- Semen Baturaja's OPC premium brand 40% in Palembang market 2022
- SIG's growth to 55% share via Tuban expansions 2023 Q1
- Indocement Citadel brand 30% bagged cement sales Java 2022
- PT Rajawali Cemindo's market entry boosted share to 6% 2022
- Heracles (Semen Kupang) 1.5% in NTT region 2022
- National top 3 firms 87% sales volume 2022
- Semen Indonesia's Portland Type I share 35% premium segment 2022
- PT Sumber Siam Indonesia 0.9% import-based share 2022
- Kalimantan market: Cemindo 28%, SIG 25% 2022
- White cement market: Indocement 70% share 2022
- PT Mexindo Primatama 1.1% in grinding sector 2022
- Sulawesi: Semen Bosowa 45% local share 2022
- Overall HHI index 3200 indicating high concentration 2022
- PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk cement sub 0.5% niche 2022
- SIG-Indocement merger pending approval to reach 70% 2024
- Semen Padang export share within company 15% of sales 2022
- PT Semen Merah Putih 0.7% in Central Java 2022
Company Market Shares Interpretation
Domestic Consumption
- Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia was 59.8 million tons in 2022, down 1.8% YoY due to economic slowdown
- Per capita cement consumption in Indonesia reached 220 kg in 2022
- Cement demand in Java island consumed 38.2 million tons or 64% of national total in 2022
- Residential construction sector accounted for 55% of cement consumption at 32.9 million tons in 2022
- Infrastructure projects drove 25% of cement use, equating to 15 million tons in 2022
- Cement consumption growth projected at 4-5% for 2023 to 62 million tons
- Sumatra cement consumption was 11.5 million tons in 2022, up 3% YoY
- Industrial sector cement demand 12% or 7.2 million tons in 2022
- Cement sales volume by bagged cement was 45 million tons (75%) vs bulk 14.8 million tons in 2022
- Q1 2023 cement consumption rose 2.1% to 15.2 million tons nationally
- Kalimantan cement demand surged 7.5% to 4.1 million tons in 2022 on mining boom
- Sulawesi consumption 5.8 million tons in 2022, driven by nickel projects
- Government infrastructure budget of IDR 423 trillion boosted cement demand by 10% in 2023
- Cement consumption per 1,000 housing units averaged 1,200 tons in urban areas 2022
- Eastern Indonesia cement demand grew 8% to 6.2 million tons in 2022
- Commercial building sector used 8% of cement or 4.8 million tons in 2022
- Cement demand elasticity to GDP growth was 1.2 in Indonesia 2018-2022 period
- Monthly cement consumption averaged 5 million tons in 2022, peaking at 5.4 Mt in Q3
- Low-income housing program (FLPP) consumed 2.5 million tons cement in 2022
- Cement use in toll road projects reached 3.2 million tons in 2022
- Urbanization rate of 57% correlated to 65% cement consumption in cities 2022
- Cement demand forecast 65 Mta by 2024 on 5% CAGR
- Q4 2022 consumption fell 3% to 14.5 Mt on seasonal factors
- Residential retrofitting used 1.1 million tons cement in 2022
- Cement consumption in Bali-NTB grew 12% to 2.3 Mta in 2022 tourism recovery
- Total domestic sales by ASI members 58 Mtons in 2022
- Cement demand from real estate sector 18% or 10.8 Mtons 2022
- Per capita consumption in Jakarta 450 kg vs national 220 kg in 2022
- Cement imports for consumption negligible at 0.5 Mtons in 2022
Domestic Consumption Interpretation
Export and Import Volumes
- Indonesia cement exports totaled 2.8 million tons in 2022, down 15% YoY due to global slowdown
- Cement imports into Indonesia were 1.2 million tons in 2022, mainly clinker from Vietnam
- Top export destination Philippines received 1.1 Mtons Indonesian cement in 2022
- Clinker exports from Indonesia reached 4.5 Mtons in 2022 to Bangladesh and others
- Cement export value IDR 4.2 trillion in 2022, average price USD 45/ton
- Vietnam supplied 0.8 Mtons clinker imports to Indonesia in 2022
- Indonesian cement exports to Australia 0.3 Mtons in 2022 for specialty products
- Total cement trade volume (exp+imp) 8.5 Mtons in 2022
- Q1 2023 cement exports up 10% to 0.8 Mtons
- Clinker import duty reduced to 5% in 2023 boosting imports to 1.5 Mtons H1
- Exports to Malaysia 0.4 Mtons cement in 2022
- Indonesia's share of global cement exports 2.1% in 2022 at 2.8 Mtons
- Bulk cement exports dominated 70% of volume or 2 Mtons in 2022
- Cement imports from China 0.2 Mtons in 2022 for white cement
- Projected cement exports 3.5 Mtons in 2024 with ASEAN focus
- Port of departure for 60% exports: Tanjung Priok with 1.7 Mtons 2022
- Clinker exports to India 0.9 Mtons in 2022
- Import value of clinker IDR 1.8 trillion in 2022
- Cement export growth to Africa 20% to 0.1 Mtons in 2022
- Domestic sales priority policy limited exports to 5% of production in 2023
- Exports to Papua New Guinea 0.15 Mtons cement 2022
- Clinker import from Thailand 0.3 Mtons in 2022
- Cement export FOB price averaged USD 42/ton in 2022
- Total clinker trade (exp+imp) 6 Mtons in 2022
- Exports to Singapore 0.2 Mtons for construction 2022
- Semen Indonesia Group exported 1.2 Mtons cement in 2022
- PT Indocement export volume 0.6 Mtons mainly to Philippines 2022
- Cement imports via Belawan port 0.4 Mtons clinker 2022
- Export quota for cement set at 3 Mtons annually by MoTrade 2023
Export and Import Volumes Interpretation
Prices and Financial Metrics
- Average cement price IDR 1,250,000 per ton in Java 2022, up 8% YoY
- Semen Indonesia Group revenue from cement sales IDR 85.4 trillion in 2022
- EBITDA margin for Indonesian cement firms averaged 22% in 2022
- Cement price in Sumatra IDR 1,350,000/ton average 2022 due to logistics
- PT Indocement net profit IDR 2.1 trillion in 2022, up 15%
- Cost of production per ton cement IDR 850,000 in 2022 for majors
- Clinker price imported averaged USD 55/ton CIF Indonesia 2022
- ROE for SIG 18.5% in 2022
- Cement retail price bagged 50kg IDR 65,000 in Jakarta 2022
- Industry capex total IDR 15 trillion in 2022 for expansions
- Debt-to-equity ratio average 0.45 for top cement firms 2022
- Coal cost share 35% of total production cost IDR 300,000/ton cement 2022
- Cement price hike approved 3% in Q2 2023 to IDR 1,280,000/ton Java
- PT Semen Padang revenue IDR 12.5 trillion 2022
- Gross margin 38% for Indocement in 2022
- Electricity tariff impact +IDR 50,000/ton cost rise 2022
- Market cap SIG IDR 75 trillion end-2022
- Average selling price ASP IDR 1,420,000/ton for exports 2022
- Net debt SIG IDR 20 trillion with leverage 1.2x EBITDA 2022
- Cement price in Eastern Indonesia IDR 1,600,000/ton avg 2022 logistics premium
- R&D spend 1.2% of revenue or IDR 1 trillion industry-wide 2022
- Dividend payout ratio 45% for majors averaging IDR 5 trillion paid 2022
- Freight cost per ton IDR 150,000 Java average 2022
- PT Cemindo EBITDA IDR 3.2 trillion 2022 on volume growth
- Inflation-adjusted cement price index 115 in 2022 (base 2019=100)
- Tax contribution from cement industry IDR 8 trillion PPh & PPN 2022
- Working capital turnover 4.2x for SIG 2022
- Bagged cement premium IDR 200,000/ton over bulk 2022
- Industry profit before tax IDR 25 trillion total 2022
Prices and Financial Metrics Interpretation
Production Capacity and Output
- Indonesia's cement production reached 66.3 million tons in 2022, marking a 2.5% increase from 2021
- Installed cement production capacity in Indonesia stood at 78.5 million tons per annum (Mta) as of end-2022, with Semen Indonesia Group holding 54%
- In 2023 Q1, cement production in Java region accounted for 62% of national total at 16.8 million tons
- Cement grinding capacity addition of 5 Mta by PT Semen Indonesia in Tuban plant in 2022
- National cement production utilization rate was 84.3% in 2022, down from 87% in 2021 due to oversupply
- PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa produced 21.2 million tons of cement in 2022
- New clinker production line of 2.5 Mta commissioned by PT Semen Baturaja in 2023
- Cement production in Sumatra region grew 4.1% YoY to 12.4 million tons in 2022
- Total clinker production in Indonesia was 38.7 million tons in 2022, supporting gray cement output
- PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia (SIG) announced 3 Mta capacity expansion in Rembang plant by 2024
- Cement production in Sulawesi reached 4.2 million tons in 2022, up 6% from prior year
- Integrated cement plants in Indonesia numbered 25 with total capacity 78 Mta as of 2023
- White cement production capacity limited to 0.5 Mta by PT Indocement in 2022
- Cement production growth projected at 5-7% for 2024 reaching 72 million tons
- PT Semen Padang produced 8.1 million tons in 2022 from its 9 Mta capacity
- Clinker import substitution led to 2% increase in domestic clinker output to 39.5 Mta in 2023 H1
- Cement production in Kalimantan was 3.8 million tons in 2022, driven by infrastructure projects
- New grinding plant by PT Cemindo Gemilang added 1.5 Mta in East Java 2023
- National cement output per capita was 240 kg in 2022
- PT Holcim Indonesia (now SIG) clinker capacity at Merawang plant is 4.2 Mta post-expansion
- Cement production dipped 1.2% in Q4 2022 to 16.1 million tons amid rainy season
- Total cement capacity utilization in Java was 82% in 2023
- PT Semen Indonesia's Tuban plant produced 15 million tons cement in 2022 from 18 Mta capacity
- Green cement production initiatives targeted 10% of total output by 2025
- Cement output in Papua region minimal at 0.8 Mta capacity in 2022
- Expansion of 2 Mta integrated line by PT Bukit Asam in 2023
- Annual average cement production growth 3.8% from 2018-2022
- PT Ardilles Indonesia's new 1.2 Mta grinding plant operational in 2023 West Java
- Clinker production efficiency improved to 0.92 tons clinker/ton cement in 2022
- Total cement production forecast 70 Mta by 2025 with 85 Mta capacity
Production Capacity and Output Interpretation
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