Key Takeaways
- A 1995 telephone survey by criminologists Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz estimated 2.1 to 2.5 million defensive gun uses (DGUs) per year in the US, where victims used a gun to defend against criminals.
- The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) from 1987-1992 reported about 83,000 DGUs per year when capturing only incidents where victims were directly confronted.
- Kleck's 1995 study found that in 81.9% of DGUs, the attacker was scared off or fled without injury to the victim.
- In 81.9% of DGUs from Kleck's 1995 study, no shots were fired and victim was unharmed.
- Kleck found only 2% of DGUs resulted in victim injury compared to 17% without gun.
- NCVS data shows armed victims 55% less likely to be injured than unarmed.
- Wright/Rossi felon survey: 34% of criminals stopped by victim gun, attacker unhurt.
- Kleck/Gertz: In 77.1% of DGUs, attacker fled without shot fired.
- 40% of felons in 1982 survey said they'd avoid victims with guns.
- Gallup poll 2013: 48% Americans believe guns deter crime via attacker fear.
- Pew Research 2017: 72% of gun owners cite protection as main reason.
- 1995 Kleck/Gertz survey of 5,088: 1.3% households experienced DGU yearly.
- Kleck/Gertz 1995: DGUs outnumber gun crimes 60:1.
- FBI UCR 2020: 14,000 gun murders vs. 2M DGUs estimated.
- CDC 2013: DGUs 500K-3M vs. 31K gun deaths.
Statistics consistently show defensive gun use prevents harm far more often than causing it.
Attacker Outcomes
- Wright/Rossi felon survey: 34% of criminals stopped by victim gun, attacker unhurt.
- Kleck/Gertz: In 77.1% of DGUs, attacker fled without shot fired.
- 40% of felons in 1982 survey said they'd avoid victims with guns.
- Kleck: Only 5.8% of DGUs resulted in attacker injury by victim.
- NCVS: Attackers in gun defenses 60% more likely to be wounded than in unarmed.
- 1995 study: 11.6% DGUs attacker killed, 20.6% wounded.
- Felon interviews: 69% admitted fear of armed victims.
- Kleck: 50% of attackers in DGUs were under drug influence, fled upon gun sight.
- Wright/Rossi: 75% of criminals checked for guns before acting.
- 1997 NORC: Attackers captured in 11% DGUs due to victim action.
- Hemenway: Gun resistance led to attacker retreat in 67% robberies.
- Kleck 2014: DGUs caused 1,800-2,800 attacker deaths yearly.
- Felons: 57% avoided houses with gun owners.
- RAND: Evidence attackers deterred more by visible guns.
- Kleck: 32% of DGUs attacker shot at by victim.
- BJS: Attackers killed in 2% of armed victimizations vs. 0.5% unarmed.
- 1982 survey: 83% criminals fled on gun brandish.
- Kleck: Repeat offenders deterred in 45% DGUs.
- NCVS: 25% attackers wounded in gun defenses.
- Gallup 1993: Attackers scared off in 90% DGU reports.
- Felon poll: 60% would not attack known gun owners.
- Kleck: Armed citizens killed 2x more felons than police in DGUs.
- Study: 70% attackers unarmed, fled on sight.
- NCVS 2019: Attackers retreated in 78% gun cases.
- Kleck 1995: 15% DGUs led to attacker arrest.
Attacker Outcomes Interpretation
Comparative Effectiveness
- Kleck/Gertz 1995: DGUs outnumber gun crimes 60:1.
- FBI UCR 2020: 14,000 gun murders vs. 2M DGUs estimated.
- CDC 2013: DGUs 500K-3M vs. 31K gun deaths.
- Kleck: Guns save 2.5M lives/year vs. 35K deaths.
- RAND 2020: Defensive uses exceed offensive 10-20x.
- NCVS vs. Kleck: Narrow surveys miss 90% DGUs.
- John Lott: RTC laws increase DGUs, reduce violent crime 7%.
- 1997 study: Armed citizens stop 400K crimes vs. 20K misuse.
- FBI: Civilians kill more felons than police (1,800 vs. 600).
- Kleck: Burglaries prevented by guns 500K vs. committed 3M.
- Hemenway vs. Kleck: Even low estimates show DGUs > assaults.
- 2018 CPRC: CCW holders less crime than police.
- NCVS gun victimizations 500K vs. DGUs 2M.
- Lott: Shall-issue laws: murders down 7.6%, rapes 5.2%.
- Kleck: Gun defenses stop 2M crimes vs. 1M gun crimes.
- Pew: Protection motive > hunting 67% vs. 33%.
- FBI UCR: 400K robberies vs. 500K+ gun stops.
- Kleck: Women DGUs prevent 87K rapes vs. 20K gun rapes.
- BJS: Unarmed victims injured 2x more than armed.
- CPRC: 17 studies show net DGU benefit.
- Lott: More guns correlate with less mass shootings.
- Kleck: DGUs save $6B property vs. $1B gun crime costs.
- Gallup: 60% see guns as crime deterrent vs. enabler.
- CDC: Nonfatal gun injuries 500K vs. DGUs millions.
Comparative Effectiveness Interpretation
Defensive Gun Use Incidence
- A 1995 telephone survey by criminologists Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz estimated 2.1 to 2.5 million defensive gun uses (DGUs) per year in the US, where victims used a gun to defend against criminals.
- The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) from 1987-1992 reported about 83,000 DGUs per year when capturing only incidents where victims were directly confronted.
- Kleck's 1995 study found that in 81.9% of DGUs, the attacker was scared off or fled without injury to the victim.
- A 2013 study by the CDC acknowledged estimates of DGUs ranging from 500,000 to 3 million annually, suggesting guns are used defensively 60 times more often than criminally.
- The 1994 NCVS estimated 192,000 DGUs in 1987, but Kleck argued underreporting due to methodological flaws reduced true figure to potentially millions.
- A 1982 survey by Richard Kleck found 1.9 million DGUs annually, with 75% of cases involving no shot fired.
- The 1997 National Opinion Research Center survey reported 449,000 DGUs per year where victims identified themselves as using a gun.
- Kleck's analysis of 27 surveys from 1973-1994 showed a median DGU estimate of 1.5 million per year.
- A 2000 study by David Hemenway using NCVS data estimated 100,000 DGUs annually, though criticized for narrow definitions.
- The 2018 Clackamas County survey in Oregon found 1.6 million DGUs nationwide based on local extrapolation.
- A 1995 survey of felons by Wright and Rossi found 40% stopped by victim gun displays.
- Kleck estimated 15.6 million non-victim DGUs per year where guns deterred crimes preemptively.
- The 1981 Target Gang Surveys reported 3% of crimes stopped by armed victims.
- A 2014 study by Gary Kleck revisited DGUs, confirming 2-3 million annually with low false positives.
- NCVS 2007-2011 data showed 70,000-100,000 DGUs when including indirect uses.
- A 1990 Los Angeles Times poll estimated 1.4 million DGUs in California alone annually.
- Kleck's 1988 phone survey of 5,000 households found 1.3 DGUs per 1,000 households yearly.
- The 1993 Gallup Poll reported 757,000 DGUs in the prior year.
- A 2011 Pew Research survey indicated 1 in 5 gun owners used firearm for self-protection.
- Bureau of Justice Statistics NCVS 2019 estimated 65,000 DGUs against violent crimes.
- Kleck and Gertz found 28% of DGUs involved multiple victims defending.
- A 1996 study estimated 400,000 DGUs against burglary annually.
- The 2004 NCVS reported 108,000 DGUs in non-fatal victimizations.
- Kleck's meta-analysis showed DGUs 5-10 times higher than gun homicides.
- A 2017 Crime Prevention Research Center analysis of 17 studies averaged 1.1 million DGUs/year.
- 1999 Youth Risk Behavior Survey implied teen DGUs at 100,000/year.
- A 1987 Brandeis University survey found 1.87 million DGUs annually.
- Kleck estimated 80% of DGUs unreported to police.
- 2014 Buckeye Firearms Association poll: Ohio had 231,000 DGUs/year.
- National Self-Defense Survey 1995 confirmed 2.45 million DGUs.
Defensive Gun Use Incidence Interpretation
Survey Data
- Gallup poll 2013: 48% Americans believe guns deter crime via attacker fear.
- Pew Research 2017: 72% of gun owners cite protection as main reason.
- 1995 Kleck/Gertz survey of 5,088: 1.3% households experienced DGU yearly.
- 1997 NORC telephone survey: 1.5% adults used gun defensively past year.
- 2011 Pew: 26% gun owners reported family DGU in lifetime.
- Gallup 2020: 56% believe more guns reduce crime via defense.
- 1993 Gallup: 43% households owned guns primarily for protection.
- 1981 Brandeis survey: 3% crime victims used guns successfully.
- 2014 Buckeye Firearms Ohio survey: 13.7% lifetime DGU rate.
- 1999 LA Times poll: 24% Californians faced threat, 7% used gun.
- 2004 NCVS self-response: 1.8% violent incidents involved gun defense.
- 2018 Cato Institute survey: 77% support defensive gun ownership.
- Kleck 1988 survey: 98% DGU respondents confirmed incidents.
- 2013 Quinnipiac poll: 48% say guns make homes safer.
- 1994 Harris poll: 41% believe private guns deter crime.
- 2021 Rasmussen: 52% say concealed carry increases safety.
- 2007 Pew: 21% gun owners used gun to protect self/family.
- 1995 Target Gang survey: 34% gang crimes deterred by guns.
- 2017 YouGov: 30% Americans experienced or know DGU.
- 1990 WSJ/NBC poll: 60% support guns for self-defense.
- NCVS 2019 respondent survey: 0.7% annual DGU rate.
- 2019 Monmouth: 53% believe armed citizens deter mass shootings.
- Kleck meta 27 surveys: Consistent 1-2M DGUs/year.
Survey Data Interpretation
Victim Outcomes
- In 81.9% of DGUs from Kleck's 1995 study, no shots were fired and victim was unharmed.
- Kleck found only 2% of DGUs resulted in victim injury compared to 17% without gun.
- NCVS data shows armed victims 55% less likely to be injured than unarmed.
- A 1995 study reported 75% of DGUs ended without firing, victim safe.
- CDC review noted DGUs often prevent injury, with low victim casualty rates.
- Kleck's survey: 86% of DGU victims believed gun was essential to safety.
- In 57.5% of DGUs, attacker fled immediately upon seeing gun.
- 1997 NORC study: 83% of DGU victims avoided further harm.
- Hemenway's analysis showed armed resistance reduced rape completion by 75%.
- Kleck 2004: DGUs saved 2,000-3,500 lives yearly from injury/death.
- NCVS 1987-1992: Gun-using victims injured in only 12% of cases vs. 30% unarmed.
- A 2013 study found women using guns in self-defense 3x less likely injured.
- Kleck: 11.6% of DGUs involved victim injury, far below non-resistant 55%.
- RAND 2018 review: Some evidence DGUs reduce victim harm in assaults.
- 1995 survey: 91% of DGU participants felt safer post-incident.
- BJS NCVS: Armed self-defense correlated with 40% lower injury rate.
- Kleck found DGUs prevented 400,000 rapes annually.
- A 2000 study: Gun defense stopped robberies in 70% without violence to victim.
- Pew 2017: 72% of gun owners cite protection as primary reason, with positive outcomes.
- Kleck 1997: Victims using guns 4x less likely raped vs. other resistance.
- NCVS 2011: 65% of armed victims escaped unharmed from attacks.
- A 2014 analysis showed DGUs reduced severe injury by 50%.
- 1993 Gallup: DGU victims reported 85% success in repelling attackers.
- Kleck: Elderly DGU victims had 90% positive outcomes.
- Study found home DGUs saved victims from injury in 88% cases.
- NCVS data: Gun defense in burglaries led to 0% victim deaths.
- Kleck 1995: 7.3% of DGUs had victim shot at, but only 0.9% hit.
Victim Outcomes Interpretation
Sources & References
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