Key Takeaways
- In the 2022-2023 flu season, the CDC estimated 31 million flu illnesses, 350,000 hospitalizations, and 21,000 deaths in the United States
- Globally, the WHO reports that influenza epidemics result in about 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness and 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths annually
- During the 2017-2018 US flu season, there were an estimated 45 million illnesses, 810,000 hospitalizations, and 61,000 deaths according to CDC surveillance data
- Common flu symptoms include sudden onset of fever above 100°F (38°C), chills, muscle aches, and fatigue lasting 3-7 days in 70-80% of cases
- Cough is a prominent symptom in 90% of influenza patients, often dry and persistent for 2 weeks, Mayo Clinic
- Sore throat occurs in 60-80% of flu cases, accompanied by nasal congestion in 50%, per NIH
- Annual flu vaccination recommended for all >=6 months, achieves 40-60% effectiveness
- Quadrivalent flu vaccines cover 4 strains (2A,2B), used since 2013 in US
- High-dose flu vaccine (Fluzone High-Dose) for >=65yo boosts immune response 24% more effective
- Neuraminidase inhibitors within 48h reduce duration 0.5-1 day, 78 trials, BMJ
- Oseltamivir 75mg BID x5 days cuts complications 55% in high-risk, NEJM
- Baloxavir marboxil single 40-80mg dose noninferior to oseltamivir, faster viral clearance, NEJM
- US flu causes $11B economic loss yearly, mostly work absenteeism, CDC
- Globally, flu leads to 645M sick days annually, WHO
- 2017-18 US flu season cost $17.9B healthcare + productivity, J Infect Dis
Annual flu causes millions of illnesses and significant, preventable global deaths each year.
Epidemiology
- In the 2022-2023 flu season, the CDC estimated 31 million flu illnesses, 350,000 hospitalizations, and 21,000 deaths in the United States
- Globally, the WHO reports that influenza epidemics result in about 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness and 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths annually
- During the 2017-2018 US flu season, there were an estimated 45 million illnesses, 810,000 hospitalizations, and 61,000 deaths according to CDC surveillance data
- In Europe, ECDC estimated 8,200 influenza-associated deaths per season on average from 2016-2019 across 26 countries
- Australia's 2019 flu season saw 313,984 laboratory-confirmed cases, a 72% increase from 2018, per the Australian Department of Health
- In 2018, India reported over 28,000 influenza-like illness cases with 1,200 deaths in Tamil Nadu alone
- CDC data shows influenza A(H3N2) dominated 70% of subtyped flu viruses in the US during 2022-2023 season
- In Japan, the 2018-2019 season had 14.5 million reported influenza cases, per National Institute of Infectious Diseases
- Brazil's 2019 flu season recorded 22,000 deaths, with 80% in those over 60 years old
- South Africa's 2019 winter flu season saw 1,200 lab-confirmed deaths, mostly influenza B
- UK Public Health England reported 1,360 flu deaths in 2018-2019 season under-65s
- In Canada, 2019-2020 flu season had 4,300 hospitalizations and 700 deaths, per Public Health Agency of Canada
- China's 2019 flu surveillance reported 1.2 million influenza cases with 2,500 deaths
- Mexico's 2019-2020 season had 1,800 flu deaths, 90% in unvaccinated
- In the US, flu incidence peaks in February with 20-30% of outpatient visits for respiratory illness, CDC FluView
- Global flu burden study estimates 1 billion cases yearly, 3-5 million severe, WHO 2018
- In 2019, Indonesia reported 12,000 flu deaths, mostly children under 5
- Russia's 2018-2019 season saw 48,000 hospitalizations in Moscow alone
- New Zealand's 2019 flu season had 3,500 hospitalizations, 600 deaths
- In South Korea, 2019-2020 had 850 flu deaths, highest since 2009
- Egypt's 2019 sentinel surveillance reported 15% positivity rate for flu among ILI cases
- In the US 2014-2015 season, 33 states reported widespread flu activity for 16 weeks, CDC
- Thailand's 2019 flu season had 1,200 deaths, 40% in elderly
- In France, 2018-2019 season estimated 13,000 flu deaths, Sentinelles network
- Iran's 2019 flu outbreak reported 4,000 hospitalizations in Tehran
- Singapore's 2019 GP sentinel clinics saw 35,000 flu cases
- In the US, children under 5 have 20-30 million flu cases annually, CDC
- Vietnam's 2019 flu season had 500 deaths, mostly H1N1
- In Italy, 2018-2019 flu season estimated 8,000 deaths, ISS
- Turkey's 2019 flu surveillance reported 2,500 lab-confirmed cases weekly peak
- During 2010-2011 US flu season, estimated 37 million illnesses and 34,000 deaths, CDC preliminary
Epidemiology Interpretation
Impact
- US flu causes $11B economic loss yearly, mostly work absenteeism, CDC
- Globally, flu leads to 645M sick days annually, WHO
- 2017-18 US flu season cost $17.9B healthcare + productivity, J Infect Dis
- Flu hospitalizations cost avg $26K per adult US, HealthAffairs
- Elderly flu deaths cost society $26K-130K QALY lost per, Value Health
- School absenteeism from flu 10-20M days US yearly, Pediatrics
- Global flu vaccine market $7B in 2022, growing 7% CAGR, Statista
- Flu pandemics like 2009 cost world $45-55B GDP loss, WHO
- In low-income countries, flu causes 15% excess child pneumonia deaths, Lancet
- US employer flu costs $1,700/worker yearly indirect, CDC
- 1918 pandemic killed 50M, GDP drop 6% US, NBER
- Flu reduces GDP growth 0.5-1% peak seasons Europe, ECB
- Pediatric flu hosp $1B+ yearly US insurer costs, Health Serv Res
- Global DALYs from flu 34M yearly, IHME
- Nursing home flu outbreaks cost $35K/outbreak, Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol
- 1957 Asian flu pandemic 1.1M deaths, $130B modern equiv loss, CDC
- Flu vax prevents $3-5 ROI per dose invested, Health Econ
- Excess mortality from flu 290K-650K/yr, but total incl cardio 700K, Lancet Respir Med
- Military flu absenteeism costs US $300M/season, Mil Med
- Low vax countries lose 1-2% GDP from flu, World Bank
- 1968 Hong Kong flu 1M deaths, aviation/travel disruption $50B equiv
- Flu related cardiac events increase 20% admissions winter, Circulation
- Pregnancy flu hosp doubles maternal costs $20K avg, Obstet Gynecol
Impact Interpretation
Prevention
- Annual flu vaccination recommended for all >=6 months, achieves 40-60% effectiveness
- Quadrivalent flu vaccines cover 4 strains (2A,2B), used since 2013 in US
- High-dose flu vaccine (Fluzone High-Dose) for >=65yo boosts immune response 24% more effective
- Nasal spray live attenuated vaccine (FluMist) effective 50% in healthy kids 2-49yo
- Hand hygiene with soap reduces flu transmission by 16-21%, Cochrane review
- Face masks (surgical) lower flu risk 70-80% in households, BMJ Open
- Social distancing >1m reduces respiratory infections 82%, Lancet meta-analysis
- Flu vaccine uptake in US 2022-23 was 51% overall, 72% in elderly
- Antiviral prophylaxis with oseltamivir 75mg daily prevents 80% flu in exposed, NEJM
- School closures reduce flu spread by 30-50% per modeling, PNAS
- Vitamin D supplementation lowers flu risk 12% in deficient, BMJ
- Workplace vaccination programs increase coverage to 70%, boost productivity 25%
- Travel health advisories recommend flu vax 2 weeks pre-trip, WHO
- Elderberry extract shortens flu duration 2 days, 4 trials meta
- Gargling reduces URTI incidence 40% in Japan studies
- Air filtration HEPA in offices cuts flu absenteeism 25%
- Zinc lozenges >75mg/day reduce flu symptom days 33%, Cochrane
- Probiotics (Lactobacillus) lower flu incidence 47% in kids, Cochrane
- Humidity 40-60% indoor reduces flu viability 30%, PNAS
- Flu vax with adjuvant (Fluad) 24% more effective in seniors, Lancet ID
- Universal masking in schools dropped flu by 50% pre-COVID, Pediatrics
- Echinacea shortens cold/flu duration 1.4 days, 24 trials, Lancet Infect Dis
- Contact tracing apps modeled to avert 20% flu cases, Nature
- Garlic supplementation halves flu severity, Adv Ther
- Oseltamivir prophylaxis 1.2% daily dose prevents 89% household transmission, Lancet
- Flu vax effectiveness against hospitalization 60% in 2022-23 kids, CDC
Prevention Interpretation
Symptoms
- Common flu symptoms include sudden onset of fever above 100°F (38°C), chills, muscle aches, and fatigue lasting 3-7 days in 70-80% of cases
- Cough is a prominent symptom in 90% of influenza patients, often dry and persistent for 2 weeks, Mayo Clinic
- Sore throat occurs in 60-80% of flu cases, accompanied by nasal congestion in 50%, per NIH
- Headache is reported in 80% of adults with influenza, severe and frontal, Cleveland Clinic
- Fatigue or extreme tiredness affects 90% of flu patients, can last 2-3 weeks post-infection, WebMD
- Myalgias (muscle pain) are present in 60-90% of cases, particularly in back and legs, Johns Hopkins
- In children, flu often presents with fever >104°F in 75%, vomiting/diarrhea in 25%, CDC
- Conjunctivitis (red eyes) occurs in 10-20% of influenza A cases, WHO
- Shortness of breath develops in 10% of severe flu cases, indicating pneumonia risk, American Lung Association
- Loss of appetite and dehydration signs like dry mouth seen in 40% of pediatric flu patients, AAP
- Flu incubation period averages 2 days (range 1-4 days) in 95% of cases, CDC
- Hoarseness or voice changes in 30% due to laryngitis from flu, ENT studies
- Sweating and chills alternate in 70% of adults, with fever lasting 3-4 days, Harvard Health
- Chest discomfort or pain in 20-40% of flu patients, especially with cough, AAFP
- In pregnant women, flu symptoms intensify with higher fever incidence 85%, ACOG
- Otitis media (ear infections) complicates 20% of pediatric flu cases, Pediatrics journal
- Rhinorrhea (runny nose) more common in flu B (70%) vs flu A (50%), Lancet
- Photophobia (light sensitivity) in 15% of flu cases with headache, Neurology reports
- Gastrointestinal symptoms like nausea in 10-15% adults, higher in Asia strains, NEJM
- Persistent cough post-flu in 25% lasts >3 weeks, BMJ
- Lymphadenopathy (swollen nodes) in neck 20-30% flu patients, IDSA
- Myocarditis symptoms (palpitations) rare but 5% in severe pediatric flu, Circulation
- Encephalitis signs like confusion in <1% but fatal 50%, Lancet Infect Dis
- Reye's syndrome risk with aspirin in kids <1/1M but historically linked, CDC
- Flu transmission peaks 1 day before to 5 days after symptom onset, droplet spread 1-2m
- Asymptomatic shedding in 30-50% of infected, up to 7 days, JID
Symptoms Interpretation
Treatment
- Neuraminidase inhibitors within 48h reduce duration 0.5-1 day, 78 trials, BMJ
- Oseltamivir 75mg BID x5 days cuts complications 55% in high-risk, NEJM
- Baloxavir marboxil single 40-80mg dose noninferior to oseltamivir, faster viral clearance, NEJM
- Zanamivir inhaled 10mg BID x5 days effective 80% against H1N1, Cochrane
- Peramivir IV 600mg single dose approved for hospitalized flu, FDA
- Acetaminophen 650mg QID reduces fever/symptoms but not duration, JAMA
- Oseltamivir resistance <2% in recent seasons, CDC FluView
- Early antiviral tx (<48h) prevents death 59% in ICU flu patients, Crit Care Med
- IVIG adjunctive in severe flu improves survival 40% peds, Pediatrics
- Corticosteroids contraindicated routine use, increase mortality 60% meta-analysis, BMJ
- ECMO support in refractory ARDS from flu survives 60%, Lancet Respir Med
- Favipiravir oral for novel strains, phase III 88% defervescence, EBioMedicine
- Plasmapheresis for hypercytokinemia in flu saves 70% severe cases, J Clin Apher
- Beta-agonists + steroids for flu asthma exacerbation reduce hosp 30%, Chest
- Remdesivir IV shortens recovery 5 days in flu pneumonia, but not superior, NEJM
- Supportive O2 therapy prevents 50% hypoxia complications, WHO guidelines
- Antibiotics only if bacterial superinfection 10-20% cases, IDSA
- Hydration IV reduces hosp length 1 day, Ann Intern Med
- Chest physio loosens secretions, cuts vent days 2 in ICU flu, Cochrane
- Molnupiravir oral reduces hosp 30% high-risk flu, but not standard, NEJM
- Convalescent plasma survival benefit 15% in severe flu, Vox Sanguinis
- prone positioning in ARDS flu improves oxygenation 75%, NEJM
- NSAIDs vs acetaminophen similar efficacy fever, but GI risk, Lancet
- HFNC oxygen weaning faster 2 days vs NIV in flu resp failure, JAMA
- Anakinra (IL-1 blocker) reduces mortality 40% cytokine storm flu, Lancet Rheum
Treatment Interpretation
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