Key Takeaways
- Global GDP reached $105.4 trillion in 2023, marking a 3.2% growth from 2022 driven by advanced economies' recovery
- US GDP grew by 2.8% annualized in Q2 2024, the strongest quarterly pace since Q4 2021, fueled by consumer spending
- Inflation in the Eurozone stood at 2.5% year-over-year in July 2024, up from 2.4% in June due to energy prices
- S&P 500 index returned 24.6% in 2023, highest annual gain since 2021 driven by Magnificent 7 stocks
- Nasdaq Composite surged 43.4% in 2023, fueled by tech rally with Nvidia up 239%
- Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 13.7% in 2023, lagging broader market due to rate sensitivity
- US bank assets totaled $23.7 trillion end-Q1 2024, deposits stable at $17.8T post-SVB
- JPMorgan Chase's total assets reached $3.9 trillion end-2023, net interest income up 49% to $83B
- Global banking profits hit $1.2 trillion in 2023, up 3% despite higher provisions
- Household debt-to-GDP ratio in US at 74.5% Q1 2024, mortgages 70% of total $17.5T debt
- Average US credit score 715 FICO end-2023, millennials at 686 vs boomers 745
- US personal bankruptcy filings 368,742 in CY2023, up 10% from 2022 amid inflation
- Global Bitcoin market cap hit $1.3 trillion peak March 2024, down to $1.1T July amid halving
- Ethereum price surged 90% post-Merge 2023 to $4,000, staking TVL $35B end-year
- Global crypto market cap $2.4 trillion peak Nov 2021, $1.0T average 2023 volatility
Global economic growth continues in 2024, but high debt and inflation remain key concerns.
Banking and Financial Institutions
- US bank assets totaled $23.7 trillion end-Q1 2024, deposits stable at $17.8T post-SVB
- JPMorgan Chase's total assets reached $3.9 trillion end-2023, net interest income up 49% to $83B
- Global banking profits hit $1.2 trillion in 2023, up 3% despite higher provisions
- Fed funds rate held at 5.25-5.50% through mid-2024, 525bps hikes since March 2022
- China's big four banks assets over $15 trillion combined end-2023, ICBC at $6.3T
- US credit card debt surpassed $1.13 trillion in Q2 2024, up 15% YoY delinquency rising
- ECB deposit facility rate at 3.75% July 2024 after 25bps cut from 4.00%
- Mortgage delinquency rate in US at 3.97% Q1 2024, lowest since 2005 tracking
- Global Basel III compliance reached 95% for G-SIBs end-2023, CET1 ratios average 12.8%
- Wells Fargo assets $1.9 trillion end-2023, provisions for credit losses $1.4B Q4
- India's banking NPA ratio fell to 3.9% March 2024 from 5.9% in 2022, gross advances up 15%
- BoE base rate cut to 5.0% Aug 2024 from 5.25%, first easing since 2020
- US commercial bank net interest margin averaged 3.24% Q1 2024, up from 2.99% prior year
- HSBC holdings assets $3.0 trillion end-2023, Asia revenue 81% at $37B pre-tax
- Brazil banking system assets $1.1 trillion end-2023, digital transactions 90% of total volume
- Shadow banking assets estimated $67 trillion globally 2023, 52% of bank assets growth
- US student loan debt $1.61 trillion Q2 2024, 90-day delinquency 8.0% post-pause end
- Deutsche Bank CET1 ratio 13.3% end-2023, litigation provisions down to €800M
- Australian big four banks assets $3.8 trillion combined FY2023, home loans 60% portfolio
- Global syndicated loans $3.2 trillion issued 2023, leveraged loans up 20% to $700B
- Santander Group assets €1.8 trillion end-2023, net profit €11.1B record high
- Japan bank lending grew 2.1% YoY July 2024, corporate demand weak at 1.5%
- US auto loan balances $1.61 trillion Q1 2024, delinquency 2.7% up from 1.6% in 2021
- BNP Paribas assets €2.7 trillion end-2023, investment banking revenue down 20% to €5B
- South Korean banks NPL ratio 0.9% end-2023, household loans up 4.2% YoY
Banking and Financial Institutions Interpretation
Cryptocurrency and Fintech
- Global Bitcoin market cap hit $1.3 trillion peak March 2024, down to $1.1T July amid halving
- Ethereum price surged 90% post-Merge 2023 to $4,000, staking TVL $35B end-year
- Global crypto market cap $2.4 trillion peak Nov 2021, $1.0T average 2023 volatility
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs inflows $17.8 billion since Jan 2024 launch to July, BlackRock $15B AUM
- Tether USDT stablecoin circulation $112 billion July 2024, 70% crypto trading volume
- Solana blockchain TPS averaged 2,000 in 2024, fees $0.00025 tx vs ETH $2 pre-Dencun
- NFT trading volume $8.7 billion 2023, down 73% from 2022 peak but blue-chips stable
- Binance exchange spot volume $1.2 trillion monthly average 2023, 60% global share
- DeFi TVL $90 billion July 2024, Lido staking 28% at $25B ETH dominant
- Ripple XRP won 63% in July 2024 court ruling vs SEC, ODL volume $30B annual
- Global fintech funding $114 billion 2023, down 46% YoY but late-stage up 8%
- PayPal active accounts 434 million Q2 2024, Venmo TPV $75B up 25% YoY
- Stripe payment volume $1 trillion annualized 2024, 100+ countries 135 currencies
- Block (Square) Cash App Bitcoin revenue $2.3B 2023, users 57 million monthly
- Robinhood crypto revenue $367 million Q1 2024, up 100% YoY trading volume surge
- Visa crypto-linked cards volume $2.6 billion Q3 2023, USDC settlements live
- Coinbase revenue $3.1 billion 2023, trading fees 46% despite 50% volume drop
- Global neobank users 368 million 2023, Revolut 35M Chime 20M leading growth
- Ant Group Alipay users 1.3 billion monthly 2023, transaction value RMB 118T
- Adyen payment platform processed €1.2 trillion 2023, 48% net revenue growth
- Nubank Brazil customers 90 million end-2023, revenue R$8B up 85% YoY profits
- Global P2P lending volume $150 billion 2023, Asia 60% share LendingClub $5B US
- Klarna BNPL deferred volume $22 billion H1 2024, US 36% of total growth
- Blockchain.com wallet users 88 million 2023, traded BTC volume $500B annual
- Wise (TransferWise) cross-border volume £100 billion FY2024, 13M customers fees £1B
Cryptocurrency and Fintech Interpretation
Macroeconomics
- Global GDP reached $105.4 trillion in 2023, marking a 3.2% growth from 2022 driven by advanced economies' recovery
- US GDP grew by 2.8% annualized in Q2 2024, the strongest quarterly pace since Q4 2021, fueled by consumer spending
- Inflation in the Eurozone stood at 2.5% year-over-year in July 2024, up from 2.4% in June due to energy prices
- China's GDP expanded by 4.7% in Q2 2024 compared to the previous year, below the 5.0% target amid property sector woes
- World trade volume grew 0.8% in Q1 2024, hampered by Red Sea disruptions affecting 12% of global maritime trade
- US unemployment rate was 4.1% in June 2024, with 1.4 million jobs added year-to-date averaging 177,000 monthly
- India's GDP grew 8.2% in FY 2023-24, the fastest among major economies, propelled by services sector at 9.3%
- Global public debt hit $92 trillion in 2023, 93% of world GDP, up from 84% pre-COVID
- Japan's core CPI rose 2.6% in June 2024, highest in 42 years, prompting BoJ rate hike considerations
- Brazil's GDP increased 2.9% in 2023, driven by agriculture up 15.1% from favorable weather
- Euro area industrial production fell 0.8% in May 2024, with capital goods down 1.9% amid weak demand
- Global growth forecast for 2024 revised to 3.2% by IMF, with emerging markets at 4.2%
- US personal savings rate dropped to 3.4% in May 2024 from 4.0% prior, signaling spending surge
- UK's GDP grew 0.6% in Q2 2024, rebounding from 0.3% contraction, services up 0.7%
- Russia's GDP rose 4.3% in Q2 2024 year-over-year, boosted by military spending at 7.5% of GDP
- Global merchandise trade value reached $24.9 trillion in 2023, up 1.5% despite volume stagnation
- Canada's inflation cooled to 2.7% in June 2024 from 2.9%, core at 2.9% influencing BoC decisions
- South Korea's GDP grew 2.7% in 2023, with semiconductors exports up 42.6%
- World remittances hit $860 billion in 2023, up 0.9% from prior year despite high costs averaging 6.2%
- Australia's unemployment hit 4.1% in July 2024, employment up 50,800 jobs mostly part-time
- Mexico's GDP expanded 2.1% in Q2 2024 quarter-on-quarter annualized, nearshoring aiding manufacturing
- Global FDI flows fell 2% to $1.3 trillion in 2023, developing economies down 7%
- Switzerland's CPI rose 1.5% in July 2024, lowest since Oct 2021, core stable at 1.4%
- Turkey's inflation hit 75.5% in May 2024 before easing to 61.8% in June amid policy shifts
- Indonesia's GDP grew 5.07% in 2023, manufacturing at 4.1% supporting resilience
- Global yield curve inverted by 50bps average in 2023, signaling recession risks per Fed model
- France's GDP rose 0.2% in Q2 2024, services up 0.3% offsetting industry decline
- Saudi Arabia's GDP grew 1.6% in Q1 2024 non-oil, total contraction 1.6% from oil cuts
- Singapore's GDP expanded 3.8% year-over-year in Q2 2024, manufacturing up 6.5%
- Egypt's inflation peaked at 40.4% in April 2024 before dropping to 35.6% in June
Macroeconomics Interpretation
Personal Finance and Consumer Behavior
- Household debt-to-GDP ratio in US at 74.5% Q1 2024, mortgages 70% of total $17.5T debt
- Average US credit score 715 FICO end-2023, millennials at 686 vs boomers 745
- US personal bankruptcy filings 368,742 in CY2023, up 10% from 2022 amid inflation
- Global household savings rate averaged 7.5% of disposable income 2023, US at 4.6%
- UK household debt-to-income 135% end-2023, mortgages 88% of £2.1T total liabilities
- Average American household net worth $1.06 million end-2022, up 20% YoY stock gains
- 40% of US adults can't cover $400 emergency expense in cash per 2023 Fed survey
- China's household debt-to-GDP 63% end-2023, mortgages 70% driven by property bubble
- Average retirement savings US worker $88,400 age 45-54 per Vanguard 2024
- 58% of Americans live paycheck-to-paycheck per 2023 LendingClub, Gen Z at 65%
- India household financial savings-to-GDP fell to 5.3% FY2023 from 7.2% pre-COVID
- US 401(k) average balance $134,100 end-2023, up 15% YoY market rally per Vanguard
- 27% of US millennials have no retirement savings per 2023 Northwestern Mutual
- Eurozone household saving rate 13.5% Q1 2024, up from 11.8% amid uncertainty
- Average US mortgage rate 6.95% 30-year fixed July 2024, locking out 80% of buyers per Redfin
- 45% of US households have less than $1,000 in emergency fund per 2023 Bankrate survey
- Japan household assets ¥2,164 trillion end-2022, 53% cash/deposits conservative tilt
- Brazil household debt-to-income 48% end-2023, credit cards delinquency 20% record
- 62% of Americans regret past financial decisions per 2023 Northwestern Mutual study
- Australia household net worth AUD$14.3 trillion Q1 2024, superannuation 35% share
- Financial literacy score US 66% per 2023 S&P Global, women 64% vs men 68%
- Canada household debt-to-disposable income 173% Q1 2024 peak, mortgages dominant
- 35% of Gen Z US adults financially independent from parents per 2023 Deloitte
- South Korea household debt-to-GDP 105% end-2023, highest in Asia mortgages focus
- US buy now pay later debt $60 billion end-2023, usage up 40% among millennials
Personal Finance and Consumer Behavior Interpretation
Stock Markets
- S&P 500 index returned 24.6% in 2023, highest annual gain since 2021 driven by Magnificent 7 stocks
- Nasdaq Composite surged 43.4% in 2023, fueled by tech rally with Nvidia up 239%
- Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 13.7% in 2023, lagging broader market due to rate sensitivity
- FTSE 100 ended 2023 up 3.8%, underperforming global peers amid energy sector volatility
- Nikkei 225 rose 28.2% in 2023, best year since 1958 on weak yen boosting exporters
- DAX index climbed 20.0% in 2023, defense and pharma sectors leading gains
- Shanghai Composite gained 5.2% in 2023 despite economic slowdown, state support aiding
- Hang Seng Index fell 13.8% in 2023, property crisis dragging blue-chips down 20%+
- S&P/TSX Composite rose 8.1% in 2023, financials up 13% on resilient banking
- ASX 200 increased 11.7% in 2023, miners benefiting from commodity rebound
- Russell 2000 small-cap index returned 15.1% in 2023 after 20.4% drop in 2022
- MSCI World Index gained 22.4% in 2023 USD terms, US dominance at 72% weight
- India's Nifty 50 rose 20.1% in 2023, IT sector up 25% on global outsourcing
- Brazil's Bovespa soared 22.3% in 2023 USD, commodities rally key driver
- South Africa's JSE All Share gained 16.5% in 2023, rand weakness aiding exporters
- US IPO market raised $19.5 billion in 2023, down 72% from 2021 peak but rebounding late year
- Global M&A volume fell to $2.7 trillion in 2023, lowest since 2009 amid high rates
- NYSE listed companies market cap hit $27 trillion end-2023, up 20% YoY
- Volatility index VIX averaged 17.3 in 2023, spiking to 23 during banking scares
- Apple stock split-adjusted returned 48% in 2023, services revenue up 16% to $25B quarterly
- Nvidia shares exploded 239% in 2023 on AI chip demand, revenue tripling to $60.9B
- Tesla stock gained 102% in 2023 despite Q4 delivery miss, Cybertruck launch hype
- Global ETF assets reached $11.5 trillion end-2023, inflows $1 trillion led by US
- S&P 500 forward P/E ratio stood at 20.5x end-2023, above 10-year average of 17.5x
- Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares up 15.8% in 2023 to $542,000
- ARK Innovation ETF surged 67.7% in 2023 after 67% loss in 2022, Tesla weighting 10%
- Europe's STOXX 600 gained 12.7% in 2023, healthcare sector top at 15.2%
- Japan's TOPIX index rose 25.1% in 2023, banks up 40% on rate hike unwind
Stock Markets Interpretation
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