Key Takeaways
- In 2021, the national high school status dropout rate for 16- to 24-year-olds was 5.2%, down from 5.3% in 2020
- The adjusted cohort graduation rate (ACGR) for public high schools in 2019-20 was 86% nationally, implying a 14% dropout rate
- In California, the 2020 high school dropout rate was 8.9% for grades 7-12
- In 2022, US college enrollment rate for recent high school graduates was 61.4%, down from pre-pandemic levels, implying higher effective dropouts from traditional paths
- The 6-year graduation rate for first-time, full-time bachelor's students at public 4-year institutions was 64% in 2018 cohort
- In 2020, 33% of undergraduates who started in 2015 had dropped out by year 5 at public 4-year colleges
- In sub-Saharan Africa, primary school dropout rate in 2020 was 12.5%, affecting 15 million children
- Globally, 258 million children were out of school in 2018, with 60% dropouts from secondary
- India's secondary dropout rate was 17% in 2019-20
- In US, male high school dropouts earn 18% less lifetime than graduates
- Globally, one extra year of schooling increases earnings by 10%, dropouts lose this
- 40% of US dropouts cite family responsibilities as reason
Dropout rates have decreased but significant disparities and challenges remain.
College Dropouts
- In 2022, US college enrollment rate for recent high school graduates was 61.4%, down from pre-pandemic levels, implying higher effective dropouts from traditional paths
- The 6-year graduation rate for first-time, full-time bachelor's students at public 4-year institutions was 64% in 2018 cohort
- In 2020, 33% of undergraduates who started in 2015 had dropped out by year 5 at public 4-year colleges
- US community college dropout rate after 3 years is about 70% for full-time students starting in 2015
- In 2021, the first-year persistence rate for full-time bachelor's students was 76.5%
- Private nonprofit 4-year colleges had 48% 6-year dropout rate for 2014 cohort
- STEM majors have lower dropout rates: 27% vs 39% for non-STEM at 4-year publics
- In 2020, Black students had 59% 6-year graduation rate at public 4-year, 41% dropout
- Average time to bachelor's degree is 5.1 years, with 40% taking over 4 years and dropping out
- For-profit college 6-year graduation rate was 29% for 2012 cohort, 71% dropout
- Pell Grant recipients have 52% 6-year graduation rate vs 68% for non-recipients
- In 2021, online students had 20% higher dropout rates than in-person
- California community colleges had 32% completion rate within 6 years for 2014 cohort, 68% dropout
- Male college students dropout rate is 10% higher than females in first year
- 44% of students who start at 2-year colleges drop out before transferring or completing
- During 2020-21 pandemic, college dropout rates increased by 5-10% across institutions
- Hispanic college students have 51% 6-year graduation rate at 4-year publics
- Part-time students have 75% dropout rate after 6 years at 4-year colleges
- In 2019, 24% of full-time freshmen dropped out after first year at private nonprofits
- Arts and humanities majors have 45% dropout rate vs business 32%
- Texas public universities had 62% 6-year graduation rate in 2020
- First-generation college students dropout rate is 51% after 4 years
- 2022 saw 1.2 million fewer college enrollees, boosting dropout trends
- Nursing programs have 20% attrition rate due to rigor
- In 2021, 37% of undergraduates were stopouts, pausing but at risk of dropout
- Public 2-year colleges in New York had 25% 3-year completion rate, 75% dropout
- Engineering majors dropout rate 33% in first two years
College Dropouts Interpretation
Demographics and Causes
- In US, male high school dropouts earn 18% less lifetime than graduates
- Globally, one extra year of schooling increases earnings by 10%, dropouts lose this
- 40% of US dropouts cite family responsibilities as reason
- Low-income US students 4x more likely to dropout than high-income
- Hispanic females have lower dropout rates than males by 3%
- Pregnancy accounts for 15% of female high school dropouts in US
- In developing countries, child labor causes 30% of primary dropouts
- US Black students 2x more likely to dropout due to disciplinary actions
- Mental health issues contribute to 20% of college dropouts
- Rural US dropouts 20% higher due to limited opportunities
- Financial difficulties cause 55% of community college dropouts
- First-gen college students 50% more likely to dropout due to lack of guidance
- In US, 25% of dropouts return within 5 years via GED
- Academic struggles account for 35% of high school dropouts
- Immigrant students dropout 2x higher if non-English proficient
- Bullying contributes to 15% of LGBTQ+ student dropouts
- In colleges, poor advising leads to 25% dropout
- Poverty doubles dropout risk globally
- US Native American dropout rate 9%, linked to cultural disconnect
- Transportation issues cause 10% of rural dropouts
- Substance abuse linked to 12% of US high school dropouts
- Lack of engagement causes 40% of college dropouts
- Disability increases dropout risk by 50% in US high schools
Demographics and Causes Interpretation
Global Dropouts
- In sub-Saharan Africa, primary school dropout rate in 2020 was 12.5%, affecting 15 million children
- Globally, 258 million children were out of school in 2018, with 60% dropouts from secondary
- India's secondary dropout rate was 17% in 2019-20
- In low-income countries, 53% of children drop out before completing primary education
- Pakistan's primary net enrollment led to 40% dropout by grade 5 in 2021
- Brazil reduced secondary dropout rate from 11.7% in 2015 to 5.9% in 2021
- Nigeria had 10.5 million out-of-school children in 2021, 69% dropout rate post-primary
- Globally, girls' secondary dropout rate is 15% higher than boys in low-income areas
- China's rural primary dropout rate dropped to 0.3% in 2020 from 2% in 2010
- In 2020, South Asia had 32% secondary school dropout rate
- Ethiopia's secondary dropout rate was 22% in 2019
- Globally, COVID-19 caused 24 million additional dropouts projected by 2021
- Indonesia's junior secondary dropout rate was 1.5% in 2021
- Middle East and North Africa secondary dropout rate 18% in 2020
- Bangladesh reduced primary dropout to 12% in 2020
- In Latin America, indigenous students have 25% higher dropout rates
- Philippines had 6% secondary dropout rate in 2019 pre-pandemic
- Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for 33% of global out-of-school children dropouts
- Vietnam's dropout rate at lower secondary was 1.2% in 2020
- Globally, 132 million girls are out of school due to dropout in 2021
- Egypt's primary dropout rate fell to 2.1% in 2021
- Central Asia secondary dropout rate 8% in 2020
- In 2021, Yemen had over 50% school dropout rate due to conflict
- Morocco reduced dropout rate from 9.5% to 5.2% between 2015-2020
Global Dropouts Interpretation
US High School Dropouts
- In 2021, the national high school status dropout rate for 16- to 24-year-olds was 5.2%, down from 5.3% in 2020
- The adjusted cohort graduation rate (ACGR) for public high schools in 2019-20 was 86% nationally, implying a 14% dropout rate
- In California, the 2020 high school dropout rate was 8.9% for grades 7-12
- New Mexico had the highest US high school dropout rate in 2021 at 9.2% for 16-24 year olds
- From 2010 to 2021, US high school status dropout rates declined from 7.4% to 5.2%
- In 2021, the event dropout rate for grades 9-12 was 4.7% in public schools
- Texas reported a 2021 high school dropout rate of 7.5% for the class of 2021
- During 2020-21, Florida's high school graduation rate was 90%, equating to a 10% dropout rate
- US Hispanic high school dropout rate in 2021 was 7.8%, compared to 4.1% for Whites
- From 2000 to 2021, US high school dropout rates halved from 10.4% to 5.2%
- Nevada's 2021 high school dropout rate was 5.8% for 16-24 year olds
- In 2019, the US high school event dropout rate for low-income students was 7.2%
- Oregon had a 2020-21 dropout rate of 4.3% in high schools
- The 2021 national ACGR for economically disadvantaged students was 80%, implying 20% dropout
- Alaska's high school dropout rate in 2021 was 8.1%, highest among states
- In 2020, US male high school dropout rate was 6.1%, female 4.4%
- Indiana's 2021 high school graduation rate was 88.5%, dropout 11.5%
- During COVID-19, US high school dropout rates rose slightly to 5.3% in 2020 from 5.1% in 2019
- Georgia's 2021 dropout rate for grades 9-12 was 6.2%
- In 2021, Black US students had a 5.9% high school dropout rate
- West Virginia's dropout rate was 4.1% in 2021, among lowest
- US Pacific Islander high school dropout rate in 2021 was 6.5%
- Arizona's 2020-21 high school dropout rate was 7.1%
- In 2018-19, US English learners had 12.5% high school dropout rate
- New York's 2021 high school dropout rate was 4.8%
- US Asian high school dropout rate lowest at 2.3% in 2021
- Louisiana's dropout rate was 7.8% in 2021
- In 2021, US rural high school dropout rate was 5.5%, urban 5.0%
- Michigan's 2021 high school graduation rate 82.1%, dropout 17.9%
- Overall US high school status dropout rate for immigrants was 8.4% in 2021
US High School Dropouts Interpretation
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