Key Takeaways
- In 2021, approximately 40% of first-time, full-time students at four-year colleges dropped out before completing their degree
- The freshman retention rate at public four-year institutions averaged 75.8% in 2020, indicating a 24.2% dropout rate in the first year
- Between 2017 and 2020, the six-year graduation rate for Black undergraduate students was 46%, resulting in a 54% dropout rate at public institutions
- Financial difficulties caused 55% of college dropouts according to 2022 survey of 1,500 students
- Family obligations led to 28% of dropouts among low-income students in 2021 study
- Academic struggles accounted for 40% of first-year dropouts in 2020 NCES data
- 60% of dropouts cited cost as primary barrier in 2022 survey
- Average student debt for dropouts was $12,500 in 2021
- Low-income students 3x more likely to dropout due to finances, 70% rate
- 52% of Black students dropout linked to financial stress 2021
- Hispanic/Latino students had 48% six-year dropout rate at publics 2020
- First-generation college students dropout at 54% rate within six years
- 75% of dropouts earn 25% less lifetime income than graduates
- Dropout unemployment rate 12% vs 4% for bachelor's holders 2022
- Annual earnings gap: dropouts $20,000 less than graduates
Alarming college dropout rates persist nationwide across all student demographics.
Causes
- Financial difficulties caused 55% of college dropouts according to 2022 survey of 1,500 students
- Family obligations led to 28% of dropouts among low-income students in 2021 study
- Academic struggles accounted for 40% of first-year dropouts in 2020 NCES data
- Mental health issues contributed to 25% of dropouts post-2019, per CDC report
- Work commitments were cited by 33% of community college dropouts in 2022
- Lack of academic preparation caused 22% of dropouts at four-year schools, 2021
- Poor advising led to 18% dropout rate in surveyed institutions 2020
- Transportation issues affected 15% of rural dropouts in 2021 study
- COVID-19 related disruptions caused 12% additional dropouts in 2020-21
- Lack of engagement was reason for 27% of online student dropouts 2022
- Homesickness contributed to 10% of freshman dropouts annually
- Changing career interests led to 20% mid-degree dropouts in 2019
- Discrimination experiences caused 14% dropout among minorities 2021
- Overwhelming workload cited by 35% of STEM dropouts 2022
- Poor fit with major responsible for 24% sophomore dropouts
- Health problems (non-mental) led to 16% dropouts in 2020 survey
- Bullying or campus climate issues: 8% of dropouts, 2021 data
- Inadequate high school preparation: 30% for first-gen students
- Relationship issues/family conflict: 11% cited in 2022 poll
- Lack of motivation/self-doubt: 29% per student surveys 2021
- Administrative barriers (e.g., registration): 9% in 2020
Causes Interpretation
Demographics
- 52% of Black students dropout linked to financial stress 2021
- Hispanic/Latino students had 48% six-year dropout rate at publics 2020
- First-generation college students dropout at 54% rate within six years
- Male students dropout 7% higher than females, 39% vs 32% in 2021
- Black students at 57% dropout rate in four-year colleges 2022
- Age 18-24 group: 41% dropout, highest demographic 2020
- Low-SES students: 52% dropout vs 14% high-SES in six years
- Rural students dropout 44% vs 34% urban/suburban 2021
- LGBTQ+ students dropout 2x rate of straight peers at 45%
- Disabled students: 60% dropout rate in higher ed 2020
- Asian students lowest dropout at 24% in 2021 cohorts
- Single parents among students: 70% dropout within three years
- Veterans: 38% dropout rate post-enrollment 2019
- Immigrant students: 42% dropout higher than native-born
- Native American students: 65% dropout at four-years 2021
- Over-30 non-traditional students: 58% dropout 2022
- From public high schools: 43% college dropout rate
- Foster care youth: 80% dropout within first year
- Low-income White students: 49% dropout 2020
- Women in STEM: 45% dropout vs 30% men 2021
- Urban Black males: 62% dropout rate 2022
Demographics Interpretation
Financial Aspects
- 60% of dropouts cited cost as primary barrier in 2022 survey
- Average student debt for dropouts was $12,500 in 2021
- Low-income students 3x more likely to dropout due to finances, 70% rate
- Pell Grant recipients had 50% dropout rate tied to funding gaps 2020
- Tuition increases of 5% annually correlated with 2% higher dropout 2015-2021
- 45% of dropouts worked 20+ hours/week to cover costs, 2022
- Unmet financial need averaged $10,000/year for dropouts
- Room and board costs led to 25% dropout among commuters 2021
- Student loan default rate for dropouts 25% vs 7% graduates 2020
- 38% dropout due to inability to pay unexpected fees 2019
- Part-time job loss caused 15% dropout spike in 2020 recession
- FAFSA complexity led to 12% missing aid and dropping out
- Average out-of-pocket for dropouts: $18,200 over 2 years 2021
- 55% of community college dropouts couldn't afford books/fees
- Credit card debt averaged $3,200 for dropping students 2022
- Housing insecurity affected 20% leading to dropout 2021
- No emergency savings: 65% of dropouts vs 40% persisters
- Gig economy reliance increased dropout by 10% for finances 2022
- Family financial crisis caused 18% dropout 2020 survey
- 42% of dropouts from households earning <$30k/year
- Scholarship gaps: 30% dropout despite aid insufficiency
Financial Aspects Interpretation
Impacts
- 75% of dropouts earn 25% less lifetime income than graduates
- Dropout unemployment rate 12% vs 4% for bachelor's holders 2022
- Annual earnings gap: dropouts $20,000 less than graduates
- 40% of dropouts regret decision, per 2021 Gallup poll
- Health outcomes worse: dropouts 2x obesity rate 2020 study
- Civic engagement lower: 30% less voting among dropouts
- Debt burden: dropouts repay loans 2x longer, 2021 data
- Job satisfaction 15% lower for dropouts vs graduates
- Poverty rate 3x higher for high school grads vs college grads/dropouts excluded
- Mental health: dropouts 50% higher depression rates long-term
- Social mobility stalled: dropouts 20% less upward mobility
- Divorce rate 10% higher among dropouts 2020 census
- Entrepreneurship lower: 25% fewer dropouts start businesses
- Life expectancy gap: 7 years less for non-grads 2019
- Retirement savings 40% lower for dropouts at age 50
- Community involvement: dropouts volunteer 35% less
- Career advancement: dropouts promoted 2x slower
- Happiness index: 12 points lower for dropouts 2021 survey
- Incarceration risk 50% higher for male dropouts
- Median wealth at 40: $50k for dropouts vs $250k graduates
Impacts Interpretation
Rates and Statistics
- In 2021, approximately 40% of first-time, full-time students at four-year colleges dropped out before completing their degree
- The freshman retention rate at public four-year institutions averaged 75.8% in 2020, indicating a 24.2% dropout rate in the first year
- Between 2017 and 2020, the six-year graduation rate for Black undergraduate students was 46%, resulting in a 54% dropout rate at public institutions
- In 2022, 31% of undergraduates at private nonprofit four-year colleges left without a degree within six years
- Community college dropout rates reached 68% for full-time students within three years in 2019
- The overall college dropout rate in the US was 40.3% for students starting in 2015, tracked over six years
- In 2020, 57% of students at for-profit colleges dropped out within three years
- Six-year completion rates at public two-year colleges were 32% in 2021, implying 68% dropout
- From 2015-2021, dropout rates for Hispanic students at four-year publics were 45%
- In fall 2019, 28% of full-time undergraduates dropped out after the first year across all institutions
- Private for-profit four-year institutions had a 70% dropout rate within six years in 2020
- The persistence rate from first to second year at four-year privates was 82%, meaning 18% immediate dropout in 2021
- In 2018, 41% of low-income students dropped out of four-year colleges within six years
- Online program dropout rates averaged 50% higher than in-person, at 67% in 2022
- Six-year graduation rate for full-time students at public four-years was 63% in 2020, dropout 37%
- 52% of part-time community college students dropped out within three years in 2019
- In 2021, dropout rates for first-generation college students were 50% higher than continuing-generation peers
- Public four-year institutions saw 36% of students drop out by year six in 2017 cohort
- Female students had a 5% lower dropout rate than males at 33% vs 38% in 2020
- In 2022, STEM majors had a 28% first-year dropout rate compared to 22% for business majors
- 45% of athletes at Division I schools dropped out within five years in 2019
- Rural college students experienced 42% dropout rates in 2021, higher than urban 35%
- In 2020, pandemic increased first-year dropout by 4.7% to 29%
- Six-year rate at HBCUs was 39%, dropout 61% in 2021
- Transfer students from community colleges had 55% ultimate dropout rate in 2019
- In 2022, adult learners over 25 had 60% dropout rate within three years
- International students dropped out at 38% rate in US colleges in 2020
- Financial aid recipients still had 32% dropout in first two years, 2021 data
- In 2019, dropout after sophomore year was 15% at elite universities
Rates and Statistics Interpretation
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