Key Takeaways
- As of 2023, ClinicalTrials.gov lists over 450,000 clinical trials registered worldwide.
- In 2022, the number of new interventional trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov was approximately 35,000.
- About 60% of all clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov are Phase 3 or 4 studies.
- Patient enrollment in clinical trials represents less than 5% of eligible cancer patients annually.
- Diversity in trials: Only 5% of participants in US trials are Black or African American.
- The median time to enroll the first patient in a Phase 3 trial is 4 months.
- 40% of Phase 1 trials, 30% of Phase 2, 20% of Phase 3, and 10% of Phase 4 are oncology-focused.
- Phase 2 trials have the highest attrition rate at 70% failure to proceed.
- Globally, 25% of trials are Phase 1, 35% Phase 2, 30% Phase 3, 10% Phase 4.
- Oncology trials account for 40% of all new starts.
- Neurology trials represent 12% of global registrations.
- Infectious diseases trials surged 300% during COVID-19 peak.
- Overall clinical trial success rate from Phase 1 to approval is 9.6%.
- Oncology Phase 2 to 3 transition success: 35%.
- Biologics have 15% higher success rate than small molecules (12% vs. 10%).
Despite being numerous and global, most clinical trials are slow, costly, and fail to succeed.
Costs
- Average cost of a Phase 3 trial is $20-50 million.
- Total R&D cost per approved drug: $2.6 billion (2023 adjusted).
- Phase 1 costs average $4-7 million per trial.
- Site payment per patient: $5,000-$10,000 in Phase 3 oncology.
- Patient recruitment costs: 20-30% of total trial budget.
- Decentralized trials reduce costs by 25-30%.
- CROs handle 70% of trials, charging $1-2 million per protocol.
- Data management costs: 15% of Phase 3 budget.
- Average trial duration: 6.5 years for Phase 2-3.
- Inflation-adjusted cost increase: 10% annually since 2010.
- Small biotech Phase 3: $100 million average.
- Global trial outsourcing saves 40% vs. in-house.
- Monitoring costs: $50,000 per site annually.
- Post-approval Phase 4: $10-20 million per study.
- AI in trials reduces data costs by 20%.
- Oncology trial costs: 2x higher than average ($50M Phase 3).
- Per-patient cost in US: $40,000 vs. $20,000 in India.
Costs Interpretation
Enrollment
- Patient enrollment in clinical trials represents less than 5% of eligible cancer patients annually.
- Diversity in trials: Only 5% of participants in US trials are Black or African American.
- The median time to enroll the first patient in a Phase 3 trial is 4 months.
- 85% of clinical trials fail to retain enough patients to meet enrollment goals.
- Women make up 42% of participants in cardiovascular trials despite higher disease burden.
- Pediatric trials enroll only 12% of children needed for rare disease studies annually.
- Site activation time averages 3-6 months, delaying enrollment by up to 30%.
- Use of electronic health records boosts enrollment rates by 25% in real-world studies.
- Attrition rate in Phase 3 trials averages 20-30% due to adverse events.
- Community-based recruitment increases minority participation by 15-20%.
- Global trial sites number over 300,000, but only 50% are activated efficiently.
- Patient registries improve enrollment speed by 40% for rare diseases.
- Social media recruitment reaches 3x more patients than traditional ads.
- Average trial enrollment per site is 10-15 patients for Phase 2 studies.
- COVID-19 accelerated virtual enrollment, increasing by 50% in 2021.
- 70% of trials under-enroll due to geographic limitations.
- Incentives increase enrollment by 10-15% in healthy volunteer studies.
- Phase 1 trials enroll fastest, averaging 2 months to full cohort.
- Oncology trials have 25% higher dropout rates than other areas.
Enrollment Interpretation
Global Statistics
- As of 2023, ClinicalTrials.gov lists over 450,000 clinical trials registered worldwide.
- In 2022, the number of new interventional trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov was approximately 35,000.
- About 60% of all clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov are Phase 3 or 4 studies.
- The United States sponsors nearly 40% of all global clinical trials.
- Europe accounts for 25% of the world's clinical trial activity as of 2023.
- Asia-Pacific region saw a 15% increase in clinical trial starts from 2021 to 2023.
- Over 80% of clinical trials fail to meet their primary endpoints.
- Decentralized clinical trials grew by 40% between 2020 and 2023 due to COVID-19.
- In 2023, oncology trials represented 25% of all new registrations on ClinicalTrials.gov.
- The average clinical trial now takes 8-10 years from Phase 1 to approval.
Global Statistics Interpretation
Phase Distribution
- 40% of Phase 1 trials, 30% of Phase 2, 20% of Phase 3, and 10% of Phase 4 are oncology-focused.
- Phase 2 trials have the highest attrition rate at 70% failure to proceed.
- Globally, 25% of trials are Phase 1, 35% Phase 2, 30% Phase 3, 10% Phase 4.
- Adaptive Phase 2/3 designs increased from 5% to 20% of trials since 2015.
- Phase 3 trials take 3-5 years on average to complete.
- Only 10% of Phase 1 drugs reach Phase 4 market approval.
- Basket trials, combining phases, rose 300% from 2015-2023.
- Phase 1 oncology trials enroll 20-50 patients on average.
- Long-term follow-up in Phase 4 averages 5-10 years post-approval.
- Seamless Phase 2/3 trials reduce timeline by 2 years.
- Rare disease trials are 80% Phase 1/2 due to small populations.
- Dose-escalation in Phase 1 uses 3+3 design in 60% of cases.
- Phase 3 superiority trials comprise 70% of confirmatory studies.
- Umbrella trials span multiple phases for precision medicine.
- Phase 4 post-marketing trials monitor 1-5% of approved drugs annually.
- First-in-human Phase 1 trials increased 20% in cell/gene therapies.
- Oncology holds 35% of Phase 3 trials globally.
- Neurology Phase 2 success rate is 15%, lowest among areas.
- Cardiovascular trials: 50% Phase 3 non-inferiority designs.
Phase Distribution Interpretation
Success Rates
- Overall clinical trial success rate from Phase 1 to approval is 9.6%.
- Oncology Phase 2 to 3 transition success: 35%.
- Biologics have 15% higher success rate than small molecules (12% vs. 10%).
- Rare disease drugs: 25% success rate due to accelerated approval.
- Alzheimer's trials: <1% success rate historically.
- COVID-19 vaccines: 90% Phase 3 success in Operation Warp Speed.
- Immuno-oncology drugs: 20% approval rate vs. 5% traditional chemo.
- Cardiovascular drugs: 10.4% Phase 1 to approval.
- Orphan drugs: 21% success vs. 11% non-orphan.
- Gene therapy trials: 35% success in Phase 3 to date.
- Antibiotic development: <2% success due to trial design issues.
- Cell therapy success: 16% overall Phase 1-approval.
- Precision medicine trials: 25% higher success in oncology.
- Neurology non-Alzheimer's: 8% success rate.
Success Rates Interpretation
Therapeutic Areas
- Oncology trials account for 40% of all new starts.
- Neurology trials represent 12% of global registrations.
- Infectious diseases trials surged 300% during COVID-19 peak.
- Rare diseases have over 7,000 conditions but only 500 active trials.
- Cardiovascular trials comprise 10% of Phase 3 studies.
- Immunology/autoimmune trials grew 25% from 2018-2023.
- Diabetes/endocrine trials: 8% of total, with 60% Phase 3.
- Psychiatry/mental health trials: only 5% despite 20% disease burden.
- Vaccines trials: 15% increase post-COVID, mostly Phase 3.
- Gastroenterology trials focus 70% on IBD and liver diseases.
- Hematology trials: 90% oncology-related.
- Dermatology trials: 4% of total, rising with biologics.
- Ophthalmology trials doubled in gene therapy focus since 2017.
- Pulmonology: 7% of trials, COPD/asthma dominant.
Therapeutic Areas Interpretation
Sources & References
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