Key Takeaways
- In the 2021-22 school year, national chronic absenteeism rate reached 28.7% for public school students, a sharp increase from 15.1% in 2018-19
- Chronic absenteeism affected 14.7 million U.S. students in 2021-22, equating to about 1 in 4 students missing at least 10% of school days
- From fall 2021 to spring 2022, chronic absenteeism rates dropped slightly from 31% to 28% nationally but remained double pre-pandemic levels
- In 2021-22, Black students had 29% chronic absenteeism rate vs. 24% for white students nationally
- Hispanic students experienced 28% chronic absenteeism in 2021-22, higher than Asian students at 19%
- Low-income students (FRPL eligible) had 31% rate vs. 17% for non-poor in 2019
- Chronically absent students score 0.6 standard deviations lower on math tests
- Each week absent reduces GPA by 0.05 points in high school
- Chronic absentees 3x more likely to drop out (20% vs. 6%)
- Asthma causes 13 million missed school days annually, contributing to 20% of chronic absenteeism cases
- Transportation barriers affect 15% of chronic absentees in rural areas
- Housing instability linked to 35% higher chronic absenteeism odds
- Texting interventions reduced absences by 15% in pilots
- Home visits decreased chronic absenteeism by 20% in 50 districts
- Mentoring programs cut rates by 12% for at-risk students
Chronic absenteeism sharply increased after the pandemic, and recovery has been gradual.
Academic Impacts
- Chronically absent students score 0.6 standard deviations lower on math tests
- Each week absent reduces GPA by 0.05 points in high school
- Chronic absentees 3x more likely to drop out (20% vs. 6%)
- Absent students lose 4.5 weeks of instruction annually, impacting achievement by 15%
- NAEP scores drop 7 points in reading for chronically absent 8th graders
- High school chronic absentees 2x less likely to graduate on time
- In elementary, chronic absence linked to 25% lower proficiency in ELA
- Grade retention 2x higher for chronic absentees (8% vs. 4%)
- SAT scores 50-100 points lower for students missing 10+ days
- Chronic absentees suspended 50% more often, compounding academic gaps
- Long-term: chronic absentees 25% less likely to enroll in college
- Math achievement gap widens by 0.4 SD per year of chronic absence
- In middle school, chronic absence predicts 15% lower course passage rates
- Remediation rates 30% higher for former chronic absentees in college
- Chronic absence accounts for 20% of variation in 4th grade reading scores
- Dropout risk increases 2% per absent day in 9th grade
- ELA proficiency drops 18% for students absent 18+ days/year
- Chronic absentees 4x more likely to repeat 9th grade
Academic Impacts Interpretation
Demographics
- In 2021-22, Black students had 29% chronic absenteeism rate vs. 24% for white students nationally
- Hispanic students experienced 28% chronic absenteeism in 2021-22, higher than Asian students at 19%
- Low-income students (FRPL eligible) had 31% rate vs. 17% for non-poor in 2019
- Students with disabilities showed 27% chronic absenteeism pre-pandemic, rising to 35% post
- English learners had 25% chronic absenteeism in California 2021-22, vs. 22% English proficient
- In urban areas, Black students' rate was 35% vs. 20% for white in 2022
- Native American students nationally at 32% chronic absenteeism in 2021-22, highest among groups
- Gender gap minimal, but boys at 26% vs. girls 24% nationally 2022
- Homeless students had 48% chronic absenteeism rate in 2019
- Foster care youth experienced 40% chronic absenteeism in select states
- In NYC, 40% of Black students chronically absent vs. 22% Asian in 2022
- Pacific Islander students at 33% rate in Hawaii 2021-22
- Rural low-income students 29% vs. urban 27% chronic absenteeism 2021
- Students in poverty (under 100% FPL) at 36% rate nationally 2019
- LGBTQ+ students report 30% higher absenteeism due to safety
- Immigrant students 24% rate vs. 20% native-born in 2022 data
- In Chicago, Latinx students 32% vs. white 18% in 2023
- Military-connected students 22% chronic absenteeism, higher due to moves
Demographics Interpretation
Health and Social Factors
- Asthma causes 13 million missed school days annually, contributing to 20% of chronic absenteeism cases
- Transportation barriers affect 15% of chronic absentees in rural areas
- Housing instability linked to 35% higher chronic absenteeism odds
- Bullying contributes to 10-15% of absences among middle schoolers
- Mental health issues, like anxiety, cause 25% of chronic absences post-pandemic
- Food insecurity doubles chronic absenteeism risk (28% vs. 14%)
- Family health emergencies account for 12% of extended absences
- Lack of childcare leads to 18% of parental absences for young kids
- Incarcerated parents correlate with 40% chronic absenteeism in children
- Chronic illness (diabetes, etc.) causes 22% higher absence rates
- Unsafe neighborhoods contribute to 16% of voluntary absences
- Poverty explains 50% of variance in chronic absenteeism rates
- Domestic violence in homes linked to 30% increased absences
- Lack of internet access during hybrid learning caused 20% extra absences
- Substance abuse in family affects 8% of chronic cases
- Dental pain leads to 2.5 million missed days yearly
- COVID-19 long symptoms contribute to 10% rise in 2022-23 absences
Health and Social Factors Interpretation
Interventions
- Texting interventions reduced absences by 15% in pilots
- Home visits decreased chronic absenteeism by 20% in 50 districts
- Mentoring programs cut rates by 12% for at-risk students
- Incentive programs (prizes) reduced absences 18% in elementary
- Early warning systems flagged 85% of chronic cases preemptively
- Family engagement workshops lowered rates by 25% in urban schools
- Transportation vouchers reduced absences by 22% in rural areas
- School nurses addressing health barriers cut absences 15%
- Truancy courts reduced chronic absenteeism 30% in participating youth
- Breakfast in classroom boosted attendance 10% daily
- PBIS frameworks decreased absences 14% school-wide
- Virtual check-ins post-pandemic retained 20% more attenders
- Community partnerships funded buses, cutting rates 25%
- Data dashboards enabled 40% faster interventions
- Culturally responsive outreach reduced ELL absences 18%
- After-school programs increased next-day attendance 12%
- Policy changes mandating tracking cut state rates 10%
- Teacher home visits yielded 28% attendance improvement
- Wellness checks by social workers reduced mental health absences 22%
Interventions Interpretation
Prevalence and Trends
- In the 2021-22 school year, national chronic absenteeism rate reached 28.7% for public school students, a sharp increase from 15.1% in 2018-19
- Chronic absenteeism affected 14.7 million U.S. students in 2021-22, equating to about 1 in 4 students missing at least 10% of school days
- From fall 2021 to spring 2022, chronic absenteeism rates dropped slightly from 31% to 28% nationally but remained double pre-pandemic levels
- In 2022-23, 8 million fewer students were chronically absent compared to 2021-22, but rates still hovered at 25% nationally
- Pre-pandemic (2017-18), chronic absenteeism was 15% nationally, rising to 26% post-pandemic by 2022
- California's chronic absenteeism rate was 27.8% in 2021-22, affecting over 1.3 million students
- New Mexico reported the highest state rate at 43% chronic absenteeism in 2021-22
- During 2020-21, chronic absenteeism peaked at 40% or higher in 20 states due to remote learning transitions
- Urban districts saw chronic absenteeism rise from 18% to 32% between 2019 and 2022
- By spring 2023, chronic absenteeism fell to 22% in a sample of 40 districts, down from 31% peak
- High schools had 24% chronic absenteeism nationally in 2021-22, compared to 18% in elementary
- Pandemic recovery showed 15% decline in chronic absenteeism from 2022 to 2023 in participating districts
- In 2019, 16% of K-12 students were chronically absent, per NCES data
- Chronic absenteeism doubled from 8% in 2011 to 16% in 2019 nationally
- 2023 data indicates 37 states still above pre-pandemic absenteeism levels
- Detroit public schools had 59% chronic absenteeism in 2022, highest in major districts
- Baltimore's rate was 54% in 2021-22, dropping to 41% by 2023
- Nationally, chronic absenteeism costs $34 billion in lost lifetime earnings per cohort
- From 2018-22, absenteeism rates increased 92% in U.S. public schools
- 2023-24 preliminary data shows 20% national rate, still elevated
Prevalence and Trends Interpretation
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