Key Takeaways
- In 2022, total retail sales in Canada reached $802.4 billion, marking a 6.5% increase from 2021
- Canadian retail e-commerce sales grew by 15.2% year-over-year in Q4 2022, accounting for 4.8% of total retail sales
- Grocery store sales in Canada totaled $128.9 billion in 2022, representing 16.1% of total retail sales
- The retail sector employed 2.1 million people in 2022, representing 10.7% of total employment
- Retail employment grew by 3.2% year-over-year in December 2022 to 2.15 million
- Average hourly wage in retail trade was $21.45 in 2022, up 5.8% from 2021
- E-commerce sales in Canada reached $55.7 billion in 2022, up 15% from 2021
- Online retail penetration was 6.9% of total retail sales in 2022
- Mobile commerce accounted for 52.3% of e-commerce sales in 2022
- Total consumer spending on retail goods was $645 billion in 2022 excluding housing
- 82% of Canadians shopped in physical stores monthly in 2022
- Average household retail spend was $42,800 in 2022
- Retail sales projected to grow 3.2% in 2023 nominally
- E-commerce expected to reach 10% of total retail by 2025
- Retail inflation forecasted at 4.1% for 2023
Canadian retail sales grew significantly in 2022, driven by e-commerce and inflation.
Consumer Insights
- Total consumer spending on retail goods was $645 billion in 2022 excluding housing
- 82% of Canadians shopped in physical stores monthly in 2022
- Average household retail spend was $42,800 in 2022
- Inflation drove 62% of shoppers to trade down to cheaper brands in 2022
- 71% of consumers prioritized price over brand in 2022 retail purchases
- Grocery spending per household averaged $12,400 in 2022, up 9.2%
- Clothing expenditure per capita was $1,056 in 2022
- 54% of shoppers used loyalty programs weekly in 2022
- Online price comparison done by 67% before purchase in 2022
- Sustainable products influenced 48% of purchases in 2022
- Gen Z spent 23% more on experiences but 15% less on goods in 2022
- 39% reduced discretionary spending due to inflation in 2022
- Urban consumers spent 28% more on retail than rural in 2022
- 76% of millennials used BNPL services for retail in 2022
- Food delivery apps used by 45% weekly in 2022
- 61% prefer in-store for groceries, 52% online for electronics in 2022
- Average shopping trip frequency was 12.4 per month in 2022
- Impulse buys accounted for 28% of retail sales volume in 2022
- 53% of boomers shop alone, 34% of Gen Z with family in 2022
- Health products spending up 22% to $4,200 per household in 2022
- 44% abandoned carts due to high shipping costs in 2022 e-retail
- Regional disparity: Prairies spent 12% more per capita on autos in 2022
- 69% influenced by social media in fashion buys 2022
- Household debt servicing ratio impacted 31% to cut retail spend 2022
- 58% of consumers returned items in-store post-online buy in 2022
- Vegan/plant-based food sales influenced 19% of grocery baskets 2022
Consumer Insights Interpretation
Digital Transformation
- E-commerce sales in Canada reached $55.7 billion in 2022, up 15% from 2021
- Online retail penetration was 6.9% of total retail sales in 2022
- Mobile commerce accounted for 52.3% of e-commerce sales in 2022
- Amazon.ca generated $12.4 billion in Canadian e-sales in 2022
- Shopify-powered stores contributed $42 billion to Canadian e-commerce in 2022
- Food and beverage e-sales grew 28.4% to $8.2 billion in 2022
- Fashion e-commerce sales hit $14.1 billion in 2022, 25% of category total
- Electronics online sales were $10.3 billion in 2022, up 18.7%
- 62% of Canadians shopped online weekly in 2022
- Average online order value was $112 CAD in 2022
- Digital payment adoption in retail reached 78% in 2022
- Contactless payments used in 85% of retail transactions in 2022
- Retail apps downloads grew 22% to 45 million in 2022
- Omnichannel retailers saw 30% higher sales growth in 2022
- Buy-online-pickup-in-store (BOPIS) orders up 45% to 12 million in 2022
- 41% of retail SMBs adopted AI chatbots in 2022
- Cybersecurity incidents in retail e-stores rose 19% to 2,400 in 2022
- Ontario e-commerce sales were $22.1 billion in 2022, 39.7% national share
- Quebec online retail hit $13.4 billion in 2022
- BC e-sales totaled $8.9 billion in 2022, up 17.2%
- Average e-commerce growth rate 2017-2022 was 18.4%
- Social commerce sales reached $4.2 billion in 2022 via Instagram/FB
- Voice commerce in retail projected at 1% but grew 150% in 2022
- AR/VR used in 15% of fashion e-retail trials in 2022
- 73% of consumers used retailer apps for loyalty in 2022
- Pandemic accelerated e-commerce by 5 years in 2022 metrics
- 55% of Gen Z prefer online-only shopping in 2022 surveys
- 68% of Canadian households have high-speed internet supporting e-retail in 2022
- Grocery e-commerce penetration reached 12.4% in 2022
- 47% of consumers expect same-day delivery in urban retail 2022
Digital Transformation Interpretation
Financial Performance
- In 2022, total retail sales in Canada reached $802.4 billion, marking a 6.5% increase from 2021
- Canadian retail e-commerce sales grew by 15.2% year-over-year in Q4 2022, accounting for 4.8% of total retail sales
- Grocery store sales in Canada totaled $128.9 billion in 2022, representing 16.1% of total retail sales
- Clothing and clothing accessories stores reported $32.4 billion in sales in 2022, up 8.7% from the previous year
- General merchandise stores saw sales of $52.1 billion in 2022, a 10.2% rise driven by inflation
- Building material and garden equipment sales hit $47.6 billion in 2022, fueled by home renovation trends
- Automotive parts and accessories sales reached $15.3 billion in 2022, increasing 12.4%
- Food and beverage stores accounted for 25.3% of total retail sales in December 2022 at $20.1 billion
- Health and personal care stores sales were $28.7 billion in 2022, up 7.9%
- Electronics and appliance stores generated $18.2 billion in sales in 2022, a 5.6% growth
- Sporting goods stores sales totaled $9.4 billion in 2022, rising 14.3% post-pandemic
- Book stores and news dealers had $2.1 billion in sales in 2022, down 2.5% due to digital shift
- Furniture and home furnishings sales were $21.5 billion in 2022, up 9.1%
- Gasoline stations sales reached $112.4 billion in 2022, 14% of total retail
- Pharmacies and drug stores sales hit $35.6 billion in 2022, growing 11.2%
- Department stores sales were $14.8 billion in 2022, declining 3.4% amid closures
- Beer and wine-making supplies stores saw $1.2 billion in 2022, up 6.8%
- Florists sales totaled $1.8 billion in 2022, increasing 4.2%
- Used merchandise stores generated $3.4 billion in 2022, up 18.7% thrift trend
- Retail sales per capita in Canada averaged $20,456 in 2022
- Ontario accounted for 37.2% of national retail sales in 2022 at $298.5 billion
- Quebec retail sales were $169.4 billion in 2022, 21.1% of total
- British Columbia's retail sales hit $102.3 billion in 2022, up 7.8%
- Alberta retail sales totaled $94.7 billion in 2022, growing 5.3%
- Manitoba's retail sales were $28.1 billion in 2022, 3.5% share
- Saskatchewan retail sales reached $22.4 billion in 2022, up 6.1%
- Retail trade GDP contribution was 5.8% or $132 billion in 2022
- Average retail sales growth rate 2018-2022 was 4.7% annually
- Inflation-adjusted retail sales grew 2.1% in 2022
- Retail sales excluding autos rose 4.3% in 2022
Financial Performance Interpretation
Market Outlook
- Retail sales projected to grow 3.2% in 2023 nominally
- E-commerce expected to reach 10% of total retail by 2025
- Retail inflation forecasted at 4.1% for 2023
- 1,200 new retail stores planned for 2023 openings
- Grocery sector to grow 4.5% annually to 2027
- 25% of physical stores to close by 2030 due to e-commerce shift
- Sustainability to drive 35% sales premium by 2025
- AI adoption in retail to reach 65% by 2025, boosting efficiency 20%
- Labour shortage to persist, needing 150,000 new retail workers by 2025
- Omnichannel sales to comprise 50% of total by 2025
- BNPL market to grow to $10B by 2025 in Canada
- Food delivery market projected at $15B by 2027, CAGR 12%
- Fashion retail recovery to 5% growth in 2024 post-2023 slowdown
- Vacant retail space to drop to 3% by 2025 with repurposing
- Ontario retail sales forecast $320B in 2023
- Western Canada retail growth 3.8% in 2023 on population boom
- Supply chain disruptions to ease, reducing costs 8% by 2024
- Personalization tech to increase basket size 15% by 2025
- Thrift/second-hand market to hit $12B by 2027, CAGR 11%
- EV charging retail integration in 40% of new stores by 2030
- Gen Alpha to influence 20% of family purchases by 2025
- Retail real estate investment up 12% to $8B in 2023
- Cross-border e-commerce from US to Canada $25B projected 2023
- Health retail to grow 6.2% CAGR to 2028 on aging population
- Pop-up stores to increase 30% as testing model by 2024
- Recession risk: Retail sales flat in real terms 2023 Q1 forecast
- Luxury retail sales up 8% in 2023 on affluent recovery
Market Outlook Interpretation
Workforce
- The retail sector employed 2.1 million people in 2022, representing 10.7% of total employment
- Retail employment grew by 3.2% year-over-year in December 2022 to 2.15 million
- Average hourly wage in retail trade was $21.45 in 2022, up 5.8% from 2021
- Women comprised 52.3% of retail workforce in 2022, with 1.1 million employed
- Youth aged 15-24 made up 28.4% of retail employees in 2022, totaling 596,000
- Part-time workers accounted for 42.7% of retail employment in 2022
- Retail managers numbered 112,000 in 2022, earning average $48,200 annually
- Retail salespersons and clerks totaled 912,000 in 2022, 43.5% of sector jobs
- Cashiers employment was 214,000 in 2022, down 1.2% from peak
- Store shelf stockers numbered 156,000 in 2022, up 4.5%
- Food counter attendants employed 198,000 in retail in 2022
- Labour turnover rate in retail was 18.6% in 2022, highest among sectors
- Retail vacancy rate averaged 4.2% in 2022, improved from 6.1% in 2021
- Ontario had 890,000 retail workers in 2022, 42.3% of national total
- Quebec retail employment was 512,000 in 2022, 24.4% share
- BC retail jobs totaled 312,000 in 2022, up 2.8%
- Alberta employed 278,000 in retail in 2022, 13.2% of total
- Training hours per retail employee averaged 28 hours annually in 2022
- Unionized retail workers were 15.2% of workforce in 2022
- Remote work in retail offices was 12% in 2022, low due to in-store needs
- Retail employee satisfaction score averaged 68/100 in 2022 surveys
- Average retail workweek was 27.4 hours in 2022
- Immigrant workers comprised 32.1% of retail employment in 2022
- Indigenous employment in retail was 4.3% or 90,000 in 2022
- Disability employment rate in retail was 22.5% in 2022
Workforce Interpretation
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