Key Takeaways
- The global BNPL market was valued at $25.8 billion in 2023, projected to grow to $81.4 billion by 2028 at a CAGR of 25.8%.
- U.S. BNPL transaction volume reached 307 million in 2023, up 20% from 256 million in 2022.
- BNPL gross merchandise value (GMV) in the UK hit £8.6 billion in 2023, a 14% YoY increase.
- U.S. millennial BNPL usage at 55% in 2023.
- Gen Z represents 45% of BNPL users in the U.S., with average spend $150 per transaction.
- Women account for 62% of BNPL users globally.
- 65% of U.S. BNPL users shop online weekly.
- 36% of Americans used BNPL in past 12 months as of 2023.
- UK BNPL adoption rate 27% among online shoppers.
- BNPL revenue share 2.5% of global payments.
- U.S. BNPL fees generated $3.5 billion in 2023.
- Merchant BNPL fees average 4-6% of transaction value.
- U.S. BNPL complaints rose 300% since 2021.
- 25% of BNPL users in U.S. miss payments.
- UK BNPL overdraft risk increases 40% for users.
The buy now, pay later market is growing explosively around the world among younger consumers.
Adoption Rates
- 65% of U.S. BNPL users shop online weekly.
- 36% of Americans used BNPL in past 12 months as of 2023.
- UK BNPL adoption rate 27% among online shoppers.
- Australia 50% of consumers used BNPL in 2023.
- India BNPL users grew 3x to 20 million in 2023.
- 24% of U.S. e-commerce payments via BNPL in Q4 2023.
- Klarna app downloads 50 million globally in 2023.
- 68% of Gen Z prefer BNPL over credit cards.
- Merchant BNPL offer rate 40% of U.S. retailers.
- Brazil BNPL at checkout penetration 12% in 2023.
- Canada BNPL usage doubled since 2020 to 15%.
- China Ant Group BNPL transactions 1 billion in 2023.
- 45% of EU online purchases use BNPL in fashion.
- U.S. BNPL repeat transaction rate 60%.
- UK fashion BNPL adoption 35% of sales.
- Australia electronics BNPL 28% market share.
- Global BNPL at POS adoption up 15% in 2023.
- India Flipkart BNPL orders 30% of total.
- 55% of U.S. shoppers willing to switch for BNPL.
- France BNPL growth 50% in travel sector.
- Germany grocery BNPL pilot adoption 10%.
- 70% of millennials adopted BNPL post-pandemic.
- BNPL average order value 25% higher than cards.
- U.S. BNPL in-store usage 20% of total volume.
- UK beauty sector BNPL 40% penetration.
- Affirm partnerships with 20,000+ merchants.
- Global BNPL satisfaction rate 85% among users.
Adoption Rates Interpretation
Economic Impact
- BNPL revenue share 2.5% of global payments.
- U.S. BNPL fees generated $3.5 billion in 2023.
- Merchant BNPL fees average 4-6% of transaction value.
- BNPL boosts retailer sales by 20-30% on average.
- U.S. consumer BNPL debt $8 billion outstanding.
- Klarna active customers spend 2x more.
- Afterpay users average 10 transactions/year.
- BNPL conversion rates up 27% for merchants.
- Global BNPL merchant fees $10 billion annually.
- U.S. BNPL delinquency rates 11.3% in 2023.
- Australia BNPL late fees collected AUD 200 million.
- BNPL cart abandonment reduced by 50%.
- India BNPL disbursements INR 50,000 crore.
- UK BNPL consumer spend £15 billion yearly.
- Affirm GMV per active user $800 annually.
- BNPL ROI for merchants 5:1 on fees.
- Brazil BNPL economic contribution 0.5% GDP.
- Canada BNPL sales uplift 18% average.
- China BNPL platform profits $5 billion.
- EU BNPL sector employs 50,000 people.
- U.S. BNPL average late fee $7 per instance.
- Global BNPL interest-free loans 90% of volume.
- Merchant discount rate savings 2% with BNPL.
- BNPL default rates average 5-8% globally.
Economic Impact Interpretation
Market Size and Growth
- The global BNPL market was valued at $25.8 billion in 2023, projected to grow to $81.4 billion by 2028 at a CAGR of 25.8%.
- U.S. BNPL transaction volume reached 307 million in 2023, up 20% from 256 million in 2022.
- BNPL gross merchandise value (GMV) in the UK hit £8.6 billion in 2023, a 14% YoY increase.
- Affirm's BNPL GMV grew 46% YoY to $7.3 billion in Q4 FY2023.
- Klarna's global GMV exceeded €80 billion in 2022, with 35% growth.
- Afterpay's transaction volume surged 50% to AUD 21.7 billion in FY2022.
- Asia-Pacific BNPL market expected to grow at 28.2% CAGR from 2023-2030.
- European BNPL market size was €37 billion in 2022, forecasted to €115 billion by 2027.
- PayPal's Pay in 4 BNPL volume hit $10 billion in 2023.
- Sezzle's North American GMV reached $650 million in 2023, up 37%.
- Global BNPL users numbered 360 million in 2023, expected to reach 900 million by 2030.
- India's BNPL market grew 70% YoY to INR 10,000 crore in 2023.
- Brazil's BNPL GMV hit BRL 50 billion in 2023.
- Australia's BNPL market share of e-commerce reached 15% in 2023.
- Canada BNPL volume up 25% to CAD 5 billion in 2023.
- China's BNPL market valued at $200 billion in 2023.
- BNPL penetration in U.S. e-commerce hit 6.3% in 2023.
- Global BNPL revenue projected to $50 billion by 2027.
- Zip's Australian GMV grew 28% to AUD 3.2 billion in FY2023.
- Scalapay's European GMV reached €2 billion in 2023.
- U.S. BNPL market CAGR of 22.4% from 2023-2030.
- UK BNPL transactions doubled to 300 million in 2023.
- Germany's BNPL GMV at €12 billion in 2023.
- France BNPL users up 40% to 15 million in 2023.
- BNPL global CAGR 27% from 2022-2028.
- Latin America BNPL market to $15 billion by 2025.
- Middle East BNPL GMV $2.5 billion in 2023.
- Africa BNPL transactions 50 million in 2023.
- BNPL e-commerce share globally 4.2% in 2023.
Market Size and Growth Interpretation
Risks and Challenges
- U.S. BNPL complaints rose 300% since 2021.
- 25% of BNPL users in U.S. miss payments.
- UK BNPL overdraft risk increases 40% for users.
- Australia BNPL debt stress 30% of users.
- India BNPL NPAs at 4.2% in 2023.
- 36% of young U.S. BNPL users accrue debt.
- Klarna write-offs doubled to 1% of GMV.
- Affirm charge-off rate 5.3% in Q4 2023.
- EU BNPL regulatory scrutiny on 20 providers.
- Brazil BNPL fraud cases up 50% to 100k.
- Canada BNPL credit reporting gaps affect 40%.
- China BNPL caps introduced at RMB 1,000.
- 15% of BNPL loans rolled over into debt cycles.
- UK consumer detriment £300 million from BNPL.
- U.S. BNPL impacts FICO scores negatively for 20%.
- Australia ASIC sues Afterpay for misleading.
- Global BNPL cyber attacks on platforms up 30%.
- France BNPL over-indebtedness complaints 10k.
- Germany BaFin warns on BNPL shadow banking.
- 28% BNPL users unaware of total costs.
- India RBI mandates BNPL risk disclosures.
- U.S. CFPB proposes BNPL underwriting rules.
- BNPL multiple provider usage 35%, debt stacking.
- UK FCA price cap discussions on BNPL fees.
Risks and Challenges Interpretation
User Demographics
- U.S. millennial BNPL usage at 55% in 2023.
- Gen Z represents 45% of BNPL users in the U.S., with average spend $150 per transaction.
- Women account for 62% of BNPL users globally.
- Average BNPL user age in UK is 34 years old.
- 70% of U.S. BNPL users have household income under $50,000.
- Black Americans use BNPL 2x more than white Americans at 24% vs 12%.
- 41% of Gen Z in Australia use BNPL monthly.
- U.S. BNPL users skew urban, 65% city dwellers.
- Average BNPL user credit score 650-700 in U.S.
- 52% of UK BNPL users are parents.
- India BNPL users 80% under 35 years old.
- Brazil BNPL users 60% female, average age 28.
- 55% of Canadian BNPL users have student debt.
- China BNPL users median income RMB 8,000/month.
- 48% of EU BNPL users rent their homes.
- U.S. Hispanic BNPL adoption 30% vs 18% non-Hispanic.
- Australia BNPL users 70% full-time employed.
- Global BNPL repeat users 75% of total base.
- 35% of U.S. BNPL users have no credit card.
- UK Gen Z BNPL spend 20% higher than average.
- 62% of French BNPL users aged 18-34.
- Germany BNPL users 55% with children under 18.
- 40% of Indian BNPL users tier-2/3 cities.
- U.S. low-income (<$25k) BNPL usage 28%.
- 50% of Brazilian BNPL users millennials.
- Canada young adults (18-24) 60% BNPL awareness.
- 45% of Chinese BNPL users students/grads.
- EU BNPL users 52% women, higher in fashion.
User Demographics Interpretation
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