GITNUXREPORT 2026

Black Death Statistics

The Black Death devastated medieval Europe as it spread rapidly via trade routes and ships.

Sarah Mitchell

Sarah Mitchell

Senior Researcher specializing in consumer behavior and market trends.

First published: Feb 13, 2026

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Key Statistics

Statistic 1

The bubonic plague form had a 30-60% fatality rate untreated

Statistic 2

Pneumonic plague fatality approached 90-100% if untreated, spreading via respiratory droplets

Statistic 3

Septicemic plague killed within 24 hours with 100% fatality without antibiotics

Statistic 4

Incubation period for bubonic plague averaged 2-6 days

Statistic 5

Characteristic buboes were painful swellings in groin, neck, or armpits, 1-10 cm diameter

Statistic 6

Fever reached 38-41°C (100.4-105.8°F) with chills and extreme fatigue

Statistic 7

Delirium and mental confusion occurred in 50% of advanced cases

Statistic 8

Gangrenous lesions on fingers, toes, nose ("black death" moniker) due to disseminated intravascular coagulation

Statistic 9

Cough with bloody sputum hallmark of pneumonic plague

Statistic 10

Yersinia pestis bacterium multiplies in flea gut, forming biofilm blocking proventriculus

Statistic 11

Human infection via flea bite introduces 10-100 bacilli, multiplying rapidly in lymph nodes

Statistic 12

Untreated bubonic plague mortality peaked at days 3-5 post-symptom onset

Statistic 13

Autopsy findings showed massive lymphadenopathy and splenic enlargement

Statistic 14

Contemporary accounts described victims turning "black" from internal hemorrhaging

Statistic 15

Plague bacilli survived in rodent populations for years between outbreaks

Statistic 16

Streptomycin treatment reduces bubonic mortality to 10%

Statistic 17

Diagnosis via PCR on bubo aspirate or blood detects Y. pestis DNA

Statistic 18

Coma and shock preceded death in 80% of septicemic cases

Statistic 19

Vomiting of blood (hematemesis) reported in 20-30% of pneumonic victims

Statistic 20

Flea vector Xenopsylla cheopis prefers rats, transmitting at 1-10% efficiency per bite

Statistic 21

Lymphadenitis caused buboes suppurating foul pus after 10-14 days in survivors

Statistic 22

Tachycardia and hypotension developed in advanced plague sepsis

Statistic 23

Post-plague survivors gained temporary immunity lasting 1-3 years

Statistic 24

Medieval physicians noted 1-3 day prodrome of malaise before buboes

Statistic 25

Plague meningitis rare but with 70% fatality, CSF pleocytosis

Statistic 26

Art production shifted to smaller scales, with panel paintings up 40%

Statistic 27

Boccaccio's Decameron (1353) immortalized plague's social breakdown

Statistic 28

Dance of Death motif appeared in 70+ artworks post-1348

Statistic 29

Antichrist prophecies surged 200% in chronicles 1347-1360

Statistic 30

University of Prague founded 1348 amid plague as imperial response

Statistic 31

Western Schism (1378) exacerbated by clergy shortages from plague losses

Statistic 32

Hours of Labor (book of hours) sales boomed, with 1,000+ manuscripts 1350-1400

Statistic 33

Plague saints like St. Rochus gained cults, with 50+ chapels by 1400

Statistic 34

Defensor pacis by Marsilius influenced anti-clericalism post-plague

Statistic 35

English alliterative poetry revival linked to post-plague vernacular shift

Statistic 36

Hundred Years' War paused 1348-1350 due to mutual depopulation

Statistic 37

Ottoman expansion aided by Byzantine plague weakening post-1347

Statistic 38

Renaissance humanism traces to intellectual migration from plague-hit Italy

Statistic 39

Chronicle of Gilles Li Muisis details 1349 mass graves in Tournai

Statistic 40

Post-plague architecture favored simpler Perpendicular Gothic styles

Statistic 41

Inquisition records show 30% drop in heresy trials 1350-1370

Statistic 42

Meister Eckhart's mysticism gained followers amid existential crisis

Statistic 43

Plague cross monuments erected in 100+ European towns by 1400

Statistic 44

Chaucer's works reflect plague survivors' pragmatism and satire

Statistic 45

Medical texts like Regimen Sanitatis Salernitanum reprinted 50% more post-1348

Statistic 46

Legacy includes modern plague control; WHO reports 1-2k cases/year globally

Statistic 47

Europe's population declined by 30-60% between 1347-1351 due to the pandemic

Statistic 48

In Florence, Italy, 60% of the population died within four months in 1348

Statistic 49

England lost 40-50% of its population, from 6 million to 3 million

Statistic 50

Paris saw 50,000 deaths in 1348-1349 out of 100,000 residents

Statistic 51

In Venice, 100,000 people died in 1348, reducing population from 120,000 to 20,000

Statistic 52

Avignon lost 75% of its clergy and half its population in 1348

Statistic 53

Hamburg's population fell from 14,000 to 6,000 in 1349-1350

Statistic 54

In Norway, up to 60% perished, with Bergen losing 70% of inhabitants

Statistic 55

Muslim world saw 30-40% mortality, with Cairo losing 40% in 1349

Statistic 56

India experienced massive losses in 1338-1339 precursor outbreaks

Statistic 57

China's population dropped from 123 million in 1200 to 65 million by 1393, partly due to plague

Statistic 58

Tuscany's population halved from 360,000 to 180,000 by 1350

Statistic 59

London's death toll estimated at 50,000 in 1349, half its population

Statistic 60

In 1348, Montpellier's university lost 25 faculty and 200 students

Statistic 61

Sicily saw 200,000-300,000 deaths starting October 1347

Statistic 62

Flanders and Brabant regions lost 30-40% of population

Statistic 63

Poland escaped major losses with only 2-5% mortality due to quarantine

Statistic 64

Bohemia's Jewish population was decimated, with 11,000 killed in pogroms amid plague

Statistic 65

Rural areas in England saw 20-30% mortality vs. 40-60% in cities

Statistic 66

Women outnumbered men post-plague by 20:1 in some English manors due to higher male mortality

Statistic 67

Clergy mortality reached 40-50% across Europe, exacerbating church crises

Statistic 68

Children under 10 had 30% higher mortality rates than adults in Mediterranean regions

Statistic 69

Overall European pre-plague population estimated at 73-80 million, post-plague 45 million

Statistic 70

Recovery took 150 years; England's population didn't reach 6 million until 1550

Statistic 71

In Basel, 14,500 deaths recorded in 1349 from a population of 16,000

Statistic 72

The Black Death first arrived in Europe via Messina, Sicily, on October 15, 1347, carried by Genoese ships from the Crimea

Statistic 73

It spread from the Crimea to Constantinople by 1347, killing Emperor John VI Kantakouzenos's son

Statistic 74

By January 1348, the plague reached Marseille, France, from Italian ships

Statistic 75

The disease moved northward through France, arriving in Paris by spring 1348

Statistic 76

In 1348, it spread to Avignon, where it killed over 50% of the population including Pope Clement VI's entourage

Statistic 77

The plague entered Germany via Hamburg and Bremen in late 1348

Statistic 78

It reached England in June 1348 at Melcombe Regis (now Weymouth), Dorset

Statistic 79

Scotland saw the plague enter in 1349 via Berwick-upon-Tweed after English invasion

Statistic 80

In 1349, it spread to Scandinavia, starting in Oslo, Norway

Statistic 81

Eastern Europe was hit later, with Poland relatively spared until 1351

Statistic 82

The plague returned in 1361 (Second Plague), affecting southern Europe again

Statistic 83

Maritime trade routes from the Black Sea facilitated the initial spread to Sicily and Italy

Statistic 84

Overland routes through the Alps connected Italy to Germany and France by mid-1348

Statistic 85

Flea-infested rats on ships were primary vectors for bubonic plague transmission across Mediterranean ports

Statistic 86

The Mongol siege of Caffa in 1346 likely catapulted plague-infected corpses over walls, seeding the pandemic

Statistic 87

From Caffa, Genoese galleys carried the plague to Constantinople in May 1347

Statistic 88

Pilgrimage routes amplified spread in France, with Chartres hit by June 1348

Statistic 89

The Rhine River valley saw rapid spread in 1349 due to trade along the river

Statistic 90

Ireland was reached in 1348 via Dublin from Bristol

Statistic 91

Iceland first experienced plague in 1402-1404 from a shipwreck, a later wave

Statistic 92

The plague front advanced at about 2-3 km per day on average in continental Europe

Statistic 93

Urban centers like Venice implemented early quarantine measures in 1347 but failed to stop spread

Statistic 94

From Spain, it crossed to North Africa by 1348, affecting Tunis severely

Statistic 95

The Baltic trade routes brought plague to Sweden in 1349-1350

Statistic 96

In the Middle East, it spread from Syria to Egypt by 1348

Statistic 97

Overall, the Black Death spread across Eurasia at speeds up to 400 km per month via human mobility networks

Statistic 98

The estimated 75-200 million deaths worldwide occurred between 1346-1353

Statistic 99

Pneumonic form spread person-to-person rapidly in winter 1348-1349 in northern Europe

Statistic 100

The plague reached Russia via Novgorod in 1352, one of the last major areas

Statistic 101

Wages for agricultural laborers in England rose 40% by 1350 due to labor shortage

Statistic 102

Real wages in Europe doubled between 1340 and 1400 post-plague

Statistic 103

Land rents in England fell 30-50% as landowners struggled to find tenants

Statistic 104

Serfdom declined sharply; by 1400, 40% fewer English peasants were unfree

Statistic 105

Sheep farming expanded in England, with wool exports rising 50% by 1370

Statistic 106

Italian city-states saw banking boom; Florentine guilds grew 20% post-1350

Statistic 107

Price of grain fell 50% in France 1350-1400 due to abandoned fields

Statistic 108

Women's workforce participation increased 20-30% in textile industries

Statistic 109

Trade disruptions caused Mediterranean shipping to drop 30% in 1348-1350

Statistic 110

English Statute of Labourers 1351 capped wages, but real enforcement failed, wages rose 100%

Statistic 111

Population recovery lag led to 25% higher per capita income by 1370

Statistic 112

Jewish expulsions from 200+ towns fueled by economic scapegoating

Statistic 113

Rural migration to cities surged 15-20%, straining urban poor relief

Statistic 114

Inheritance disputes rose 300% in English courts post-1349

Statistic 115

Craft guilds in Germany tightened entry, reducing apprentices by 40%

Statistic 116

Wine production in Bordeaux halved, exports dropped 70% 1348-1352

Statistic 117

Peasant revolts like English Peasants' Revolt 1381 linked to post-plague tensions

Statistic 118

Per capita consumption of meat doubled in 14th-century England

Statistic 119

Money supply increased via abandoned hoards, easing liquidity 20%

Statistic 120

Florence's catasto tax records show 45% population drop 1348-1351

Statistic 121

Urban luxury goods demand rose 50% as survivors spent inheritances

Statistic 122

Marriage ages dropped 3-5 years post-plague, boosting nuptiality

Statistic 123

Flagellant movements disrupted trade in Rhineland, costing merchants 10-15%

Statistic 124

Long-term GDP per capita in Europe rose 34% by 1450 vs. pre-plague

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Imagine twelve Genoese ships sailing into Messina harbor on October 15, 1347, unwittingly carrying a cargo of flea-infested rats that would unleash a catastrophic pandemic, the Black Death, reshaping Europe through unprecedented death and societal upheaval in just a few horrific years.

Key Takeaways

  • The Black Death first arrived in Europe via Messina, Sicily, on October 15, 1347, carried by Genoese ships from the Crimea
  • It spread from the Crimea to Constantinople by 1347, killing Emperor John VI Kantakouzenos's son
  • By January 1348, the plague reached Marseille, France, from Italian ships
  • Europe's population declined by 30-60% between 1347-1351 due to the pandemic
  • In Florence, Italy, 60% of the population died within four months in 1348
  • England lost 40-50% of its population, from 6 million to 3 million
  • The bubonic plague form had a 30-60% fatality rate untreated
  • Pneumonic plague fatality approached 90-100% if untreated, spreading via respiratory droplets
  • Septicemic plague killed within 24 hours with 100% fatality without antibiotics
  • Wages for agricultural laborers in England rose 40% by 1350 due to labor shortage
  • Real wages in Europe doubled between 1340 and 1400 post-plague
  • Land rents in England fell 30-50% as landowners struggled to find tenants
  • Art production shifted to smaller scales, with panel paintings up 40%
  • Boccaccio's Decameron (1353) immortalized plague's social breakdown
  • Dance of Death motif appeared in 70+ artworks post-1348

The Black Death devastated medieval Europe as it spread rapidly via trade routes and ships.

Clinical Features

  • The bubonic plague form had a 30-60% fatality rate untreated
  • Pneumonic plague fatality approached 90-100% if untreated, spreading via respiratory droplets
  • Septicemic plague killed within 24 hours with 100% fatality without antibiotics
  • Incubation period for bubonic plague averaged 2-6 days
  • Characteristic buboes were painful swellings in groin, neck, or armpits, 1-10 cm diameter
  • Fever reached 38-41°C (100.4-105.8°F) with chills and extreme fatigue
  • Delirium and mental confusion occurred in 50% of advanced cases
  • Gangrenous lesions on fingers, toes, nose ("black death" moniker) due to disseminated intravascular coagulation
  • Cough with bloody sputum hallmark of pneumonic plague
  • Yersinia pestis bacterium multiplies in flea gut, forming biofilm blocking proventriculus
  • Human infection via flea bite introduces 10-100 bacilli, multiplying rapidly in lymph nodes
  • Untreated bubonic plague mortality peaked at days 3-5 post-symptom onset
  • Autopsy findings showed massive lymphadenopathy and splenic enlargement
  • Contemporary accounts described victims turning "black" from internal hemorrhaging
  • Plague bacilli survived in rodent populations for years between outbreaks
  • Streptomycin treatment reduces bubonic mortality to 10%
  • Diagnosis via PCR on bubo aspirate or blood detects Y. pestis DNA
  • Coma and shock preceded death in 80% of septicemic cases
  • Vomiting of blood (hematemesis) reported in 20-30% of pneumonic victims
  • Flea vector Xenopsylla cheopis prefers rats, transmitting at 1-10% efficiency per bite
  • Lymphadenitis caused buboes suppurating foul pus after 10-14 days in survivors
  • Tachycardia and hypotension developed in advanced plague sepsis
  • Post-plague survivors gained temporary immunity lasting 1-3 years
  • Medieval physicians noted 1-3 day prodrome of malaise before buboes
  • Plague meningitis rare but with 70% fatality, CSF pleocytosis

Clinical Features Interpretation

In light of these chilling statistics—where one could either endure a grotesque lottery with buboes, face near-certain suffocation from a cough, or be guaranteed a swift, blackening end within a day—it is clear the Black Death operated with a grim, hierarchical efficiency, offering its victims only a menu of increasingly horrific and probable fatalities.

Cultural and Historical Legacy

  • Art production shifted to smaller scales, with panel paintings up 40%
  • Boccaccio's Decameron (1353) immortalized plague's social breakdown
  • Dance of Death motif appeared in 70+ artworks post-1348
  • Antichrist prophecies surged 200% in chronicles 1347-1360
  • University of Prague founded 1348 amid plague as imperial response
  • Western Schism (1378) exacerbated by clergy shortages from plague losses
  • Hours of Labor (book of hours) sales boomed, with 1,000+ manuscripts 1350-1400
  • Plague saints like St. Rochus gained cults, with 50+ chapels by 1400
  • Defensor pacis by Marsilius influenced anti-clericalism post-plague
  • English alliterative poetry revival linked to post-plague vernacular shift
  • Hundred Years' War paused 1348-1350 due to mutual depopulation
  • Ottoman expansion aided by Byzantine plague weakening post-1347
  • Renaissance humanism traces to intellectual migration from plague-hit Italy
  • Chronicle of Gilles Li Muisis details 1349 mass graves in Tournai
  • Post-plague architecture favored simpler Perpendicular Gothic styles
  • Inquisition records show 30% drop in heresy trials 1350-1370
  • Meister Eckhart's mysticism gained followers amid existential crisis
  • Plague cross monuments erected in 100+ European towns by 1400
  • Chaucer's works reflect plague survivors' pragmatism and satire
  • Medical texts like Regimen Sanitatis Salernitanum reprinted 50% more post-1348
  • Legacy includes modern plague control; WHO reports 1-2k cases/year globally

Cultural and Historical Legacy Interpretation

The Black Death didn't just kill people; it meticulously rearranged the entire cultural furniture of Europe, leaving behind a world where more people were praying in private chapels, laughing at satirical stories, building simpler churches, and questioning authority, all while trying to forget the sight of mass graves.

Mortality and Demographics

  • Europe's population declined by 30-60% between 1347-1351 due to the pandemic
  • In Florence, Italy, 60% of the population died within four months in 1348
  • England lost 40-50% of its population, from 6 million to 3 million
  • Paris saw 50,000 deaths in 1348-1349 out of 100,000 residents
  • In Venice, 100,000 people died in 1348, reducing population from 120,000 to 20,000
  • Avignon lost 75% of its clergy and half its population in 1348
  • Hamburg's population fell from 14,000 to 6,000 in 1349-1350
  • In Norway, up to 60% perished, with Bergen losing 70% of inhabitants
  • Muslim world saw 30-40% mortality, with Cairo losing 40% in 1349
  • India experienced massive losses in 1338-1339 precursor outbreaks
  • China's population dropped from 123 million in 1200 to 65 million by 1393, partly due to plague
  • Tuscany's population halved from 360,000 to 180,000 by 1350
  • London's death toll estimated at 50,000 in 1349, half its population
  • In 1348, Montpellier's university lost 25 faculty and 200 students
  • Sicily saw 200,000-300,000 deaths starting October 1347
  • Flanders and Brabant regions lost 30-40% of population
  • Poland escaped major losses with only 2-5% mortality due to quarantine
  • Bohemia's Jewish population was decimated, with 11,000 killed in pogroms amid plague
  • Rural areas in England saw 20-30% mortality vs. 40-60% in cities
  • Women outnumbered men post-plague by 20:1 in some English manors due to higher male mortality
  • Clergy mortality reached 40-50% across Europe, exacerbating church crises
  • Children under 10 had 30% higher mortality rates than adults in Mediterranean regions
  • Overall European pre-plague population estimated at 73-80 million, post-plague 45 million
  • Recovery took 150 years; England's population didn't reach 6 million until 1550
  • In Basel, 14,500 deaths recorded in 1349 from a population of 16,000

Mortality and Demographics Interpretation

The Black Death was a demographic guillotine that lopped off up to half of Europe in a few short years, revealing in its grim arithmetic the brutal, random, and utterly indifferent efficiency of nature when it bypasses all quarantine of decency.

Origins and Spread

  • The Black Death first arrived in Europe via Messina, Sicily, on October 15, 1347, carried by Genoese ships from the Crimea
  • It spread from the Crimea to Constantinople by 1347, killing Emperor John VI Kantakouzenos's son
  • By January 1348, the plague reached Marseille, France, from Italian ships
  • The disease moved northward through France, arriving in Paris by spring 1348
  • In 1348, it spread to Avignon, where it killed over 50% of the population including Pope Clement VI's entourage
  • The plague entered Germany via Hamburg and Bremen in late 1348
  • It reached England in June 1348 at Melcombe Regis (now Weymouth), Dorset
  • Scotland saw the plague enter in 1349 via Berwick-upon-Tweed after English invasion
  • In 1349, it spread to Scandinavia, starting in Oslo, Norway
  • Eastern Europe was hit later, with Poland relatively spared until 1351
  • The plague returned in 1361 (Second Plague), affecting southern Europe again
  • Maritime trade routes from the Black Sea facilitated the initial spread to Sicily and Italy
  • Overland routes through the Alps connected Italy to Germany and France by mid-1348
  • Flea-infested rats on ships were primary vectors for bubonic plague transmission across Mediterranean ports
  • The Mongol siege of Caffa in 1346 likely catapulted plague-infected corpses over walls, seeding the pandemic
  • From Caffa, Genoese galleys carried the plague to Constantinople in May 1347
  • Pilgrimage routes amplified spread in France, with Chartres hit by June 1348
  • The Rhine River valley saw rapid spread in 1349 due to trade along the river
  • Ireland was reached in 1348 via Dublin from Bristol
  • Iceland first experienced plague in 1402-1404 from a shipwreck, a later wave
  • The plague front advanced at about 2-3 km per day on average in continental Europe
  • Urban centers like Venice implemented early quarantine measures in 1347 but failed to stop spread
  • From Spain, it crossed to North Africa by 1348, affecting Tunis severely
  • The Baltic trade routes brought plague to Sweden in 1349-1350
  • In the Middle East, it spread from Syria to Egypt by 1348
  • Overall, the Black Death spread across Eurasia at speeds up to 400 km per month via human mobility networks
  • The estimated 75-200 million deaths worldwide occurred between 1346-1353
  • Pneumonic form spread person-to-person rapidly in winter 1348-1349 in northern Europe
  • The plague reached Russia via Novgorod in 1352, one of the last major areas

Origins and Spread Interpretation

The Black Death embarked on a gruesome grand tour of Europe, transforming trade routes into death routes and proving that no port, pilgrimage, or river valley was safe from its flea-ridden, rat-propelled itinerary.

Socioeconomic Consequences

  • Wages for agricultural laborers in England rose 40% by 1350 due to labor shortage
  • Real wages in Europe doubled between 1340 and 1400 post-plague
  • Land rents in England fell 30-50% as landowners struggled to find tenants
  • Serfdom declined sharply; by 1400, 40% fewer English peasants were unfree
  • Sheep farming expanded in England, with wool exports rising 50% by 1370
  • Italian city-states saw banking boom; Florentine guilds grew 20% post-1350
  • Price of grain fell 50% in France 1350-1400 due to abandoned fields
  • Women's workforce participation increased 20-30% in textile industries
  • Trade disruptions caused Mediterranean shipping to drop 30% in 1348-1350
  • English Statute of Labourers 1351 capped wages, but real enforcement failed, wages rose 100%
  • Population recovery lag led to 25% higher per capita income by 1370
  • Jewish expulsions from 200+ towns fueled by economic scapegoating
  • Rural migration to cities surged 15-20%, straining urban poor relief
  • Inheritance disputes rose 300% in English courts post-1349
  • Craft guilds in Germany tightened entry, reducing apprentices by 40%
  • Wine production in Bordeaux halved, exports dropped 70% 1348-1352
  • Peasant revolts like English Peasants' Revolt 1381 linked to post-plague tensions
  • Per capita consumption of meat doubled in 14th-century England
  • Money supply increased via abandoned hoards, easing liquidity 20%
  • Florence's catasto tax records show 45% population drop 1348-1351
  • Urban luxury goods demand rose 50% as survivors spent inheritances
  • Marriage ages dropped 3-5 years post-plague, boosting nuptiality
  • Flagellant movements disrupted trade in Rhineland, costing merchants 10-15%
  • Long-term GDP per capita in Europe rose 34% by 1450 vs. pre-plague

Socioeconomic Consequences Interpretation

The Black Death proved, with grim and brutal efficiency, the law of supply and demand: it slaughtered the supply of workers and thereby, against all odds, enriched the survivors who found their labor, land, and lives suddenly in very short and valuable supply.

Sources & References