Key Takeaways
- Global alternative assets under management (AUM) grew to $13.32 trillion by the end of 2022, marking a 12% increase from 2021
- Alternative AUM is projected to reach $21 trillion by 2026, driven by institutional demand
- North America holds 52% of global alternative AUM at $6.9 trillion as of 2022
- Global private equity fundraising reached $1.2 trillion in 2022, down 20% from 2021 peak
- Hedge fund net inflows were $120 billion in 2022 amid volatility
- Private credit fundraising hit $220 billion in 2022, up 25% YoY
- Global PE buyout performance net IRR averaged 15.2% for 2017-2021 vintages
- Hedge funds delivered 8.5% net return in 2022 vs -18% for S&P 500
- Private credit loans averaged 9.8% yield in 2022
- 55% of institutional investors increased alternative allocations in 2022 surveys
- Pension funds average alternative allocation rose to 14% in 2022 from 12%
- SWFs held 35% of portfolios in alternatives end-2022
- Global alternatives AUM expected to double to $23tn by 2027 at 12% CAGR
- Private credit to grow fastest at 15% CAGR to $2.7tn by 2028
- Retail access to alternatives via ETFs to reach $1tn AUM by 2030
The alternative asset management industry is rapidly growing and diversifying across global markets.
Fundraising & Capital Flows
- Global private equity fundraising reached $1.2 trillion in 2022, down 20% from 2021 peak
- Hedge fund net inflows were $120 billion in 2022 amid volatility
- Private credit fundraising hit $220 billion in 2022, up 25% YoY
- Real estate fundraising totaled $85 billion in 2022, down from $140 billion in 2021
- Infrastructure fundraising reached $115 billion in 2022, record high
- Venture capital fundraising was $250 billion in 2022, down 35% from 2021
- North America captured 55% of global PE fundraising at $660 billion in 2022
- Europe PE fundraising fell to $200 billion in 2022 from $300 billion prior year
- Asia VC fundraising dropped to $70 billion in 2022
- First-time PE funds raised $45 billion in 2022, representing 4% of total
- Mega PE funds (> $5bn) accounted for 40% of 2022 fundraising at $480 billion
- Dry powder as % of PE AUM rose to 55% in 2022
- Pension funds committed $250 billion to alternatives in 2022
- SWFs allocated $150 billion to PE and infra in 2022
- Insurance companies' alternative commitments hit $100 billion in 2022
- Retail investor inflows to alternatives via evergreen funds reached $50 billion in 2022
- Average PE fund size grew to $450 million in 2022 from $350 million in 2017
- Closed-end alternative fund launches numbered 2,500 in 2022
- Private debt fund closings averaged 180 days in 2022, down from 200 days
- GP-led secondaries fundraising surged to $35 billion in 2022, up 50%
- Continuation vehicles raised $25 billion in 2022 for PE GPs
- US endowments committed 15% more to alternatives in 2022 vs 2021
- European family offices increased alternative allocations by 10% in 2022 fundraising
- Hedge fund capacity constrained fundraising to $100 billion net in Q4 2022
- Infrastructure equity fundraising was $80 billion in 2022, 70% core/core+
- Real estate debt fundraising reached $30 billion in 2022
- VC mega-rounds (> $100m) totaled $120 billion in 2022 fundraising
- Private equity distributions to LPs were $500 billion in 2022, down 15%
Fundraising & Capital Flows Interpretation
Investment Performance
- Global PE buyout performance net IRR averaged 15.2% for 2017-2021 vintages
- Hedge funds delivered 8.5% net return in 2022 vs -18% for S&P 500
- Private credit loans averaged 9.8% yield in 2022
- Core real estate returns were 7.2% in 2022 globally
- Infrastructure funds returned 10.1% net IRR for 2018 vintage
- VC median net TVPI was 2.1x for 2018 vintages as of 2022
- PE growth equity outperformed buyout with 18% IRR in 2022 data
- Hedge fund equity strategies returned 5.2% in 2022
- Direct lending private credit DPI reached 0.85x for 2020 vintage in 2022
- Value-add real estate IRR averaged 12.5% for recent funds
- Natural resources energy funds returned 15% in 2022 amid price spikes
- Multi-strat hedge funds averaged 9% return in 2022
- PE buyout MOIC was 1.8x median for 2019 vintages end-2022
- Infrastructure core returns stabilized at 6.8% in 2022
- Late-stage VC returns hit 25% IRR for top quartile 2017 vintage
- Distressed debt strategies returned 12% in 2022 hedge funds
- Opportunistic real estate funds IRR 14.2% average 2022 data
- Private equity NAV discounts averaged 10% for listed vehicles in 2022
- Quant hedge funds underperformed with 4.5% return in 2022
- Secondaries PE transactions yielded 2.5x MOIC historically to 2022
- Core+ infrastructure DPI 0.92x for mature funds end-2022
- Biotech VC subsector IRR 20% top quartile 2016-2020 vintages
- Macro hedge funds gained 11.2% in 2022
- Private real estate total returns 8.1% US in 2022
- PE co-investment IRR averaged 17% for 2018-2021 deals
- Event-driven hedge returns 6.8% 2022
- Renewable energy infra funds returned 9.5% IRR recent vintages
- Early-stage VC median IRR -5% for 2020 vintage interim 2022
- Relative value arb hedge funds 7.1% return 2022
- Top decile PE funds IRR 25%+ for 2017 vintage end-2022
- Pension funds' alternative portfolios returned 9.2% in 2022 average
- SWFs alternative returns averaged 8.5% annualized to 2022
Investment Performance Interpretation
Investor Behavior
- 55% of institutional investors increased alternative allocations in 2022 surveys
- Pension funds average alternative allocation rose to 14% in 2022 from 12%
- SWFs held 35% of portfolios in alternatives end-2022
- Endowments/Foundations averaged 60% in alternatives in 2022
- Insurance firms allocated 8% to alternatives in 2022, up from 6%
- Family offices targeted 20% alternatives allocation in 2023 plans per 2022 survey
- 65% of HNWIs planned more alternatives exposure post-2022
- Retail platforms saw 30% YoY growth in alternative product sales in 2022
- 40% of investors sought evergreen structures for alternatives in 2022
- ESG criteria influenced 70% of LP commitments to alternatives in 2022
- Co-investments direct by LPs rose 25% to $100 billion in 2022
- 50% of LPs reported satisfaction with PE fee structures in 2022 surveys
- Separates accounts grew to 25% of institutional alternative mandates in 2022
- Asian SWFs increased US alternatives exposure by 15% in 2022
- 75% of European pensions targeted private credit growth in 2022
- US public pensions averaged 11% illiquids allocation end-2022
- 60% of investors diversified into infrastructure post-2022 inflation
- Family offices LP commitments averaged $50m per fund in 2022
- Retail alternative AUM via SMAs grew 40% to $200bn in 2022
- 45% of LPs negotiated lower fees successfully in 2022 fundraising
- Middle East SWFs committed 20% more to PE in 2022
- Canadian pensions held 25% in alternatives, highest globally
- 55% of investors prioritized liquidity terms in 2022 commitments
- HNW alternative platforms onboarded 2m new clients in 2022
- 70% of LPs conducted more due diligence on GPs in 2022
- US endowments rebalanced to 65% alternatives post-2022 losses
Investor Behavior Interpretation
Market Size & Growth
- Global alternative assets under management (AUM) grew to $13.32 trillion by the end of 2022, marking a 12% increase from 2021
- Alternative AUM is projected to reach $21 trillion by 2026, driven by institutional demand
- North America holds 52% of global alternative AUM at $6.9 trillion as of 2022
- Europe alternative AUM stood at $3.8 trillion in 2022, representing 29% of global total
- Asia-Pacific alternative AUM reached $1.6 trillion by end-2022, up 15% YoY
- Private equity AUM hit $4.5 trillion globally in 2022
- Hedge fund industry AUM grew to $4.3 trillion in 2022 despite market volatility
- Real estate alternative AUM was $1.4 trillion in 2022
- Private debt AUM expanded to $1.7 trillion by 2022
- Infrastructure assets AUM reached $1.2 trillion in 2022
- Venture capital AUM stood at $0.5 trillion globally in 2022
- Natural resources alternatives AUM was $0.62 trillion in 2022
- Alternatives dry powder reserves hit $2.9 trillion in private equity alone by 2022
- Total alternative AUM CAGR from 2017-2022 was 11.5%
- US alternative AUM share increased to 55% of global total in 2022
- Alternative AUM as percentage of total AUM rose to 15% in 2022 from 12% in 2017
- Emerging markets alternative AUM grew 18% YoY to $0.8 trillion in 2022
- Multi-alternatives strategies AUM reached $0.9 trillion in 2022
- Pension funds allocated 12% to alternatives on average in 2022, boosting AUM growth
- Sovereign wealth funds held $2.1 trillion in alternatives AUM in 2022
- Alternative AUM per capita in US was $18,000 in 2022 vs $4,000 in Europe
- Digital assets alternative AUM surged to $0.1 trillion in 2022
- ESG-focused alternative AUM grew to $0.7 trillion by 2022
- Global alternatives AUM forecast to grow at 10% CAGR to 2027
- Hedge fund AUM in Asia reached $0.6 trillion in 2022, up 14%
- Private equity AUM in Europe hit $1.6 trillion in 2022
- Real assets AUM (ex-RE) grew 13% to $1.0 trillion in 2022
- Alternatives penetration in high-net-worth portfolios reached 25% in 2022
- Total alternative managers numbered 12,500 globally in 2022
Market Size & Growth Interpretation
Regulatory & Future Trends
- Global alternatives AUM expected to double to $23tn by 2027 at 12% CAGR
- Private credit to grow fastest at 15% CAGR to $2.7tn by 2028
- Retail access to alternatives via ETFs to reach $1tn AUM by 2030
- ESG alternatives projected at $5tn by 2030, 25% of total alts
- AIFMD II to impact 20% of EU alternative fundraising from 2024
- SEC private fund rules to increase reporting burdens by 30% from 2024
- Tokenized alternatives market to hit $10tn by 2030 per projections
- GP stakes market to grow to $50bn AUM by 2027
- Evergreen funds to represent 40% of new alt launches by 2025
- AI-driven alt management to cut costs 20% by 2027
- Infrastructure AUM forecast $2tn by 2027, driven by energy transition
- VC recovery expected with $300bn fundraising in 2024
- Fee pressure to reduce alt management fees to 1.2% by 2027 from 1.5%
- Secondaries volume to triple to $200bn annually by 2027
- Digital infrastructure (data centers) to attract $500bn by 2030
- Basel IV to constrain bank lending, boosting private credit 20% growth
- UK Long-Term Asset Fund regime to unlock £50bn retail alts by 2027
- 50% of alts to be semi-liquid by 2030 via new structures
- Climate infra investments to reach $3tn cumulative by 2030
- Operational due diligence to become mandatory for 60% LPs by 2025
- Alt data usage in hedge funds to rise 40% by 2027
- PE exits to rebound to $800bn in 2024 post-2022 slowdown
- UCITS alternatives to grow to $2tn AUM by 2028 in Europe
Regulatory & Future Trends Interpretation
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