Security spending is projected to reach $225.2 billion worldwide in 2025, yet many organizations are still losing control at the authentication layer, where 33% of breaches involve improper handling of credentials. At the same time, the market for access control is expected to grow at a 12.2% CAGR from 2020 to 2027 and identity and access management software is forecast to rise to $49.03B by 2027. The gap between where budgets are headed and where incidents keep landing makes the industry statistics worth a close look.
Key Takeaways
- The physical access control market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2020 to 2025
- The access control market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.2% from 2020 to 2027
- IDC forecasts the IAM software market to grow from $26.64B in 2023 to $49.03B by 2027
- In 2023, breaches with identification and containment achieved lower costs; organizations that had a longer identification time paid more (IBM report shows the relationship between time and cost)
- In 2024, cybersecurity insurance premiums increased by 20% year over year for certain coverage types in the US (industry insurer survey)
- Aon’s cyber insurance market report (2024) estimated the cyber insurance market to reach $13.0 billion in gross written premium (market estimate in report)
- In Verizon’s DBIR 2024, 33% of breaches involved improper handling of authentication credentials (measurable category share)
- FIDO Alliance reports that phishing-resistant authentication can prevent account takeovers, including credential phishing (FIDO Technical Overview quantitative claims)
- NIST SP 800-63B defines AAL3 as requiring resistance to phishing, and prohibits common weaker authentication patterns (measurable assurance requirement)
- In 2024, 58% of respondents said they plan to adopt or expand biometric authentication in the next 12 months (Thales DIS survey result)
- In 2024, 53% of organizations said they use identity governance capabilities to manage access rights (Gartner press release citing survey results)
Access control and identity security are accelerating fast, driven by biometric and phishing resistant authentication and rising breach and insurance costs.
Related reading
01 · Category
Market Size9 stats
01
The physical access control market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2020 to 2025
02
The access control market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.2% from 2020 to 2027
03
IDC forecasts the IAM software market to grow from $26.64B in 2023 to $49.03B by 2027
04
Gartner forecasts worldwide security spending will reach $225.2 billion in 2025
05
3.8 million domain names were reported as new registrations per day globally in 2023 (volume of new domains; DNS market growth proxy)
06
1.2 billion malware samples were detected globally in 2023 (detection volume from threat telemetry)
07
53% of total data breaches in 2023 involved credentials or authentication material (category share in breach dataset)
08
14.2% of all cyber incidents in a 2023 incident dataset were classified as unauthorized access involving credentials (taxonomy share)
09
9.0% of internet traffic uses insecure authentication protocols detectable at the edge (protocol security measurement)
Interpretation
Market Size Interpretation
From 2020 to 2027, the access control market is projected to grow at a 12.2% CAGR and this expanding Market Size outlook is reinforced by rising security spend, with Gartner forecasting total worldwide security spending to reach $225.2 billion in 2025.
02 · Category
Cost Analysis4 stats
01
In 2023, breaches with identification and containment achieved lower costs; organizations that had a longer identification time paid more (IBM report shows the relationship between time and cost)
02
In 2024, cybersecurity insurance premiums increased by 20% year over year for certain coverage types in the US (industry insurer survey)
03
Aon’s cyber insurance market report (2024) estimated the cyber insurance market to reach $13.0 billion in gross written premium (market estimate in report)
04
In a 2023 Ponemon study, the average cost to replace compromised credentials for an enterprise was $1.23 million (Ponemon/industry credential risk cost figure)
Interpretation
Cost Analysis Interpretation
From a cost analysis standpoint, the data shows that every added delay in identifying and containing breaches can raise expenses, while insurance costs are climbing with US premiums up 20% year over year and the cyber insurance market projected to hit $13.0 billion in gross written premium, and the price tag for credential compromise is still steep at an average $1.23 million to replace compromised credentials.
More related reading
03 · Category
Performance Metrics6 stats
01
In Verizon’s DBIR 2024, 33% of breaches involved improper handling of authentication credentials (measurable category share)
02
FIDO Alliance reports that phishing-resistant authentication can prevent account takeovers, including credential phishing (FIDO Technical Overview quantitative claims)
03
NIST SP 800-63B defines AAL3 as requiring resistance to phishing, and prohibits common weaker authentication patterns (measurable assurance requirement)
04
NIST SP 800-207 defines least privilege and policy enforcement as core principles of zero trust, operationalized through continuous evaluation (measurable architecture guidance)
05
NIST SP 800-53 provides 200+ security controls across families (measurable control framework coverage)
06
The NIST NVD records over 140,000 software vulnerabilities (as of the NVD dataset total count) affecting security patching needs
Interpretation
Performance Metrics Interpretation
Performance metrics in access control security are increasingly dominated by authentication assurance and patch pressure, with 33% of breaches tied to improper handling of credentials and NVD documenting over 140,000 software vulnerabilities that directly drive the need for continuous hardening.
04 · Category
User Adoption2 stats
01
In 2024, 58% of respondents said they plan to adopt or expand biometric authentication in the next 12 months (Thales DIS survey result)
02
In 2024, 53% of organizations said they use identity governance capabilities to manage access rights (Gartner press release citing survey results)
Interpretation
User Adoption Interpretation
For user adoption, momentum is clear as 58% of respondents plan to adopt or expand biometric authentication within 12 months and 53% of organizations already use identity governance capabilities to manage access rights.
Reference
Cite This Report
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APA
Marcus Afolabi. (2026, February 13). Access Control Security Industry Statistics. Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/access-control-security-industry-statistics
MLA
Marcus Afolabi. "Access Control Security Industry Statistics." Gitnux, 13 Feb 2026, https://gitnux.org/access-control-security-industry-statistics.
Chicago
Marcus Afolabi. 2026. "Access Control Security Industry Statistics." Gitnux. https://gitnux.org/access-control-security-industry-statistics.
Sources & references
21 datasets cited across this report · attribution is report-level
+4 additional datasets cited (not shown individually)