Key Takeaways
- U.S. pay-TV households declined by 5.9 million in 2022
- Cable subscribers dropped by 1.2 million in Q4 2023
- Traditional MVPDs lost 6.5 million subs in 2023
- Netflix added 13.1M subs in 2023
- Disney+ reached 150M global subs by Q4 2023
- Hulu subs grew to 48M in 2023
- 28.8% of U.S. adults cut cord in past year 2023
- 59 million Americans canceled pay-TV in 2023
- Cord cutting rate accelerated to 4.3% in 2023
- U.S. streaming market $50B in 2023
- Pay-TV revenue down to $90B from $110B peak
- Streaming share of TV time 38% in 2023
- Households save $986/year cutting cord
- Average pay-TV bill $217/month 2023
- Streaming average $55/month per service
Traditional pay-TV is rapidly shrinking as streaming services win over viewers.
Cord Cutting Rates
- 28.8% of U.S. adults cut cord in past year 2023
- 59 million Americans canceled pay-TV in 2023
- Cord cutting rate accelerated to 4.3% in 2023
- 50% of Gen Z never had cable
- 77% of cord cutters save $100+/month
- Cord cutters increased 20% YoY in 2023
- 65% of households cord cut by 2025 forecast
- Millennials lead cord cutting at 45% rate
- Rural cord cutting up 15% in 2023
- Sports fans cord cut less, 30% rate
- 40% of cord cutters return within a year
- Cord shaving (downgrade) 25% of cutters
- Pandemic boosted cord cutting 10%
- 33% of U.S. homes pure streaming only 2023
- Cord cutting households grew to 81.7M
- Average cord cutter age 42, down from 50
- Hispanic households cut cord at 35% rate
- 70% cite cost as reason for cutting
- Cord cutting peaks in summer months
- 15% annual cord cutting growth 2020-2023
- vMVPDs attract 20% of new cutters
- 25% of broadband homes cut cord 2023
- Cord cutting slowed to 3% in Q4 2023
Cord Cutting Rates Interpretation
Economic Impacts
- Households save $986/year cutting cord
- Average pay-TV bill $217/month 2023
- Streaming average $55/month per service
- Cord cutters save 40% on entertainment
- Pay-TV industry lost $20B revenue 2019-2023
- Streaming revenue $28B US 2023, up 12%
- Job losses in cable 50k since 2019
- Price hikes 5% annual on cable
- 70% cut due to rising costs over $100/mo
- Broadband costs rose 3% with cord cutting
- Sports streaming premiums add $20/mo
- Ad revenue shift $5B from linear to CTV
- Cable capex down 15% post-cord cutting
- Household entertainment budget streaming 25%
- Netflix profitability $5B net income 2023
- Pay-TV EBITDA margins squeezed 20%
- 60% of cutters report satisfaction
- Market consolidation saves $2B costs
- Free ad-supported TV saves $30/mo avg
- Total addressable video market $150B
- Cord cutting boosts broadband subs 10M
Economic Impacts Interpretation
Market Shifts
- U.S. streaming market $50B in 2023
- Pay-TV revenue down to $90B from $110B peak
- Streaming share of TV time 38% in 2023
- Cable share drops to 30% of viewing
- FAST channels revenue $1.5B in 2023
- vMVPD market share 12% of pay-TV
- Ad-supported streaming up 50% revenue
- Hybrid homes (pay-TV + streaming) 40%
- Broadcast TV share 20%, down 5% YoY
- Sports streaming captures 25% rights
- Global streaming overtakes pay-TV 2023
- U.S. TV ad spend shifts 15% to streaming
- Cable networks viewership down 12%
- Netflix 8% of all TV viewing US
- YouTube 10% TV time share
- Linear TV declining 5% annually
- CTV ad market $30B by 2025
- Pay-TV ARPU down 4% to $110/month
- Streaming bundles rise to 25% adoption
- Regional sports networks collapsing
- 45% of TV consumption streaming only
- Average household streaming spend $60/month
- Cable bundles eroding 10% market
Market Shifts Interpretation
Pay-TV Losses
- U.S. pay-TV households declined by 5.9 million in 2022
- Cable subscribers dropped by 1.2 million in Q4 2023
- Traditional MVPDs lost 6.5 million subs in 2023
- Pay-TV penetration fell to 68.7 million households by Q3 2023
- Satellite TV subs decreased by 800,000 in 2022
- Comcast lost 2.3 million video subs from 2019-2023
- Charter lost 1.4 million video customers in 2023
- DirecTV subs fell by 3 million since 2019
- U.S. cable penetration dropped to 42% in 2023
- Pay-TV households at 77.6 million in Q2 2023, down 7%
- 2023 saw 5.3 million net pay-TV losses
- Virtual MVPDs still net positive but slowing
- Traditional pay-TV lost 1.5 million in H1 2023
- Dish Network video subs down 1.7 million YOY
- Altice USA lost 300k video subs in 2023
- WOW! lost 100k video customers in 2022
- Pay-TV churn rate hit 2.8% in 2023
- 55% of U.S. homes cord-cut by 2023
- Multichannel video subs at 70 million in 2023
- Cable MSO video revenue down 10% in 2023
- Pay-TV households projected to 65M by 2025
- Q1 2023 pay-TV loss of 1.3M subs
- Verizon Fios video subs down 400k
- AT&T video subs plummeted post-DirecTV spin
- Cox video losses accelerated in 2023
- Pay-TV market contraction 8% annually
- 2022 pay-TV subs at 82M, down from 100M peak
Pay-TV Losses Interpretation
Streaming Growth
- Netflix added 13.1M subs in 2023
- Disney+ reached 150M global subs by Q4 2023
- Hulu subs grew to 48M in 2023
- Amazon Prime Video at 200M global users
- Max (HBO Max) hit 97M subs post-merger
- Peacock added 7M paid subs in 2023
- Paramount+ reached 60M subs globally
- Apple TV+ subs estimated at 25M
- YouTube Premium 100M subs in 2023
- Sling TV grew to 2.2M subs
- FuboTV subs at 1.5M by end 2023
- Philo subs reached 800k
- Vudu (Fandango at Home) 50M users
- Tubi FAST viewers 74M MAUs
- Pluto TV 80M MAUs in 2023
- Roku Channel 80M users
- Amazon Freevee 200M streams/month
- Disney bundle (D+/Hulu/ESPN) 5M signups
- Netflix ad-tier 15M subs in 6 months
- U.S. streaming subs total 1.1B by household
- vMVPD subs reached 14M in 2023
- Global OTT subs to hit 1.8B by 2027
- 85% of U.S. broadband homes have streaming
- Average U.S. home subscribes to 5.1 SVODs
- 38% annual growth in streaming revenue 2019-2023
- Discovery+ merged into Max, boosting subs 20%
- Spotify video podcasts drive subs up 15%
- Tidal music streaming subs steady at 3M
Streaming Growth Interpretation
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