Key Takeaways
- In 2023, the United States saw approximately 1,450,000 vehicle repossessions, a 23% increase from the previous year driven by rising interest rates.
- During Q4 2022, subprime auto loan repossessions totaled 378,000 units nationwide.
- From January to September 2023, repossessions climbed to 1,092,000 vehicles, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 15%.
- Serious delinquency rate for auto loans hit 1.68% in Q4 2023, up from 1.02% in Q4 2022.
- Subprime auto delinquency rate reached 5.37% in Q1 2024.
- Prime borrower delinquency for autos was 0.45% in 2023 average.
- Vehicle repossessions contributed to $15.6 billion in losses for lenders in 2023.
- Average loss per repossessed vehicle was $18,500 in 2023 auctions.
- Repo-related charge-offs for banks totaled $12.4 billion in 2023.
- In Texas, 2023 vehicle repossessions totaled 185,000, highest in the nation.
- California reported 142,000 car repos in 2023, up 19% from 2022.
- Florida's repo rate per capita led at 12.3 per 1,000 residents in 2023.
- 42% of repossessions in 2023 involved borrowers aged 25-34 years old.
- Subprime credit scores below 600 dominated 68% of repo cases in 2023.
- Women comprised 41% of repo-impacted borrowers in 2023 data.
Rising interest rates drove a sharp increase in US vehicle repossessions in 2023.
Borrower and Lender Data
- 42% of repossessions in 2023 involved borrowers aged 25-34 years old.
- Subprime credit scores below 600 dominated 68% of repo cases in 2023.
- Women comprised 41% of repo-impacted borrowers in 2023 data.
- African American borrowers faced repos at 2.1x rate of white borrowers in 2023.
- Average borrower income at repo was $38,500 annually in 2023.
- 55% of repos were from buy-here-pay-here lenders in 2023.
- Single-parent households represented 29% of repo victims in 2023.
- Lenders repossessed from gig workers 18% of cases in 2023.
- Average loan-to-value ratio at repo was 135% in 2023.
- 62% of borrowers had multiple delinquencies before repo in 2023.
- Hispanic borrowers made up 24% of national repo totals in 2023.
- Credit unions handled 15% of repos despite 22% market share in 2023.
- Borrowers with children under 18 were 47% more likely to be repossessed in 2023.
- Average borrower FICO at origination for repo loans was 582 in 2023.
- Non-prime lenders (601-660 scores) saw 28% repo rate in 2023.
- Veterans comprised 11% of repo borrowers in 2023 VA studies.
- 35% of repos involved refinanced loans in 2023.
- Female-headed households had 1.4x repo rate in 2023.
- Banks originated 40% of loans that ended in repo in 2023.
- Borrowers in service jobs had 2.3x repo likelihood in 2023.
- Average debt-to-income ratio for repo'd borrowers was 48% in 2023.
- Online lenders contributed 12% to repo volume in 2023.
- Gen Z borrowers (18-24) saw repo rates triple to 4.1% in 2023.
Borrower and Lender Data Interpretation
Delinquency Rates
- Serious delinquency rate for auto loans hit 1.68% in Q4 2023, up from 1.02% in Q4 2022.
- Subprime auto delinquency rate reached 5.37% in Q1 2024.
- Prime borrower delinquency for autos was 0.45% in 2023 average.
- 60+ day delinquency for new auto loans climbed to 1.12% in 2023.
- Used vehicle delinquency rate averaged 2.15% throughout 2023.
- Millennials showed 3.2% auto delinquency rate in 2023 surveys.
- Q3 2023 saw delinquency rates peak at 1.85% for all auto loans.
- Buy-here-pay-here lots reported 12.4% delinquency in 2023.
- EV auto loan delinquencies were 1.9% higher than gas vehicles in 2023.
- 90+ day delinquencies for subprime autos hit 4.2% in late 2023.
- Credit union auto delinquencies averaged 0.98% in 2023.
- Regional delinquency highest in South at 2.3% for autos in 2023.
- Post-COVID delinquency recovery stalled at 1.5% national average in 2023.
- Luxury auto delinquencies rose to 0.72% in Q4 2023.
- Average days past due before repo was 92 days in 2023 studies.
- Superprime segment delinquency steady at 0.22% through 2023.
- Hispanic borrowers' auto delinquency rate was 2.8% in 2023.
- 2023 average delinquency for leases was 0.65%, lower than purchases.
- Bank auto loan delinquencies averaged 1.4% in 2023.
- Delinquency rates doubled for loans originated in 2022 by Q4 2023.
- Women borrowers had 1.7% auto delinquency vs 1.5% for men in 2023.
- Rural areas showed 2.5% delinquency compared to 1.2% urban in 2023.
- Average monthly payments over $700 correlated with 3.1% delinquency in 2023.
- Q1 2024 delinquency forecast at 1.95% based on 2023 trends.
- Captive lenders like Toyota Finance saw 1.1% delinquency in 2023.
Delinquency Rates Interpretation
Economic Impact
- Vehicle repossessions contributed to $15.6 billion in losses for lenders in 2023.
- Average loss per repossessed vehicle was $18,500 in 2023 auctions.
- Repo-related charge-offs for banks totaled $12.4 billion in 2023.
- Subprime lenders absorbed 70% of $22 billion total auto loan losses in 2023.
- Consumer spending dropped 2.1% in households hit by repo in 2023 surveys.
- Repo auctions generated $25 billion in wholesale sales volume in 2023.
- Negative equity in repossessed vehicles averaged $9,200 per unit in 2023.
- Repo industry employed 45,000 workers, generating $4.5 billion in wages in 2023.
- Auto loan ABS market saw spreads widen 150 bps due to repo risks in 2023.
- Households losing cars to repo saw 18% income drop post-event in 2023 data.
- Lender recovery rates from repo sales averaged 52% of loan balance in 2023.
- Repo surge added 0.3% to CPI vehicle price inflation in 2023.
- Small banks reported $2.1 billion in auto charge-offs from repos in 2023.
- Used car prices rose 8% due to increased repo supply in late 2023.
- Repo-related bankruptcies increased by 14% to 420,000 filings in 2023.
- Credit unions faced $1.8 billion in repo losses, 25% up from 2022.
- Average repo legal fees per case were $1,250 in 2023.
- Repo events correlated with 22% higher unemployment claims in affected areas 2023.
- Total economic cost of auto repos estimated at $35 billion including indirect effects in 2023.
- Insurance claims from repo damages averaged $2,800 per vehicle in 2023.
- Repo supply boosted dealer inventories by 15%, lowering retail margins to 8.2% in 2023.
- Gig economy drivers faced $450 million in lost earnings from repos in 2023.
- Repo risk premium added 1.2% to new auto loan APRs in 2023.
- Long-term GDP drag from repo cycles estimated at 0.1% annually in 2023 models.
- Repo hotspots saw housing foreclosures rise 11% in 2023.
Economic Impact Interpretation
Regional Statistics
- In Texas, 2023 vehicle repossessions totaled 185,000, highest in the nation.
- California reported 142,000 car repos in 2023, up 19% from 2022.
- Florida's repo rate per capita led at 12.3 per 1,000 residents in 2023.
- Illinois saw 78,000 repossessions amid manufacturing layoffs in 2023.
- Georgia recorded 92,000 repos, driven by Atlanta metro defaults.
- Ohio's repo volume hit 65,000 in 2023, up 22% YoY.
- Michigan had 58,000 repossessions linked to auto industry slowdowns in 2023.
- Pennsylvania reported 72,000 repos in 2023.
- North Carolina's rate was 9.8 per 1,000 loans in 2023.
- Indiana saw 49,000 repossessions in 2023.
- Louisiana led South with 11.2% repo rate on subprime loans in 2023.
- Kentucky reported 38,000 repos amid coal decline in 2023.
- Alabama's Birmingham area had 22,000 repos in 2023.
- Tennessee saw 55,000 repossessions in 2023.
- Missouri's St. Louis posted 28,000 repos in 2023.
- Oklahoma reported 41,000 vehicle repossessions in 2023.
- South Carolina had 10.5 per 1,000 delinquency-to-repo rate in 2023.
- Arkansas saw 32,000 repos in rural-heavy state 2023.
- Mississippi's repo per capita was highest at 13.4 in 2023.
- West Virginia reported 18,000 repos tied to opioid crisis in 2023.
- New Mexico had 19,000 repossessions in 2023.
- Nevada's Las Vegas saw 25,000 repos from tourism slump 2023.
- Arizona reported 48,000 vehicle repossessions in 2023.
Regional Statistics Interpretation
Repossession Volume
- In 2023, the United States saw approximately 1,450,000 vehicle repossessions, a 23% increase from the previous year driven by rising interest rates.
- During Q4 2022, subprime auto loan repossessions totaled 378,000 units nationwide.
- From January to September 2023, repossessions climbed to 1,092,000 vehicles, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 15%.
- In 2021, only 896,000 cars were repossessed due to COVID-19 forbearance programs.
- Q1 2024 recorded 412,000 repossessions, the highest quarterly figure since 2010.
- Annual repossessions in 2019 stood at 1,230,000 before the pandemic slowdown.
- In 2022, repossession notices sent reached 2.1 million, with 65% leading to actual seizures.
- Midwest region reported 285,000 repossessions in 2023, up 18% year-over-year.
- Luxury vehicle repossessions increased by 35% to 45,000 units in 2023.
- Electric vehicle repossessions hit 12,500 in 2023, a 150% surge from 2021.
- Q2 2023 saw 365,000 repossessions amid inflation pressures.
- Commercial fleet repossessions totaled 78,000 vehicles in 2023.
- Subprime borrowers accounted for 1,120,000 repossessions in 2023.
- Repo auctions processed 1,350,000 vehicles in 2023 across major platforms.
- 2023 holiday season repossessions spiked to 110,000 in December alone.
- First-time repossessions for new loans reached 250,000 within 12 months in 2023.
- Repo recovery teams handled 1,600,000 assignments in 2023.
- Used car repossessions outnumbered new cars 4:1 at 1,160,000 in 2023.
- Bankruptcies led to 320,000 repossessions in 2023.
- Q3 2023 repossessions totaled 398,000, up 25% from Q3 2022.
- In 2023, 60-90 day delinquent loans resulted in 890,000 repossessions.
- Repo hotspots like Houston saw 45,000 cases in 2023.
- National average repossessions per 1,000 loans was 28.5 in 2023.
- Captive finance repossessions by GM and Ford hit 210,000 combined in 2023.
- Skip tracing success rate led to 75% of 1.9 million repo orders fulfilled in 2023.
- Post-forbearance repossessions surged to 550,000 in late 2022.
- 2023 total repossessed vehicle miles driven by recovery agents: 150 million.
- Repo-related evictions correlated with 180,000 cases in 2023.
- Annual growth in repossessions projected at 12% for 2024 to 1.6 million.
- 30% of 2023 repossessions involved vehicles under 3 years old.
Repossession Volume Interpretation
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