Key Takeaways
- Approximately 35,730 new cases of multiple myeloma (a bone marrow cancer) are expected to be diagnosed in the US in 2024.
- Multiple myeloma accounts for about 1.6% of all new cancer cases and 10% of hematologic malignancies in the US.
- The lifetime risk of developing multiple myeloma is about 0.8% (1 in 132) for American men and women.
- Family history increases multiple myeloma risk by 2-4 fold.
- African American race is associated with 2x higher risk of multiple myeloma.
- Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) precedes 1% per year to multiple myeloma.
- About 50% of patients experience bone pain at diagnosis.
- Anemia is present in 70% of multiple myeloma patients at diagnosis.
- High levels of M protein detected in blood or urine in 97% of cases.
- Stem cell transplant is used in 50-60% of eligible patients under 70.
- Bortezomib-based regimens achieve 80% response rate.
- Lenalidomide maintenance extends PFS by 50% post-transplant.
- 5-year OS for transplant-eligible is 60%.
- Median OS for multiple myeloma is 71 months currently.
- 5-year relative survival rate is 59.8% overall.
Multiple myeloma is a relatively common bone marrow cancer with varying global risk factors.
Incidence and Prevalence
- Approximately 35,730 new cases of multiple myeloma (a bone marrow cancer) are expected to be diagnosed in the US in 2024.
- Multiple myeloma accounts for about 1.6% of all new cancer cases and 10% of hematologic malignancies in the US.
- The lifetime risk of developing multiple myeloma is about 0.8% (1 in 132) for American men and women.
- In 2020, there were an estimated 176,404 people living with multiple myeloma in the US.
- Globally, multiple myeloma incidence is around 160,000 new cases per year.
- Age-adjusted incidence rate of multiple myeloma in the US is 7.1 per 100,000 people.
- Multiple myeloma is more common in men than women (incidence rate 8.6 vs 6.0 per 100,000).
- African Americans have nearly twice the risk of multiple myeloma compared to whites (14.2 vs 7.0 per 100,000).
- Median age at diagnosis for multiple myeloma is 69 years.
- Multiple myeloma represents 1.8% of all new cancer cases in the US.
- In Europe, the age-standardized incidence rate for multiple myeloma is 5.5 per 100,000.
- Prevalence of multiple myeloma in the US has increased by 144% from 1990 to 2020.
- Annual incidence of multiple myeloma in the UK is about 5,800 cases.
- Multiple myeloma incidence in Asia is lower at 1-2 per 100,000 compared to 4-7 in Western countries.
- In Australia, 2,016 new cases of multiple myeloma were diagnosed in 2022.
- Multiple myeloma is the 14th most common cancer worldwide.
- Incidence rate of multiple myeloma increases with age, peaking at 40 per 100,000 in those over 85.
- About 12,660 deaths from multiple myeloma expected in the US in 2024.
- Mortality rate for multiple myeloma in the US is 2.6 per 100,000.
- Multiple myeloma prevalence in Canada is about 20 per 100,000.
- In India, multiple myeloma accounts for 1% of all malignancies.
- US incidence of multiple myeloma rose 3.3% annually from 2014-2018.
- Multiple myeloma is diagnosed in about 7 per 100,000 men annually in the US.
- Global 5-year prevalence of multiple myeloma is 513,880 cases.
- In Japan, multiple myeloma incidence is 3.5 per 100,000.
- Multiple myeloma comprises 10-15% of hematologic cancers in the US.
- Estimated 160,069 new multiple myeloma cases worldwide in 2020.
- Incidence in Hispanic populations is 6.4 per 100,000 in the US.
- Multiple myeloma mortality has declined 1.6% per year from 2013-2022.
- About 1,718 new cases in England in 2017-2019.
- Acute myeloid leukemia (AML), a bone marrow cancer, has 20,380 new US cases in 2024.
- AML incidence rate 4.1 per 100,000 US population.
- Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) 18,740 new cases US 2024.
- Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) affecting marrow in 80,620 new cases US 2024.
Incidence and Prevalence Interpretation
Risk Factors and Etiology
- Family history increases multiple myeloma risk by 2-4 fold.
- African American race is associated with 2x higher risk of multiple myeloma.
- Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) precedes 1% per year to multiple myeloma.
- Obesity (BMI >30) increases multiple myeloma risk by 11%.
- Exposure to radiation increases risk, as seen in atomic bomb survivors.
- Older age (>65) is the strongest risk factor for multiple myeloma.
- Male sex has 1.5x higher risk than females for multiple myeloma.
- Chronic exposure to pesticides doubles multiple myeloma risk.
- First-degree relatives have 3.4x increased risk.
- Smoking is not strongly linked, but heavy smoking may increase risk by 10-20%.
- Working in agriculture increases risk by 1.5-2x.
- MGUS risk of progression to myeloma is 1% per year overall.
- High-risk MGUS progresses at 5-10% per year.
- Obesity linked to 20% higher risk in meta-analysis.
- Exposure to benzene associated with 2-3x risk.
- Genetic factors account for 15-20% of multiple myeloma heritability.
- Low vitamin D levels may increase risk by 1.5x.
- Firefighting occupation linked to 1.6x risk.
- Sickle cell trait carriers have higher risk in African Americans.
- Asbestos exposure mildly increases risk (OR 1.4).
- Hyperinsulinemia associated with 2x risk.
- 40% of multiple myeloma patients have MGUS history.
- Hair dyes (dark) use increases risk by 1.5x in women.
- Chronic inflammation from autoimmune diseases raises risk.
- Alcohol consumption shows inverse association (20% lower risk).
- Physical activity reduces risk by 25-30%.
Risk Factors and Etiology Interpretation
Survival Rates and Prognosis
- 5-year OS for transplant-eligible is 60%.
- Median OS for multiple myeloma is 71 months currently.
- 5-year relative survival rate is 59.8% overall.
- High-risk cytogenetics (del17p) have median OS 36 months.
- Stage I (ISS) 5-year survival 82%.
- Stage III (ISS) 5-year survival 40%.
- Post-relapse survival improving to 40 months median.
- R-ISS stage III has 3-year OS of 56%.
- Triple-class refractory median OS 11.1 months.
- With CAR-T, median PFS 13.3 months.
- Elderly (>75) 5-year survival 47%.
- African Americans have similar survival to whites after adjustments.
- Median OS improved from 4.4 to 8.6 years 2000-2019.
- t(4;14) translocation worsens OS to 48 months.
- Gain(1q) present in 40%, reduces PFS by 20 months.
- MRD negativity predicts >80% 5-year PFS.
- Penta-refractory OS 5.4 months with selinexor.
- 10-year OS 35% for standard risk.
- Renal failure at diagnosis halves median survival.
- Bispecific antibodies extend OS to 15 months in RRMM.
- Localized disease (rare) 5-year survival 75%.
- Distant mets (most) 5-year survival 59%.
- Overall survival doubled in last 20 years due to novel agents.
- Median PFS first line 35 months with quadruplet therapy.
- In 2023 estimates, 12,660 deaths project 5-year survival improvements.
- Regional stage 5-year survival 74%.
- Hypodiploidy linked to 50% reduced OS.
- With maintenance, PFS >50 months post-ASCT.
- Overall 10-year survival 42% in recent cohorts.
Survival Rates and Prognosis Interpretation
Symptoms and Diagnosis
- About 50% of patients experience bone pain at diagnosis.
- Anemia is present in 70% of multiple myeloma patients at diagnosis.
- High levels of M protein detected in blood or urine in 97% of cases.
- Bone lesions found in 80% via skeletal survey or MRI.
- Hypercalcemia occurs in 25% of patients at diagnosis.
- Renal insufficiency in 50% of newly diagnosed patients.
- Fatigue reported by 60-70% of patients.
- Serum protein electrophoresis detects monoclonal protein in 82%.
- Urine protein electrophoresis positive in 75%.
- Bone marrow plasmacytosis >10% in 90% of cases.
- CRAB features (hyperCalcemia, Renal failure, Anemia, Bone lesions) in 75% at diagnosis.
- Back pain in 58% due to fractures or lesions.
- Free light chain assay abnormal in 97% of patients.
- PET/CT detects lesions with 90% sensitivity.
- Weight loss in 40% of advanced cases.
- Infections occur in 10-15% due to immune suppression.
- Neurological symptoms from cord compression in 5-10%.
- Beta-2 microglobulin >3.5 mg/L indicates advanced disease in 60%.
- LDH elevated in 40% correlating with poor prognosis.
- Flow cytometry shows clonal plasma cells in 95% of marrow samples.
- MRI shows marrow infiltration in 90% of symptomatic patients.
- Biopsy confirms diagnosis in 100% with adequate sample.
- Amyloidosis associated in 10-15% of cases.
- Cytogenetic abnormalities detected in 40-50% via FISH.
- Frequent infections like pneumonia in 20% at presentation.
- Pathologic fractures in 30% within first year.
Symptoms and Diagnosis Interpretation
Treatment Options and Efficacy
- Stem cell transplant is used in 50-60% of eligible patients under 70.
- Bortezomib-based regimens achieve 80% response rate.
- Lenalidomide maintenance extends PFS by 50% post-transplant.
- Daratumumab added to VRd improves CR rate to 42% vs 32%.
- CAR-T therapy (idecabtagene vicleucel) achieves 73% ORR in relapsed patients.
- Bisphosphonates reduce skeletal events by 50%.
- Radiation therapy used for palliation in 20-30% of patients.
- Proteasome inhibitors effective in 70% of newly diagnosed.
- IMiDs like pomalidomide have 30% response in refractory disease.
- Selinexor + dexamethasone 26% ORR in penta-refractory patients.
- Autologous SCT improves OS by 12 months median.
- Teclistamab (bispecific) 63% ORR in relapsed/refractory.
- Denosumab non-inferior to zoledronate, reduces renal toxicity.
- Quadruplet therapy (Dara-VRd) PFS not reached vs 41 months.
- 90% of patients receive immunomodulators in first line.
- BCMA-targeted therapies in 50% of triple-class refractory.
- Erythropoietin corrects anemia in 60%.
- Plasmapheresis used in 10% for hyperviscosity.
- Allogeneic SCT in 5% high-risk cases, GVHD in 40%.
- Elranatamab 61% ORR in heavily pretreated.
Treatment Options and Efficacy Interpretation
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