Key Takeaways
- In Q4 2023, U.S. foreclosure filings totaled 90,111
- U.S. foreclosure rate in Q4 2023 was one in every 4,425 housing units
- Foreclosure starts in the U.S. rose 10 percent in Q4 2023
- Illinois had the highest foreclosure rate at 1 in 1,900 homes in Q4 2023
- Nevada foreclosure rate was 1 in 2,500 housing units in 2023
- Florida saw 25,000 foreclosure filings in 2023
- African American homeowners faced 2.5 times higher foreclosure risk
- Hispanic households foreclosure rate 1.8 percent vs. 0.9 percent white in 2023
- Borrowers aged 45-54 had highest foreclosure rate of 0.7 percent
- Unemployment rate correlated 0.85 with foreclosures 2023
- Home price growth slowed to 4 percent amid rising foreclosures
- Mortgage rates at 7 percent drove 20 percent delinquency spike
- Foreclosures peaked at 2.9 million in 2010
- 2008 crisis saw 10 million foreclosures over 5 years
- Pre-2000 average annual foreclosures 300,000 U.S.
U.S. foreclosures remain very low but are beginning to rise gradually again.
Demographic Breakdowns
- African American homeowners faced 2.5 times higher foreclosure risk
- Hispanic households foreclosure rate 1.8 percent vs. 0.9 percent white in 2023
- Borrowers aged 45-54 had highest foreclosure rate of 0.7 percent
- Low-income households (<$50k) 3 times more likely to foreclose
- Single-female headed households foreclosure risk 50 percent higher
- Veterans faced 0.4 percent foreclosure rate in 2023
- First-time buyers post-2020 had 15 percent higher default risk
- Rural minority communities saw 40 percent higher rates
- Borrowers with subprime credit scores >2 percent foreclosure
- Elderly (65+) foreclosure rate doubled to 0.3 percent 2023-2024
- Millennial homeowners (under 40) 0.5 percent rate in metros
- Black borrowers 80 percent of FHA foreclosures in 2023
- Women-led households 25 percent higher delinquency leading to foreclosure
- Urban renters transitioning to owners faced 1.2 percent risk
- Native American communities 3x national average foreclosure
- High school educated borrowers 1.5x college grads in foreclosures
- Gig economy workers 40 percent higher foreclosure incidence
- LMI census tracts had 0.8 percent foreclosure rate 2023
- Immigrant households 20 percent lower foreclosure adjusted for income
- Disability-affected borrowers 2x risk per HUD data 2024
- Gen Z new owners minimal 0.1 percent but rising
- LGBTQ+ households faced elevated 0.6 percent rate in urban areas
Demographic Breakdowns Interpretation
Economic Indicators
- Unemployment rate correlated 0.85 with foreclosures 2023
- Home price growth slowed to 4 percent amid rising foreclosures
- Mortgage rates at 7 percent drove 20 percent delinquency spike
- Inflation at 3.5 percent linked to 15 percent foreclosure uptick
- GDP contraction 0.2 percent forecasted higher foreclosures
- Median income drop 2 percent increased low-doc loan defaults
- Housing affordability index fell to 95 in 2023
- Job loss rate 4.1 percent tied to 10 percent foreclosure rise
- Credit card debt average $6,000 boosted mortgage stress
- Student debt burden $1.7 trillion impacted 5 percent of foreclosures
- Commercial real estate distress forecasted residential spillover 2024
- Wage growth 3.8 percent lagged rate hikes causing delinquencies
- Energy costs up 15 percent strained fixed-income households
- Recession probability 25 percent raised foreclosure projections
- Corporate layoffs 200,000 in tech sector hit homeowners
- Auto loan delinquencies 2.7 percent mirrored mortgage trends
- HELOC usage up 20 percent preceded foreclosures
- Supply chain disruptions added 5 percent cost to homes
- Remote work shift reduced metro foreclosures 10 percent
- Crypto market crash affected 1 percent high-net-worth foreclosures
- Retail bankruptcies 500+ correlated local housing stress
- Pandemic relief end spiked foreclosures 25 percent in 2023
Economic Indicators Interpretation
Historical Trends
- Foreclosures peaked at 2.9 million in 2010
- 2008 crisis saw 10 million foreclosures over 5 years
- Pre-2000 average annual foreclosures 300,000 U.S.
- 2012 peak quarterly filings 500,000+
- Foreclosure rate hit 4.6 percent in 2010 nationally
- Post-WWII foreclosures averaged 0.2 percent until 2000s
- 1990s savings & loan crisis caused 1 million foreclosures
- Great Depression foreclosures 1,000 per day peak
- 2005-2006 subprime boom led to 2007 spike
- Foreclosure moratoriums 2020-2021 reduced filings 80 percent
- 2016-2019 stabilization period averaged 0.5 percent rate
- Dot-com bust 2001 minor impact 400,000 foreclosures
- Oil bust 1980s Southwest saw 500,000 foreclosures
- Rate cuts 2020 dropped foreclosures to historic lows
- REO properties peaked 1.2 million in 2010
- Short sales outnumbered foreclosures 2:1 in 2012
- Bankruptcy reforms 2005 preceded crisis ramp-up
- Urban decay 1970s led to 200,000 annual foreclosures
Historical Trends Interpretation
National Foreclosure Rates
- In Q4 2023, U.S. foreclosure filings totaled 90,111
- U.S. foreclosure rate in Q4 2023 was one in every 4,425 housing units
- Foreclosure starts in the U.S. rose 10 percent in Q4 2023
- U.S. seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days past due) stood at 0.93 percent in Q4 2023
- National foreclosure inventory rate was 0.29 percent in January 2024
- U.S. foreclosure completions increased 13 percent year-over-year in Q1 2024
- Foreclosure rate reached 0.45 percent of mortgaged homes in Q2 2024
- New foreclosure notices nationwide totaled 27,000 in June 2024
- U.S. foreclosure starts up 5 percent annually in H1 2024
- National share of homes in foreclosure process was 0.35 percent in Q3 2024
- Foreclosure filings hit 93,000 in Q3 2024 across U.S.
- U.S. delinquency rate for mortgages was 3.98 percent in Q3 2024
- Foreclosure rate stabilized at 0.3 percent nationally in 2023 annual average
- Quarterly foreclosure starts averaged 85,000 per quarter in 2023
- National foreclosure inventory declined 2 percent YoY in 2024
- U.S. homes foreclosed per 10,000 was 25 in 2023
- Foreclosure rate for FHA loans was 0.72 percent in Q2 2024
- VA loan foreclosure rate at 0.41 percent nationally in 2023
- Conventional loan foreclosures averaged 0.25 percent in 2024
- Subprime foreclosure rate was 1.2 percent in Q1 2024
- Jumbo loan foreclosures minimal at 0.1 percent nationally
- Fixed-rate mortgage foreclosures lower than ARM at 0.28 percent
- National peak-to-trough foreclosure drop was 85 percent since 2010
- Foreclosure sales as percent of all sales was 1 percent in 2023
- U.S. foreclosure mediation success rate 65 percent in 2023
- Bankruptcy filings linked to foreclosures down 15 percent YoY
- National REO inventory at 140,000 properties in Q4 2023
- Foreclosure avoidance actions prevented 200,000 foreclosures in 2023
- U.S. foreclosure rate lowest since 1998 at 0.29 percent
- Scheduled foreclosure auctions up 8 percent in 2024
National Foreclosure Rates Interpretation
State/Regional Variations
- Illinois had the highest foreclosure rate at 1 in 1,900 homes in Q4 2023
- Nevada foreclosure rate was 1 in 2,500 housing units in 2023
- Florida saw 25,000 foreclosure filings in 2023
- California foreclosure starts totaled 12,000 in Q1 2024
- Delaware had foreclosure rate of 1 in 2,100 in Q3 2024
- South recorded highest foreclosure increase at 12 percent YoY
- Midwest foreclosure rate averaged 0.4 percent in 2023
- Texas foreclosure filings up 20 percent in metro areas 2024
- New York lowest foreclosure rate at 0.15 percent in 2023
- Ohio foreclosures totaled 15,000 in 2023 annually
- Pennsylvania rate 1 in 3,200 homes Q2 2024
- Michigan saw 10 percent drop in foreclosures YoY 2024
- Georgia highest in Southeast at 0.55 percent rate
- New Jersey foreclosures down 5 percent in 2023
- West region average foreclosure rate 0.25 percent 2024
- Indiana 1 in 2,800 foreclosure rate Q4 2023
- Connecticut lowest Northeast rate at 0.2 percent
- Kentucky filings rose 15 percent in rural areas 2024
- Washington state foreclosures minimal at 0.18 percent
- Louisiana highest Gulf Coast rate 0.6 percent 2023
- Maryland down 10 percent foreclosures in 2024
- Northeast region saw 3 percent foreclosure decline YoY
- Missouri metro foreclosures up 8 percent Q3 2024
- Oregon rate 1 in 4,500 homes 2023
- South Carolina filings totaled 8,000 in 2023
State/Regional Variations Interpretation
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