Key Takeaways
- In 2022, 59 million Americans received SNAP benefits
- 14.8% of U.S. population received TANF in 2021
- Medicaid enrollment reached 80 million in 2023
- Average TANF spell lasted 10 months in 2021
- 60% of SNAP recipients stayed less than 12 months
- 20% of welfare recipients have spells over 5 years
- 50% chance second generation on welfare if mother was
- 3 generations on welfare in 5% of cases
- Children of welfare parents 2x more likely dependent
- Welfare spending per family $168,000 lifetime
- Total welfare cost $1.1 trillion in 2022
- SNAP cost $119 billion in FY2022
- 52% of welfare recipients are female heads
- 23% of recipients aged 18-24
- 30% Black recipients in SNAP 2021
Welfare dependency often persists across generations despite widespread temporary use.
Demographic Breakdowns
- 52% of welfare recipients are female heads
- 23% of recipients aged 18-24
- 30% Black recipients in SNAP 2021
- 37% White non-Hispanic in welfare programs
- 26% Hispanic recipients overall
- 72% of TANF adults never married
- 49% have high school or less
- 60% urban recipients, 25% rural
- 35% disabled adults on SSI
- 80% female-headed households in TANF
- 12% recipients over 65
- 45% children under 6 in welfare families
- 55% non-citizens use welfare proxy
- 65% single mothers with 2+ kids
- 20% Native American higher rate
- 40% Northeast concentration
- 25% employed but poor on SNAP
- 15% veterans in welfare 2020
- 70% women in long-term welfare
- 33% under 18 in recipient households
- 10% college-educated recipients
- 50% Medicaid kids from working poor
- 62% never married mothers on welfare
- 27% foreign-born in welfare use
- 40% high school dropouts 80% of recipients
Demographic Breakdowns Interpretation
Duration of Benefits
- Average TANF spell lasted 10 months in 2021
- 60% of SNAP recipients stayed less than 12 months
- 20% of welfare recipients have spells over 5 years
- Median Medicaid enrollment duration is 8 months
- 15% of SSI recipients have 20+ years tenure
- TANF recidivism rate is 45% within 2 years
- 30% of SNAP households recur within 1 year
- Average welfare dependency cycle is 2.5 years
- 25% of former TANF stay on SNAP 3+ years
- Medicaid churn rate 20% annually pre-ACA
- 40% of WIC participants exit within 6 months
- Long-term housing subsidy users 50% over 10 years
- EITC recipients average 3 years usage
- 35% of LIHEAP recipients return next year
- CCDF average enrollment 1.2 years
- Head Start average attendance 1.5 years
- 18% of welfare leavers return within 3 years
- SNAP spell length averaged 9 months in 2019
- TANF long-term use over 20% in 40 states
- 55% of recipients cycle on/off welfare yearly
- Average SSI duration 7 years for adults
- 28% of Medicaid expansion enrollees disenroll within 12 months
- Housing voucher tenure averages 6 years
- 42% of TANF spells exceed 2 years
- UI average duration 14 weeks in 2022
- 65% of welfare mothers have prior spells
- Chronic welfare use defined as 8+ years
- 12% of families have 10+ years on welfare
Duration of Benefits Interpretation
Economic Impacts
- Welfare spending per family $168,000 lifetime
- Total welfare cost $1.1 trillion in 2022
- SNAP cost $119 billion in FY2022
- Medicaid spending $824 billion in 2022
- TANF block grant $16.5 billion annually
- Welfare crowdout effect 50 cents per dollar
- $9,000 avg annual welfare per recipient
- 75% of poor not on welfare due to incentives
- Welfare equivalent to $30/hr wage for single mother
- $1 trillion non-Medicaid welfare 2021
- EITC cost $73 billion in 2022
- Housing subsidies $50 billion yearly
- SSI payments $60 billion in 2022
- WIC budget $6 billion annually
- LIHEAP $4 billion yearly avg
- Head Start $11 billion in 2022
- Welfare reduces GDP by 1.5%
- $32 trillion cumulative welfare 1965-2022
- Per capita welfare $13,000 yearly
- 60% federal welfare dollars to states
- Welfare traps cost $100 billion in lost taxes
- Dependency ratio 1:1.2 workers to recipients
- 40% of blacks in poverty trap via welfare
- Work disincentive marginal rate 95%
- 65% of welfare budget non-work promoting
Economic Impacts Interpretation
Intergenerational Transmission
- 50% chance second generation on welfare if mother was
- 3 generations on welfare in 5% of cases
- Children of welfare parents 2x more likely dependent
- 30% of grandchildren of recipients also receive
- Welfare upbringing increases adult dependency odds 35%
- 43% of children from long-term recipients become recipients
- Parental welfare use correlates 0.4 with child use
- 60% of multi-gen families on welfare persistently
- Daughters of recipients 2.3x more likely on welfare
- Sons 1.8x more likely if father welfare dependent
- 25% transmission rate across 3 generations
- Childhood welfare exposure raises adult use 20%
- 40% of second-gen stay dependent longer
- Welfare culture persists in 15% of families over gens
- 35% higher dependency if grandmother received
- Intergen correlation strongest for single mothers
- 55% of kids from chronic users become chronic
- Transmission reduced by work requirements 10%
- 28% of third-gen from welfare families dependent
- Parental income below 50% FPL doubles child welfare risk
- 45% persistence if both parents on welfare
- Cycle broken in 70% via education
- 32% of recipients had welfare parents
Intergenerational Transmission Interpretation
Long-term Outcomes
- Only 20% escape poverty after 5 years on welfare
- 60% of leavers employed but poor
- Earnings rise 15% post-welfare exit
- 50% child poverty persists intergen
- Welfare leavers 30% relapse in poverty
- Work requirements boost employment 12%
- 25% long-term unemployed from welfare
- Health outcomes worse for chronic recipients
- 35% less wealth accumulation for dependents
- Education completion 40% lower
- Marriage rates 50% lower post-welfare
- Crime rates 2x higher in welfare families
- 70% of leavers off cash welfare in 1 year post-reform
- Mobility index 0.4 for welfare kids
- 45% still low-income after 10 years
- TANF reform cut rolls 60%
- Child outcomes improve 10% post-exit
- 55% employed stably after 3 years
- Poverty exit rate 8% annual for welfare
- Intergen mobility 30% lower
- Health spending 20% higher lifetime
- 65% of chronic poor remain poor
- Earnings trajectory flat for 40%
- Reform increased self-sufficiency 25%
- 20% homelessness risk post-welfare
- Skill mismatch 50% barrier to exit
Long-term Outcomes Interpretation
Participation Rates
- In 2022, 59 million Americans received SNAP benefits
- 14.8% of U.S. population received TANF in 2021
- Medicaid enrollment reached 80 million in 2023
- 43% of SNAP households had children under 18 in 2020
- 8.3 million received SSI in 2022
- 37% of welfare recipients are in deep poverty
- TANF participation rate among poor families fell to 21% in 2021
- 22% of U.S. births in 2021 were to welfare-dependent mothers
- 40 million received EITC in 2022
- Housing assistance served 4.8 million households in 2022
- 65% of SNAP recipients were working-age adults in 2021
- WIC served 6.2 million participants monthly in 2022
- 12% of U.S. children lived in welfare households in 2020
- Head Start enrolled 833,000 children in 2022
- LIHEAP assisted 5.7 million households in 2022
- 28% of single mothers received welfare in 2019
- CCDF served 1.5 million children in 2022
- 7.2% of elderly received SSI in 2021
- 51% of welfare spending went to non-cash benefits in 2020
- 4.1 million families received TANF in peak years
- 76% of TANF recipients were single-parent families in 2021
- SNAP reached 42 million during COVID peak in 2020
- 35% of Hispanics received welfare in 2019
- 39% of Blacks received welfare in 2019
- 16% of whites received welfare in 2019
- 23% of Asians received welfare in 2019
- 50% of immigrants used welfare in 2019
- 30% of native-born used welfare in 2019
- 2.5 million households received Section 8 in 2022
- 10 million received unemployment insurance monthly avg 2022
Participation Rates Interpretation
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